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Bayern vs Wurzburg Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 29 May 2024
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 91-76
21-11 28-16 25-23 17-26
Position#1
Record31-7
FormWLWWW
Points / game87.6
Allowed / game76.2
Bayern 🏆
Germany
vs
Position#4
Record27-11
FormLWLWW
Points / game85.6
Allowed / game80.0
GermanyBBLBBL - Semi-finals· BMW Park
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Bayern v Wurzburg
31 Jan 2027
BAY v WUR
upcoming
25 Jan 2026
BAY98
WUR79
27 Oct 2024
BAY70
WUR69
31 May 2024
BAY99
WUR75
29 May 2024
BAY91
WUR76
29 Oct 2023
BAY87
WUR64
27 Nov 2022
BAY83
WUR73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Wurzburg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayernGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Tubingen
#18
W
92-73
92
73
+19
52avg 79
H28/04
BBL
Ulm
#5
W
81-74
81
74
+7
74avg 79
A01/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
W
77-53
77
53
+24
81avg 79
H05/05
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
85-80
85
80
+5
70avg 79
A08/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
53-59
53
59
-6
44avg 79
A10/05
BBL
Rostock
#15
W
101-73
101
73
+28
101avg 79
H12/05
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
98-102 OT
98
102
-4
92avg 79
H18/05
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
83-67
83
67
+16
90avg 79
H20/05
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
84-73
84
73
+11
82avg 79
A22/05
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
76-69
76
69
+7
71avg 79
A24/05
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-13
22-27
24-17
25-16
19-20
18-16
27-13
17-25
16-17
30-5
13-15
18-16
27-16
22-25
15-17
21-22
17-12
11-18
20-9
5-20
24-19
28-18
20-27
29-9
26-18
17-22
22-15
25-35
21-19
22-14
21-16
19-18
26-18
19-19
12-16
27-20
17-11
23-23
21-23
15-12
155.3Avg total
83.0Scored
72.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (38)87.676.2163.8+11.482%
Season at home (19)90.575.2165.7+15.489%
Season away (19)84.777.2161.9+7.574%
Last 10 (10)83.072.3155.3+10.780%
Last 5 (5)88.476.8165.2+11.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)78.286.8165.0-8.50%
vs Similar (7)73.070.7143.7+2.357%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)86.676.2162.8+10.584%
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WurzburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWurzburg
Date
Competition
Rostock
#15
L
86-95
86
95
-9
68avg 74
H20/04
BBL
Vechta
#6
W
89-87
89
87
+2
81avg 74
A28/04
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
107-83
107
83
+24
100avg 74
H30/04
BBL
Bonn
#7
W
100-91
100
91
+9
97avg 74
A05/05
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
W
98-84
98
84
+14
89avg 74
H08/05
BBL
Chemnitz
#3
L
66-79
66
79
-13
56avg 74
A12/05
BBL
Ulm
#5
W
78-65
78
65
+13
74avg 74
A18/05
BBL
Ulm
#5
L
64-100
64
100
-36
52avg 74
A20/05
BBL
Ulm
#5
W
82-79
82
79
+3
80avg 74
H22/05
BBL
Ulm
#5
W
75-72
75
72
+3
72avg 74
H24/05
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-21
17-22
21-21
22-31
30-26
24-21
17-22
18-18
25-23
28-25
31-15
23-20
22-23
30-21
22-20
26-27
24-17
20-18
29-24
25-25
18-14
6-24
18-19
24-22
23-20
17-18
18-18
20-9
22-22
17-28
11-26
14-24
20-18
24-16
20-23
18-22
16-14
20-17
17-23
22-18
168.0Avg total
84.5Scored
83.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (38)85.680.0165.6+5.671%
Season at home (19)86.178.1164.1+8.074%
Season away (19)85.281.9167.1+3.268%
Last 10 (10)84.583.5168.0+1.070%
Last 5 (5)73.079.0152.0-6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)74.084.5158.5-10.50%
vs Similar (14)84.481.7166.1+2.779%
vs Weaker (14)92.981.7174.6+11.286%
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +5.1+5.1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -0.4-0.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +5.1+5.1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -0.4-0.4
BayernWurzburg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tubingen
#18
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H28/04
BBL
Ulm
#5
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A01/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
W
46-22
46
22
+24
H05/05
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A08/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
28-30
28
30
-2
A10/05
BBL
Rostock
#15
W
52-37
52
37
+15
H12/05
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H18/05
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H20/05
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A22/05
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A24/05
BBL
77.6Avg total
42.6Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.538.079.4+3.570%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.836.378.1+5.575%-
Last 30 away (14)41.139.980.9+1.264%-
Last 10 (10)42.635.077.6+7.690%-
Last 5 (5)44.636.280.8+8.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)32.846.879.5-14.00%-
