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Nebraska vs Michigan State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 58-56
33-33 25-23
Position#21
Record13-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game83.5
Allowed / game66.2
Nebraska 🏆
USA
vs
Michigan State
USA
Position#29
Record12-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game65.9
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Nebraska v Michigan State
02 Jan 2027
NEBR v MICH
upcoming
02 Jan 2026
NEBR58
MICH56
10 Dec 2023
NEBR77
MICH70
28 Feb 2023
NEBR67
MICH80
02 Jan 2021
NEBR77
MICH84
20 Feb 2020
NEBR65
MICH86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nebraska winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Michigan State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NebraskaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma
#154
W
105-99
105
99
+6
H16/11
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
W
84-72
84
72
+12
A21/11
NCAA
Kansas State
#292
W
86-85
86
85
+1
H22/11
NCAA
Winthrop
#62
W
80-73
80
73
+7
H26/11
NCAA
USC Upstate
#274
W
72-63
72
63
+9
H29/11
NCAA
Creighton
#238
W
71-50
71
50
+21
H07/12
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
W
90-60
90
60
+30
H11/12
NCAA
Illinois
#35
W
83-80
83
80
+3
A13/12
NCAA
North Dakota
#196
W
78-55
78
55
+23
H22/12
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#340
W
86-55
86
55
+31
H31/12
NCAA
1H
2H
44-51
61-48
43-25
41-47
45-35
41-50
32-36
48-37
32-30
40-33
33-19
38-31
47-31
43-29
37-37
46-43
24-26
54-29
41-38
45-17
152.7Avg total
83.5Scored
69.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)83.566.2149.8+17.3100%
Season at home (11)83.564.5148.0+19.1100%
Season away (2)83.576.0159.5+7.5100%
Last 10 (10)83.569.2152.7+14.3100%
Last 5 (5)81.660.0141.6+21.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)68.882.6151.4-13.820%
vs Similar ◀ (14)78.877.7156.5+1.150%
vs Weaker (11)81.865.0146.8+16.891%
This opponent (Michigan State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Michigan StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kentucky
#107
W
83-66
83
66
+17
A18/11
NCAA
Detroit
#184
W
84-56
84
56
+28
H21/11
NCAA
East Carolina
#310
W
89-56
89
56
+33
A25/11
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
W
74-58
74
58
+16
H27/11
NCAA
Iowa
#81
W
71-52
71
52
+19
H03/12
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
60-66
60
66
-6
H06/12
NCAA
Penn State
#298
W
76-72
76
72
+4
A13/12
NCAA
Toledo
#156
W
92-69
92
69
+23
H16/12
NCAA
Oakland
#212
W
79-70
79
70
+9
H20/12
NCAA
Cornell
#175
W
114-97
114
97
+17
H30/12
NCAA
1H
2H
44-27
39-39
41-25
43-31
47-24
42-32
33-28
41-30
35-21
36-31
34-31
26-35
36-39
40-33
58-28
34-41
39-36
40-34
55-53
59-44
148.4Avg total
82.2Scored
66.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)80.865.9146.7+14.892%
Season at home (10)80.266.3146.5+13.990%
Season away (3)82.764.7147.3+18.0100%
Last 10 (10)82.266.2148.4+16.090%
Last 5 (5)84.274.8159.0+9.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)60.066.0126.0-6.00%
vs Similar ◀ (12)71.263.2134.4+7.975%
vs Weaker (17)81.568.9150.4+12.588%
This opponent (Nebraska) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +5.0+5.01st half: +11.0+11.02nd half2nd half: +9.3+9.32nd half: +5.0+5.0
-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +5.0+5.01st half: +11.0+11.02nd half2nd half: +9.3+9.32nd half: +5.0+5.0
NebraskaMichigan State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
NebraskaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma
#154
L
44-51
44
51
-7
H16/11
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
W
43-25
43
25
+18
A21/11
NCAA
Kansas State
#292
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H22/11
NCAA
Winthrop
#62
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H26/11
NCAA
USC Upstate
#274
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H29/11
NCAA
Creighton
#238
W
33-19
33
19
+14
H07/12
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H11/12
NCAA
Illinois
#35
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A13/12
NCAA
North Dakota
#196
L
24-26
24
26
-2
H22/12
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#340
