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Neptunas 2 vs Kretinga Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 26 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 86-58
22-10 18-15 28-13 18-20
Position#4
Record20-15
FormLLWWW
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game77.5
Neptunas 2 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Kretinga
Lithuania
Position#9
Record17-18
FormWLLWW
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game85.1
LithuaniaNKL· Klaip
Other2025-26
Meetings · Neptunas 2 v Kretinga
21 Jan 2027
NEPT v KRET
upcoming
26 Feb 2026
NEPT86
KRET58
04 Oct 2025
NEPT98
KRET71
14 Dec 2024
NEPT97
KRET89
10 Feb 2024
NEPT96
KRET84
16 Nov 2023
NEPT74
KRET83
09 Mar 2023
NEPT92
KRET77
01 Dec 2022
NEPT67
KRET81
03 Mar 2022
NEPT83
KRET71
06 Jan 2022
NEPT65
KRET83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas 2 winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kretinga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Neptunas 2LithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form2
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
W
80-79
80
79
+1
72avg 71
H20/01
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
W
77-56
77
56
+21
71avg 71
A22/01
NKL
Jurbarkas
#5
W
84-82
84
82
+2
79avg 71
H24/01
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
W
96-59
96
59
+37
104avg 71
H29/01
NKL
Kretinga
#9
W
88-77
88
77
+11
82avg 71
A31/01
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
L
88-89
88
89
-1
81avg 71
H05/02
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
60-98
60
98
-38
51avg 71
A07/02
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
W
83-64
83
64
+19
84avg 71
H14/02
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#16
W
77-70
77
70
+7
69avg 71
H19/02
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#17
W
91-89 OT
91
89
+2
82avg 71
A21/02
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-16
17-29
27-15
20-19
17-17
20-16
19-16
21-7
22-23
17-22
23-20
22-17
17-22
25-18
24-11
30-8
24-25
19-20
26-15
19-17
12-30
28-19
27-27
21-13
12-31
15-24
14-15
19-28
27-18
18-13
18-17
20-16
23-18
20-20
16-21
18-11
22-19
21-21
21-22
17-19
158.7Avg total
82.4Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)79.477.5156.9+1.957%
Season at home (18)80.876.5157.3+4.356%
Season away (17)77.978.5156.4-0.659%
Last 10 (10)82.476.3158.7+6.180%
Last 5 (5)79.882.0161.8-2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)66.591.0157.5-24.50%
vs Similar (12)73.678.4152.0-4.858%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)83.674.2157.8+9.369%
This opponent (Kretinga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KretingaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKretinga
Date
Competition
Rytas 2
#8
L
87-102
87
102
-15
no box
A17/01
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
82-77
82
77
+5
85avg 76
A22/01
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#7
W
83-77
83
77
+6
74avg 76
H24/01
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
L
79-84
79
84
-5
66avg 76
A29/01
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
L
77-88
77
88
-11
71avg 76
H31/01
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
W
82-80 OT
82
80
+2
69avg 76
A05/02
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
L
64-104
64
104
-40
50avg 76
H07/02
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
L
73-75
73
75
-2
66avg 76
A14/02
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
W
68-61
68
61
+7
64avg 76
A19/02
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
W
85-80
85
80
+5
91avg 76
H22/02
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-24
22-21
12-30
27-27
20-14
21-28
17-17
24-18
17-12
20-21
25-22
21-22
15-20
17-24
17-20
30-20
25-24
20-19
15-26
17-19
18-16
15-18
11-19
23-14
14-23
12-25
19-27
19-29
17-11
25-24
25-20
6-20
11-12
21-21
19-7
17-21
19-20
22-19
20-19
24-22
160.8Avg total
78.0Scored
82.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)83.685.1168.7-1.649%
Season at home (17)83.482.7166.1+0.753%
Season away (18)83.787.4171.2-3.744%
Last 10 (10)78.082.8160.8-4.850%
Last 5 (5)74.480.0154.4-5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)77.894.3172.2-16.50%
vs Similar (21)83.981.7165.6+2.267%
vs Weaker (3)96.086.7182.7+9.367%
This opponent (Neptunas 2) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: +5.2+5.2Q4: -0.4-0.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: +5.2+5.2Q4: -0.4-0.4
Neptunas 2Kretinga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Neptunas 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H20/01
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A22/01
NKL
Jurbarkas
#5
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H24/01
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H29/01
NKL
Kretinga
#9
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A31/01
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
L
40-49
40
49
-9
H05/02
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
27-55
27
55
-28
A07/02
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H14/02
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#16
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H19/02
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#17
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A21/02
NKL
81.3Avg total
39.2Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.639.576.1-2.937%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.939.877.7-1.938%-
Last 30 away (14)35.139.274.4-4.136%-
Last 10 (10)39.242.181.3-2.950%-
