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Nebraska vs Butler Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 22 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Projected 86-67
Projected total 153.1
Scheduled
Position#20
Record3-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game89.0
Allowed / game60.7
Vs
95%
■ NEBR 95%■ BUTL 5%
Pythia win probability
Position#200
Record2-2
FormLWWLL
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game75.2
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Nebraska v Butler
22 Nov 2026
NEBR v BUTL
upcoming
20 Mar 2019
NEBR80
BUTL76
Sections
Game preview & prediction
Nebraska host Butler in the NCAA. Pythia makes Nebraska the favourite at 95% and projects 86-67, about 153 points in all. Overtime chance: 1%. Nebraska are 3-0 this season (89.0 scored, 60.7 allowed a game), form WLWWW; Butler are 2-2 this season (85.0 scored, 75.2 allowed a game), form LWWLL.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nebraska win
95.2%fair 1.05
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Butler win
4.8%fair 20.85
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 21:00 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NebraskaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
USC
#153
W
82-67
82
67
+15
A28/02
NCAA
UCLA
#73
L
52-72
52
72
-20
A04/03
NCAA
Iowa
#81
W
84-75 OT
84
75
+9
H08/03
NCAA
Purdue
#31
L
58-74
58
74
-16
H13/03
NCAA
Troy
#84
W
76-47
76
47
+29
H19/03
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
W
74-72
74
72
+2
H22/03
NCAA
Iowa
#81
L
71-77
71
77
-6
H26/03
NCAA
Le Moyne
#217
W
106-64
106
64
+42
H03/11
NCAA
Providence
#112
W
67-58
67
58
+9
H08/11
NCAA
Lindenwood
#250
W
94-60
94
60
+34
H12/11
NCAA
1H
2H
31-36
51-31
24-37
28-35
30-26
40-44
28-41
30-33
41-25
35-22
39-32
35-40
46-43
25-34
58-32
48-32
30-25
37-33
61-32
33-28
143.0Avg total
76.4Scored
66.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)89.060.7149.7+28.3100%
Season at home (3)89.060.7149.7+28.3100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)76.466.6143.0+9.870%
Last 5 (5)82.466.2148.6+16.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)72.075.0147.0-3.00%
vs Similar (10)71.670.9142.5+0.750%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)78.760.6139.3+18.195%
This opponent (Butler) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ButlerUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgetown
#225
W
93-89
93
89
+4
A18/02
NCAA
Xavier
#248
W
80-75
80
75
+5
H21/02
NCAA
Villanova
#46
L
73-82
73
82
-9
A26/02
NCAA
Creighton
#238
L
59-76
59
76
-17
H04/03
NCAA
DePaul
#213
W
81-71
81
71
+10
A07/03
NCAA
Providence
#246
L
81-91
81
91
-10
H11/03
NCAA
Lafayette
#202
W
96-60
96
60
+36
H03/11
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#269
W
99-65
99
65
+34
H05/11
NCAA
Boise State
#1
L
81-100
81
100
-19
A08/11
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#58
L
64-76
64
76
-12
H13/11
NCAA
1H
2H
54-45
39-44
47-28
33-47
28-42
45-40
36-32
23-44
39-32
42-39
42-40
39-51
54-34
42-26
52-29
47-36
31-51
50-49
42-34
22-42
159.2Avg total
80.7Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)85.075.2160.2+9.850%
Season at home (3)86.367.0153.3+19.367%
Season away (1)81.0100.0181.0-19.00%
Last 10 (10)80.778.5159.2+2.250%
Last 5 (5)84.278.4162.6+5.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)69.484.8154.1-15.40%
vs Similar (17)79.177.6156.6+1.553%
vs Weaker (5)87.869.8157.6+18.080%
This opponent (Nebraska) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 146
Over 146
67.2%
Under 146
32.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 151
Over 151
55.0%
Under 151
45.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 156
Over 156
42.4%
Under 156
57.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Nebraska total 80.5
Over 80.5
72.2%
Under 80.5
27.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nebraska total 84.5
Over 84.5
57.3%
Under 84.5
42.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nebraska total 88.5
Over 88.5
41.2%
Under 88.5
58.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Butler total 62
Over 62
68.7%
Under 62
31.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Butler total 66
Over 66
52.8%
Under 66
47.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Butler total 70
Over 70
36.4%
Under 70
63.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Nebraska -3
NEBR -3
93.2%
BUTL +3
6.8%
Best 5 market prices
NEBR
No market prices yet.
BUTL
No market prices yet.
Spread Nebraska 0
NEBR 0
95.2%
BUTL 0
4.8%
Best 5 market prices
NEBR
No market prices yet.
BUTL
No market prices yet.
Spread Nebraska +3
NEBR +3
96.9%
BUTL -3
3.1%
Best 5 market prices
NEBR
No market prices yet.
