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Neptunas vs Hapoel Jerusalem Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 28 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 98-92
33-25 21-30 23-17 21-20
Position#14
Record6-9
FormWLWLW
Points / game93.9
Allowed / game97.5
vs
Position#3
Record12-3
FormLWWLW
Points / game95.6
Allowed / game81.9
EuropeEurocupRound 16· Svyturio Arena
European cup2025
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hapoel Jerusalem winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#5
W
87-76
87
76
+11
87avg 85
A23/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#4
L
101-103
101
103
-2
90avg 85
H28/12
LKL
Venezia
#9
L
103-118
103
118
-15
101avg 85
H02/01
Eurocup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
77-112
77
112
-35
66avg 85
A04/01
LKL
Hamburg
#20
W
98-94
98
94
+4
90avg 85
A07/01
Eurocup
Nevezis
#9
W
113-82
113
82
+31
111avg 85
H10/01
LKL
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
85-104
85
104
-19
74avg 85
H13/01
Eurocup
Nevezis
#5
W
87-67
87
67
+20
no box
H17/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Manresa
#10
L
96-97
96
97
-1
88avg 85
A21/01
Eurocup
Lietkabelis
#6
W
97-87
97
87
+10
94avg 85
H24/01
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-15
15-28
23-13
23-20
33-26
15-29
20-18
33-30
35-29
21-29
31-31
16-29
25-31
6-32
18-23
28-26
25-24
23-20
21-24
29-26
29-24
24-27
33-13
27-18
16-24
25-23
20-27
24-30
17-13
21-24
30-15
19-15
24-22
29-24
20-16
23-35
29-23
17-21
24-19
27-24
188.4Avg total
94.4Scored
94.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)93.997.5191.5-3.640%
Season at home (7)96.797.7194.4-1.043%
Season away (8)91.597.4188.9-5.938%
Last 10 (10)94.494.0188.4+0.450%
Last 5 (5)95.687.4183.0+8.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)91.1103.8194.9-12.722%
vs Similar (7)92.486.3178.7+6.157%
vs Weaker (14)100.291.1191.4+9.179%
This opponent (Hapoel Jerusalem) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel JerusalemLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJerusalem
Date
Competition
Elitzur Maccabi Netanya
#13
W
100-69
100
69
+31
83avg 90
H24/12
Super League
Maccabi Raanana
#14
W
102-99
102
99
+3
88avg 90
H27/12
Super League
Manresa
#10
W
105-69
105
69
+36
99avg 90
H30/12
Eurocup
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#2
W
92-77
92
77
+15
74avg 90
A03/01
Super League
Slask Wroclaw
#18
W
115-72
115
72
+43
123avg 90
A07/01
Eurocup
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#1
L
84-95
84
95
-11
55avg 90
A11/01
Super League
Aris
#13
W
96-77
96
77
+19
no box
A14/01
Eurocup
Ironi Kiryat Ata
#11
W
96-68
96
68
+28
no box
H17/01
Super League
Bahcesehir Kol.
#7
L
82-94
82
94
-12
73avg 90
H20/01
Eurocup
Galil Elyon
#12
W
81-76
81
76
+5
no box
A24/01
Super League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-12
30-19
22-17
22-21
31-16
26-26
25-31
20-26
23-22
22-27
27-8
33-12
18-20
22-16
26-26
26-15
32-22
32-20
31-22
20-8
26-26
17-23
17-26
24-20
27-16
19-21
27-15
23-25
19-22
30-19
21-15
26-12
29-19
20-30
9-21
24-24
26-20
16-23
24-17
15-16
174.9Avg total
95.3Scored
79.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)95.681.9177.5+13.780%
Season at home (8)94.280.2174.5+14.075%
Season away (7)97.183.9181.0+13.386%
Last 10 (10)95.379.6174.9+15.780%
Last 5 (5)87.882.0169.8+5.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)88.385.3173.7+3.067%
vs Similar (4)78.286.0164.2-7.825%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)92.679.0171.6+13.683%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: +6.2+6.2Q2Q2: -6.1-6.1Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +5.4+5.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: +6.2+6.2Q2Q2: -6.1-6.1Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +5.4+5.4
NeptunasHapoel Jerusalem
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#5
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A23/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#4
L
48-55
48
55
-7
H28/12
LKL
Venezia
#9
L
56-58
56
58
-2
H02/01
Eurocup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
31-63
31
63
-32
A04/01
LKL
Hamburg
#20
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A07/01
Eurocup
Nevezis
#9
W
53-51
53
51
+2
H10/01
LKL
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
41-47
41
47
-6
H13/01
Eurocup
Nevezis
#5
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H17/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Manresa
#10
W
53-46
53
46
+7
A21/01
Eurocup
Lietkabelis
#6
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H24/01
LKL
94.3Avg total
45.5Scored
48.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.147.694.6-0.557%-
Last 30 at home (14)48.147.495.5+0.850%-
Last 30 away (16)46.147.893.9-1.662%-
Last 10 (10)45.548.894.3-3.350%-
Last 5 (5)46.245.091.2+1.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)45.251.997.1-6.744%-
vs Similar (7)46.645.492.0+1.157%-
vs Weaker (14)48.545.994.4+2.664%-
This opponent (Hapoel Jerusalem) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel JerusalemLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Elitzur Maccabi Netanya
#13
W
56-31
56
31
+25
H24/12
Super League
Maccabi Raanana
#14
W
57-42
57
42
+15
H27/12
Super League
Manresa
#10
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H30/12
Eurocup
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#2
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A03/01
Super League
Slask Wroclaw
#18
W
64-42
64
42
+22
A07/01
Eurocup
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#1
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A11/01
Super League
Aris
#13
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A14/01
Eurocup
Ironi Kiryat Ata
#11
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H17/01
Super League
Bahcesehir Kol.