Last 5 (5)39.642.682.2-3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)32.551.584.0-19.00%-
vs Similar (12)34.138.872.8-4.725%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)39.038.677.6+0.450%-
This opponent (Kretinga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KretingaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas 2
#8
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A17/01
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A22/01
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#7
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H24/01
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A29/01
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H31/01
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A05/02
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
L
26-48
26
48
-22
H07/02
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A14/02
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A19/02
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H22/02
NKL
77.3Avg total
37.7Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.241.081.2-0.847%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.939.479.4+0.557%-
Last 30 away (16)40.442.382.8-1.938%-
Last 10 (10)37.739.677.3-1.950%-
Last 5 (5)34.837.872.6-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)37.045.582.5-8.533%-
vs Similar (21)39.939.779.6+0.248%-
vs Weaker (3)48.740.789.3+8.067%-
This opponent (Neptunas 2) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunas 2their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas 2: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.321.6
55.0%
54.5%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.77.9
33.3%
32.3%23.7
🏀 Free throws22.715.5
68.3%
69.3%15.5
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kretingatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kretinga: 76.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.6 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.722.6
54.2%
54.5%45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.96.2
28.3%
32.3%18.6
🏀 Free throws19.213.0
67.7%
69.3%13.0
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neptunas 2
WWWLLWWWWW
Kretinga
WWLLWLLWWL
#4
League position
#9
+7.7
Net rating
-5.3
94.3
Offensive rating
87.0
86.7
Defensive rating
92.3
53.1%
Effective FG%
50.2%
47.3%
Opp. effective FG%
49.5%
17.0%
Turnover %
18.1%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.30
33.3%
3-point %
28.3%
59.7%
Assist %
54.2%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence94.3 · 87.0Defence86.7 · 92.3Shooting53.1% · 50.2%3-point %33.3% · 28.3%Ball care17.0% · 18.1%Free throws0.36 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Neptunas 2   ■ Kretinga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Neptunas 2 wins
3
Kretinga wins
DateGameScore
31/01/26Kretinga v Neptunas 277-88
04/10/25Neptunas 2 v Kretinga98-71
01/03/25Kretinga v Neptunas 279-90
14/12/24Neptunas 2 v Kretinga97-89
19/10/24Kretinga v Neptunas 276-78
10/02/24Neptunas 2 v Kretinga96-84
08/02/24Kretinga v Neptunas 284-79
18/11/23Kretinga v Neptunas 290-68
16/11/23Neptunas 2 v Kretinga74-83
09/03/23Neptunas 2 v Kretinga92-77
Neptunas 2last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/02/26AAlytaus Alytus91-89 OT
19/02/26HUkmerges Stekas77-70
14/02/26HOmega-Tauras83-64
07/02/26ASuduva-Mantinga60-98
05/02/26HVytis VDU88-89
31/01/26AKretinga88-77
29/01/26HOmega-Tauras96-59
24/01/26HJurbarkas84-82
22/01/26ABC Olimpas Palanga77-56
20/01/26HZalgiris Kaunas 280-79
Kretingalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/26HOmega-Tauras85-80
19/02/26ABC Olimpas Palanga68-61
14/02/26APlunges Olimpas73-75
07/02/26HZalgiris Kaunas 264-104
05/02/26ABC Olimpas Palanga82-80 OT
31/01/26HNeptunas 277-88
29/01/26AVytis VDU79-84
24/01/26HVilkaviskis83-77
22/01/26APlunges Olimpas82-77
17/01/26ARytas 287-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas 2
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW57%
HomeWWLWW56%
AwayWWWLW59%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351817
Win %57%56%59%
Points / game79.480.877.9
Allowed / game77.576.578.5
Point differential+1.9+4.3-0.6
Avg total156.9157.3156.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%33%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)40% (5)100% (4)
Overtime %9%6%12%
Kretinga
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW49%
HomeWWLLW53%
AwayWLWLW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351718
Win %49%53%44%
Points / game83.683.483.7
Allowed / game85.182.787.4
Point differential-1.6+0.7-3.7
Avg total168.7166.1171.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%35%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won58% (12)67% (3)56% (9)
Overtime %6%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Suduva-Mantinga3429585%90.375.0+15.3
2 Vytis VDU3324973%88.784.1+4.6
3 Zalgiris Kaunas 235241169%87.184.1+2.9
4 Kedainiu SC33211264%87.485.2+2.2
5 Neptunas 235201557%79.477.5+1.9
6 Vilkaviskis33181555%82.077.9+4.1
7 Mazeikiai33181555%83.881.3+2.4
8 Rytas 233181555%83.181.1+2.0
9 Jurbarkas35191654%81.278.7+2.5
10 Telsiai34181653%85.085.4-0.4
11 Kretinga35171849%83.685.1-1.6
12 Silute35152043%86.890.1-3.3
13 Omega-Tauras35142140%84.588.5-4.0
14 BC Olimpas Palanga34132138%79.583.7-4.2
15 Plunges Olimpas3482624%80.887.0-6.2
16 Ukmerges Stekas3482624%79.088.9-9.9
17 Alytaus Alytus3562917%79.186.7-7.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas 22218281886
Kretinga1015132058
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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