PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

NC State vs Presbyterian Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Projected 87-68
Projected total 155.1
Final 94-60
46-19 48-41
Position#51
Record2-0
FormWLLWW
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game63.5
NC State 🏆
USA
Vs
95%
■ NC S 95%■ PRES 5%
Pythia win probability
Presbyterian
USA
Position#374
Record0-2
FormLWLLL
Points / game77.5
Allowed / game89.0
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · NC State v Presbyterian
10 Nov 2026
NC S94
PRES60
08 Nov 2024
NC S81
PRES72
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

NC State faces Presbyterian on 10 November 2026 in the NCAA, with the model rating NC State as the clear favourite at 95% to win, reflecting their undefeated 2-0 record and an average of 80.0 points scored against 63.5 allowed per game. Presbyterian, 0-2 this season, averages 77.5 points but concedes 89.0, and their road record is 0-1 with 77.0 points scored and 91.0 allowed. NC State's last five games include three wins and two losses, highlighted by a 77-63 victory over East Tennessee St and an 83-64 win over Campbell, while Presbyterian's last five feature one win and four losses, with defeats to Georgia, St. Thomas (Minn.) and Winthrop. The teams have met once, with NC State winning 81-72 in 2024. Pythia projects a 87-68 score, a total of 155.1, and assigns a 50% chance that NC State will cover the home line of -19.0 while giving Presbyterian a 74% probability of the over on the 144.5 total; the game has a 1% chance of overtime. The projected outcome underscores NC State's dominance in points and defensive efficiency.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

NC State winWon
94.9%fair 1.05
Best odds1.02
Implied93.6%
Edge+1.2pp
Presbyterian winLost
5.1%fair 19.45
Best odds15.00
Implied6.4%
Edge-1.2pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 09 Nov 07:05 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NC StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Carolina
#45
W
82-58
82
58
+24
H18/02
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
61-90
61
90
-29
A25/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#269
L
90-96 OT
90
96
-6
A28/02
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
64-93
64
93
-29
H03/03
NCAA
Stanford
#103
L
84-85
84
85
-1
H07/03
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
W
98-88
98
88
+10
H11/03
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
74-81
74
81
-7
A12/03
NCAA
Texas
#135
L
66-68
66
68
-2
H18/03
NCAA
Campbell
#366
W
83-64
83
64
+19
H03/11
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#280
W
77-63
77
63
+14
H07/11
NCAA
1H
2H
42-26
40-32
19-32
42-58
44-38
37-43
30-47
34-46
34-37
50-48
51-50
47-38
32-33
42-48
29-30
37-38
41-19
42-45
35-36
42-27
156.5Avg total
77.9Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)80.063.5143.5+16.5100%
Season at home (2)80.063.5143.5+16.5100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)77.978.6156.5-0.740%
Last 5 (5)79.672.8152.4+6.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)70.5105.5176.0-35.00%
vs Similar (14)77.276.7153.9+0.536%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)86.371.5157.8+14.886%
This opponent (Presbyterian) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PresbyterianUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charleston Southern
#229
L
67-84
67
84
-17
A13/02
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#237
W
58-57
58
57
+1
A14/02
NCAA
Longwood
#202
W
72-65
72
65
+7
H20/02
NCAA
USC Upstate
#274
L
74-76
74
76
-2
A21/02
NCAA
High Point
#10
L
73-79
73
79
-6
H27/02
NCAA
Winthrop
#62
L
70-74
70
74
-4
A28/02
NCAA
Radford
#176
W
91-85 OT
91
85
+6
A07/03
NCAA
Winthrop
#62
L
71-73
71
73
-2
A07/03
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#211
L
78-87
78
87
-9
H03/11
NCAA
Georgia
#83
L
77-91
77
91
-14
A07/11
NCAA
1H
2H
37-40
30-44
27-30
31-27
25-37
47-28
34-47
40-29
35-45
38-34
32-39
38-35
28-36
49-41
25-32
46-41
36-38
42-49
36-46
41-45
150.2Avg total
73.1Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)77.589.0166.5-11.50%
Season at home (1)78.087.0165.0-9.00%
Season away (1)77.091.0168.0-14.00%
Last 10 (10)73.177.1150.2-4.030%
Last 5 (5)77.482.0159.4-4.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)72.380.6152.9-8.319%
vs Similar (9)67.770.6138.2-2.944%
vs Weaker (4)76.560.2136.8+16.275%
This opponent (NC State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 139.5Actual: Over 139.5
Over 139.5
83.3%
Under 139.5
16.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 144.5 · main lineActual: Over 144.5
Over 144.5
74.4%
@ 1.87+23.6pp
Under 144.5
25.6%
@ 1.91-23.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.87
1xBet
1.82
WilliamHill
1.80
Under
WilliamHill
1.91
1xBet
1.88
Marathon Be
1.87
Over/Under 149.5Actual: Over 149.5
Over 149.5
63.5%
Under 149.5
36.5%
@ 1.65
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
Marathon Be
1.65

