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NC Greensboro vs Citadel Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 16 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 69-66 (OT)
19-33 43-29 7-4
Position#252
Record6-11
FormWWWLL
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game80.3
vs
Position#302
Record5-12
FormLLLLW
Points / game71.7
Allowed / game76.8
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · NC Greensboro v Citadel
30 Dec 2026
NC G v CITA
upcoming
15 Jan 2026
NC G69
CITA66
15 Jan 2025
NC G70
CITA57
17 Jan 2024
NC G73
CITA67
19 Jan 2023
NC G70
CITA60
10 Feb 2022
NC G86
CITA66
06 Mar 2021
NC G80
CITA72
18 Jan 2021
NC G87
CITA73
05 Feb 2020
NC G88
CITA68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

NC Greensboro winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Citadel winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NC GreensboroUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
71-82
71
82
-11
A26/11
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#237
L
77-82
77
82
-5
A03/12
NCAA
East Carolina
#310
W
82-78
82
78
+4
A06/12
NCAA
William Peace
#459
W
90-62
90
62
+28
H13/12
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#299
L
65-71
65
71
-6
H17/12
NCAA
Virginia-Lynchburg
#708
W
131-53
131
53
+78
H21/12
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
W
77-72
77
72
+5
H01/01
NCAA
Samford
#149
W
89-82
89
82
+7
H03/01
NCAA
Wofford
#126
L
85-97
85
97
-12
A07/01
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
L
60-86
60
86
-26
A10/01
NCAA
1H
2H
42-34
29-48
39-36
38-46
41-33
41-45
39-37
51-25
20-38
45-33
62-32
69-21
33-34
44-38
43-35
46-47
36-56
49-41
34-38
26-48
159.2Avg total
82.7Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)78.280.3158.5-2.135%
Season at home (8)84.170.4154.5+13.862%
Season away (9)73.089.1162.1-16.111%
Last 10 (10)82.776.5159.2+6.250%
Last 5 (5)88.478.0166.4+10.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)69.281.8151.0-12.733%
vs Similar ◀ (13)74.079.8153.8-5.831%
vs Weaker (10)77.665.0142.6+12.670%
This opponent (Citadel) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CitadelUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Presbyterian
#263
W
69-41
69
41
+28
A30/11
NCAA
Davidson
#109
L
63-79
63
79
-16
A05/12
NCAA
Southern W.
#539
W
98-73
98
73
+25
H10/12
NCAA
South Carolina
#278
L
55-71
55
71
-16
A14/12
NCAA
Charleston
#80
L
78-82
78
82
-4
A18/12
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#231
L
56-80
56
80
-24
A20/12
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
L
49-74
49
74
-25
H30/12
NCAA
Wofford
#126
L
86-95
86
95
-9
H03/01
NCAA
Mercer
#117
L
63-101
63
101
-38
A08/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
W
79-77 OT
79
77
+2
H10/01
NCAA
1H
2H
33-17
36-24
29-36
34-43
54-40
44-33
28-35
27-36
36-35
42-47
32-42
24-38
23-40
26-34
35-42
51-53
31-54
32-47
33-40
38-31
146.9Avg total
69.6Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)71.776.8148.5-5.129%
Season at home (9)77.375.0152.3+2.344%
Season away (8)65.478.8144.1-13.412%
Last 10 (10)69.677.3146.9-7.730%
Last 5 (5)66.685.4152.0-18.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)65.079.6144.6-14.510%
vs Similar ◀ (8)67.173.2140.4-6.112%
vs Weaker (2)101.567.0168.5+34.5100%
This opponent (NC Greensboro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +1.6+1.61st half: -4.7-4.72nd half2nd half: +4.6+4.62nd half: -3.2-3.2
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +1.6+1.61st half: -4.7-4.72nd half2nd half: +4.6+4.62nd half: -3.2-3.2
NC GreensboroCitadel
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
NC GreensboroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami (Ohio)
#5
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A26/11
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#237
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A03/12
NCAA
East Carolina
#310
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A06/12
NCAA
William Peace
#459
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H13/12
