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Neptunas 2 vs Vilkaviskis Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 09 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 81-82
17-19 25-18 22-21 17-24
Position#4
Record1-1
FormWLLLW
Points / game89.5
Allowed / game81.0
Neptunas 2
Lithuania
vs
Vilkaviskis 🏆
Lithuania
Position#7
Record2-0
FormLLLWW
Points / game90.0
Allowed / game71.0
LithuaniaNKL· Klaip
Other2025-26
Meetings · Neptunas 2 v Vilkaviskis
19 Nov 2026
NEPT v VILK
upcoming
09 Oct 2025
NEPT81
VILK82
09 Mar 2025
NEPT80
VILK83
21 Nov 2024
NEPT73
VILK64
12 Oct 2023
NEPT87
VILK89
09 Feb 2023
NEPT68
VILK99
20 Oct 2022
NEPT66
VILK73
11 Dec 2021
NEPT76
VILK79
26 Jan 2021
NEPT88
VILK72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas 2 winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vilkaviskis winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Neptunas 2LithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form2
Date
Competition
Rytas 2
#11
L
81-90
81
90
-9
68avg 72
A11/02
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#15
W
111-78
111
78
+33
117avg 72
H13/02
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#8
L
77-84
77
84
-7
62avg 72
A20/02
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
L
82-85
82
85
-3
75avg 72
H22/02
NKL
Silute
#12
W
95-76
95
76
+19
94avg 72
H27/02
NKL
Kretinga
#13
W
90-79
90
79
+11
83avg 72
A01/03
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
L
69-81
69
81
-12
62avg 72
A07/03
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
L
80-83
80
83
-3
74avg 72
H09/03
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
L
81-91
81
91
-10
79avg 72
A02/10
NKL
Kretinga
#9
W
98-71
98
71
+27
94avg 72
H04/10
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-17
24-18
18-26
19-29
34-19
30-20
22-23
25-16
18-16
26-21
23-25
10-22
22-17
15-26
21-18
24-24
24-27
24-13
25-16
22-20
19-17
21-31
29-22
21-9
19-21
15-17
19-24
16-19
16-19
22-24
22-26
20-14
21-30
18-23
25-23
17-15
18-19
17-13
29-17
34-22
168.2Avg total
86.4Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)89.581.0170.5+8.550%
Season at home (1)98.071.0169.0+27.0100%
Season away (1)81.091.0172.0-10.00%
Last 10 (10)86.481.8168.2+4.640%
Last 5 (5)83.681.0164.6+2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)73.790.0163.7-16.30%
vs Similar ◀ (20)80.281.6161.8-1.440%
vs Weaker (7)87.983.4171.3+4.443%
This opponent (Vilkaviskis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VilkaviskisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVilkaviskis
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
W
89-66
89
66
+23
81avg 72
A28/03
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
W
80-72
80
72
+8
70avg 72
H31/03
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
L
85-89
85
89
-4
73avg 72
A03/04
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
L
69-78
69
78
-9
53avg 72
H06/04
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
W
84-81
84
81
+3
70avg 72
A08/04
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
74-89
74
89
-15
63avg 72
A11/04
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
72-87
72
87
-15
59avg 72
H14/04
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
76-78
76
78
-2
67avg 72
A17/04
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#16
W
94-72
94
72
+22
83avg 72
A02/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
W
86-70
86
70
+16
77avg 72
H04/10
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-18
23-15
28-15
20-18
17-15
16-15
20-24
27-18
27-23
21-19
13-23
24-24
14-27
16-16
21-17
18-18
18-17
27-20
17-12
22-32
11-19
24-21
18-26
21-23
19-13
20-24
18-22
15-28
17-22
21-14
22-25
16-17
23-22
27-21
21-16
23-13
21-30
18-15
28-10
19-15
159.1Avg total
80.9Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)90.071.0161.0+19.0100%
Season at home (1)86.070.0156.0+16.0100%
Season away (1)94.072.0166.0+22.0100%
Last 10 (10)80.978.2159.1+2.750%
Last 5 (5)80.479.2159.6+1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)77.285.0162.2-7.820%
vs Similar ◀ (20)80.878.1158.8+2.760%
vs Weaker (5)86.673.6160.2+13.0100%
This opponent (Neptunas 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -0.1-0.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -0.1-0.1
Neptunas 2Vilkaviskis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Neptunas 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas 2
#11
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A11/02
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#15
W
64-39
64
39
+25
H13/02
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#8
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A20/02
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H22/02
NKL
Silute
#12
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H27/02
NKL
Kretinga
#13
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A01/03
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A07/03
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H09/03
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
L
39-53
39
53
-14
A02/10
NKL
Kretinga
#9
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H04/10
NKL
83.1Avg total
42.3Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.942.882.7-2.930%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.940.281.1+0.740%-
