PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Neptunas 2 vs Kretinga Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 16 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 74-83
26-24 20-17 6-18 22-24
Position#12
Record2-10
FormLLLLW
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game88.4
vs
Position#8
Record3-9
FormLLWLL
Points / game76.8
Allowed / game84.3
LithuaniaNKL· Klaip
Other2023-24
Meetings · Neptunas 2 v Kretinga
21 Jan 2027
NEPT v KRET
upcoming
26 Feb 2026
NEPT86
KRET58
04 Oct 2025
NEPT98
KRET71
14 Dec 2024
NEPT97
KRET89
10 Feb 2024
NEPT96
KRET84
16 Nov 2023
NEPT74
KRET83
09 Mar 2023
NEPT92
KRET77
01 Dec 2022
NEPT67
KRET81
03 Mar 2022
NEPT83
KRET71
06 Jan 2022
NEPT65
KRET83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas 2 winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kretinga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Neptunas 2LithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form2
Date
Competition
Vilkaviskis
#9
L
87-89
87
89
-2
84avg 73
H12/10
NKL
Silute
#14
L
75-79
75
79
-4
66avg 73
A14/10
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
W
72-67
72
67
+5
67avg 73
H19/10
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
L
72-85
72
85
-13
54avg 73
A21/10
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
82-91
82
91
-9
76avg 73
H26/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
L
98-107
98
107
-9
100avg 73
A28/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
L
85-101
85
101
-16
89avg 73
H02/11
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
68-89
68
89
-21
62avg 73
A04/11
NKL
Telsiai
#2
L
59-92
59
92
-33
49avg 73
H09/11
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
W
83-77
83
77
+6
84avg 73
A11/11
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-21
24-19
25-26
17-23
18-17
17-23
16-21
24-18
22-10
10-19
15-24
25-14
17-23
16-27
21-25
18-10
22-29
19-18
14-19
27-25
15-36
27-23
26-19
30-29
15-24
29-21
21-30
20-26
13-26
18-22
16-18
21-23
15-23
16-21
12-27
16-21
23-19
21-23
19-18
20-17
165.8Avg total
78.1Scored
87.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)77.888.4166.2-10.617%
Season at home (6)77.888.3166.2-10.517%
Season away (6)77.888.5166.3-10.717%
Last 10 (10)78.187.7165.8-9.620%
Last 5 (5)78.693.2171.8-14.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)73.885.1158.8-11.324%
vs Similar ◀ (5)82.487.4169.8-5.020%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Kretinga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KretingaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKretinga
Date
Competition
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
72-87
72
87
-15
56avg 69
H12/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
W
87-73
87
73
+14
81avg 69
A14/10
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
L
74-79
74
79
-5
65avg 69
A19/10
NKL
Silute
#14
L
74-85
74
85
-11
65avg 69
A21/10
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
L
77-98
77
98
-21
64avg 69
H26/10
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
L
64-82
64
82
-18
50avg 69
A28/10
NKL
Telsiai
#2
L
69-96
69
96
-27
62avg 69
A31/10
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
W
84-73
84
73
+11
82avg 69
H04/11
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
L
80-94
80
94
-14
67avg 69
A09/11
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
73-81
73
81
-8
68avg 69
H11/11
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-25
15-21
27-24
14-17
18-21
31-15
17-19
21-18
13-26
24-20
22-15
15-18
16-16
27-13
14-27
17-29
14-22
18-26
16-25
29-25
20-21
13-26
13-18
18-17
24-19
7-26
15-34
23-17
29-12
18-18
20-18
17-25
19-22
23-26
20-29
18-17
24-27
18-16
12-23
19-15
160.2Avg total
75.4Scored
84.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)76.884.3161.2-7.525%
Season at home (4)76.584.8161.2-8.225%
Season away (8)77.084.1161.1-7.125%
Last 10 (10)75.484.8160.2-9.420%
Last 5 (5)74.085.2159.2-11.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)71.984.8156.8-12.925%
vs Similar ◀ (16)78.484.2162.7-5.825%
vs Weaker (2)81.084.5165.5-3.550%
This opponent (Neptunas 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -4.7-4.7Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q3: -5.6-5.6Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -0.7-0.7
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -4.7-4.7Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q3: -5.6-5.6Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -0.7-0.7
Neptunas 2Kretinga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Neptunas 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vilkaviskis
#9
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H12/10
NKL
Silute
#14
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A14/10
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H19/10
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
L
33-50
33
50
-17
A21/10
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
41-47
41
47
-6
H26/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
L
42-59
42
59
-17
A28/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H02/11
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A04/11
NKL
Telsiai
#2
L
31-44
31
44
-13
H09/11
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A11/11
NKL
82.2Avg total
37.8Scored
44.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.743.380.0-6.723%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.941.278.1-4.327%-
