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Neptunas 2 vs Kretinga Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 97-89
26-22 19-23 24-13 28-31
Position#10
Record11-9
FormLWLWL
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game77.1
vs
Position#13
Record7-14
FormLLLWW
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game85.2
LithuaniaNKL· Klaip
Other2024-25
Meetings · Neptunas 2 v Kretinga
21 Jan 2027
NEPT v KRET
upcoming
26 Feb 2026
NEPT86
KRET58
04 Oct 2025
NEPT98
KRET71
14 Dec 2024
NEPT97
KRET89
10 Feb 2024
NEPT96
KRET84
16 Nov 2023
NEPT74
KRET83
09 Mar 2023
NEPT92
KRET77
01 Dec 2022
NEPT67
KRET81
03 Mar 2022
NEPT83
KRET71
06 Jan 2022
NEPT65
KRET83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas 2 winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kretinga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Neptunas 2LithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form2
Date
Competition
Vytis VDU
#4
W
90-87 OT
90
87
+3
81avg 72
H07/11
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
L
74-84
74
84
-10
70avg 72
A09/11
NKL
Silute
#12
L
69-80
69
80
-11
57avg 72
A14/11
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#15
L
80-83
80
83
-3
62avg 72
H16/11
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
W
73-64
73
64
+9
62avg 72
H21/11
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
L
78-93
78
93
-15
65avg 72
A23/11
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
86-80
86
80
+6
82avg 72
H28/11
NKL
Vytis VDU
#4
L
82-87
82
87
-5
66avg 72
A30/11
NKL
Silute
#12
W
73-65
73
65
+8
62avg 72
H05/12
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
68-88
68
88
-20
58avg 72
A12/12
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-24
23-23
21-18
15-15
17-22
24-32
13-17
20-13
16-26
22-19
14-23
17-12
16-19
22-25
27-19
15-20
15-18
20-17
23-8
15-21
25-25
13-21
22-26
18-21
21-16
24-29
22-24
19-11
19-24
19-24
23-15
21-24
19-12
16-21
19-20
19-12
15-22
11-20
19-23
23-23
158.4Avg total
77.3Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)78.077.1155.1+0.955%
Season at home (10)81.375.6156.9+5.770%
Season away (10)74.778.6153.3-3.940%
Last 10 (10)77.381.1158.4-3.840%
Last 5 (5)77.482.6160.0-5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)73.376.5149.8-3.250%
vs Similar ◀ (22)81.580.2161.7+1.259%
vs Weaker (2)91.081.0172.0+10.050%
This opponent (Kretinga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KretingaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKretinga
Date
Competition
Rytas 2
#11
L
80-101
80
101
-21
65avg 70
H14/11
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
L
88-106
88
106
-18
84avg 70
A16/11
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
66-93
66
93
-27
55avg 70
H18/11
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
L
71-113
71
113
-42
57avg 70
A21/11
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
W
93-78
93
78
+15
96avg 70
H23/11
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
77-91
77
91
-14
72avg 70
A28/11
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
L
79-82
79
82
-3
77avg 70
H30/11
NKL
Rytas 2
#11
L
81-85
81
85
-4
70avg 70
A05/12
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
W
86-74
86
74
+12
86avg 70
H07/12
NKL
Vytis VDU
#4
W
90-86
90
86
+4
96avg 70
H12/12
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-23
16-28
15-23
18-27
25-30
23-25
17-21
23-30
15-31
19-24
12-14
20-24
18-30
19-33
18-17
16-33
25-23
24-23
19-15
25-17
30-25
20-25
15-20
12-21
24-27
19-22
25-15
11-18
26-16
18-22
21-19
16-28
19-26
25-17
16-12
26-19
27-24
26-20
27-21
10-21
172.0Avg total
81.1Scored
90.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)79.685.2164.9-5.633%
Season at home (11)78.982.7161.6-3.845%
Season away (10)80.488.0168.4-7.620%
Last 10 (10)81.190.9172.0-9.830%
Last 5 (5)82.683.6166.2-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)73.882.2156.0-8.447%
vs Similar ◀ (12)80.883.2164.1-2.425%
vs Weaker (3)81.786.3168.0-4.733%
This opponent (Neptunas 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: -6.1-6.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: -6.1-6.1
Neptunas 2Kretinga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Neptunas 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vytis VDU
#4
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H07/11
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
L
41-54
41
54
-13
A09/11
NKL
Silute
#12
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A14/11
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#15
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H16/11
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H21/11
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A23/11
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H28/11
NKL
Vytis VDU
#4
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A30/11
NKL
Silute
#12
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H05/12
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
26-42
26
42
-16
A12/12
NKL
81.7Avg total
37.8Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.441.481.8-1.033%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.938.379.3+2.640%-
Last 30 away (15)39.944.584.3-4.627%-
Last 10 (10)37.843.981.7-6.110%-
Last 5 (5)36.442.879.2-6.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)36.235.371.5+0.867%-
vs Similar ◀ (22)41.143.484.5-2.323%-