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H31/12
NCAA
70.6Avg total
37.8Scored
32.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.434.769.2-0.343%-
Last 30 at home (19)35.332.767.9+2.653%-
Last 30 away (11)33.038.371.3-5.327%-
Last 10 (10)37.832.870.6+5.060%-
Last 5 (5)36.430.266.6+6.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)33.239.072.2-5.820%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)33.935.369.1-1.436%-
vs Weaker (11)35.732.167.8+3.664%-
This opponent (Michigan State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Michigan StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kentucky
#107
W
44-27
44
27
+17
A18/11
NCAA
Detroit
#184
W
41-25
41
25
+16
H21/11
NCAA
East Carolina
#310
W
47-24
47
24
+23
A25/11
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
W
33-28
33
28
+5
H27/11
NCAA
Iowa
#81
W
35-21
35
21
+14
H03/12
NCAA
Duke
#8
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H06/12
NCAA
Penn State
#298
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A13/12
NCAA
Toledo
#156
W
58-28
58
28
+30
H16/12
NCAA
Oakland
#212
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H20/12
NCAA
Cornell
#175
W
55-53
55
53
+2
H30/12
NCAA
73.4Avg total
42.2Scored
31.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.532.969.4+3.650%-
Last 30 at home (20)38.132.770.8+5.465%-
Last 30 away (10)33.333.266.5+0.120%-
Last 10 (10)42.231.273.4+11.090%-
Last 5 (5)44.437.481.8+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)34.031.065.0+3.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)31.231.862.9-0.633%-
vs Weaker (17)40.433.874.2+6.659%-
This opponent (Nebraska) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Nebraska wins
7
Michigan State wins
DateGameScore
07/12/24Michigan State v Nebraska89-52
10/12/23Nebraska v Michigan State77-70
01/03/23Nebraska v Michigan State67-80
04/01/23Michigan State v Nebraska74-56
06/01/22Michigan State v Nebraska79-67
06/02/21Michigan State v Nebraska66-56
03/01/21Nebraska v Michigan State77-84
21/02/20Nebraska v Michigan State65-86
Nebraskalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/12/25HNew Hampshire Wildcats86-55
22/12/25HNorth Dakota78-55
13/12/25AIllinois83-80
11/12/25HWisconsin90-60
07/12/25HCreighton71-50
29/11/25HUSC Upstate72-63
26/11/25HWinthrop80-73
22/11/25HKansas State86-85
21/11/25ANew Mexico84-72
16/11/25HOklahoma105-99
Michigan Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/25HCornell114-97
20/12/25HOakland79-70
16/12/25HToledo92-69
13/12/25APenn State76-72
06/12/25HDuke60-66
03/12/25HIowa71-52
27/11/25HNorth Carolina74-58
25/11/25AEast Carolina89-56
21/11/25HDetroit84-56
18/11/25AKentucky83-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nebraska
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games13112
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game83.583.583.5
Allowed / game66.264.576.0
Point differential+17.3+19.1+7.5
Avg total149.8148.0159.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%64%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Michigan State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW92%
HomeWLWWW90%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games13103
Win %92%90%100%
Points / game80.880.282.7
Allowed / game65.966.364.7
Point differential+14.8+13.9+18.0
Avg total146.7146.5147.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+69%70%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Michigan13130100%96.766.5+30.2
2 Nebraska13130100%83.566.2+17.3
3 Purdue1312192%86.266.0+20.2
4 Michigan State1312192%80.865.9+14.8
5 USC1412286%87.776.8+10.9
6 Iowa1311285%81.260.1+21.2
7 Illinois1310377%88.268.5+19.8
8 Indiana1310377%84.766.1+18.6
9 Ohio State1310377%85.872.0+13.8
10 UCLA1310377%81.768.9+12.8
11 Washington139469%82.571.2+11.4
12 Wisconsin139469%83.573.2+10.3
13 Penn State139469%79.174.3+4.8
14 Northwestern138562%80.569.4+11.2
15 Minnesota138562%72.764.8+7.9
16 Oregon148657%77.172.3+4.9
17 Maryland147750%75.277.7-2.5
18 Rutgers147750%69.071.6-2.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Nebraska332558
Michigan State332356
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