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Neptunas vs Nevezis Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 87-67
17-13 21-24 30-15 19-15
Position#6
Record1-0
FormLLWWL
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game76.0
vs
Position#5
Record5-4
FormLLWLL
Points / game86.7
Allowed / game87.8
LithuaniaKing Mindaugas CupKing Mindaugas Cup - Quarter-finals
Other2025-26
Meetings · Neptunas v Nevezis
17 Apr 2027
NEP v NEV
upcoming
03 Oct 2026
NEP89
NEV62
11 Apr 2026
NEP88
NEV93
17 Jan 2026
NEP87
NEV67
10 Jan 2026
NEP113
NEV82
04 May 2025
NEP96
NEV90
09 Feb 2025
NEP94
NEV107
23 Oct 2024
NEP86
NEV88
22 Apr 2024
NEP79
NEV92
20 Nov 2023
NEP97
NEV74
18 Apr 2023
NEP97
NEV91
12 Dec 2022
NEP86
NEV79
03 Apr 2022
NEP95
NEV61
12 Dec 2021
NEP94
NEV87
03 Oct 2021
NEP97
NEV95
07 May 2020
NEP v NEV
upcoming
07 Dec 2019
NEP88
NEV78
28 Apr 2019
NEP86
NEV76
23 Sep 2018
NEP100
NEV76
04 Mar 2018
NEP81
NEV64
24 Sep 2017
NEP92
NEV73
12 Apr 2017
NEP90
NEV53
12 Nov 2016
NEP70
NEV63
23 Apr 2016
NEP103
NEV69
30 Sep 2015
NEP77
NEV66
10 Jan 2015
NEP106
NEV78
30 Sep 2014
NEP115
NEV76
23 Apr 2014
NEP78
NEV76
12 Apr 2013
NEP102
NEV61
02 Mar 2012
NEP91
NEV93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nevezis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Slask Wroclaw
#18
W
103-87 OT
103
87
+16
81avg 85
H10/12
Eurocup
Gargzdai
#5
W
104-87
104
87
+17
96avg 85
A13/12
LKL
Cluj-Napoca
#11
L
97-118
97
118
-21
86avg 85
A17/12
Eurocup
Nevezis
#5
W
87-76
87
76
+11
87avg 85
A23/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#4
L
101-103
101
103
-2
90avg 85
H28/12
LKL
Venezia
#9
L
103-118
103
118
-15
101avg 85
H02/01
Eurocup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
77-112
77
112
-35
66avg 85
A04/01
LKL
Hamburg
#20
W
98-94
98
94
+4
90avg 85
A07/01
Eurocup
Nevezis
#9
W
113-82
113
82
+31
111avg 85
H10/01
LKL
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
85-104
85
104
-19
74avg 85
H13/01
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-30
24-16
24-19
19-18
24-24
26-18
37-19
17-26
18-38
22-30
33-24
24-26
26-15
15-28
23-13
23-20
33-26
15-29
20-18
33-30
35-29
21-29
31-31
16-29
25-31
6-32
18-23
28-26
25-24
23-20
21-24
29-26
29-24
24-27
33-13
27-18
16-24
25-23
20-27
24-30
194.9Avg total
96.8Scored
98.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)87.076.0163.0+11.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)87.076.0163.0+11.0100%
Last 10 (10)96.898.1194.9-1.350%
Last 5 (5)95.2102.0197.2-6.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)87.4101.5188.8-14.118%
vs Similar ◀ (5)92.687.4180.0+5.260%
vs Weaker (14)100.291.1191.4+9.179%
This opponent (Nevezis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevezisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNevezis
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#7
W
83-78
83
78
+5
77avg 79
H19/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#7
L
79-96
79
96
-17
61avg 79
H23/11
LKL
Juventus
#4
W
102-100 OT
102
100
+2
no box
A03/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
L
74-104
74
104
-30
60avg 79
A06/12
LKL
Gargzdai
#9
L
74-90
74
90
-16
61avg 79
A10/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#8
L
83-85
83
85
-2
82avg 79
H14/12
LKL
Neptunas
#6
L
76-87
76
87
-11
65avg 79
H23/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#6
W
77-69
77
69
+8
75avg 79
H28/12
LKL
Siauliai
#4
L
95-98
95
98
-3
87avg 79
A03/01
LKL
Neptunas
#3
L
82-113
82
113
-31
70avg 79
A10/01
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-17
21-19
18-14
19-28
23-22
17-25
16-24
23-25
20-25
18-22
26-27
26-16
23-27
15-20
16-30
20-27
23-26
11-20
20-30
20-14
23-14
15-27
26-25
19-19
15-26
28-15
13-23
20-23
22-14
17-16
20-17
18-22
19-26
25-20
21-25
30-27
24-29
27-24
13-33
18-27
174.5Avg total
82.5Scored
92.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)86.787.8174.4-1.156%
Season at home (5)82.283.4165.6-1.260%
Season away (4)92.293.2185.5-1.050%
Last 10 (10)82.592.0174.5-9.530%
Last 5 (5)82.690.4173.0-7.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)85.192.9178.0-7.938%
vs Similar ◀ (9)84.391.4175.8-7.111%
vs Weaker (5)96.888.4185.2+8.460%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -5.1-5.1Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +4.9+4.9Q3: -5.9-5.9Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -1.5-1.5
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -5.1-5.1Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +4.9+4.9Q3: -5.9-5.9Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -1.5-1.5
NeptunasNevezis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Slask Wroclaw
#18
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H10/12
Eurocup
Gargzdai
#5
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A13/12
LKL
Cluj-Napoca
#11
L
40-68
40
68
-28
A17/12
Eurocup
Nevezis
#5
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A23/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#4
L
48-55
48
55
-7
H28/12
LKL
Venezia
#9
L
56-58
56
58
-2
H02/01
Eurocup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
31-63
31
63
-32
A04/01
LKL
Hamburg
#20
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A07/01
Eurocup
Nevezis
#9
W
53-51
53
51
+2
H10/01
LKL
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
41-47
41
47
-6
H13/01
Eurocup
96.5Avg total
