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Neptunas vs Lietkabelis Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 24 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 14:50
Final 97-87
29-23 17-21 24-19 27-24
Position#3
Record9-5
FormWWLWL
Points / game96.9
Allowed / game92.1
vs
Position#6
Record8-6
FormWLLWL
Points / game85.6
Allowed / game82.1
LithuaniaLKL· Svyturio Arena
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Neptunas v Lietkabelis
17 Feb 2027
NEP v LIE
upcoming
23 Jan 2027
NEP v LIE
upcoming
11 Jun 2026
NEP66
LIE63
06 Jun 2026
NEP86
LIE73
28 Mar 2026
NEP96
LIE87
22 Feb 2026
NEP73
LIE94
24 Jan 2026
NEP97
LIE87
02 Mar 2025
NEP72
LIE91
11 Jan 2025
NEP56
LIE63
13 Apr 2024
NEP88
LIE84
03 Jan 2024
NEP91
LIE89
16 Sep 2023
NEP91
LIE81
03 Apr 2023
NEP73
LIE86
05 Mar 2022
NEP73
LIE83
05 Jan 2022
NEP69
LIE73
06 Oct 2021
NEP53
LIE81
16 May 2021
NEP78
LIE94
01 May 2021
NEP83
LIE73
05 Dec 2020
NEP80
LIE90
29 Feb 2020
NEP78
LIE84
09 Nov 2019
NEP78
LIE74
17 Mar 2019
NEP72
LIE74
30 Sep 2018
NEP76
LIE89
15 Jun 2018
NEP79
LIE71
10 Jun 2018
NEP69
LIE83
27 Jan 2018
NEP83
LIE78
02 Dec 2017
NEP86
LIE76
15 Jan 2017
NEP86
LIE61
19 Nov 2016
NEP67
LIE77
16 Jan 2016
NEP70
LIE74
22 Nov 2015
NEP73
LIE65
01 Feb 2015
NEP102
LIE76
16 Nov 2014
NEP98
LIE86
09 Oct 2013
NEP84
LIE79
03 Oct 2012
NEP84
LIE78
01 Oct 2011
NEP80
LIE60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lietkabelis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Cluj-Napoca
#11
L
97-118
97
118
-21
86avg 85
A17/12
Eurocup
Nevezis
#5
W
87-76
87
76
+11
87avg 85
A23/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#4
L
101-103
101
103
-2
90avg 85
H28/12
LKL
Venezia
#9
L
103-118
103
118
-15
101avg 85
H02/01
Eurocup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
77-112
77
112
-35
66avg 85
A04/01
LKL
Hamburg
#20
W
98-94
98
94
+4
90avg 85
A07/01
Eurocup
Nevezis
#9
W
113-82
113
82
+31
111avg 85
H10/01
LKL
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
85-104
85
104
-19
74avg 85
H13/01
Eurocup
Nevezis
#5
W
87-67
87
67
+20
no box
H17/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Manresa
#10
L
96-97
96
97
-1
88avg 85
A21/01
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-38
22-30
33-24
24-26
26-15
15-28
23-13
23-20
33-26
15-29
20-18
33-30
35-29
21-29
31-31
16-29
25-31
6-32
18-23
28-26
25-24
23-20
21-24
29-26
29-24
24-27
33-13
27-18
16-24
25-23
20-27
24-30
17-13
21-24
30-15
19-15
24-22
29-24
20-16
23-35
191.5Avg total
94.4Scored
97.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)96.992.1189.0+4.964%
Season at home (6)98.288.0186.2+10.267%
Season away (8)96.095.1191.1+0.962%
Last 10 (10)94.497.1191.5-2.740%
Last 5 (5)95.888.8184.6+7.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)89.1101.8190.9-12.720%
vs Similar ◀ (6)91.786.2177.8+5.550%
vs Weaker (14)100.291.1191.4+9.179%
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LietkabelisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLietkabelis
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
W
84-73
84
73
+11
76avg 78
A13/12
LKL
Chemnitz
#12
L
79-85
79
85
-6
66avg 78
H16/12
Eurocup
Juventus
#4
L
73-76
73
76
-3
64avg 78
A20/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#9
L
69-77
69
77
-8
53avg 78
A28/12
LKL
Ulm
#15
W
89-79
89
79
+10
82avg 78
A02/01
Eurocup
Juventus
#7
W
89-83
89
83
+6
89avg 78
H04/01
LKL
JL Bourg
#1
L
73-86
73
86
-13
62avg 78
H07/01
Eurocup
Buducnost
#6
L
81-95
81
95
-14
no box
A14/01
Eurocup
Juventus
#4
W
81-68
81
68
+13
no box
H18/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Trento
#8
L
93-94
93
94
-1
89avg 78
H21/01
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-17
18-17
23-20
23-19
21-26
15-23
23-19
20-17
15-18
15-23
18-14
25-21
14-22
16-17
17-20
22-18
29-25
19-17
14-23
27-14
20-19
26-18
22-18
21-28
15-22
16-16
20-19
22-29
25-25
26-20
16-26
14-24
14-9
18-20
22-17
27-22
15-29
34-23
25-17
19-25
162.7Avg total
81.1Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)85.682.1167.6+3.557%
Season at home (7)88.682.9171.4+5.757%
Season away (7)82.681.3163.9+1.357%
Last 10 (10)81.181.6162.7-0.540%
Last 5 (5)83.485.2168.6-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)80.387.4167.7-7.127%
vs Similar ◀ (7)79.781.1160.9-1.429%
vs Weaker (8)87.078.6165.6+8.475%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: -6.5-6.5Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +4.5+4.5Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +0.3+0.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: -6.5-6.5Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +4.5+4.5Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +0.3+0.3
NeptunasLietkabelis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cluj-Napoca
#11
L
40-68
40
68
-28
A17/12
Eurocup
Nevezis
#5
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A23/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#4
L
48-55
48
55
-7
H28/12
LKL
Venezia
#9
L
56-58
56
58
-2
H02/01
Eurocup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
31-63
31
63
-32
A04/01
LKL
Hamburg
#20
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A07/01
Eurocup
Nevezis
#9
W
53-51
53
51
+2
