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Neptunas 2 vs Kretinga Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 96-84
23-17 34-16 22-27 17-24
Position#12
Record7-25
FormWLWLL
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game83.7
vs
Position#8
Record13-19
FormWWLWW
Points / game78.3
Allowed / game82.9
LithuaniaNKL· Klaip
Other2023-24
Meetings · Neptunas 2 v Kretinga
21 Jan 2027
NEPT v KRET
upcoming
26 Feb 2026
NEPT86
KRET58
04 Oct 2025
NEPT98
KRET71
14 Dec 2024
NEPT97
KRET89
10 Feb 2024
NEPT96
KRET84
16 Nov 2023
NEPT74
KRET83
09 Mar 2023
NEPT92
KRET77
01 Dec 2022
NEPT67
KRET81
03 Mar 2022
NEPT83
KRET71
06 Jan 2022
NEPT65
KRET83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas 2 winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kretinga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Neptunas 2LithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form2
Date
Competition
Rytas 2
#13
L
92-95
92
95
-3
74avg 69
A21/12
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
58-75
58
75
-17
46avg 69
H23/12
NKL
Telsiai
#2
L
72-86
72
86
-14
66avg 69
A04/01
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
W
69-68
69
68
+1
66avg 69
H06/01
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
W
82-77
82
77
+5
71avg 69
A18/01
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
W
78-69
78
69
+9
70avg 69
H20/01
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
74-89
74
89
-15
62avg 69
H25/01
NKL
Silute
#14
W
86-75
86
75
+11
80avg 69
A27/01
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
L
75-79
75
79
-4
79avg 69
A01/02
NKL
Kretinga
#8
L
79-84
79
84
-5
72avg 69
A08/02
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-28
29-24
18-19
27-24
19-28
7-21
12-15
20-11
17-24
28-20
13-26
14-16
17-15
22-11
21-25
9-17
19-25
18-18
24-16
21-18
27-25
16-9
20-19
15-16
25-21
6-22
23-24
20-22
24-25
28-17
9-15
25-18
24-13
22-22
15-22
14-22
19-26
25-26
21-15
14-17
156.2Avg total
76.5Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)76.283.7159.9-7.422%
Season at home (15)74.881.5156.3-6.727%
Season away (17)77.585.6163.1-8.118%
Last 10 (10)76.579.7156.2-3.240%
Last 5 (5)78.479.2157.6-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)72.283.5155.8-11.38%
vs Similar ◀ (17)79.282.8162.0-3.535%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Kretinga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KretingaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKretinga
Date
Competition
Telsiai
#2
L
67-95
67
95
-28
64avg 70
H21/12
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
W
85-78
85
78
+7
80avg 70
A23/12
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
W
89-82
89
82
+7
92avg 70
H04/01
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
72-101
72
101
-29
61avg 70
A06/01
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
L
65-81
65
81
-16
50avg 70
H20/01
NKL
Silute
#14
W
84-83
84
83
+1
75avg 70
H25/01
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
W
79-66
79
66
+13
76avg 70
A27/01
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
78-110
78
110
-32
56avg 70
A01/02
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
W
107-92
107
92
+15
100avg 70
H03/02
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
W
84-79
84
79
+5
74avg 70
H08/02
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-19
23-21
15-30
9-25
22-22
23-22
26-16
14-18
28-19
22-18
19-17
20-28
24-23
17-22
15-27
16-29
5-9
24-22
17-19
19-31
24-16
23-28
19-19
18-20
22-20
26-20
12-16
19-10
21-30
18-21
18-30
21-29
20-23
25-23
35-21
27-25
26-19
26-25
15-21
17-14
167.7Avg total
81.0Scored
86.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)78.382.9161.2-4.641%
Season at home (17)79.583.1162.6-3.541%
Season away (15)76.982.7159.6-5.740%
Last 10 (10)81.086.7167.7-5.760%
Last 5 (5)86.486.0172.4+0.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)73.986.9160.8-13.011%
vs Similar ◀ (21)79.781.2160.9-1.652%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Neptunas 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -4.9-4.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -4.9-4.9
Neptunas 2Kretinga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Neptunas 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas 2
#13
L
47-52
47
52
-5
A21/12
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
26-49
26
49
-23
H23/12
NKL
Telsiai
#2
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A04/01
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H06/01
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A18/01
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H20/01
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
31-43
31
43
-12
H25/01
NKL
Silute
#14
W
52-42
52
42
+10
A27/01
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A01/02
NKL
Kretinga
#8
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A08/02
NKL
83.0Avg total
41.0Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.242.080.1-3.837%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.139.477.5-1.450%-
Last 30 away (16)38.244.282.4-5.925%-
Last 10 (10)41.042.083.0-1.050%-
Last 5 (5)43.241.284.4+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)35.843.379.1-7.531%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)40.040.980.9-0.941%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Kretinga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KretingaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Telsiai
