PythiaBasketballBETA
NKLRound 15· Klaip
Neptunas 2 host Vilkaviskis on 19 November 2026 in the NKL, with the model favouring the home side at 72% versus 28% for the visitors; the projected score is 81-75 and the total 156.2 points. Neptunas 2 finished the season 10-4, averaging 78.4 points and allowing 74.1, and sit in sixth place, while Vilkaviskis are 6-8, scoring 83.1 and conceding 86.1 in a 11th-place position. At home Neptunas 2 are 4-3, 73.0 points for and 75.1 against, and have won four of their last five; they beat Jurbarkas 82-67, Kedainiai BC 77-71, and Kauno Atletas 83-74 in recent outings. Vilkaviskis are 1-6 on the road, 81.1 points for and 91.1 against, and have won two of their last five, with a 97-80 home win over Kedainiai BC but losses to Mazeikiai 96-103 and Suduva-Mantinga 60-80. In the ten meetings between the clubs, Vilkaviskis lead 9-1, most recently defeating Neptunas 2 72-62 on 11 December 2025. The model projects a 5% chance of overtime.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (14) | 78.4 | 74.1 | 152.5 | +4.2 | 71% |
| Season at home (7) | 73.0 | 75.1 | 148.1 | -2.1 | 57% |
| Season away (7) | 83.7 | 73.1 | 156.9 | +10.6 | 86% |
| Last 10 (10) | 77.7 | 72.8 | 150.5 | +4.9 | 80% |
| Last 5 (5) | 80.8 | 74.0 | 154.8 | +6.8 | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (9) | 73.4 | 75.6 | 149.0 | -2.1 | 44% |
| vs Similar (11) | 80.0 | 77.2 | 157.2 | +2.8 | 73% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (10) | 81.9 | 69.4 | 151.3 | +12.5 | 90% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (14) | 83.1 | 86.1 | 169.3 | -3.0 | 43% |
| Season at home (7) | 85.1 | 81.1 | 166.3 | +4.0 | 71% |
| Season away (7) | 81.1 | 91.1 | 172.3 | -10.0 | 14% |
| Last 10 (10) | 81.1 | 86.1 | 167.2 | -5.0 | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 86.2 | 88.8 | 175.0 | -2.6 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (11) | 74.5 | 87.5 | 162.0 | -12.9 | 18% |
| vs Similar (9) | 84.0 | 87.2 | 171.2 | -3.2 | 22% |
| vs Weaker (10) | 89.6 | 80.5 | 170.1 | +9.1 | 90% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 40.9 | 37.4 | 78.3 | +3.6 | 73% | - |
| Last 30 at home (13) | 40.2 | 38.4 | 78.6 | +1.8 | 54% | - |
| Last 30 away (17) | 41.5 | 36.6 | 78.1 | +4.9 | 88% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 39.5 | 36.4 | 75.9 | +3.1 | 60% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 37.8 | 34.2 | 72.0 | +3.6 | 60% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (9) | 36.4 | 37.1 | 73.6 | -0.7 | 56% | - |
| vs Similar (11) | 43.5 | 39.4 | 82.9 | +4.2 | 73% | - |
| vs Weaker ◀ (10) | 42.1 | 35.4 | 77.5 | +6.7 | 90% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 43.3 | 41.6 | 85.0 | +1.7 | 57% | - |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 43.9 | 40.2 | 84.1 | +3.7 | 64% | - |
| Last 30 away (16) | 42.8 | 42.9 | 85.7 | -0.1 | 50% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 42.2 | 38.5 | 80.7 | +3.7 | 50% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 44.0 | 36.2 | 80.2 | +7.8 | 60% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (11) | 40.5 | 41.8 | 82.4 | -1.3 | 27% | - |
| vs Similar (9) | 45.1 | 44.7 | 89.8 | +0.4 | 56% | - |
| vs Weaker (10) | 44.8 | 38.7 | 83.5 | +6.1 | 90% | - |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 35.0 | 18.4 | 54.5% | 36.8 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 29.3 | 8.3 | 31.3% | 24.9 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 19.8 | 14.1 | 67.1% | 14.1 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 45.8 | 25.8 | 54.5% | 51.6 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 21.6 | 5.8 | 31.3% | 17.4 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 18.2 | 11.0 | 67.1% | 11.0 |
Neptunas 2
