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NC Greensboro vs Citadel Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 31 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Scheduled
Position#200
Record2-2
FormLWLLW
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game70.8
vs
Position#90
Record3-1
FormLLWWW
Points / game90.0
Allowed / game64.5
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · NC Greensboro v Citadel
30 Dec 2026
NC G v CITA
upcoming
15 Jan 2026
NC G69
CITA66
15 Jan 2025
NC G70
CITA57
17 Jan 2024
NC G73
CITA67
19 Jan 2023
NC G70
CITA60
10 Feb 2022
NC G86
CITA66
06 Mar 2021
NC G80
CITA72
18 Jan 2021
NC G87
CITA73
05 Feb 2020
NC G88
CITA68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

NC Greensboro win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Citadel win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NC GreensboroUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
East Tennessee St
#61
L
75-87
75
87
-12
H21/02
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
W
85-80
85
80
+5
A27/02
NCAA
Samford
#149
L
78-87
78
87
-9
A28/02
NCAA
VMI
#364
W
84-70
84
70
+14
H07/03
NCAA
Wofford
#126
W
75-72
75
72
+3
A07/03
NCAA
Furman
#93
L
75-81
75
81
-6
A08/03
NCAA
Milligan
#497
W
96-43
96
43
+53
H04/11
NCAA
Elon
#232
L
65-74
65
74
-9
A07/11
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#111
L
72-82
72
82
-10
A10/11
NCAA
Lees-McRae
#349
W
91-84
91
84
+7
H12/11
NCAA
1H
2H
36-39
39-48
38-37
47-43
41-50
37-37
39-27
45-43
36-32
39-40
38-27
37-54
47-21
49-22
22-39
43-35
32-33
40-49
46-48
45-36
155.6Avg total
79.6Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)81.070.8151.8+10.250%
Season at home (2)93.563.5157.0+30.0100%
Season away (2)68.578.0146.5-9.50%
Last 10 (10)79.676.0155.6+3.650%
Last 5 (5)79.872.8152.6+7.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)75.185.5160.6-10.420%
vs Similar (11)77.879.0156.8-1.255%
vs Weaker (6)89.870.7160.5+19.283%
This opponent (Citadel) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CitadelUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Samford
#149
L
75-78
75
78
-3
H20/02
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
L
72-93
72
93
-21
H21/02
NCAA
Furman
#93
L
51-72
51
72
-21
A25/02
NCAA
Wofford
#126
W
93-90 OT
93
90
+3
A28/02
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
W
88-85
88
85
+3
A06/03
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
L
76-83
76
83
-7
A07/03
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#117
L
52-77
52
77
-25
A03/11
NCAA
Erskine
#421
W
100-57
100
57
+43
H07/11
NCAA
Virginia-Lynchburg
#498
W
131-50
131
50
+81
H11/11
NCAA
North Florida
#331
W
77-74
77
74
+3
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
34-31
41-47
29-50
43-43
31-33
20-39
39-39
44-44
49-49
39-36
32-36
44-47
27-36
25-41
44-28
56-29
66-20
65-30
29-35
48-39
157.4Avg total
81.5Scored
75.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)90.064.5154.5+25.575%
Season at home (2)115.553.5169.0+62.0100%
Season away (2)64.575.5140.0-11.050%
Last 10 (10)81.575.9157.4+5.650%
Last 5 (5)87.268.2155.4+19.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)68.781.8150.5-13.126%
vs Similar (6)70.561.8132.3+8.767%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)91.666.2157.8+25.480%
This opponent (NC Greensboro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +2.2+2.21st half: +2.3+2.32nd half2nd half: +1.4+1.42nd half: +3.0+3.0
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +2.2+2.21st half: +2.3+2.32nd half2nd half: +1.4+1.42nd half: +3.0+3.0
NC GreensboroCitadel
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
NC GreensboroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
East Tennessee St
#61
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H21/02
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A27/02
NCAA
Samford
#149
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A28/02
NCAA
VMI
#364
W
39-27
39
27
+12
H07/03
NCAA
Wofford
#126
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A07/03
NCAA
Furman
#93
W
38-27
38
27
+11
A08/03
NCAA
Milligan
#497
W
47-21
47
21
+26
H04/11
NCAA
Elon
#232
L
22-39
22
39
-17
A07/11
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#111
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A10/11
NCAA
Lees-McRae
#349
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H12/11
NCAA
72.8Avg total
37.5Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.236.173.3+1.150%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.134.473.5+4.753%-
Last 30 away (15)35.337.773.0-2.547%-
Last 10 (10)37.535.372.8+2.250%-
Last 5 (5)37.033.670.6+3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)35.938.374.2-2.430%-
vs Similar (11)34.237.271.4-3.045%-
vs Weaker (6)41.530.772.2+10.883%-
This opponent (Citadel) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CitadelLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Samford
#149
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H20/02
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
L
29-50
29
50
-21
H21/02
NCAA
Furman
#93
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A25/02
NCAA
Wofford
#126
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A28/02
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
D
49-49
49
49
+0
A06/03
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A07/03
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#117
L
27-36
27
36
-9
A03/11
NCAA
Erskine
#421
W
44-28
44
28
+16
H07/11
NCAA
Virginia-Lynchburg
#498
W
66-20
66
20
+46
H11/11
NCAA
North Florida
#331
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A14/11
NCAA
73.7Avg total
38.0Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.535.970.3-1.440%-
Last 30 at home (12)36.433.770.1+2.858%-
Last 30 away (18)33.237.370.5-4.228%-
Last 10 (10)38.035.773.7+2.330%-
Last 5 (5)39.631.070.6+8.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)31.939.871.8-7.921%-
vs Similar (6)34.526.761.2+7.883%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)44.031.875.8+12.260%-
This opponent (NC Greensboro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
NC Greensboro wins
2
Citadel wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HLees-McRae91-84
10/11/26AIllinois (Chi.)72-82
07/11/26AElon65-74
04/11/26HMilligan96-43
08/03/26AFurman75-81
07/03/26AWofford75-72
07/03/26HVMI84-70
28/02/26ASamford78-87
27/02/26AChattanooga Mocs85-80
21/02/26HEast Tennessee St75-87
Citadellast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ANorth Florida77-74
11/11/26HVirginia-Lynchburg131-50
07/11/26HErskine100-57
03/11/26ALoyola Chicago52-77
07/03/26AEast Tennessee St76-83
06/03/26AChattanooga Mocs88-85
28/02/26AWofford93-90 OT
25/02/26AFurman51-72
21/02/26HChattanooga Mocs72-93
20/02/26HSamford75-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

NC Greensboro
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLW50%
HomeWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game81.093.568.5
Allowed / game70.863.578.0
Point differential+10.2+30.0-9.5
Avg total151.8157.0146.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Citadel
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWW75%
HomeWW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game90.0115.564.5
Allowed / game64.553.575.5
Point differential+25.5+62.0-11.0
Avg total154.5169.0140.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Furman54180%88.068.8+19.2
2 Citadel43175%90.064.5+25.5
3 VMI53260%77.870.4+7.4
4 Western Carolina42250%89.874.5+15.2
5 NC Greensboro42250%81.070.8+10.2
6 Chattanooga Mocs42250%84.279.5+4.8
7 Wofford52340%82.482.0+0.4
8 Mercer52340%78.280.6-2.4
9 Samford31233%77.378.7-1.3
10 East Tennessee St31233%65.368.3-3.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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