On 2 November 2026 the NCAA contest pits NC State against Campbell, with the model favouring the Wolfpack and predicting a 70% chance of victory for the home side. NC State's recent form is uneven, having won only one of its last five games, with a loss to Texas 66-68 at home on 17 March 2026, a defeat to Virginia 74-81 away on 12 March 2026, and a win over Pittsburgh 98-88 at home on 11 March 2026. Campbell, meanwhile, has won three of its last five outings, dropping to Monmouth 64-74 away on 9 March 2026 but securing victories over NC Wilmington 85-70 and Stony Brook 96-89, both away, on 8 March and 7 March respectively. Historically, NC State has dominated the rivalry, winning both of the two meetings recorded, the last being a 73-67 triumph on 11 November 2022. The Pythia model projects a final score of 80-74 in favour of NC State, with 154.7 projected total points. The home line is set at -23.5, with only a 7% probability that NC State will cover, while the over/under line of 159.5 carries a 38% chance of going over; the game has a 5% likelihood of requiring overtime.
Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
NC State winWon
70.2%fair 1.42
Best odds1.02
Implied93.8%
Edge-23.6pp
Campbell winLost
29.8%fair 3.36
Best odds25.00
Implied6.2%
Edge+23.6pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 01 Nov 07:04 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.
This opponent (NC State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 154.5Actual: Under 154.5
Over 154.5
49.7%
@ 1.53-10.9pp
Under 154.5
50.3%
@ 2.40+10.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.53
Bet365
1.52
Under
Bet365
2.40
Betano
2.30
Over/Under 159.5 · main lineActual: Under 159.5
Over 159.5
37.9%
@ 1.98-10.7pp
Under 159.5
62.1%
@ 1.87+10.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.98
Bet365
1.95
Marathon Be
1.91
WilliamHill
1.91
SBO
1.87
Under
SBO
1.87
1xBet
1.83
Betano
1.80
WilliamHill
1.80
BetVictor
1.80
Over/Under 164.5Actual: Under 164.5
Over 164.5
27.1%
@ 2.70-8.0pp
Under 164.5
72.9%
@ 1.44+8.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.70
Betano
2.57
Under
Betano
1.44
Bet365
1.41
📊 3. Team Totals
NC State total 86.5Actual: NC State under 86.5
Over 86.5
27.1%
@ 1.37-39.7pp
Under 86.5
72.9%
@ 2.85+39.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.37
Bet365
1.37
Under
Bet365
2.85
Betano
2.65
NC State total 90.5 · main lineActual: NC State under 90.5
Over 90.5
15.7%
@ 1.85-35.7pp
Under 90.5
84.3%
@ 1.93+35.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.85
WilliamHill
1.80
Betano
1.78
Under
Betano
1.93
WilliamHill
1.91
BetVictor
1.85
NC State total 94.5Actual: NC State under 94.5
Over 94.5
no forecast
@ 2.40
Under 94.5
no forecast
@ 1.52
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.40
Bet365
2.40
Under
Bet365
1.52
Betano
1.45
Campbell total 64.5Actual: Campbell under 64.5
Over 64.5
82.9%
@ 1.47+20.4pp
Under 64.5
17.1%
@ 2.55-20.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.47
Under
Bet365
2.55
Betano
2.35
Campbell total 68.5 · main lineActual: Campbell under 68.5
Over 68.5
71.1%
@ 2.02+22.3pp
Under 68.5
28.9%
@ 1.85-22.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.02
WilliamHill
1.91
Bet365
1.86
BetVictor
1.85
Under
BetVictor
1.85
WilliamHill
1.80
Bet365
1.80
Betano
1.70
Campbell total 72.5Actual: Campbell under 72.5
Over 72.5
56.5%
@ 3.15+25.9pp
Under 72.5
43.5%
@ 1.33-25.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.15
Betano
2.85
Under
Betano
1.33
Bet365
1.32
⚖️ 4. Spread
Spread NC State -26.5Actual: Campbell +26.5
NC S -26.5
no forecast