BUTL
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +5.9+5.91st half: +5.8+5.82nd half2nd half: +3.0+3.02nd half: -3.6-3.6
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +5.9+5.91st half: +5.8+5.82nd half2nd half: +3.0+3.02nd half: -3.6-3.6
NebraskaButler
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
NebraskaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
USC
#153
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A28/02
NCAA
UCLA
#73
L
24-37
24
37
-13
A04/03
NCAA
Iowa
#81
W
30-26
30
26
+4
H08/03
NCAA
Purdue
#31
L
28-41
28
41
-13
H13/03
NCAA
Troy
#84
W
41-25
41
25
+16
H19/03
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H22/03
NCAA
Iowa
#81
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H26/03
NCAA
Le Moyne
#217
W
58-32
58
32
+26
H03/11
NCAA
Providence
#112
W
30-25
30
25
+5
H08/11
NCAA
Lindenwood
#250
W
61-32
61
32
+29
H12/11
NCAA
71.7Avg total
38.8Scored
32.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.632.068.7+4.667%-
Last 30 at home (20)37.830.468.2+7.480%-
Last 30 away (10)34.335.369.6-1.040%-
Last 10 (10)38.832.971.7+5.970%-
Last 5 (5)46.832.879.6+14.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)50.048.098.0+2.0100%-
vs Similar (10)35.134.970.0+0.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)36.729.766.4+7.174%-
This opponent (Butler) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ButlerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgetown
#225
W
54-45
54
45
+9
A18/02
NCAA
Xavier
#248
W
47-28
47
28
+19
H21/02
NCAA
Villanova
#46
L
28-42
28
42
-14
A26/02
NCAA
Creighton
#238
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H04/03
NCAA
DePaul
#213
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A07/03
NCAA
Providence
#246
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H11/03
NCAA
Lafayette
#202
W
54-34
54
34
+20
H03/11
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#269
W
52-29
52
29
+23
H05/11
NCAA
Boise State
#1
L
31-51
31
51
-20
A08/11
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#58
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H13/11
NCAA
79.2Avg total
42.5Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.135.572.6+1.653%-
Last 30 at home (19)38.933.572.5+5.463%-
Last 30 away (11)33.938.972.8-5.036%-
Last 10 (10)42.536.779.2+5.880%-
Last 5 (5)44.237.681.8+6.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)33.540.273.8-6.825%-
vs Similar (17)36.634.571.2+2.159%-
vs Weaker (5)44.431.275.6+13.280%-
This opponent (Nebraska) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Nebraska wins
0
Butler wins
DateGameScore
21/03/19Nebraska v Butler80-76
Nebraskalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HLindenwood94-60
08/11/26HProvidence67-58
03/11/26HLe Moyne106-64
26/03/26HIowa71-77
22/03/26HVanderbilt74-72
19/03/26HTroy76-47
13/03/26HPurdue58-74
08/03/26HIowa84-75 OT
04/03/26AUCLA52-72
28/02/26AUSC82-67
Butlerlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HPittsburgh64-76
08/11/26ABoise State81-100
05/11/26HFairleigh Dickinson99-65
03/11/26HLafayette96-60
11/03/26HProvidence81-91
07/03/26ADePaul81-71
04/03/26HCreighton59-76
26/02/26AVillanova73-82
21/02/26HXavier80-75
18/02/26AGeorgetown93-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nebraska
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game89.089.0-
Allowed / game60.760.7-
Point differential+28.3+28.3-
Avg total149.7149.7-
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%67%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Butler
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLL50%
HomeWWL67%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %50%67%0%
Points / game85.086.381.0
Allowed / game75.267.0100.0
Point differential+9.8+19.3-19.0
Avg total160.2153.3181.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UCLA330100%101.358.3+43.0
2 Nebraska330100%89.060.7+28.3
3 Rutgers330100%84.756.3+28.3
4 Michigan State440100%93.066.2+26.8
5 Oregon330100%95.068.7+26.3
6 Indiana440100%89.068.0+21.0
7 Wisconsin330100%79.058.0+21.0
8 Minnesota440100%78.858.5+20.2
9 USC330100%88.371.3+17.0
10 Washington220100%83.570.0+13.5
11 Illinois43175%104.571.2+33.2
12 Purdue43175%78.569.0+9.5
13 Northwestern43175%70.861.8+9.0
14 Iowa32167%85.064.7+20.3
15 Michigan32167%81.774.3+7.3
16 Penn State53260%77.675.6+2.0
17 Ohio State42250%81.079.2+1.8
18 Maryland31233%84.380.0+4.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Xavier440100%88.555.8+32.8
2 St. John's (N.Y.)330100%90.762.3+28.3
3 Uconn440100%84.558.0+26.5
4 DePaul440100%77.058.0+19.0
5 Georgetown440100%83.572.0+11.5
6 Villanova43175%86.565.2+21.2
7 Providence43175%71.557.8+13.8
8 Seton Hall43175%69.261.5+7.8
9 Marquette32167%80.353.0+27.3
10 Creighton32167%80.368.3+12.0
11 Butler42250%85.075.2+9.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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