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Vigevano vs Forli Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 02 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 76-78
12-17 24-11 14-29 26-21
Position#18
Record9-19
FormLLLLW
Points / game75.6
Allowed / game80.7
vs
Forli 🏆
Italy
Position#6
Record16-12
FormWWWWL
Points / game76.8
Allowed / game75.0
ItalySerie A2Round 31· Pala Elachem
Other2024-25
Meetings · Vigevano v Forli
21 Oct 2026
VIGE79
FORL74
02 Mar 2025
VIGE76
FORL78
12 May 2024
VIGE69
FORL95
10 May 2024
VIGE76
FORL67
07 Apr 2024
VIGE80
FORL85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vigevano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Forli winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VigevanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVigevano
Date
Competition
Basket Torino
#10
W
82-74
82
74
+8
76avg 67
H05/01
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
W
64-62
64
62
+2
60avg 67
A12/01
Serie A2
Pesaro
#9
L
82-93
82
93
-11
80avg 67
H15/01
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
L
73-92
73
92
-19
64avg 67
A19/01
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
W
79-69
79
69
+10
76avg 67
H26/01
Serie A2
Udine
#1
L
62-91
62
91
-29
48avg 67
H29/01
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
L
66-83
66
83
-17
62avg 67
A02/02
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
L
62-73
62
73
-11
50avg 67
A09/02
Serie A2
Cento
#15
L
73-78
73
78
-5
74avg 67
H16/02
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
W
80-75
80
75
+5
73avg 67
A26/02
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-19
20-21
22-16
20-18
14-17
16-15
20-19
14-11
28-27
22-30
16-20
16-16
28-31
12-23
16-19
17-19
17-19
22-22
10-10
30-18
17-27
18-18
9-22
18-24
15-17
20-24
19-23
12-19
23-18
10-17
9-16
20-22
19-12
18-28
18-15
18-23
19-20
24-21
16-18
21-16
151.3Avg total
72.3Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)75.680.7156.3-5.032%
Season at home (14)75.380.3155.6-5.036%
Season away (14)76.081.1157.1-5.129%
Last 10 (10)72.379.0151.3-6.740%
Last 5 (5)68.680.0148.6-11.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)75.582.9158.4-7.526%
vs Similar (11)75.476.8152.2-1.545%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Forli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ForliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormForli
Date
Competition
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
L
64-65
64
65
-1
56avg 69
H05/01
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
79-82
79
82
-3
74avg 69
H12/01
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
77-93
77
93
-16
65avg 69
A16/01
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
W
78-73
78
73
+5
74avg 69
H19/01
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
L
73-80
73
80
-7
61avg 69
A26/01
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
W
80-61
80
61
+19
78avg 69
H29/01
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
W
81-77
81
77
+4
74avg 69
A02/02
Serie A2
Udine
#1
W
82-76
82
76
+6
81avg 69
H09/02
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#14
W
61-57
61
57
+4
54avg 69
A16/02
Serie A2
Nardo
#19
L
69-82
69
82
-13
58avg 69
H26/02
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-17
18-7
13-17
16-24
20-20
19-13
13-23
27-26
9-32
25-19
22-23
21-19
16-28
22-11
18-19
22-15
14-21
19-18
19-18
21-23
15-14
22-11
28-17
15-19
19-17
21-25
25-17
16-18
18-15
24-24
21-17
19-20
13-14
14-18
14-18
20-7
19-25
10-19
16-20
24-18
149.0Avg total
74.4Scored
74.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)76.875.0151.8+1.757%
Season at home (14)78.373.9152.1+4.464%
Season away (14)75.276.2151.4-1.050%
Last 10 (10)74.474.6149.0-0.250%
Last 5 (5)74.670.6145.2+4.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)78.580.0158.5-1.550%
vs Similar (23)75.175.1150.2-0.048%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)81.877.8159.6+4.080%
This opponent (Vigevano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -4.3-4.3Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +1.2+1.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -4.3-4.3Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +1.2+1.2
VigevanoForli
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VigevanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Torino
#10
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H05/01
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A12/01
Serie A2
Pesaro
#9
L
50-57
50
57
-7
H15/01
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
L
40-54
40
54
-14
A19/01
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H26/01
Serie A2
Udine
#1
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H29/01
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A02/02
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A09/02
Serie A2
Cento
#15
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H16/02
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A26/02
Serie A2
80.8Avg total
38.2Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.440.780.0-1.337%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.441.181.4-0.738%-
Last 30 away (14)38.240.278.4-2.036%-
Last 10 (10)38.242.680.8-4.410%-
Last 5 (5)36.640.477.0-3.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)39.441.781.1-2.326%-