#7
D
49-49
49
49
+0
H20/01
Eurocup
Galil Elyon
#12
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A24/01
Super League
91.0Avg total
49.1Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.240.187.3+7.177%-
Last 30 at home (16)47.138.785.8+8.481%-
Last 30 away (14)47.241.788.9+5.571%-
Last 10 (10)49.141.991.0+7.260%-
Last 5 (5)45.843.889.6+2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)45.045.090.0+0.067%-
vs Similar (4)43.838.081.8+5.875%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)48.039.887.9+8.278%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 94.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀26%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws24.6 pts a game · 26% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.419.4
54.8%
54.5%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.010.4
35.9%
34.4%31.2
🏀 Free throws31.024.6
79.4%
75.2%24.6
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hapoel Jerusalemtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hapoel Jerusalem: 90.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.220.9
54.7%
54.5%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.010.5
42.0%
34.4%31.5
🏀 Free throws23.517.6
74.9%
75.2%17.6
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neptunas
WLWLWWLLLW
Hapoel Jerusalem
WLWWLWWWWW
#14
League position
#3
-4.8
Net rating
+9.4
111.6
Offensive rating
115.2
116.4
Defensive rating
105.8
54.3%
Effective FG%
58.0%
60.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.6%
15.4%
Turnover %
16.4%
29.8%
Off. rebound %
30.9%
0.48
Free-throw rate
0.37
35.9%
3-point %
42.0%
65.1%
Assist %
65.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence111.6 · 115.2Defence116.4 · 105.8Shooting54.3% · 58.0%3-point %35.9% · 42.0%Ball care15.4% · 16.4%Off. rebounds29.8% · 30.9%Free throws0.48 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Neptunas   ■ Hapoel Jerusalem
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Neptunas wins
1
Hapoel Jerusalem wins
DateGameScore
11/11/25Hapoel Jerusalem v Neptunas110-93
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/26HLietkabelis97-87
21/01/26AManresa96-97
17/01/26HNevezis87-67
13/01/26HCedevita Olimpija85-104
10/01/26HNevezis113-82
07/01/26AHamburg98-94
04/01/26AZalgiris Kaunas77-112
02/01/26HVenezia103-118
28/12/25HSiauliai101-103
23/12/25ANevezis87-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/26AGalil Elyon81-76
20/01/26HBahcesehir Kol.82-94
17/01/26HIroni Kiryat Ata96-68
14/01/26AAris96-77
11/01/26AMaccabi Tel Aviv84-95
07/01/26ASlask Wroclaw115-72
03/01/26AHapoel Tel-Aviv92-77
30/12/25HManresa105-69
27/12/25HMaccabi Raanana102-99
24/12/25HElitzur Maccabi Netanya100-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
Eurocup 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL40%
HomeWLWLL43%
AwayLWLWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %40%43%38%
Points / game93.996.791.5
Allowed / game97.597.797.4
Point differential-3.6-1.0-5.9
Avg total191.5194.4188.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%29%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %7%14%0%
Hapoel Jerusalem
Eurocup 2025
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL80%
HomeWWWWL75%
AwayWWWWW86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %80%75%86%
Points / game95.694.297.1
Allowed / game81.980.283.9
Point differential+13.7+14.0+13.3
Avg total177.5174.5181.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%75%57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hapoel Jerusalem1512380%95.681.9+13.7
2 JL Bourg1511473%81.975.7+6.1
3 Turk Telekom1611569%87.674.9+12.7
4 Besiktas1611569%92.984.6+8.4
5 Bahcesehir Kol.1611569%88.981.7+7.2
6 Cedevita Olimpija1510567%87.378.1+9.2
7 Buducnost1610662%88.181.1+6.9
8 Trento1610662%84.685.9-1.2
9 Manresa159660%88.889.0-0.2
10 Cluj-Napoca158753%94.892.1+2.7
11 Venezia158753%89.787.5+2.2
12 Chemnitz168850%82.282.8-0.6
13 Ulm157847%83.189.7-6.7
14 Aris167944%84.389.8-5.4
15 Neptunas156940%93.997.5-3.6
16 London Lions1551033%75.281.2-6.0
17 Slask Wroclaw1541127%85.395.4-10.1
18 Lietkabelis1631319%79.187.2-8.2
19 Panionios1521313%76.489.1-12.7
20 Hamburg151147%80.396.1-15.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas3321232198
Hapoel Jerusalem2530172092
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