@ 2.25
CAMP +26.5
no forecast
@ 1.58
Best 5 market prices
NC S
Betano
2.25
Bet365
2.22
CAMP
Bet365
1.58
Betano
1.57
Spread NC State -23.5 · main lineActual: Campbell +23.5
NC S -23.5
6.7%
@ 1.90-43.3pp
CAMP +23.5
93.3%
@ 1.90+43.3pp
Best 5 market prices
NC S
Bet365
1.90
Betano
1.88
1xBet
1.85
Marathon Be
1.82
BetVictor
1.80
CAMP
Bet365
1.90
Betano
1.88
1xBet
1.85
BetVictor
1.80
Spread NC State -20.5Actual: Campbell +20.5
NC S -20.5
10.4%
@ 1.57-48.7pp
CAMP +20.5
89.6%
@ 2.30+48.7pp
Best 5 market prices
NC S
Betano
1.57
Bet365
1.55
CAMP
Bet365
2.30
Betano
2.22
⏱️ 5. Halves
Half by half
NC StateCampbell
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
This opponent (NC State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
2nd half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
2nd half winnerActual: Campbell win
NC S win
no forecast
@ 1.12
CAMP win
no forecast
@ 6.50
2nd half Spread NC State -10.5 · main lineActual: Campbell +10.5
NC S -10.5
no forecast
@ 1.85
CAMP +10.5
no forecast
@ 1.90
2nd half Over/Under 79.5 · main lineActual: Over 79.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.91
Under
no forecast
@ 1.83
2nd half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: NC State (regulation)
NC S
no forecast
@ 1.13
Draw
no forecast
@ 27.00
CAMP
no forecast
@ 6.30
⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro
Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Campbell +16
81.8%
3.65
Bet365
3.65
-
-
-
-
+56.3pp
Lost
Campbell +17
84.0%
3.20
Bet365
3.20
-
-
-
-
+55.0pp
Lost
Campbell +15.5
80.0%
3.70
Bet365
3.70
-
-
-
-
+54.7pp
Lost
Campbell +13.5
74.7%
4.50
Bet365
4.50
-
-
-
-
+54.3pp
Lost
Campbell +18
86.0%
2.85
Bet365
2.85
-
-
-
-
+53.5pp
Lost
Campbell +16.5
82.3%
3.15
Bet365
3.30
Betano
3.00
-
-
-
+52.8pp
Lost
Campbell +19
87.8%
2.65
Bet365
2.65
-
-
-
-
+52.8pp
Push
Campbell +17.5
84.4%
2.90
Bet365
3.00
Betano
2.80
-
-
-
+52.3pp
Lost
Campbell +18.5
86.3%
2.65
Bet365
2.72
Betano
2.57
-
-
-
+51.3pp
Lost
Campbell +20
89.4%
2.40
Bet365
2.40
-
-
-
-
+50.6pp
Won
Campbell +19.5
88.0%
2.47
Bet365
2.55
Betano
2.40
-
-
-
+50.5pp
Won
Campbell +21
90.8%
2.22
Bet365
2.22
-
-
-
-
+49.2pp
Won
Campbell +20.5
89.6%
2.26
Bet365
2.30
Betano
2.22
-
-
-
+48.7pp
Won
Campbell +22
92.1%
2.05
Bet365
2.05
-
-
-
-
+47.0pp
Won
Campbell +21.5
90.9%
2.10
Bet365
2.12
Betano
2.10
1xBet
2.07
-
-
+46.9pp
Won
Campbell +23
93.2%
1.95
Bet365
1.95
-
-
-
-
+46.0pp
Won
Campbell +22.5
92.2%
2.00
Betano
2.02
Bet365
2.00
1xBet
2.00
SBO
1.96
-
+45.6pp
Won
Campbell +24
94.1%
1.85
Pinnacle
1.91
SBO
1.87
Marathon Bet
1.83
Bet365
1.80
-
+44.1pp
Won
Campbell +23.5
93.3%
1.86
Bet365
1.90
Betano
1.88
1xBet
1.85
BetVictor
1.80
-
+43.3pp
Won
Campbell +24.5
94.2%
1.76
Betano
1.78
Marathon Bet
1.78
1xBet
1.75
Bet365
1.74
-
+41.4pp
Won
Campbell +25
95.0%
1.71
Marathon Bet
1.72
Bet365
1.71
-
-
-
+41.1pp
Won
NC State under 86.5
72.9%
2.75
Bet365
2.85
Betano
2.65
-
-
-
+39.7pp
Won
NC State under 88.5
79.1%
2.30
Bet365
2.40
Betano
2.20
-
-
-
+39.2pp
Won
NC State under 87.5
76.1%
2.42
Betano
2.42
-
-
-
-
+38.6pp
Won
NC State under 92
88.3%
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
-
-
-
-
+38.3pp
Won
NC State under 89.5
81.8%
2.05
Betano
2.05
-
-
-
-
+37.6pp
Won
NC State under 91
86.2%
1.86
Marathon Bet
1.87
BetVictor
1.85
-
-
-
+36.5pp
Won
NC State under 90.5
84.3%
1.90
Betano
1.93
WilliamHill
1.91
BetVictor
1.85
-
-
+35.7pp
Won
NC State under 91.5
86.5%
1.81
BetVictor
1.85
Betano
1.80
WilliamHill
1.80
Bet365
1.80
1xBet
1.80
+35.2pp
Won
Campbell over 67
76.7%
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
-
-
-
