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Neftchi IK vs CSM Oradea Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 28 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 83-99
16-23 24-29 25-26 18-21
Position#39
Record1-4
FormWLLLL
Points / game73.2
Allowed / game81.2
vs
Position#15
Record2-1
FormWLLWW
Points / game84.7
Allowed / game76.7
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 4· Baku Sports Palace
European cup2026
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neftchi IK winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
CSM Oradea winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Neftchi IKLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIK
Date
Competition
BC Kalev/Cramo
#21
W
95-84 OT
95
84
+11
no box
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Absheron Lions
#27
W
104-86
104
86
+18
103avg 74
A29/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Trefl Sopot
#26
W
92-87
92
87
+5
86avg 74
H05/11
FIBA Europe Cup
BC Kalev/Cramo
#21
L
82-88
82
88
-6
79avg 74
A12/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Absheron Lions
#27
L
86-95
86
95
-9
73avg 74
H19/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Parnu
#38
W
80-67
80
67
+13
76avg 74
H23/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Parnu
#38
L
61-73
61
73
-12
54avg 74
A30/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Mykonos
#7
L
58-78
58
78
-20
45avg 74
A06/10
FIBA Europe Cup
VEF Riga
#12
L
94-110
94
110
-16
85avg 74
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Fribourg Olympic
#46
L
73-78
73
78
-5
67avg 74
A21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-20
19-22
32-19
14-20
20-24
27-19
33-17
24-26
26-26
21-23
30-22
15-16
22-23
17-19
17-20
26-26
28-20
15-27
25-22
18-26
20-13
22-16
18-19
20-19
19-19
17-21
13-17
12-16
19-25
21-9
4-23
14-21
26-24
30-26
16-30
22-30
18-15
13-20
22-25
20-18
167.1Avg total
82.5Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)73.281.2154.4-8.020%
Season at home (2)87.088.5175.5-1.550%
Season away (3)64.076.3140.3-12.30%
Last 10 (10)82.584.6167.1-2.140%
Last 5 (5)73.281.2154.4-8.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)76.094.0170.0-18.00%
vs Similar (6)81.083.3164.3-2.350%
vs Weaker (3)83.383.3166.7+0.033%
This opponent (CSM Oradea) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSM OradeaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOradea
Date
Competition
AEK Larnaca
#43
W
95-87
95
87
+8
92avg 81
H16/09
Champions League
Batumi
#30
W
93-77
93
77
+16
85avg 81
A18/09
Champions League
Salon Vilpas
#15
L
96-98
96
98
-2
82avg 81
A20/09
Champions League
Municipal Galati
#13
W
101-74
101
74
+27
82avg 81
A03/10
Divizia A
Fribourg Olympic
#46
W
93-67
93
67
+26
91avg 81
H07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Arges Pitesti
#9
W
98-92
98
92
+6
93avg 81
H10/10
Divizia A
Lok. Plovdiv
#24
L
69-79
69
79
-10
61avg 81
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Dinamo Bucharest
#4
L
73-87
73
87
-14
56avg 81
A17/10
Divizia A
VEF Riga
#12
W
92-84
92
84
+8
84avg 81
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
CSU Sibiu
#7
W
92-73
92
73
+19
86avg 81
H24/10
Divizia A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-18
13-19
32-24
19-26
25-21
30-16
15-21
23-19
23-26
22-29
22-20
29-23
24-23
23-19
25-17
29-15
27-14
26-21
26-16
14-16
25-24
31-19
22-30
20-19
20-17
18-26
15-20
16-16
18-21
21-26
19-20
15-20
20-23
20-17
25-22
27-22
25-19
30-21
20-16
17-17
172.0Avg total
90.2Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)84.776.7161.3+8.067%
Season at home (2)92.575.5168.0+17.0100%
Season away (1)69.079.0148.0-10.00%
Last 10 (10)90.281.8172.0+8.470%
Last 5 (5)84.883.0167.8+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)82.585.5168.0-3.050%
vs Similar (5)82.484.4166.8-2.040%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)87.780.1167.8+7.673%
This opponent (Neftchi IK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: +1.6+1.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: +1.6+1.6
Neftchi IKCSM Oradea
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Neftchi IKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Kalev/Cramo
#21
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Absheron Lions
#27
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A29/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Trefl Sopot
#26
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H05/11
FIBA Europe Cup
BC Kalev/Cramo
#21
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A12/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Absheron Lions
#27
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H19/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Parnu
#38
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H23/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Parnu
#38
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A30/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Mykonos
#7
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A06/10
FIBA Europe Cup
VEF Riga
#12
W
56-50
56
50
+6
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Fribourg Olympic
#46
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
82.7Avg total
41.6Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (11)40.941.682.5-0.736%-
Last 30 at home (5)44.643.488.0+1.240%-
Last 30 away (6)37.840.278.0-2.333%-
Last 10 (10)41.641.182.7+0.540%-
Last 5 (5)41.037.678.6+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)48.042.090.0+6.0100%-
vs Similar (6)41.542.584.0-1.033%-
vs Weaker (3)35.039.774.7-4.70%-
This opponent (CSM Oradea) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSM OradeaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AEK Larnaca
#43
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H16/09
Champions League
Batumi
#30
W
55-37
55
37
+18
A18/09
Champions League
Salon Vilpas
#15
L
45-55
45
55
-10
A20/09
Champions League
Municipal Galati
#13
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A03/10
Divizia A
Fribourg Olympic
#46
W
53-35
53
35
+18
H07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Arges Pitesti
#9
W
56-43
56
43
+13
H10/10
Divizia A
Lok. Plovdiv
#24
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Dinamo Bucharest
#4
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A17/10
Divizia A
VEF Riga
#12
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
CSU Sibiu
#7
W
55-40
55
40
+15
H24/10
Divizia A
89.1Avg total
47.2Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.341.185.4+3.357%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.940.487.3+6.457%-
Last 30 away (16)42.141.683.8+0.556%-
Last 10 (10)47.241.989.1+5.360%-
Last 5 (5)45.642.688.2+3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)39.543.583.0-4.00%-
vs Similar (5)44.043.087.0+1.060%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)44.940.685.5+4.359%-
This opponent (Neftchi IK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neftchi IKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neftchi IK: 82.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.018.9
55.6%
53.4%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.310.7
35.3%
32.5%32.1
🏀 Free throws17.312.2
70.5%
72.8%12.2
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CSM Oradeatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CSM Oradea: 88.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.322.0
54.6%
53.4%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.810.2
34.2%
32.5%30.6
🏀 Free throws19.714.2
72.1%
72.8%14.2
They take 70.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neftchi IK
LLLLWLLWWW
CSM Oradea
WWLLWWWLWW
#39
League position
#15
-2.3
Net rating
+8.8
98.9
Offensive rating
101.2
101.2
Defensive rating
92.4
54.4%
Effective FG%
53.2%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.8%
17.2%
Turnover %
13.4%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.28
35.3%
3-point %
34.2%
58.1%
Assist %
60.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence98.9 · 101.2Defence101.2 · 92.4Shooting54.4% · 53.2%3-point %35.3% · 34.2%Ball care17.2% · 13.4%Free throws0.27 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Neftchi IK   ■ CSM Oradea
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Neftchi IK wins
0
CSM Oradea wins
No previous meetings.