vs Weaker (2)45.537.583.0+8.050%-
This opponent (Kretinga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KretingaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas 2
#11
L
47-51
47
51
-4
H14/11
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
L
48-55
48
55
-7
A16/11
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
34-55
34
55
-21
H18/11
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
L
37-63
37
63
-26
A21/11
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H23/11
NKL
Telsiai
#1
D
50-50
50
50
+0
A28/11
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H30/11
NKL
Rytas 2
#11
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A05/12
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H07/12
NKL
Vytis VDU
#4
W
53-44
53
44
+9
H12/12
NKL
94.3Avg total
44.9Scored
49.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.242.982.2-3.730%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.744.782.4-6.927%-
Last 30 away (15)40.741.281.9-0.533%-
Last 10 (10)44.949.494.3-4.540%-
Last 5 (5)46.844.891.6+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)37.443.180.5-5.727%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)40.842.282.9-1.433%-
vs Weaker (3)42.345.387.7-3.033%-
This opponent (Neptunas 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunas 2their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas 2: 77.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.517.2
51.3%
52.5%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.99.7
30.4%
32.5%29.1
🏀 Free throws18.813.6
72.3%
70.5%13.6
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kretingatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kretinga: 80.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.922.2
54.3%
52.5%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.48.0
32.8%
32.5%24.0
🏀 Free throws16.512.1
73.3%
70.5%12.1
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neptunas 2
LWLWLWLLLW
Kretinga
WWLLLWLLLL
#10
League position
#13
-4.8
Net rating
-12.4
103.7
Offensive rating
106.6
108.6
Defensive rating
119.0
48.5%
Effective FG%
52.4%
52.9%
Opp. effective FG%
55.4%
16.4%
Turnover %
19.7%
29.0%
Off. rebound %
34.2%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.25
30.4%
3-point %
32.8%
50.9%
Assist %
69.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence103.7 · 106.6Defence108.6 · 119.0Shooting48.5% · 52.4%3-point %30.4% · 32.8%Ball care16.4% · 19.7%Off. rebounds29.0% · 34.2%Free throws0.29 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Neptunas 2   ■ Kretinga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Neptunas 2 wins
6
Kretinga wins
DateGameScore
19/10/24Kretinga v Neptunas 276-78
10/02/24Neptunas 2 v Kretinga96-84
08/02/24Kretinga v Neptunas 284-79
18/11/23Kretinga v Neptunas 290-68
16/11/23Neptunas 2 v Kretinga74-83
09/03/23Neptunas 2 v Kretinga92-77
02/02/23Kretinga v Neptunas 285-77
01/12/22Neptunas 2 v Kretinga67-81
13/10/22Kretinga v Neptunas 292-59
03/03/22Neptunas 2 v Kretinga83-71
Neptunas 2last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/12/24ATelsiai68-88
05/12/24HSilute73-65
30/11/24AVytis VDU82-87
28/11/24HPlunges Olimpas86-80
23/11/24AVilkaviskis78-93
21/11/24HVilkaviskis73-64
16/11/24HAlytaus Alytus80-83
14/11/24ASilute69-80
09/11/24APlunges Olimpas74-84
07/11/24HVytis VDU90-87 OT
Kretingalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/12/24HVytis VDU90-86
07/12/24HDelikatesas Joniskis86-74
05/12/24ARytas 281-85
30/11/24HOmega-Tauras79-82
28/11/24ATelsiai77-91
23/11/24HSuduva-Mantinga93-78
21/11/24ASuduva-Mantinga71-113
18/11/24HTelsiai66-93
16/11/24ADelikatesas Joniskis88-106
14/11/24HRytas 280-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas 2
NKL 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL55%
HomeWLWWW70%
AwayLLLLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %55%70%40%
Points / game78.081.374.7
Allowed / game77.175.678.6
Point differential+0.9+5.7-3.9
Avg total155.1156.9153.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%20%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)33% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %5%10%0%
Kretinga
NKL 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW33%
HomeLWLWW45%
AwayLLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %33%45%20%
Points / game79.678.980.4
Allowed / game85.282.788.0
Point differential-5.6-3.8-7.6
Avg total164.9161.6168.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%18%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)50% (4)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Jurbarkas1914574%81.578.8+2.7
2 Telsiai2115671%85.078.2+6.8
3 Omega-Tauras2014670%80.576.8+3.6
4 BC Olimpas Palanga2114767%80.872.6+8.1
5 Vilkaviskis2113862%83.376.8+6.5
6 Vytis VDU2012860%89.884.7+5.2
7 Suduva-Mantinga2112957%81.877.8+4.0
8 Zalgiris Kaunas 22011955%79.577.0+2.5
9 Neptunas 22011955%78.077.1+0.9
10 Alytaus Alytus2091145%82.787.8-5.2
11 Silute2191243%79.780.7-1.0
12 Ukmerges Stekas2181338%77.981.1-3.2
13 Rytas 22181338%79.482.8-3.4
14 Kretinga2171433%79.685.2-5.6
15 Plunges Olimpas2061430%77.182.3-5.2
16 Delikatesas Joniskis211205%76.292.7-16.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas 22619242897
Kretinga2223133189
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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