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Rostock vs Wurzburg Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 05 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 65-92
15-23 12-24 6-26 32-19
Position#12
Record2-1
FormLLWWL
Points / game84.3
Allowed / game76.0
vs
Position#5
Record0-1
FormLLLLW
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game85.0
GermanyBBLRound 4· Stadthalle Rostock
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Rostock v Wurzburg
10 Oct 2026
ROS101
WUR62
08 Feb 2026
ROS77
WUR74
05 Oct 2024
ROS65
WUR92
20 Jan 2024
ROS78
WUR91
25 Mar 2023
ROS72
WUR76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rostock winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Wurzburg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RostockGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRostock
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#2
L
74-91
74
91
-17
65avg 75
A24/04
BBL
Bonn
#7
L
89-112
89
112
-23
64avg 75
A27/04
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
91-85
91
85
+6
58avg 75
H30/04
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
L
70-76
70
76
-6
64avg 75
A05/05
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
L
70-85
70
85
-15
56avg 75
H08/05
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
73-101
73
101
-28
63avg 75
A12/05
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#8
L
77-79
77
79
-2
60avg 75
A14/09
German Cup
Syntainics MBC
#11
W
87-84 OT
87
84
+3
75avg 75
A22/09
BBL
Gottingen
#17
W
102-74
102
74
+28
108avg 75
H28/09
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#8
L
64-70
64
70
-6
61avg 75
A02/10
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
20-21
11-24
23-25
24-27
20-31
23-26
22-28
20-14
22-18
20-21
29-32
22-15
20-25
14-20
14-16
24-18
5-18
25-27
16-22
19-24
18-28
27-20
9-29
18-25
21-21
19-15
19-18
20-19
22-20
16-15
18-22
21-19
23-17
35-13
23-25
17-18
15-16
17-24
15-12
165.4Avg total
79.7Scored
85.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)84.376.0160.3+8.367%
Season at home (1)102.074.0176.0+28.0100%
Season away (2)75.577.0152.5-1.550%
Last 10 (10)79.785.7165.4-6.030%
Last 5 (5)80.681.6162.2-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)84.594.1178.5-9.621%
vs Similar ◀ (6)85.786.3172.0-0.733%
vs Weaker (4)87.580.5168.0+7.050%
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WurzburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWurzburg
Date
Competition
Chemnitz
#3
L
66-79
66
79
-13
56avg 73
A12/05
BBL
Ulm
#5
W
78-65
78
65
+13
74avg 73
A18/05
BBL
Ulm
#5
L
64-100
64
100
-36
52avg 73
A20/05
BBL
Ulm
#5
W
82-79
82
79
+3
80avg 73
H22/05
BBL
Ulm
#5
W
75-72
75
72
+3
72avg 73
H24/05
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
76-91
76
91
-15
67avg 73
A29/05
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
75-99
75
99
-24
64avg 73
A31/05
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
61-75
61
75
-14
55avg 73
H02/06
BBL
Ulm
#2
L
76-85
76
85
-9
70avg 73
A28/09
BBL
Hapoel Holon
#29
W
85-76
85
76
+9
71avg 73
H01/10
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-14
6-24
18-19
24-22
23-20
17-18
18-18
20-9
22-22
17-28
11-26
14-24
20-18
24-16
20-23
18-22
16-14
20-17
17-23
22-18
11-21
16-28
23-25
26-17
21-22
23-26
16-25
15-26
18-12
15-26
13-22
15-15
15-13
15-21
21-28
25-23
26-15
22-17
18-27
19-17
155.9Avg total
73.8Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)76.085.0161.0-9.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)76.085.0161.0-9.00%
Last 10 (10)73.882.1155.9-8.340%
Last 5 (5)74.685.2159.8-10.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)72.786.5159.2-13.80%
vs Similar ◀ (12)83.382.4165.8+0.975%
vs Weaker (12)93.380.8174.2+12.583%
This opponent (Rostock) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: -4.6-4.6Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -6.1-6.1Q4Q4: -4.1-4.1Q4: +0.5+0.5
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: -4.6-4.6Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -6.1-6.1Q4Q4: -4.1-4.1Q4: +0.5+0.5
RostockWurzburg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RostockLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#2
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A24/04
BBL
Bonn
#7
L
44-58
44
58
-14
A27/04
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H30/04
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A05/05
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
L
29-36
29
36
-7
H08/05
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
37-52
37
52
-15
A12/05
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#8
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A14/09
German Cup
Syntainics MBC
#11
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A22/09
BBL
Gottingen
#17
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H28/09
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#8
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A02/10
BBL
80.6Avg total