Neftchi IKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/10/26AFribourg Olympic73-78
14/10/26HVEF Riga94-110
06/10/26AMykonos58-78
30/09/26AParnu61-73
23/09/26HParnu80-67
19/11/25HAbsheron Lions86-95
12/11/25ABC Kalev/Cramo82-88
05/11/25HTrefl Sopot92-87
29/10/25AAbsheron Lions104-86
21/10/25HBC Kalev/Cramo95-84 OT
CSM Oradealast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26HCSU Sibiu92-73
21/10/26HVEF Riga92-84
17/10/26ADinamo Bucharest73-87
14/10/26ALok. Plovdiv69-79
10/10/26HArges Pitesti98-92
07/10/26HFribourg Olympic93-67
03/10/26AMunicipal Galati101-74
20/09/26ASalon Vilpas96-98
18/09/26ABatumi93-77
16/09/26HAEK Larnaca95-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neftchi IK
FIBA Europe Cup 2026
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL20%
HomeWL50%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %20%50%0%
Points / game73.287.064.0
Allowed / game81.288.576.3
Point differential-8.0-1.5-12.3
Avg total154.4175.5140.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
CSM Oradea
FIBA Europe Cup 2026
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game84.792.569.0
Allowed / game76.775.579.0
Point differential+8.0+17.0-10.0
Avg total161.3168.0148.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Esenler Erokspor330100%101.373.7+27.7
2 Basquet Girona330100%95.773.0+22.7
3 Nancy330100%83.062.0+21.0
4 Trier330100%93.074.0+19.0
5 Dziki Warszawa330100%94.380.3+14.0
6 Mykonos330100%81.369.0+12.3
7 Benfica330100%95.085.0+10.0
8 Sporting CP330100%82.373.7+8.7
9 Keravnos43175%81.577.2+4.2
10 AEK Larnaca43175%84.280.2+4.0
11 Bakken Bears43175%83.282.5+0.8
12 Korfez Basket32167%88.073.3+14.7
13 VEF Riga32167%100.089.7+10.3
14 Chalon/Saone32167%84.374.3+10.0
15 Kolossos Rhodes32167%75.366.0+9.3
16 Promitheas32167%88.380.0+8.3
17 CSM Oradea32167%84.776.7+8.0
18 Iraklis32167%79.772.7+7.0
19 Szczecin32167%86.380.7+5.7
20 Denizli Basket32167%84.780.3+4.3
21 Trepca32167%81.380.0+1.3
22 BC Kalev/Cramo32167%82.081.3+0.7
23 Oostende32167%78.780.0-1.3
24 Dinamo Bucharest63350%87.577.7+9.8
25 BC Prievidza63350%89.882.7+7.2
26 Bashkimi21150%81.582.5-1.0
27 Levice42250%75.077.0-2.0
28 Parnu52340%71.476.4-5.0
29 Opava31233%83.375.0+8.3
30 Geneva Lions31233%84.780.3+4.3
31 Wurzburg31233%75.078.7-3.7
32 Lok. Plovdiv31233%82.087.0-5.0
33 Szolnoki Olaj31233%80.387.3-7.0
34 Split31233%74.382.0-7.7
35 Valmiera Glass Via31233%78.787.3-8.7
36 Tartu Ulikool31233%88.098.0-10.0
37 Zielona Gora31233%76.387.7-11.3
38 Fribourg Olympic31233%70.082.0-12.0
39 Vienna Basket41325%78.282.5-4.2
40 Neftchi IK51420%73.281.2-8.0
41 MZT Skopje4040%73.282.8-9.5
42 Absheron Lions3030%85.0101.3-16.3
43 Rilski Sportist2020%68.586.5-18.0
44 SCM Craiova3030%79.397.3-18.0
45 Nitra Blue Wings3030%73.091.7-18.7
46 Gence2020%62.586.0-23.5
47 Manchester Basketball2020%71.595.5-24.0
48 Samobor2020%74.0100.5-26.5
49 Batumi3030%65.795.0-29.3
50 Peja2020%70.5100.5-30.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 50 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neftchi IK1624251883
CSM Oradea2329262199
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