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#299
L
20-38
20
38
-18
H17/12
NCAA
Virginia-Lynchburg
#708
W
62-32
62
32
+30
H21/12
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H01/01
NCAA
Samford
#149
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H03/01
NCAA
Wofford
#126
L
36-56
36
56
-20
A07/01
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A10/01
NCAA
76.2Avg total
38.9Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.334.970.2+0.450%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.334.170.4+2.250%-
Last 30 away (14)34.135.769.9-1.650%-
Last 10 (10)38.937.376.2+1.660%-
Last 5 (5)41.639.080.6+2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)34.738.373.0-3.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)34.237.471.6-3.238%-
vs Weaker (10)36.729.366.0+7.470%-
This opponent (Citadel) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CitadelLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Presbyterian
#263
W
33-17
33
17
+16
A30/11
NCAA
Davidson
#109
L
29-36
29
36
-7
A05/12
NCAA
Southern W.
#539
W
54-40
54
40
+14
H10/12
NCAA
South Carolina
#278
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A14/12
NCAA
Charleston
#80
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A18/12
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#231
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A20/12
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
L
23-40
23
40
-17
H30/12
NCAA
Wofford
#126
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H03/01
NCAA
Mercer
#117
L
31-54
31
54
-23
A08/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H10/01
NCAA
71.5Avg total
33.4Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.337.368.6-6.023%-
Last 30 at home (15)33.735.869.5-2.127%-
Last 30 away (15)28.938.867.7-9.920%-
Last 10 (10)33.438.171.5-4.730%-
Last 5 (5)30.843.674.4-12.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)29.439.268.7-9.915%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)31.134.165.2-3.025%-
vs Weaker (2)50.530.581.0+20.0100%-
This opponent (NC Greensboro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
NC Greensboro wins
1
Citadel wins
NC Greensborolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/26AEast Tennessee St60-86
07/01/26AWofford85-97
03/01/26HSamford89-82
01/01/26HChattanooga Mocs77-72
21/12/25HVirginia-Lynchburg131-53
17/12/25HN. Carolina A&T65-71
13/12/25HWilliam Peace90-62
06/12/25AEast Carolina82-78
03/12/25AUNC Asheville77-82
26/11/25AMiami (Ohio)71-82
Citadellast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/26HWestern Carolina79-77 OT
08/01/26AMercer63-101
03/01/26HWofford86-95
30/12/25HEast Tennessee St49-74
20/12/25ARichmond Spiders56-80
18/12/25ACharleston78-82
14/12/25ASouth Carolina55-71
10/12/25HSouthern W.98-73
05/12/25ADavidson63-79
30/11/25APresbyterian69-41

📊 11. Overall Statistics

NC Greensboro
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL35%
HomeWLWWW62%
AwayLLWLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %35%62%11%
Points / game78.284.173.0
Allowed / game80.370.489.1
Point differential-2.1+13.8-16.1
Avg total158.5154.5162.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %6%12%0%
Citadel
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW29%
HomeLWLLW44%
AwayLLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %29%44%12%
Points / game71.777.365.4
Allowed / game76.875.078.8
Point differential-5.1+2.3-13.4
Avg total148.5152.3144.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%33%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %6%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Furman1813572%77.669.7+7.9
2 East Tennessee St1812667%78.266.5+11.7
3 Mercer1811761%84.374.1+10.3
4 Wofford1811761%78.676.9+1.7
5 Samford189950%77.776.4+1.3
6 Chattanooga Mocs1881044%76.972.6+4.3
7 Western Carolina1661038%76.980.0-3.1
8 NC Greensboro1761135%78.280.3-2.1
9 VMI1861233%74.175.9-1.8
10 Citadel1751229%71.776.8-5.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
NC Greensboro1943769
Citadel3329466
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