📊 3. Team Totals

NC State total 79Actual: NC State over 79
Over 79
80.3%
Under 79
19.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NC State total 83 · main lineActual: NC State over 83
Over 83
66.8%
@ 1.85+16.8pp
Under 83
33.2%
@ 1.85-16.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.85
Under
Marathon Be
1.85
NC State total 87Actual: NC State over 87
Over 87
50.5%
Under 87
49.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Presbyterian total 58.5Actual: Presbyterian over 58.5
Over 58.5
82.8%
Under 58.5
17.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Presbyterian total 62.5 · main lineActual: Presbyterian under 62.5
Over 62.5
70.7%
@ 1.84+20.3pp
Under 62.5
29.3%
@ 1.87-20.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.84
Marathon Be
1.83
Under
Marathon Be
1.87
1xBet
1.86
Presbyterian total 66.5Actual: Presbyterian under 66.5
Over 66.5
55.6%
Under 66.5
44.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread NC State -22Actual: NC State -22
NC S -22
39.4%
PRES +22
60.6%
Best 5 market prices
NC S
No market prices yet.
PRES
No market prices yet.
Spread NC State -19 · main lineActual: NC State -19
NC S -19
50.3%
@ 1.86+0.4pp
PRES +19
49.7%
@ 1.85-0.4pp
Best 5 market prices
NC S
Marathon Be
1.86
PRES
Marathon Be
1.85
Spread NC State -16Actual: NC State -16
NC S -16
61.2%
PRES +16
38.8%
Best 5 market prices
NC S
No market prices yet.
PRES
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +0.9+0.91st half: -7.5-7.52nd half2nd half: -1.0-1.02nd half: +2.9+2.9
-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +0.9+0.91st half: -7.5-7.52nd half2nd half: -1.0-1.02nd half: +2.9+2.9
NC StatePresbyterian
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
NC StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Carolina
#45
W
42-26
42
26
+16
H18/02
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
19-32
19
32
-13
A25/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#269
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A28/02
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
30-47
30
47
-17
H03/03
NCAA
Stanford
#103
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H07/03
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
W
51-50
51
50
+1
H11/03
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A12/03
NCAA
Texas
#135
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H18/03
NCAA
Campbell
#366
W
41-19
41
19
+22
H03/11
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#280
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H07/11
NCAA
70.5Avg total
35.7Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 69
Last 30 (30)37.734.572.2+3.360%57%
Last 30 at home (18)37.732.570.2+5.267%44%
Last 30 away (12)37.837.475.2+0.450%75%
Last 10 (10)35.734.870.5+0.940%50%
Last 5 (5)37.633.671.2+4.040%40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)33.051.584.5-18.50%100%
vs Similar (14)33.833.667.4+0.136%43%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)42.432.975.2+9.593%64%
This opponent (Presbyterian) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PresbyterianLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charleston Southern
#229
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A13/02
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#237
L
27-30
27
30
-3
A14/02
NCAA
Longwood
#202
L
25-37
25
37
-12
H20/02
NCAA
USC Upstate
#274
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A21/02
NCAA
High Point
#10
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H27/02
NCAA
Winthrop
#62
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A28/02
NCAA
Radford
#176
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A07/03
NCAA
Winthrop
#62
L
25-32
25
32
-7
A07/03
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#211
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H03/11
NCAA
Georgia
#83
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A07/11
NCAA
70.5Avg total
31.5Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 69
Last 30 (30)32.735.668.3-2.827%43%
Last 30 at home (13)34.634.268.8+0.446%46%
Last 30 away (17)31.336.667.9-5.312%41%
Last 10 (10)31.539.070.5-7.50%60%
Last 5 (5)31.438.269.6-6.80%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)32.037.669.6-5.612%44%
vs Similar (9)31.335.466.8-4.133%44%
vs Weaker (4)34.230.564.8+3.850%25%
This opponent (NC State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half Spread NC State -9.5 · main lineActual: NC State -9.5
NC S -9.5
no forecast
@ 1.85
PRES +9.5
no forecast
@ 1.85
1st half Over/Under 69 · main lineActual: Under 69
Over
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under
no forecast
@ 1.85
NC State 1st half total 39.5 · main lineActual: NC State over 39.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under
no forecast
@ 1.85
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: NC State (regulation)
NC S
no forecast
@ 1.12
Draw
no forecast
@ 21.00
PRES
no forecast
@ 6.20