39.1Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.744.386.9-1.637%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.843.586.3-0.736%-
Last 30 away (16)42.644.987.5-2.438%-
Last 10 (10)39.141.580.6-2.440%-
Last 5 (5)38.841.480.2-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)42.646.589.1-3.926%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)43.342.285.5+1.250%-
vs Weaker (4)43.036.579.5+6.575%-
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WurzburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chemnitz
#3
L
24-38
24
38
-14
A12/05
BBL
Ulm
#5
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A18/05
BBL
Ulm
#5
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A20/05
BBL
Ulm
#5
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H22/05
BBL
Ulm
#5
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H24/05
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
27-49
27
49
-22
A29/05
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A31/05
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H02/06
BBL
Ulm
#2
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A28/09
BBL
Hapoel Holon
#29
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H01/10
Champions League
75.7Avg total
36.5Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.740.382.1+1.450%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.637.681.2+5.971%-
Last 30 away (16)40.142.782.8-2.631%-
Last 10 (10)36.539.275.7-2.740%-
Last 5 (5)36.440.276.6-3.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)32.342.074.3-9.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)44.040.784.7+3.358%-
vs Weaker (12)44.239.283.3+5.067%-
This opponent (Rostock) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rostocktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rostock: 78.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.219.9
50.8%
52.3%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.28.2
31.3%
33.6%24.6
🏀 Free throws17.113.9
81.3%
73.5%13.9
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Wurzburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Wurzburg: 74.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.215.5
49.7%
52.3%31.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.410.0
34.0%
33.6%30.0
🏀 Free throws17.413.6
78.2%
73.5%13.6
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rostock
LWWLLLLWLL
Wurzburg
WLLLLWWLWL
#12
League position
#5
-8.9
Net rating
-13.6
102.7
Offensive rating
104.4
111.7
Defensive rating
118.0
49.2%
Effective FG%
50.3%
50.7%
Opp. effective FG%
57.7%
17.2%
Turnover %
20.0%
25.6%
Off. rebound %
30.9%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.29
31.3%
3-point %
34.0%
58.4%
Assist %
52.5%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence102.7 · 104.4Defence111.7 · 118.0Shooting49.2% · 50.3%3-point %31.3% · 34.0%Ball care17.2% · 20.0%Off. rebounds25.6% · 30.9%Free throws0.26 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Rostock   ■ Wurzburg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Rostock wins
3
Wurzburg wins
DateGameScore
20/04/24Wurzburg v Rostock86-95
20/01/24Rostock v Wurzburg78-91
25/03/23Rostock v Wurzburg72-76
19/11/22Wurzburg v Rostock97-87
Rostocklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/10/24ALudwigsburg64-70
28/09/24HGottingen102-74
22/09/24ASyntainics MBC87-84 OT
14/09/24ACrailsheim Merlins77-79
12/05/24ABayern73-101
08/05/24HCrailsheim Merlins70-85
05/05/24ABasketball Braunschweig70-76
30/04/24HLudwigsburg91-85
27/04/24ABonn89-112
24/04/24AAlba Berlin74-91
Wurzburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/10/24HHapoel Holon85-76
28/09/24AUlm76-85
02/06/24HBayern61-75
31/05/24ABayern75-99
29/05/24ABayern76-91
24/05/24HUlm75-72
22/05/24HUlm82-79
20/05/24AUlm64-100
18/05/24AUlm78-65
12/05/24AChemnitz66-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rostock
BBL 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game84.3102.075.5
Allowed / game76.074.077.0
Point differential+8.3+28.0-1.5
Avg total160.3176.0152.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %33%0%50%
Wurzburg
BBL 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game76.0-76.0
Allowed / game85.0-85.0
Point differential-9.0--9.0
Avg total161.0-161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Basketball Braunschweig220100%93.574.0+19.5
2 Ulm220100%87.581.0+6.5
3 Rostock32167%84.376.0+8.3
4 Bayern32167%74.772.3+2.3
5 Heidelberg32167%90.090.7-0.7
6 Ludwigsburg32167%73.075.0-2.0
7 Frankfurt21150%79.069.0+10.0
8 Alba Berlin21150%92.583.5+9.0
9 Hamburg21150%88.580.5+8.0
10 Bonn21150%85.081.5+3.5
11 Vechta21150%78.577.5+1.0
12 Bamberg21150%71.577.0-5.5
13 Oldenburg21150%87.593.5-6.0
14 Chemnitz2020%72.581.5-9.0
15 Wurzburg1010%76.085.0-9.0
16 Syntainics MBC3030%85.796.7-11.0
17 Gottingen2020%73.0101.0-28.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rostock151263265
Wurzburg2324261992
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