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NC State vs Elon Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 28 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Scheduled
Position#46
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game62.2
vs
Position#231
Record2-2
FormLWWLL
Points / game69.5
Allowed / game70.5
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · NC State v Elon
28 Nov 2026
NC S v ELON
upcoming
19 Nov 2022
NC S74
ELON63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

NC State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Elon win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NC StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Notre Dame
#269
L
90-96 OT
90
96
-6
A28/02
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
64-93
64
93
-29
H03/03
NCAA
Stanford
#103
L
84-85
84
85
-1
H07/03
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
W
98-88
98
88
+10
H11/03
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
74-81
74
81
-7
A12/03
NCAA
Texas
#135
L
66-68
66
68
-2
H18/03
NCAA
Campbell
#316
W
83-64
83
64
+19
H03/11
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#283
W
77-63
77
63
+14
H07/11
NCAA
Presbyterian
#379
W
94-60
94
60
+34
H11/11
NCAA
Troy
#325
W
81-62
81
62
+19
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
44-38
37-43
30-47
34-46
34-37
50-48
51-50
47-38
32-33
42-48
29-30
37-38
41-19
42-45
35-36
42-27
46-19
48-41
36-27
45-35
157.1Avg total
81.1Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)83.862.2146.0+21.5100%
Season at home (4)83.862.2146.0+21.5100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)81.176.0157.1+5.150%
Last 5 (5)80.263.4143.6+16.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)70.5105.5176.0-35.00%
vs Similar (12)75.974.1150.0+1.842%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)86.470.2156.6+16.288%
This opponent (Elon) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ElonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
William & Mary
#100
W
81-78
81
78
+3
A14/02
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#299
L
82-102
82
102
-20
H22/02
NCAA
Towson
#157
L
56-58
56
58
-2
A27/02
NCAA
Monmouth
#159
L
57-73
57
73
-16
A28/02
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#17
L
57-76
57
76
-19
H04/03
NCAA
William & Mary
#100
L
62-72
62
72
-10
A08/03
NCAA
Columbia
#95
W
84-71
84
71
+13
A03/11
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#199
W
74-65
74
65
+9
H07/11
NCAA
George Washington
#23
L
50-69
50
69
-19
A11/11
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#212
L
70-77
70
77
-7
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
43-36
38-42
41-53
41-49
22-26
34-32
28-34
29-39
24-35
33-41
31-35
31-37
40-28
44-43
39-22
35-43
22-23
28-46
32-41
38-36
141.4Avg total
67.3Scored
74.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)69.570.5140.0-1.050%
Season at home (2)72.071.0143.0+1.050%
Season away (2)67.070.0137.0-3.050%
Last 10 (10)67.374.1141.4-6.830%
Last 5 (5)68.070.8138.8-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)72.776.8149.5-4.242%
vs Similar (14)72.075.8147.8-3.829%
vs Weaker (3)88.785.0173.7+3.767%
This opponent (NC State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +4.2+4.21st half: -1.1-1.12nd half2nd half: +1.5+1.52nd half: -5.7-5.7
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +4.2+4.21st half: -1.1-1.12nd half2nd half: +1.5+1.52nd half: -5.7-5.7
NC StateElon
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
NC StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Notre Dame
#269
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A28/02
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
30-47
30
47
-17
H03/03
NCAA
Stanford
#103
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H07/03
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
W
51-50
51
50
+1
H11/03
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A12/03
NCAA
Texas
#135
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H18/03
NCAA
Campbell
#316
W
41-19
41
19
+22
H03/11
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#283
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H07/11
NCAA
Presbyterian
#379
W
46-19
46
19
+27
H11/11
NCAA
Troy
#325
W
36-27
36
27
+9
H14/11
NCAA
71.4Avg total