-
+26.7pp
Lost
Campbell over 66.5
77.5%
1.77
WilliamHill
1.80
1xBet
1.80
Betano
1.72
-
-
+26.0pp
Lost
Campbell over 67.5
74.4%
1.84
Marathon Bet
1.87
Betano
1.85
WilliamHill
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Bet365
1.83
+24.4pp
Lost
Campbell over 68
73.5%
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
-
-
-
-
+23.5pp
Lost
Campbell over 68.5
71.1%
1.91
Betano
2.02
WilliamHill
1.91
Bet365
1.86
BetVictor
1.85
-
+22.3pp
Lost
Campbell over 65.5
80.3%
1.54
Betano
1.57
Bet365
1.52
-
-
-
+21.0pp
Lost
Campbell over 64.5
82.9%
1.47
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.47
-
-
-
+20.4pp
Lost
Campbell over 63.5
85.3%
1.37
Betano
1.40
Bet365
1.34
-
-
-
+18.3pp
Won
Campbell over 62.5
87.5%
1.33
Betano
1.33
Bet365
1.32
-
-
-
+18.3pp
Won
Campbell over 61.5
89.4%
1.27
Betano
1.31
Bet365
1.22
-
-
-
+16.3pp
Won
Campbell over 60.5
91.1%
1.20
Bet365
1.20
-
-
-
-
+13.3pp
Won
Campbell over 59.5
92.6%
1.14
Bet365
1.14
-
-
-
-
+11.1pp
Won
Campbell over 58.5
93.9%
1.12
Bet365
1.12
-
-
-
-
+10.8pp
Won
Under 167.5
78.4%
1.35
Betano
1.37
Bet365
1.32
-
-
-
+9.3pp
Won
Campbell over 56.5
95.9%
1.07
Bet365
1.07
-
-
-
-
+8.8pp
Won
Under 167
78.0%
1.34
Bet365
1.34
-
-
-
-
+8.6pp
Won
Campbell over 57.5
95.0%
1.08
Bet365
1.08
-
-
-
-
+8.3pp
Won
Under 164
72.3%
1.45
Bet365
1.45
-
-
-
-
+8.1pp
Won
Under 165
74.3%
1.40
Bet365
1.40
-
-
-
-
+8.0pp
Won
Under 166.5
76.7%
1.35
Betano
1.39
Bet365
1.32
-
-
-
+8.0pp
Won
Under 164.5
72.9%
1.42
Betano
1.44
Bet365
1.41
-
-
-
+8.0pp
Won
Under 163.5
70.9%
1.47
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.47
-
-
-
+7.9pp
Won
Under 163
70.2%
1.50
Bet365
1.50
-
-
-
-
+7.7pp
Won
Campbell over 55.5
96.7%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
+7.7pp
Won
Under 165.5
74.8%
1.38
Betano
1.38
Bet365
1.37
-
-
-
+7.7pp
Won
Under 166
76.2%
1.34
Bet365
1.34
-
-
-
-
+6.7pp
Won
Under 169.5
81.7%
1.23
Bet365
1.23
-
-
-
-
+6.4pp
Won
Under 168.5
80.1%
1.25
Bet365
1.25
-
-
-
-
+5.4pp
Won
Under 174.5
88.4%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
+4.6pp
Won
Under 173.5
87.2%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
+3.4pp
Won
Over 133.5
90.0%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-2.8pp
Won
Over 134.5
88.9%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-3.3pp
Won
Over 138.5
83.5%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-6.1pp
Won
Over 139.5
81.9%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-7.4pp
Won
Campbell under 84.5
83.6%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-10.1pp
Won
Campbell under 83.5
81.2%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-10.3pp
Won
Over 143.5
74.7%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
-10.3pp
Won
Over 144.5
72.7%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
-12.3pp
Won
Campbell under 82.5
78.6%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-12.5pp
Won
NC State over 71.5
80.8%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-12.9pp
Won
Campbell under 81.5
75.8%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-13.9pp
Won
NC State over 72.5
78.0%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-14.2pp
Won
Campbell under 80.5
72.7%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-16.6pp
Won
NC State over 74.5
71.8%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-19.0pp
Won
NC State win
70.2%
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
-
-23.6pp
Won
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Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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