Last 30 away (15)38.945.484.3-6.520%-
Last 10 (10)42.340.883.1+1.550%-
Last 5 (5)37.242.880.0-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)28.343.772.0-15.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)40.542.583.0-2.030%-
vs Weaker (7)43.043.186.1-0.143%-
This opponent (Vilkaviskis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VilkaviskisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A28/03
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H31/03
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A03/04
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H06/04
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A08/04
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A11/04
NKL
Telsiai
#1
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H14/04
NKL
Telsiai
#1
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A17/04
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#16
W
50-43
50
43
+7
A02/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H04/10
NKL
78.4Avg total
39.8Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.939.580.4+1.453%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.038.579.5+2.564%-
Last 30 away (16)40.840.381.1+0.544%-
Last 10 (10)39.838.678.4+1.270%-
Last 5 (5)40.240.280.4+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)39.840.480.2-0.660%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)40.638.979.5+1.850%-
vs Weaker (5)43.041.084.0+2.060%-
This opponent (Neptunas 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunas 2their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas 2: 85.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.221.4
56.0%
54.5%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.58.7
31.6%
32.3%26.1
🏀 Free throws22.816.7
73.2%
69.3%16.7
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vilkaviskistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vilkaviskis: 79.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.723.0
52.6%
54.5%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.97.6
31.8%
32.3%22.8
🏀 Free throws16.111.1
68.9%
69.3%11.1
They take 67.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neptunas 2
WLLLWWLLWL
Vilkaviskis
WWLLLWLLWW
#4
League position
#7
+6.1
Net rating
+3.4
114.3
Offensive rating
107.5
108.1
Defensive rating
104.1
52.4%
Effective FG%
50.9%
50.1%
Opp. effective FG%
48.5%
15.0%
Turnover %
14.5%
32.0%
Off. rebound %
28.9%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.24
31.6%
3-point %
31.8%
63.5%
Assist %
46.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence114.3 · 107.5Defence108.1 · 104.1Shooting52.4% · 50.9%3-point %31.6% · 31.8%Ball care15.0% · 14.5%Off. rebounds32.0% · 28.9%Free throws0.35 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Neptunas 2   ■ Vilkaviskis
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Neptunas 2 wins
9
Vilkaviskis wins
DateGameScore
09/03/25Neptunas 2 v Vilkaviskis80-83
07/03/25Vilkaviskis v Neptunas 281-69
23/11/24Vilkaviskis v Neptunas 293-78
21/11/24Neptunas 2 v Vilkaviskis73-64
02/12/23Vilkaviskis v Neptunas 285-83
12/10/23Neptunas 2 v Vilkaviskis87-89
02/03/23Vilkaviskis v Neptunas 295-71
09/02/23Neptunas 2 v Vilkaviskis68-99
17/01/23Vilkaviskis v Neptunas 273-72
20/10/22Neptunas 2 v Vilkaviskis66-73
Neptunas 2last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/10/25HKretinga98-71
02/10/25AOmega-Tauras81-91
09/03/25HVilkaviskis80-83
07/03/25AVilkaviskis69-81
01/03/25AKretinga90-79
27/02/25HSilute95-76
22/02/25HPlunges Olimpas82-85
20/02/25AUkmerges Stekas77-84
13/02/25HAlytaus Alytus111-78
11/02/25ARytas 281-90
Vilkaviskislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/10/25HRytas 286-70
02/10/25AUkmerges Stekas94-72
17/04/25ATelsiai76-78
14/04/25HTelsiai72-87
11/04/25ATelsiai74-89
08/04/25AZalgiris Kaunas 284-81
06/04/25HZalgiris Kaunas 269-78
03/04/25AZalgiris Kaunas 285-89
31/03/25HZalgiris Kaunas 280-72
28/03/25AZalgiris Kaunas 289-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas 2
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game89.598.081.0
Allowed / game81.071.091.0
Point differential+8.5+27.0-10.0
Avg total170.5169.0172.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Vilkaviskis
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game90.086.094.0
Allowed / game71.070.072.0
Point differential+19.0+16.0+22.0
Avg total161.0156.0166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Vilkaviskis220100%90.071.0+19.0
2 Vytis VDU110100%89.078.0+11.0
3 Kedainiu SC220100%92.082.5+9.5
4 Zalgiris Kaunas 2220100%88.584.5+4.0
5 Telsiai21150%85.574.5+11.0
6 Neptunas 221150%89.581.0+8.5
7 Jurbarkas21150%86.583.5+3.0
8 Omega-Tauras21150%86.084.0+2.0
9 Mazeikiai21150%77.077.0+0.0
10 Plunges Olimpas21150%88.088.0+0.0
11 Rytas 221150%89.091.0-2.0
12 Silute21150%81.087.5-6.5
13 Alytaus Alytus2020%76.585.0-8.5
14 BC Olimpas Palanga2020%66.582.0-15.5
15 Kretinga2020%74.593.5-19.0
16 Ukmerges Stekas1010%72.094.0-22.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas 21725221781
Vilkaviskis1918212482
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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