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Nebraska vs Michigan State Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 02 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 20:45
Scheduled
Position#20
Record3-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game89.0
Allowed / game60.7
vs
Position#28
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game93.0
Allowed / game66.2
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Nebraska v Michigan State
02 Jan 2027
NEBR v MICH
upcoming
02 Jan 2026
NEBR58
MICH56
10 Dec 2023
NEBR77
MICH70
28 Feb 2023
NEBR67
MICH80
02 Jan 2021
NEBR77
MICH84
20 Feb 2020
NEBR65
MICH86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nebraska win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Michigan State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NebraskaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
USC
#153
W
82-67
82
67
+15
A28/02
NCAA
UCLA
#73
L
52-72
52
72
-20
A04/03
NCAA
Iowa
#81
W
84-75 OT
84
75
+9
H08/03
NCAA
Purdue
#31
L
58-74
58
74
-16
H13/03
NCAA
Troy
#84
W
76-47
76
47
+29
H19/03
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
W
74-72
74
72
+2
H22/03
NCAA
Iowa
#81
L
71-77
71
77
-6
H26/03
NCAA
Le Moyne
#217
W
106-64
106
64
+42
H03/11
NCAA
Providence
#112
W
67-58
67
58
+9
H08/11
NCAA
Lindenwood
#250
W
94-60
94
60
+34
H12/11
NCAA
1H
2H
31-36
51-31
24-37
28-35
30-26
40-44
28-41
30-33
41-25
35-22
39-32
35-40
46-43
25-34
58-32
48-32
30-25
37-33
61-32
33-28
143.0Avg total
76.4Scored
66.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)89.060.7149.7+28.3100%
Season at home (3)89.060.7149.7+28.3100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)76.466.6143.0+9.870%
Last 5 (5)82.466.2148.6+16.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)72.075.0147.0-3.00%
vs Similar ◀ (10)71.670.9142.5+0.750%
vs Weaker (19)78.760.6139.3+18.195%
This opponent (Michigan State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Michigan StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rutgers
#267
W
91-87
91
87
+4
H06/03
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
80-90
80
90
-10
A08/03
NCAA
UCLA
#73
L
84-88
84
88
-4
H14/03
NCAA
North Dakota St
#30
W
92-67
92
67
+25
H19/03
NCAA
Louisville
#53
W
77-69
77
69
+8
H21/03
NCAA
Uconn
#11
L
63-67
63
67
-4
A28/03
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#243
W
96-59
96
59
+37
H03/11
NCAA
Toledo
#262
W
91-61
91
61
+30
H06/11
NCAA
Duke
#87
W
79-73
79
73
+6
A11/11
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#255
W
106-72
106
72
+34
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
31-30
60-57
41-42
39-48
33-44
51-44
45-25
47-42
36-31
41-38
27-35
36-32
52-24
44-35
48-25
43-36
34-25
45-48
59-44
47-28
159.2Avg total
85.9Scored
73.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)93.066.2159.2+26.8100%
Season at home (3)97.764.0161.7+33.7100%
Season away (1)79.073.0152.0+6.0100%
Last 10 (10)85.973.3159.2+12.670%
Last 5 (5)87.066.4153.4+20.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)78.882.0160.8-3.250%
vs Similar ◀ (7)71.669.6141.1+2.057%
vs Weaker (19)85.568.1153.6+17.589%
This opponent (Nebraska) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +5.9+5.91st half: +8.1+8.12nd half2nd half: +3.0+3.02nd half: +4.5+4.5
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +5.9+5.91st half: +8.1+8.12nd half2nd half: +3.0+3.02nd half: +4.5+4.5
NebraskaMichigan State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
NebraskaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
USC
#153
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A28/02
NCAA
UCLA
#73
L
24-37
24
37
-13
A04/03
NCAA
Iowa
#81
W
30-26
30
26
+4
H08/03
NCAA
Purdue
#31
L
28-41
28
41
-13
H13/03
NCAA
Troy
#84
W
41-25
41
25
+16
H19/03