37.8Scored
33.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.133.171.1+5.067%-
Last 30 at home (20)38.031.669.5+6.470%-
Last 30 away (10)38.236.174.3+2.160%-
Last 10 (10)37.833.671.4+4.250%-
Last 5 (5)37.426.263.6+11.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)33.051.584.5-18.50%-
vs Similar (12)33.431.965.3+1.542%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)42.231.673.8+10.694%-
This opponent (Elon) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ElonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
William & Mary
#100
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A14/02
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#299
L
41-53
41
53
-12
H22/02
NCAA
Towson
#157
L
22-26
22
26
-4
A27/02
NCAA
Monmouth
#159
L
28-34
28
34
-6
A28/02
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#17
L
24-35
24
35
-11
H04/03
NCAA
William & Mary
#100
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A08/03
NCAA
Columbia
#95
W
40-28
40
28
+12
A03/11
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#199
W
39-22
39
22
+17
H07/11
NCAA
George Washington
#23
L
22-23
22
23
-1
A11/11
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#212
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H14/11
NCAA
65.5Avg total
32.2Scored
33.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.036.472.5-0.433%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.740.978.6-3.225%-
Last 30 away (14)34.131.465.5+2.843%-
Last 10 (10)32.233.365.5-1.130%-
Last 5 (5)32.829.862.6+3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)35.434.870.2+0.642%-
vs Similar (14)34.136.470.5-2.221%-
vs Weaker (3)42.044.086.0-2.033%-
This opponent (NC State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
NC State wins
0
Elon wins
DateGameScore
19/11/22NC State v Elon74-63
NC Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HTroy81-62
11/11/26HPresbyterian94-60
07/11/26HEast Tennessee St77-63
03/11/26HCampbell83-64
18/03/26HTexas66-68
12/03/26AVirginia74-81
11/03/26HPittsburgh98-88
07/03/26HStanford84-85
03/03/26HDuke64-93
28/02/26ANotre Dame90-96 OT
Elonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HChattanooga Mocs70-77
11/11/26AGeorge Washington50-69
07/11/26HNC Greensboro74-65
03/11/26AColumbia84-71
08/03/26AWilliam & Mary62-72
04/03/26HNC Wilmington57-76
28/02/26AMonmouth57-73
27/02/26ATowson56-58
22/02/26HN. Carolina A&T82-102
14/02/26AWilliam & Mary81-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

NC State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games44-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game83.883.8-
Allowed / game62.262.2-
Point differential+21.5+21.5-
Avg total146.0146.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Elon
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLL50%
HomeWL50%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game69.572.067.0
Allowed / game70.571.070.0
Point differential-1.0+1.0-3.0
Avg total140.0143.0137.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Louisville220100%95.563.5+32.0
2 SMU Mustangs440100%92.067.5+24.5
3 Boston College330100%76.353.0+23.3
4 Notre Dame440100%87.564.2+23.2
5 Virginia550100%91.869.6+22.2
6 Virginia Tech440100%89.867.8+22.0
7 NC State440100%83.862.2+21.5
8 Pittsburgh440100%83.264.5+18.8
9 Georgia Tech440100%82.570.8+11.8
10 California54180%85.874.8+11.0
11 Duke43175%90.057.0+33.0
12 Miami (FL)43175%83.259.2+24.0
13 Wake Forest43175%76.262.8+13.5
14 North Carolina43175%83.870.8+13.0
15 Stanford43175%78.569.2+9.2
16 Clemson43175%84.276.8+7.5
17 Syracuse32167%85.363.3+22.0
18 Florida State42250%79.080.2-1.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Coastal Athletic Association conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Charleston330100%104.767.3+37.3
2 NC Wilmington440100%92.563.5+29.0
3 William & Mary32167%91.378.0+13.3
4 Towson53260%70.260.8+9.4
5 N. Carolina A&T42250%83.270.2+13.0
6 Hofstra42250%70.063.8+6.2
7 Elon42250%69.570.5-1.0
8 Northeastern42250%78.883.2-4.5
9 Drexel42250%66.873.2-6.5
10 Stony Brook31233%73.764.7+9.0
11 Hampton41325%59.866.0-6.2
12 Campbell41325%70.278.8-8.5
13 Monmouth41325%61.079.2-18.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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