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Neptunas vs Siauliai Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 14:50
Final 101-103
33-26 15-29 20-18 33-30
Position#3
Record8-3
FormWWWLW
Points / game96.9
Allowed / game90.2
vs
Position#4
Record5-6
FormLLWWL
Points / game86.2
Allowed / game89.7
LithuaniaLKL· Svyturio Arena
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Neptunas v Siauliai
03 Apr 2027
NEP v SIA
upcoming
25 Oct 2026
NEP110
SIA88
19 Apr 2026
NEP98
SIA83
28 Dec 2025
NEP101
SIA103
27 Apr 2025
NEP90
SIA95
25 Jan 2025
NEP80
SIA90
27 Nov 2024
NEP101
SIA104
11 Mar 2024
NEP85
SIA76
06 Mar 2023
NEP93
SIA79
31 Oct 2021
NEP86
SIA94
07 May 2021
NEP107
SIA106
17 Jan 2021
NEP77
SIA88
10 Jan 2021
NEP88
SIA94
08 Mar 2020
NEP90
SIA70
05 Oct 2019
NEP90
SIA94
05 May 2019
NEP96
SIA75
23 Dec 2018
NEP80
SIA76
01 Mar 2018
NEP71
SIA78
04 Jan 2018
NEP84
SIA79
26 Apr 2017
NEP85
SIA78
12 Oct 2016
NEP95
SIA67
03 May 2016
NEP90
SIA85
27 Apr 2016
NEP83
SIA77
23 Jan 2016
NEP68
SIA73
29 Nov 2015
NEP74
SIA83
08 Apr 2015
NEP90
SIA77
28 Oct 2014
NEP70
SIA68
11 May 2014
NEP89
SIA88
01 May 2014
NEP86
SIA83
01 Oct 2013
NEP91
SIA69
27 Nov 2012
NEP91
SIA83
19 Apr 2012
NEP101
SIA84
20 Jan 2012
NEP89
SIA93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Siauliai winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Juventus
#7
W
85-72
85
72
+13
85avg 83
H08/11
LKL
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
L
93-110
93
110
-17
78avg 83
A11/11
Eurocup
Juventus
#7
W
97-90
97
90
+7
87avg 83
A15/11
LKL
Aris
#13
L
87-93
87
93
-6
76avg 83
H18/11
Eurocup
Bahcesehir Kol.
#7
W
100-85
100
85
+15
96avg 83
A04/12
Eurocup
Jonava
#8
W
124-117 OT
124
117
+7
121avg 83
A07/12
LKL
Slask Wroclaw
#18
W
103-87 OT
103
87
+16
81avg 83
H10/12
Eurocup
Gargzdai
#5
W
104-87
104
87
+17
96avg 83
A13/12
LKL
Cluj-Napoca
#11
L
97-118
97
118
-21
86avg 83
A17/12
Eurocup
Nevezis
#5
W
87-76
87
76
+11
87avg 83
A23/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-15
24-23
29-20
20-14
28-29
28-25
27-28
10-28
23-27
31-18
19-24
24-21
28-21
18-29
18-23
23-20
32-18
20-18
31-18
17-31
24-29
26-15
24-25
24-29
16-30
24-16
24-19
19-18
24-24
26-18
37-19
17-26
18-38
22-30
33-24
24-26
26-15
15-28
23-13
23-20
191.2Avg total
97.7Scored
93.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)96.990.2187.1+6.773%
Season at home (4)93.885.8179.5+8.075%
Season away (7)98.792.7191.4+6.071%
Last 10 (10)97.793.5191.2+4.270%
Last 5 (5)103.097.0200.0+6.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)82.295.5177.6-13.318%
vs Similar (7)94.488.3182.7+6.171%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)98.089.7187.7+8.383%
This opponent (Siauliai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SiauliaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSiauliai
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
L
79-94
79
94
-15
63avg 81
A25/10
LKL
Neptunas
#3
W
89-85
89
85
+4
84avg 81
H02/11
LKL
Gargzdai
#9
L
91-102
91
102
-11
80avg 81
A05/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#8
W
86-76
86
76
+10
78avg 81
H12/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
L
100-105
100
105
-5
88avg 81
H15/11
LKL
Nevezis
#5
L
78-83
78
83
-5
69avg 81
A19/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Gargzdai
#5
L
83-94
83
94
-11
68avg 81
H22/11
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
W
86-80
86
80
+6
85avg 81
A06/12
LKL
Juventus
#4
W
93-85
93
85
+8
90avg 81
H10/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
L
82-97
82
97
-15
65avg 81
H23/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-32
21-25
21-21
13-16
16-26
26-23
17-20
30-16
19-25
27-25
26-24
19-28
21-15
27-18
23-19
15-24
22-19
20-27
27-31
31-28
17-25
19-21
14-18
28-19
25-18
18-26
23-18
17-32
22-21
27-16
17-16
20-27
24-16
21-26
25-14
23-29
25-32
17-27
24-19
16-19
176.8Avg total
86.7Scored
90.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)86.289.7175.9-3.545%
Season at home (5)90.488.4178.8+2.060%
Season away (6)82.790.8173.5-8.233%
Last 10 (10)86.790.1176.8-3.440%
Last 5 (5)84.487.8172.2-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)86.397.1183.4-10.823%
vs Similar (12)87.590.2177.8-2.850%
vs Weaker (5)94.889.0183.8+5.860%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +5.2+5.2Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: -2.6-2.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +5.2+5.2Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: -2.6-2.6
NeptunasSiauliai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Juventus
#7
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H08/11
LKL
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
W
56-54
56
54
+2
A11/11
Eurocup
Juventus
#7
W
54-45
54
45
+9
A15/11
LKL
Aris
#13
L
46-50
46
50
-4
H18/11
Eurocup
Bahcesehir Kol.