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H22/03
NCAA
Iowa
#81
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H26/03
NCAA
Le Moyne
#217
W
58-32
58
32
+26
H03/11
NCAA
Providence
#112
W
30-25
30
25
+5
H08/11
NCAA
Lindenwood
#250
W
61-32
61
32
+29
H12/11
NCAA
71.7Avg total
38.8Scored
32.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.632.068.7+4.667%-
Last 30 at home (20)37.830.468.2+7.480%-
Last 30 away (10)34.335.369.6-1.040%-
Last 10 (10)38.832.971.7+5.970%-
Last 5 (5)46.832.879.6+14.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)50.048.098.0+2.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)35.134.970.0+0.250%-
vs Weaker (19)36.729.766.4+7.174%-
This opponent (Michigan State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Michigan StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rutgers
#267
W
31-30
31
30
+1
H06/03
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A08/03
NCAA
UCLA
#73
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H14/03
NCAA
North Dakota St
#30
W
45-25
45
25
+20
H19/03
NCAA
Louisville
#53
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H21/03
NCAA
Uconn
#11
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A28/03
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#243
W
52-24
52
24
+28
H03/11
NCAA
Toledo
#262
W
48-25
48
25
+23
H06/11
NCAA
Duke
#87
W
34-25
34
25
+9
A11/11
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#255
W
59-44
59
44
+15
H14/11
NCAA
73.1Avg total
40.6Scored
32.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.733.571.2+4.257%-
Last 30 at home (18)40.532.172.6+8.472%-
Last 30 away (12)33.535.669.1-2.133%-
Last 10 (10)40.632.573.1+8.170%-
Last 5 (5)44.030.674.6+13.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)34.037.071.0-3.025%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)33.434.367.7-0.929%-
vs Weaker (19)40.132.472.5+7.674%-
This opponent (Nebraska) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Nebraska wins
7
Michigan State wins
Nebraskalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HLindenwood94-60
08/11/26HProvidence67-58
03/11/26HLe Moyne106-64
26/03/26HIowa71-77
22/03/26HVanderbilt74-72
19/03/26HTroy76-47
13/03/26HPurdue58-74
08/03/26HIowa84-75 OT
04/03/26AUCLA52-72
28/02/26AUSC82-67
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HNorthern Iowa106-72
11/11/26ADuke79-73
06/11/26HToledo91-61
03/11/26HQuinnipiac96-59
28/03/26AUconn63-67
21/03/26HLouisville77-69
19/03/26HNorth Dakota St92-67
14/03/26HUCLA84-88
08/03/26AMichigan80-90
06/03/26HRutgers91-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nebraska
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game89.089.0-
Allowed / game60.760.7-
Point differential+28.3+28.3-
Avg total149.7149.7-
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%67%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Michigan State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game93.097.779.0
Allowed / game66.264.073.0
Point differential+26.8+33.7+6.0
Avg total159.2161.7152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UCLA330100%101.358.3+43.0
2 Nebraska330100%89.060.7+28.3
3 Rutgers330100%84.756.3+28.3
4 Michigan State440100%93.066.2+26.8
5 Oregon330100%95.068.7+26.3
6 Indiana440100%89.068.0+21.0
7 Wisconsin330100%79.058.0+21.0
8 Minnesota440100%78.858.5+20.2
9 USC330100%88.371.3+17.0
10 Washington220100%83.570.0+13.5
11 Illinois43175%104.571.2+33.2
12 Purdue43175%78.569.0+9.5
13 Northwestern43175%70.861.8+9.0
14 Iowa32167%85.064.7+20.3
15 Michigan32167%81.774.3+7.3
16 Penn State53260%77.675.6+2.0
17 Ohio State42250%81.079.2+1.8
18 Maryland31233%84.380.0+4.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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