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 11/12/25 | Vilkaviskis v Neptunas 2 | 72-62 |
| 09/10/25 | Neptunas 2 v Vilkaviskis | 81-82 |
| 09/03/25 | Neptunas 2 v Vilkaviskis | 80-83 |
| 07/03/25 | Vilkaviskis v Neptunas 2 | 81-69 |
| 23/11/24 | Vilkaviskis v Neptunas 2 | 93-78 |
| 21/11/24 | Neptunas 2 v Vilkaviskis | 73-64 |
| 02/12/23 | Vilkaviskis v Neptunas 2 | 85-83 |
| 12/10/23 | Neptunas 2 v Vilkaviskis | 87-89 |
| 02/03/23 | Vilkaviskis v Neptunas 2 | 95-71 |
| 09/02/23 | Neptunas 2 v Vilkaviskis | 68-99 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11/26 | H | Jurbarkas | 82-67 |
| 12/11/26 | A | Kedainiai BC | 77-71 |
| 07/11/26 | A | Kauno Atletas | 83-74 |
| 05/11/26 | H | Suduva-Mantinga | 75-94 |
| 03/11/26 | A | Ukmerges Stekas | 87-64 |
| 29/10/26 | H | Plunges Olimpas | 59-57 |
| 24/10/26 | A | Rytas 2 | 74-62 |
| 22/10/26 | H | BC Olimpas Palanga | 78-77 |
| 17/10/26 | A | Mazeikiai | 90-77 |
| 15/10/26 | H | Telsiai | 72-85 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11/26 | H | Kedainiai BC | 97-80 |
| 12/11/26 | A | Mazeikiai | 96-103 OT |
| 07/11/26 | A | Suduva-Mantinga | 60-80 |
| 05/11/26 | H | Ukmerges Stekas | 97-74 |
| 03/11/26 | H | Vytis VDU | 81-107 |
| 31/10/26 | A | Plunges Olimpas | 73-91 |
| 29/10/26 | H | Rytas 2 | 74-72 |
| 24/10/26 | A | BC Olimpas Palanga | 81-87 |
| 22/10/26 | H | Omega-Tauras | 82-73 |
| 17/10/26 | A | Telsiai | 70-94 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLWWW | 71% |
| Home | LWWLW | 57% |
| Away | WWWWW | 86% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 14 | 7 | 7 |
| Win % | 71% | 57% | 86% |
| Points / game | 78.4 | 73.0 | 83.7 |
| Allowed / game | 74.1 | 75.1 | 73.1 |
| Point differential | +4.2 | -2.1 | +10.6 |
| Avg total | 152.5 | 148.1 | 156.9 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 36% | 14% | 57% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 60% (5) | 75% (4) | 0% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWLLW | 43% |
| Home | WWLWW | 71% |
| Away | LLLLL | 14% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 14 | 7 | 7 |
| Win % | 43% | 71% | 14% |
| Points / game | 83.1 | 85.1 | 81.1 |
| Allowed / game | 86.1 | 81.1 | 91.1 |
| Point differential | -3.0 | +4.0 | -10.0 |
| Avg total | 169.3 | 166.3 | 172.3 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 21% | 43% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 50% (2) | 100% (1) | 0% (1) |
| Overtime % | 7% | 0% | 14% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Telsiai | 13 | 12 | 1 | 92% | 90.5 | 73.6 | +16.9 |
| 2 | Jurbarkas | 13 | 11 | 2 | 85% | 88.6 | 78.3 | +10.3 |
| 3 |  BC Olimpas Palanga | 14 | 11 | 3 | 79% | 96.3 | 84.6 | +11.6 |
| 4 |  Suduva-Mantinga | 13 | 10 | 3 | 77% | 91.5 | 77.8 | +13.8 |
| 5 |  Vytis VDU | 12 | 9 | 3 | 75% | 96.1 | 89.1 | +7.0 |
| 6 | Neptunas 2 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 71% | 78.4 | 74.1 | +4.2 |
| 7 |  Silute | 12 | 8 | 4 | 67% | 84.3 | 82.2 | +2.2 |
| 8 | Alytaus Patriotai | 14 | 8 | 6 | 57% | 83.8 | 84.9 | -1.1 |
| 9 | Omega-Tauras | 14 | 7 | 7 | 50% | 89.4 | 85.9 | +3.4 |
| 10 | Plunges Olimpas | 14 | 7 | 7 | 50% | 83.1 | 81.1 | +2.1 |
| 11 | Vilkaviskis | 14 | 6 | 8 | 43% | 83.1 | 86.1 | -3.0 |
| 12 |  Zalgiris Kaunas 2 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 42% | 94.2 | 96.8 | -2.7 |
| 13 | Ukmerges Stekas | 14 | 5 | 9 | 36% | 78.9 | 88.1 | -9.2 |
| 14 | Kedainiai BC | 14 | 4 | 10 | 29% | 76.8 | 85.0 | -8.2 |
| 15 |  Mazeikiai | 14 | 3 | 11 | 21% | 78.9 | 88.9 | -10.0 |
| 16 | Kretinga | 13 | 2 | 11 | 15% | 81.5 | 90.7 | -9.2 |
| 17 |  Kauno Atletas | 14 | 2 | 12 | 14% | 79.1 | 94.4 | -15.3 |
| 18 |  Rytas 2 | 14 | 1 | 13 | 7% | 77.1 | 86.9 | -9.7 |
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