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Double chance (regulation)
🔒 Pro
🔒 1 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 14475.9%1.82
Marathon Bet
1.82		----+25.0ppWon
Over 143.576.4%1.76
Marathon Bet
1.77
1xBet
1.75		---+23.9ppWon
Over 142.578.2%1.69
1xBet
1.70
Marathon Bet
1.68		---+23.8ppWon
Over 144.574.4%1.83
Marathon Bet
1.87
1xBet
1.82
WilliamHill
1.80		--+23.6ppWon
Over 146.570.2%1.92
WilliamHill
2.00
1xBet
1.96
Marathon Bet
1.81		--+23.1ppWon
Over 145.572.4%1.80
WilliamHill
1.85
1xBet
1.83
Marathon Bet
1.71		--+22.4ppWon
Over 14671.8%1.76
Marathon Bet
1.76		----+22.3ppWon
Over 14573.9%1.67
Marathon Bet
1.67		----+21.7ppWon
NC State over 81.571.6%1.83
Marathon Bet
1.83		----+21.1ppWon
Presbyterian over 62.570.7%1.83
1xBet
1.84
Marathon Bet
1.83		---+20.3ppLost
NC State over 8270.6%1.83
Marathon Bet
1.83		----+20.0ppWon
NC State (regulation)94.0%1.03
1xBet
1.04
Marathon Bet
1.02		---+5.1ppWon
NC State win94.9%1.02
Marathon Bet
1.02
1xBet
1.02
WilliamHill
1.02		--+1.2ppWon
Over 14279.7%1.63
Marathon Bet
1.63		-----Won
Over 14377.8%1.72
Marathon Bet
1.72		-----Won
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
NC State wins
0
Presbyterian wins
DateGameScore
09/11/24NC State v Presbyterian81-72
NC Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26HEast Tennessee St77-63
03/11/26HCampbell83-64
18/03/26HTexas66-68
12/03/26AVirginia74-81
11/03/26HPittsburgh98-88
07/03/26HStanford84-85
03/03/26HDuke64-93
28/02/26ANotre Dame90-96 OT
25/02/26AVirginia61-90
18/02/26HNorth Carolina82-58
Presbyterianlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26AGeorgia77-91
03/11/26HSt. Thomas (Minn.)78-87
07/03/26AWinthrop71-73
07/03/26ARadford91-85 OT
28/02/26AWinthrop70-74
27/02/26HHigh Point73-79
21/02/26AUSC Upstate74-76
20/02/26HLongwood72-65
14/02/26AUNC Asheville58-57
13/02/26ACharleston Southern67-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

NC State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game80.080.0-
Allowed / game63.563.5-
Point differential+16.5+16.5-
Avg total143.5143.5-
Over 144.550%50%-
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Presbyterian
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game77.578.077.0
Allowed / game89.087.091.0
Point differential-11.5-9.0-14.0
Avg total166.5165.0168.0
Over 144.5100%100%100%
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke220100%98.551.0+47.5
2 Louisville220100%95.563.5+32.0
3 Virginia Tech220100%92.060.5+31.5
4 Virginia330100%92.368.0+24.3
5 North Carolina220100%94.571.0+23.5
6 Boston College220100%73.552.5+21.0
7 Pittsburgh330100%85.764.7+21.0
8 California330100%95.074.7+20.3
9 SMU Mustangs220100%90.071.0+19.0
10 Notre Dame330100%83.766.0+17.7
11 NC State220100%80.063.5+16.5
12 Georgia Tech220100%85.069.0+16.0
13 Stanford330100%82.067.0+15.0
14 Clemson330100%86.374.0+12.3
15 Syracuse32167%85.363.3+22.0
16 Miami (FL)32167%79.761.7+18.0
17 Wake Forest21150%67.068.0-1.0
18 Florida State31233%77.387.0-9.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big South conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 High Point330100%72.759.0+13.7
2 Longwood32167%92.074.7+17.3
3 Charleston Southern21150%78.573.5+5.0
4 UNC Asheville31233%84.385.7-1.3
5 Winthrop2020%94.098.0-4.0
6 USC Upstate3030%65.375.3-10.0
7 Presbyterian2020%77.589.0-11.5
8 Radford3030%59.776.7-17.0
9 Gardner Webb2020%48.092.0-44.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
NC State464894
Presbyterian194160
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.