vs Similar (11)39.338.978.2+0.455%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Forli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ForliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
W
35-24
35
24
+11
H05/01
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H12/01
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
34-51
34
51
-17
A16/01
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H19/01
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A26/01
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H29/01
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A02/02
Serie A2
Udine
#1
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H09/02
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#14
L
27-32
27
32
-5
A16/02
Serie A2
Nardo
#19
L
29-44
29
44
-15
H26/02
Serie A2
72.2Avg total
35.4Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.536.775.2+1.857%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.335.473.7+2.967%-
Last 30 away (15)38.638.076.6+0.647%-
Last 10 (10)35.436.872.2-1.440%-
Last 5 (5)35.036.471.4-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)38.044.582.5-6.550%-
vs Similar (23)38.135.773.9+2.457%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)40.238.078.2+2.260%-
This opponent (Vigevano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vigevanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vigevano: 71.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.516.2
48.4%
50.1%32.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.39.3
34.1%
34.6%27.9
🏀 Free throws15.311.0
71.9%
74.4%11.0
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Forlitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Forli: 73.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.516.1
44.1%
50.1%32.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.29.9
36.4%
34.6%29.7
🏀 Free throws15.311.9
77.8%
74.4%11.9
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vigevano
WLLLLWLLWW
Forli
LWWWWLWLLL
#18
League position
#6
-9.4
Net rating
+0.6
97.4
Offensive rating
102.8
106.8
Defensive rating
102.3
49.6%
Effective FG%
48.6%
52.1%
Opp. effective FG%
49.6%
18.2%
Turnover %
17.6%
20.2%
Off. rebound %
30.0%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.24
34.1%
3-point %
36.4%
68.2%
Assist %
63.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence97.4 · 102.8Defence106.8 · 102.3Shooting49.6% · 48.6%3-point %34.1% · 36.4%Ball care18.2% · 17.6%Off. rebounds20.2% · 30.0%Free throws0.25 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Vigevano   ■ Forli
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Vigevano wins
5
Forli wins
DateGameScore
22/12/24Forli v Vigevano93-91
12/05/24Vigevano v Forli69-95
10/05/24Vigevano v Forli76-67
07/05/24Forli v Vigevano84-69
05/05/24Forli v Vigevano87-71
07/04/24Vigevano v Forli80-85
Vigevanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/25AAssigeco Piacenza80-75
16/02/25HCento73-78
09/02/25ABasket Torino62-73
02/02/25AFortitudo Bologna66-83
29/01/25HUdine62-91
26/01/25HAvellino Basket79-69
19/01/25AJuVi Cremona73-92
15/01/25HPesaro82-93
12/01/25ALibertas Livorno64-62
05/01/25HBasket Torino82-74
Forlilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/25HNardo69-82
16/02/25AOrzinuovi61-57
09/02/25HUdine82-76
02/02/25ACantu81-77
29/01/25HBasket Torino80-61
26/01/25ALibertas Livorno73-80
19/01/25HRimini78-73
16/01/25AVerona77-93
12/01/25HCividale79-82
05/01/25HSebastiani Rieti64-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vigevano
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW32%
HomeWLWLL36%
AwayWLLLW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %32%36%29%
Points / game75.675.376.0
Allowed / game80.780.381.1
Point differential-5.0-5.0-5.1
Avg total156.3155.6157.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%14%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)67% (3)33% (6)
Overtime %4%0%7%
Forli
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL57%
HomeLWWWL64%
AwayWLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %57%64%50%
Points / game76.878.375.2
Allowed / game75.073.976.2
Point differential+1.7+4.4-1.0
Avg total151.8152.1151.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%21%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won58% (12)43% (7)80% (5)
Overtime %11%14%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Udine2922776%83.374.7+8.7
2 Rimini2820871%81.877.7+4.1
3 Cantu29191066%77.372.3+5.0
4 Urania Milano29181162%77.675.5+2.1
5 Sebastiani Rieti29181162%75.073.0+2.0
6 Cividale29181162%80.178.6+1.5
7 Pesaro29171259%82.379.6+2.8
8 Fortitudo Bologna29171259%75.673.1+2.5
9 Forli28161257%76.875.0+1.7
10 Avellino Basket28161257%79.179.1+0.1
11 Verona30171357%76.373.2+3.1
12 Brindisi30151550%76.275.7+0.5
13 Basket Torino30141647%76.176.1+0.0
14 Cento30111937%72.978.1-5.2
15 JuVi Cremona28101836%79.782.5-2.9
16 Orzinuovi28101836%77.381.8-4.4
17 Vigevano2891932%75.680.7-5.0
18 Libertas Livorno3092130%73.976.8-2.9
19 Nardo2882029%73.881.0-7.2
20 Assigeco Piacenza2952417%75.482.2-6.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Vigevano1224142676
Forli1711292178
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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