H10/01
LKL
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
41-47
41
47
-6
H13/01
Eurocup
Nevezis
#5
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H17/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Manresa
#10
W
53-46
53
46
+7
A21/01
Eurocup
96.1Avg total
44.9Scored
51.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.647.594.2-0.953%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.247.394.5-0.143%-
Last 30 away (16)46.147.893.9-1.662%-
Last 10 (10)44.951.296.1-6.340%-
Last 5 (5)46.645.091.6+1.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)44.051.095.0-7.040%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)46.745.792.3+1.050%-
vs Weaker (14)48.545.994.4+2.664%-
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LietkabelisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A13/12
LKL
Chemnitz
#12
L
36-49
36
49
-13
H16/12
Eurocup
Juventus
#4
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A20/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#9
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A28/12
LKL
Ulm
#15
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A02/01
Eurocup
Juventus
#7
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H04/01
LKL
JL Bourg
#1
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H07/01
Eurocup
Buducnost
#6
W
51-45
51
45
+6
A14/01
Eurocup
Juventus
#4
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H18/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Trento
#8
L
49-52
49
52
-3
H21/01
Eurocup
79.7Avg total
39.1Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.742.982.6-3.237%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.242.583.7-1.340%-
Last 30 away (15)38.243.381.5-5.133%-
Last 10 (10)39.140.679.7-1.550%-
Last 5 (5)41.840.282.0+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)39.045.784.7-6.727%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)36.942.779.6-5.943%-
vs Weaker (8)43.537.881.2+5.850%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 95.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws23.1 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.6 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.420.1
55.2%
55.4%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.510.6
35.9%
35.5%31.8
🏀 Free throws29.523.1
78.3%
74.3%23.1
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lietkabelistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lietkabelis: 80.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.6 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.018.3
44.6%
55.4%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.99.1
43.5%
35.5%27.3
🏀 Free throws22.416.7
74.6%
74.3%16.7
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neptunas
LWLWWLLLWL
Lietkabelis
LWLLWWLLLW
#3
League position
#6
-4.3
Net rating
-2.9
112.8
Offensive rating
109.5
117.1
Defensive rating
112.3
54.6%
Effective FG%
51.6%
59.5%
Opp. effective FG%
55.0%
15.1%
Turnover %
18.8%
29.6%
Off. rebound %
34.5%
0.45
Free-throw rate
0.36
35.9%
3-point %
43.5%
63.8%
Assist %
54.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence112.8 · 109.5Defence117.1 · 112.3Shooting54.6% · 51.6%3-point %35.9% · 43.5%Ball care15.1% · 18.8%Off. rebounds29.6% · 34.5%Free throws0.45 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Neptunas   ■ Lietkabelis
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Neptunas wins
4
Lietkabelis wins
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/26AManresa96-97
17/01/26HNevezis87-67
13/01/26HCedevita Olimpija85-104
10/01/26HNevezis113-82
07/01/26AHamburg98-94
04/01/26AZalgiris Kaunas77-112
02/01/26HVenezia103-118
28/12/25HSiauliai101-103
23/12/25ANevezis87-76
17/12/25ACluj-Napoca97-118
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/26HTrento93-94
18/01/26HJuventus81-68
14/01/26ABuducnost81-95
07/01/26HJL Bourg73-86
04/01/26HJuventus89-83
02/01/26AUlm89-79
28/12/25ANevezis69-77
20/12/25AJuventus73-76
16/12/25HChemnitz79-85
13/12/25ARytas84-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
LKL 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW64%
HomeWWWLW67%
AwayLWWWL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %64%67%62%
Points / game96.998.296.0
Allowed / game92.188.095.1
Point differential+4.9+10.2+0.9
Avg total189.0186.2191.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %7%0%12%
Lietkabelis
LKL 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW57%
HomeWWLLW57%
AwayLWWWL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %57%57%57%
Points / game85.688.682.6
Allowed / game82.182.981.3
Point differential+3.5+5.7+1.3
Avg total167.6171.4163.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%29%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas1413193%90.474.6+15.9
2 Rytas149564%90.981.1+9.9
3 Neptunas149564%96.992.1+4.9
4 Lietkabelis148657%85.682.1+3.5
5 Siauliai147750%87.189.9-2.7
6 Juventus146843%85.886.6-0.9
7 Gargzdai156940%83.189.6-6.5
8 Nevezis1541127%82.391.3-8.9
9 Jonava1421214%84.698.5-13.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas2917242797
Lietkabelis2321192487
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