44.8Scored
51.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.247.793.9-1.550%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.048.195.1-1.136%-
Last 30 away (16)45.647.392.9-1.862%-
Last 10 (10)44.851.796.5-6.930%-
Last 5 (5)45.852.698.4-6.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)43.250.894.0-7.636%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)46.646.092.6+0.640%-
vs Weaker (14)48.545.994.4+2.664%-
This opponent (Nevezis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevezisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#7
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H19/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#7
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H23/11
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A03/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A06/12
LKL
Gargzdai
#9
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A10/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#8
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H14/12
LKL
Neptunas
#6
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H23/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#6
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H28/12
LKL
Siauliai
#4
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A03/01
LKL
Neptunas
#3
L
51-53
51
53
-2
A10/01
LKL
84.5Avg total
41.1Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.345.188.4-1.837%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.844.087.8-0.247%-
Last 30 away (13)42.646.689.2-4.023%-
Last 10 (10)41.143.484.5-2.330%-
Last 5 (5)43.042.285.2+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)40.945.886.8-4.925%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)43.145.788.8-2.644%-
vs Weaker (5)51.242.093.2+9.260%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 95.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws23.3 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.0 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.120.8
54.6%
55.4%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.010.3
34.3%
35.7%30.9
🏀 Free throws30.023.3
77.7%
74.2%23.3
They take 68.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nevezistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nevezis: 79.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.0 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.721.1
49.4%
55.4%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.27.6
32.8%
35.7%22.8
🏀 Free throws22.714.7
64.8%
74.2%14.7
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neptunas
LWWLLLWLWW
Nevezis
LLWLLLLWLW
#6
League position
#5
-2.3
Net rating
-12.5
114.4
Offensive rating
100.4
116.7
Defensive rating
112.9
53.2%
Effective FG%
49.3%
60.3%
Opp. effective FG%
52.7%
15.2%
Turnover %
17.3%
32.1%
Off. rebound %
29.5%
0.44
Free-throw rate
0.34
34.3%
3-point %
32.8%
60.5%
Assist %
53.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence114.4 · 100.4Defence116.7 · 112.9Shooting53.2% · 49.3%3-point %34.3% · 32.8%Ball care15.2% · 17.3%Off. rebounds32.1% · 29.5%Free throws0.44 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Neptunas   ■ Nevezis
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Neptunas wins
3
Nevezis wins
DateGameScore
10/01/26Neptunas v Nevezis113-82
23/12/25Nevezis v Neptunas76-87
04/10/25Nevezis v Neptunas85-92
04/05/25Neptunas v Nevezis96-90
06/03/25Nevezis v Neptunas81-83
09/02/25Neptunas v Nevezis94-107
04/12/24Nevezis v Neptunas101-102
16/11/24Nevezis v Neptunas74-83
23/10/24Neptunas v Nevezis86-88
22/04/24Neptunas v Nevezis79-92
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/26HCedevita Olimpija85-104
10/01/26HNevezis113-82
07/01/26AHamburg98-94
04/01/26AZalgiris Kaunas77-112
02/01/26HVenezia103-118
28/12/25HSiauliai101-103
23/12/25ANevezis87-76
17/12/25ACluj-Napoca97-118
13/12/25AGargzdai104-87
10/12/25HSlask Wroclaw103-87 OT
Nevezislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/26ANeptunas82-113
03/01/26ASiauliai95-98
28/12/25HLietkabelis77-69
23/12/25HNeptunas76-87
14/12/25HJonava83-85
10/12/25AGargzdai74-90
06/12/25ARytas74-104
03/12/25AJuventus102-100 OT
23/11/25HJuventus79-96
19/11/25HSiauliai83-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
King Mindaugas Cup 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game87.0-87.0
Allowed / game76.0-76.0
Point differential+11.0-+11.0
Avg total163.0-163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Nevezis
King Mindaugas Cup 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL56%
HomeLWWWL60%
AwayLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %56%60%50%
Points / game86.782.292.2
Allowed / game87.883.493.2
Point differential-1.1-1.2-1.0
Avg total174.4165.6185.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%20%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %11%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas110100%118.073.0+45.0
2 Neptunas110100%87.076.0+11.0
3 Rytas220100%98.088.0+10.0
4 Juventus95456%86.783.2+3.4
5 Nevezis95456%86.787.8-1.1
6 Jonava94544%83.291.1-7.9
7 Siauliai104640%87.590.1-2.6
8 Gargzdai83538%84.584.1+0.4
9 Lietkabelis1010%73.076.0-3.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas1721301987
Nevezis1324151567
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