vs Similar (7)37.735.973.6+1.943%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)44.736.981.6+7.895%-
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WurzburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rostock
#15
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H20/04
BBL
Vechta
#6
W
54-47
54
47
+7
A28/04
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
53-48
53
48
+5
H30/04
BBL
Bonn
#7
W
52-44
52
44
+8
A05/05
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H08/05
BBL
Chemnitz
#3
L
24-38
24
38
-14
A12/05
BBL
Ulm
#5
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A18/05
BBL
Ulm
#5
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A20/05
BBL
Ulm
#5
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H22/05
BBL
Ulm
#5
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H24/05
BBL
83.7Avg total
42.9Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.339.381.6+3.060%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.636.580.1+7.180%-
Last 30 away (15)41.142.183.1-1.040%-
Last 10 (10)42.940.883.7+2.170%-
Last 5 (5)36.638.274.8-1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)30.041.571.5-11.50%-
vs Similar (14)43.239.182.3+4.164%-
vs Weaker (14)43.239.282.4+4.064%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 88.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.120.9
56.3%
54.6%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.810.6
39.6%
35.4%31.8
🏀 Free throws18.914.7
77.8%
76.0%14.7
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Wurzburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Wurzburg: 83.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.217.6
53.0%
54.6%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.011.5
39.7%
35.4%34.5
🏀 Free throws20.114.1
70.1%
76.0%14.1
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 May 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayern
WWWLWLWWWW
Wurzburg
WWLWLWWWWL
#1
League position
#4
+14.3
Net rating
+2.0
117.1
Offensive rating
113.3
102.8
Defensive rating
111.3
57.6%
Effective FG%
56.0%
47.8%
Opp. effective FG%
56.3%
16.8%
Turnover %
17.4%
30.6%
Off. rebound %
27.3%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.32
39.6%
3-point %
39.7%
53.3%
Assist %
51.2%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence117.1 · 113.3Defence102.8 · 111.3Shooting57.6% · 56.0%3-point %39.6% · 39.7%Ball care16.8% · 17.4%Off. rebounds30.6% · 27.3%Free throws0.30 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Bayern   ■ Wurzburg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Bayern wins
0
Wurzburg wins
DateGameScore
14/04/24Wurzburg v Bayern82-90
29/10/23Bayern v Wurzburg87-64
10/04/23Wurzburg v Bayern49-67
27/11/22Bayern v Wurzburg83-73
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/05/24ALudwigsburg76-69
22/05/24ALudwigsburg84-73
20/05/24HLudwigsburg83-67
18/05/24HLudwigsburg98-102 OT
12/05/24HRostock101-73
10/05/24AAlba Berlin53-59
08/05/24ALudwigsburg85-80
05/05/24HAlba Berlin77-53
01/05/24AUlm81-74
28/04/24HTubingen92-73
Wurzburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/05/24HUlm75-72
22/05/24HUlm82-79
20/05/24AUlm64-100
18/05/24AUlm78-65
12/05/24AChemnitz66-79
08/05/24HHeidelberg98-84
05/05/24ABonn100-91
30/04/24HSyntainics MBC107-83
28/04/24AVechta89-87
20/04/24HRostock86-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayern
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW82%
HomeWWWLW89%
AwayWWLWW74%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games381919
Win %82%89%74%
Points / game87.690.584.7
Allowed / game76.275.277.2
Point differential+11.4+15.4+7.5
Avg total163.8165.7161.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%68%32%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)0% (2)60% (5)
Overtime %11%11%11%
Wurzburg
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW71%
HomeLWWWW74%
AwayWWLWL68%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games381919
Win %71%74%68%
Points / game85.686.185.2
Allowed / game80.078.181.9
Point differential+5.6+8.0+3.2
Avg total165.6164.1167.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%42%32%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (10)67% (6)100% (4)
Overtime %3%0%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern3831782%87.676.2+11.4
2 Alba Berlin3830879%89.580.7+8.8
3 Chemnitz3930977%88.578.9+9.6
4 Wurzburg38271171%85.680.0+5.6
5 Ulm38251366%89.382.5+6.8
6 Vechta38221658%87.382.6+4.7
7 Bonn38211755%88.385.5+2.9
8 Oldenburg35181751%85.684.1+1.5
9 Ludwigsburg40202050%86.283.2+3.0
10 Hamburg36181850%85.686.2-0.6
11 Bamberg34151944%88.589.8-1.3
12 Basketball Braunschweig34151944%81.784.4-2.7
13 Syntainics MBC34112332%85.593.3-7.7
14 Gottingen34102429%85.392.6-7.3
15 Rostock3492526%86.793.1-6.3
16 Heidelberg3492526%82.993.4-10.5
17 Crailsheim Merlins3482624%81.292.6-11.3
18 Tubingen3462818%82.395.3-13.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bayern2128251791
Wurzburg1116232676
← all games of the day
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