#7
W
52-36
52
36
+16
A04/12
Eurocup
Jonava
#8
W
50-44
50
44
+6
A07/12
LKL
Slask Wroclaw
#18
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H10/12
Eurocup
Gargzdai
#5
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A13/12
LKL
Cluj-Napoca
#11
L
40-68
40
68
-28
A17/12
Eurocup
Nevezis
#5
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A23/12
King Mindaugas Cup
93.1Avg total
46.5Scored
46.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.145.789.7-1.650%-
Last 30 at home (12)45.845.090.8+0.850%-
Last 30 away (18)42.946.189.0-3.250%-
Last 10 (10)46.546.693.1-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)44.248.692.8-4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)39.848.588.3-8.636%-
vs Similar (7)44.344.488.7-0.143%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)47.843.891.7+4.067%-
This opponent (Siauliai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SiauliaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
L
45-57
45
57
-12
A25/10
LKL
Neptunas
#3
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H02/11
LKL
Gargzdai
#9
L
46-50
46
50
-4
A05/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#8
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H12/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H15/11
LKL
Nevezis
#5
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A19/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Gargzdai
#5
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H22/11
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
W
49-37
49
37
+12
A06/12
LKL
Juventus
#4
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H10/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
L
42-59
42
59
-17
H23/12
King Mindaugas Cup
90.1Avg total
43.8Scored
46.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.248.293.4-3.133%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.746.092.7+0.750%-
Last 30 away (16)43.850.294.0-6.419%-
Last 10 (10)43.846.390.1-2.530%-
Last 5 (5)43.045.688.6-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)44.051.495.4-7.431%-
vs Similar (12)44.345.890.1-1.425%-
vs Weaker (5)50.246.096.2+4.260%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 96.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀38%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.3 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.6 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.018.2
55.2%
55.4%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.813.1
37.6%
35.5%39.3
🏀 Free throws27.620.6
74.6%
74.3%20.6
They take 67.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Siauliaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Siauliai: 87.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.6 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.520.2
52.5%
55.4%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.510.3
36.1%
35.5%30.9
🏀 Free throws20.916.3
78.0%
74.3%16.3
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neptunas
WLWWWWLWLW
Siauliai
LWWLLLWLWL
#3
League position
#4
+4.0
Net rating
-1.8
121.2
Offensive rating
118.0
117.1
Defensive rating
119.8
55.8%
Effective FG%
53.2%
56.5%
Opp. effective FG%
54.4%
17.0%
Turnover %
14.8%
36.6%
Off. rebound %
32.9%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.31
37.6%
3-point %
36.1%
58.8%
Assist %
61.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence121.2 · 118.0Defence117.1 · 119.8Shooting55.8% · 53.2%3-point %37.6% · 36.1%Ball care17.0% · 14.8%Off. rebounds36.6% · 32.9%Free throws0.41 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Neptunas   ■ Siauliai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Neptunas wins
9
Siauliai wins
DateGameScore
02/11/25Siauliai v Neptunas89-85
27/04/25Neptunas v Siauliai90-95
22/03/25Siauliai v Neptunas91-78
25/01/25Neptunas v Siauliai80-90
27/11/24Neptunas v Siauliai101-104 OT
19/10/24Siauliai v Neptunas108-103 OT
02/10/24Siauliai v Neptunas102-82
05/05/24Siauliai v Neptunas104-98
11/03/24Neptunas v Siauliai85-76
24/09/23Siauliai v Neptunas90-82
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/25ANevezis87-76
17/12/25ACluj-Napoca97-118
13/12/25AGargzdai104-87
10/12/25HSlask Wroclaw103-87 OT
07/12/25AJonava124-117 OT
04/12/25ABahcesehir Kol.100-85
18/11/25HAris87-93
15/11/25AJuventus97-90
11/11/25AHapoel Jerusalem93-110
08/11/25HJuventus85-72
Siauliailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/25HRytas82-97
10/12/25HJuventus93-85
06/12/25ALietkabelis86-80
22/11/25HGargzdai83-94
19/11/25ANevezis78-83
15/11/25HRytas100-105
12/11/25HJonava86-76
05/11/25AGargzdai91-102
02/11/25HNeptunas89-85
25/10/25ARytas79-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
LKL 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW73%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayLLWWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1147
Win %73%75%71%
Points / game96.993.898.7
Allowed / game90.285.892.7
Point differential+6.7+8.0+6.0
Avg total187.1179.5191.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%50%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %9%0%14%
Siauliai
LKL 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW45%
HomeWWWLL60%
AwayLLLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %45%60%33%
Points / game86.290.482.7
Allowed / game89.788.490.8
Point differential-3.5+2.0-8.2
Avg total175.9178.8173.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas1211192%89.974.7+15.2
2 Neptunas118373%96.990.2+6.7
3 Rytas139469%91.981.0+10.9
4 Lietkabelis127558%86.782.4+4.2
5 Siauliai115645%86.289.7-3.5
6 Juventus125742%84.585.8-1.2
7 Gargzdai134931%83.291.6-8.4
8 Nevezis123925%81.890.8-9.0
9 Jonava1221017%84.599.4-14.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas33152033101
Siauliai26291830103
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