#2
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H21/12
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A23/12
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H04/01
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A06/01
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H20/01
NKL
Silute
#14
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H25/01
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A27/01
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A01/02
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H03/02
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H08/02
NKL
86.1Avg total
43.9Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.540.981.4-0.340%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.040.181.1+0.941%-
Last 30 away (13)39.941.881.8-1.938%-
Last 10 (10)43.942.286.1+1.760%-
Last 5 (5)46.245.091.2+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)38.942.481.3-3.622%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)41.240.281.4+1.048%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Neptunas 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunas 2their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas 2: 75.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.9 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.018.2
49.2%
51.9%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.48.5
32.2%
33.3%25.5
🏀 Free throws19.814.0
70.7%
70.3%14.0
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kretingatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kretinga: 80.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.9 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.720.6
48.2%
51.9%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.87.8
37.5%
33.3%23.4
🏀 Free throws20.615.6
75.7%
70.3%15.6
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neptunas 2
LLWLWWWLLL
Kretinga
WWLWWLLWWL
#12
League position
#8
-4.0
Net rating
-6.9
102.3
Offensive rating
104.3
106.3
Defensive rating
111.2
48.8%
Effective FG%
50.9%
51.2%
Opp. effective FG%
52.7%
19.4%
Turnover %
18.6%
31.3%
Off. rebound %
28.2%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.32
32.2%
3-point %
37.5%
62.9%
Assist %
59.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence102.3 · 104.3Defence106.3 · 111.2Shooting48.8% · 50.9%3-point %32.2% · 37.5%Ball care19.4% · 18.6%Off. rebounds31.3% · 28.2%Free throws0.31 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Neptunas 2   ■ Kretinga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Neptunas 2 wins
7
Kretinga wins
DateGameScore
08/02/24Kretinga v Neptunas 284-79
18/11/23Kretinga v Neptunas 290-68
16/11/23Neptunas 2 v Kretinga74-83
09/03/23Neptunas 2 v Kretinga92-77
02/02/23Kretinga v Neptunas 285-77
01/12/22Neptunas 2 v Kretinga67-81
13/10/22Kretinga v Neptunas 292-59
03/03/22Neptunas 2 v Kretinga83-71
10/02/22Kretinga v Neptunas 275-78
06/01/22Neptunas 2 v Kretinga65-83
Neptunas 2last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/24AKretinga79-84
01/02/24AUkmerges Stekas75-79
27/01/24ASilute86-75
25/01/24HDelikatesas Joniskis74-89
20/01/24HRytas 278-69
18/01/24AKauno Atletas82-77
06/01/24HKauno Atletas69-68
04/01/24ATelsiai72-86
23/12/23HBC Olimpas Palanga58-75
21/12/23ARytas 292-95
Kretingalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/24HNeptunas 284-79
03/02/24HUkmerges Stekas107-92
01/02/24ADelikatesas Joniskis78-110
27/01/24ARytas 279-66
25/01/24HSilute84-83
20/01/24HKauno Atletas65-81
06/01/24ASuduva-Mantinga72-101
04/01/24HJurbarkas89-82
23/12/23AKauno Atletas85-78
21/12/23HTelsiai67-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas 2
NKL 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL22%
HomeLLWWL27%
AwayLWWLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321517
Win %22%27%18%
Points / game76.274.877.5
Allowed / game83.781.585.6
Point differential-7.4-6.7-8.1
Avg total159.9156.3163.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+3%0%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won30% (10)50% (4)17% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Kretinga
NKL 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW41%
HomeWLWWW41%
AwayWWLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321715
Win %41%41%40%
Points / game78.379.576.9
Allowed / game82.983.182.7
Point differential-4.6-3.5-5.7
Avg total161.2162.6159.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%18%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)75% (4)25% (4)
Overtime %3%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Olimpas Palanga3227584%81.771.6+10.1
2 Suduva-Mantinga3226681%85.773.2+12.5
3 Telsiai3225778%83.172.7+10.4
4 Jurbarkas32171553%80.880.5+0.3
5 Ukmerges Stekas32171553%76.176.6-0.5
6 Delikatesas Joniskis32171553%80.483.7-3.2
7 Vilkaviskis32161650%80.182.5-2.4
8 Zalgiris Kaunas 232151747%74.873.2+1.6
9 Vytis VDU32151747%85.285.5-0.3
10 Kauno Atletas32131941%76.678.8-2.2
11 Kretinga32131941%78.382.9-4.6
12 Rytas 23292328%81.389.4-8.0
13 Silute3272522%77.483.5-6.2
14 Neptunas 23272522%76.283.7-7.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas 22334221796
Kretinga1716272484
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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