Last 30 away (15)36.445.581.9-9.120%-
Last 10 (10)37.844.482.2-6.630%-
Last 5 (5)38.447.686.0-9.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)35.643.479.1-7.820%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)41.842.884.6-1.040%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Kretinga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KretingaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
31-46
31
46
-15
H12/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A14/10
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A19/10
NKL
Silute
#14
W
43-29
43
29
+14
A21/10
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
L
32-48
32
48
-16
H26/10
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A28/10
NKL
Telsiai
#2
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A31/10
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H04/11
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A09/11
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H11/11
NKL
80.5Avg total
38.7Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.842.880.6-5.027%-
Last 30 at home (12)37.942.780.6-4.825%-
Last 30 away (18)37.742.980.7-5.228%-
Last 10 (10)38.741.880.5-3.130%-
Last 5 (5)39.042.681.6-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)33.944.478.3-10.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)40.141.681.8-1.544%-
vs Weaker (2)42.543.085.5-0.550%-
This opponent (Neptunas 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunas 2their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas 2: 77.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.4 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.8 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.9 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.722.7
53.2%
51.9%45.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.35.6
30.6%
33.3%16.8
🏀 Free throws21.515.1
70.2%
70.3%15.1
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kretingatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kretinga: 74.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.9 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.919.6
47.9%
51.9%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.97.5
31.4%
33.3%22.5
🏀 Free throws17.412.9
74.1%
70.3%12.9
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neptunas 2
WLLLLLLWLL
Kretinga
LLWLLLLLWL
#12
League position
#8
-12.5
Net rating
-12.8
102.8
Offensive rating
101.8
115.3
Defensive rating
114.6
51.0%
Effective FG%
47.6%
55.7%
Opp. effective FG%
57.0%
22.8%
Turnover %
17.3%
36.1%
Off. rebound %
30.1%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.27
30.6%
3-point %
31.4%
61.5%
Assist %
63.8%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence102.8 · 101.8Defence115.3 · 114.6Shooting51.0% · 47.6%3-point %30.6% · 31.4%Ball care22.8% · 17.3%Off. rebounds36.1% · 30.1%Free throws0.35 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)20% · 20%
■ Neptunas 2   ■ Kretinga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Neptunas 2 wins
5
Kretinga wins
DateGameScore
09/03/23Neptunas 2 v Kretinga92-77
02/02/23Kretinga v Neptunas 285-77
01/12/22Neptunas 2 v Kretinga67-81
13/10/22Kretinga v Neptunas 292-59
03/03/22Neptunas 2 v Kretinga83-71
10/02/22Kretinga v Neptunas 275-78
06/01/22Neptunas 2 v Kretinga65-83
04/11/21Kretinga v Neptunas 271-68
Neptunas 2last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/23AKauno Atletas83-77
09/11/23HTelsiai59-92
04/11/23ABC Olimpas Palanga68-89
02/11/23HRytas 285-101
28/10/23AVytis VDU98-107
26/10/23HDelikatesas Joniskis82-91
21/10/23AZalgiris Kaunas 272-85
19/10/23HUkmerges Stekas72-67
14/10/23ASilute75-79
12/10/23HVilkaviskis87-89
Kretingalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/23HSuduva-Mantinga73-81
09/11/23AJurbarkas80-94
04/11/23HKauno Atletas84-73
31/10/23ATelsiai69-96
28/10/23AUkmerges Stekas64-82
26/10/23HZalgiris Kaunas 277-98
21/10/23ASilute74-85
19/10/23AVilkaviskis74-79
14/10/23ARytas 287-73
12/10/23HBC Olimpas Palanga72-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas 2
NKL 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW17%
HomeLWLLL17%
AwayLLLLW17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %17%17%17%
Points / game77.877.877.8
Allowed / game88.488.388.5
Point differential-10.6-10.5-10.7
Avg total166.2166.2166.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Kretinga
NKL 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL25%
HomeLLWL25%
AwayLLLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1248
Win %25%25%25%
Points / game76.876.577.0
Allowed / game84.384.884.1
Point differential-7.5-8.2-7.1
Avg total161.2161.2161.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%25%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Olimpas Palanga1211192%84.571.1+13.4
2 Telsiai1211192%85.672.9+12.7
3 Suduva-Mantinga97278%86.075.1+10.9
4 Zalgiris Kaunas 2127558%78.274.4+3.8
5 Jurbarkas127558%81.178.4+2.7
6 Vilkaviskis116555%81.779.6+2.1
7 Delikatesas Joniskis116555%78.584.2-5.7
8 Vytis VDU94544%87.786.6+1.1
9 Ukmerges Stekas125742%73.878.7-4.8
10 Rytas 2114736%82.986.8-3.9
11 Silute124833%78.582.2-3.8
12 Kretinga123925%76.884.3-7.5
13 Kauno Atletas1331023%75.482.8-7.4
14 Neptunas 21221017%77.888.4-10.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas 2262062274
Kretinga2417182483
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.