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Nevezis vs Neptunas Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 23 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 76-87
15-26 28-15 13-23 20-23
Position#5
Record5-3
FormLWLLL
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game87.9
vs
Position#6
Record-
FormWWWWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
LithuaniaKing Mindaugas CupKing Mindaugas Cup - Quarter-finals· Kedainiu arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Nevezis v Neptunas
06 Mar 2027
NEV v NEP
upcoming
27 Dec 2026
NEV v NEP
upcoming
23 Apr 2026
NEV82
NEP110
23 Dec 2025
NEV76
NEP87
04 Oct 2025
NEV85
NEP92
06 Mar 2025
NEV81
NEP83
04 Dec 2024
NEV101
NEP102
16 Nov 2024
NEV74
NEP83
04 Feb 2024
NEV96
NEP92
21 Nov 2022
NEV67
NEP71
20 Dec 2021
NEV83
NEP88
03 Nov 2021
NEV72
NEP85
28 Mar 2020
NEV v NEP
upcoming
19 Oct 2019
NEV75
NEP68
25 Mar 2019
NEV70
NEP78
10 Nov 2018
NEV69
NEP83
25 Apr 2018
NEV74
NEP67
16 Dec 2017
NEV74
NEP85
12 Mar 2017
NEV70
NEP72
01 Oct 2016
NEV94
NEP90
06 Feb 2016
NEV69
NEP77
11 Dec 2015
NEV56
NEP81
04 Apr 2015
NEV85
NEP88
15 Dec 2014
NEV73
NEP116
08 Dec 2013
NEV68
NEP69
21 Dec 2012
NEV67
NEP74
30 Mar 2012
NEV79
NEP81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nevezis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NevezisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNevezis
Date
Competition
Gargzdai
#5
W
94-87
94
87
+7
85avg 80
H03/11
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
92-74
92
74
+18
86avg 80
H06/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
68-94
68
94
-26
52avg 80
H09/11
LKL
Gargzdai
#5
L
79-86
79
86
-7
59avg 80
A16/11
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
83-78
83
78
+5
77avg 80
H19/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#7
L
79-96
79
96
-17
61avg 80
H23/11
LKL
Juventus
#4
W
102-100 OT
102
100
+2
no box
A03/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
L
74-104
74
104
-30
60avg 80
A06/12
LKL
Gargzdai
#9
L
74-90
74
90
-16
61avg 80
A10/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#8
L
83-85
83
85
-2
82avg 80
H14/12
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
25-26
28-19
20-20
26-11
28-16
16-29
22-18
19-21
12-24
25-25
12-24
11-24
24-12
23-26
21-24
25-17
21-19
18-14
19-28
23-22
17-25
16-24
23-25
20-25
18-22
26-27
26-16
23-27
15-20
16-30
20-27
23-26
11-20
20-30
20-14
23-14
15-27
26-25
19-19
172.2Avg total
82.8Scored
89.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)88.087.9175.9+0.162%
Season at home (4)83.882.5166.2+1.275%
Season away (4)92.293.2185.5-1.050%
Last 10 (10)82.889.4172.2-6.640%
Last 5 (5)82.495.0177.4-12.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)85.493.7179.1-8.436%
vs Similar ◀ (10)84.290.9175.1-6.720%
vs Weaker (6)95.889.7185.5+6.250%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Manresa
#10
W
100-87
100
87
+13
95avg 83
H05/11
Eurocup
Juventus
#7
W
85-72
85
72
+13
85avg 83
H08/11
LKL
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
L
93-110
93
110
-17
78avg 83
A11/11
Eurocup
Juventus
#7
W
97-90
97
90
+7
87avg 83
A15/11
LKL
Aris
#13
L
87-93
87
93
-6
76avg 83
H18/11
Eurocup
Bahcesehir Kol.
#7
W
100-85
100
85
+15
96avg 83
A04/12
Eurocup
Jonava
#8
W
124-117 OT
124
117
+7
121avg 83
A07/12
LKL
Slask Wroclaw
#18
W
103-87 OT
103
87
+16
81avg 83
H10/12
Eurocup
Gargzdai
#5
W
104-87
104
87
+17
96avg 83
A13/12
LKL
Cluj-Napoca
#11
L
97-118
97
118
-21
86avg 83
A17/12
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-17
31-27
22-20
20-23
12-15
24-23
29-20
20-14
28-29
28-25
27-28
10-28
23-27
31-18
19-24
24-21
28-21
18-29
18-23
23-20
32-18
20-18
31-18
17-31
24-29
26-15
24-25
24-29
16-30
24-16
24-19
19-18
24-24
26-18
37-19
17-26
18-38
22-30
33-24
24-26
193.6Avg total
99.0Scored
94.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)99.094.6193.6+4.470%
Last 5 (5)105.698.8204.4+6.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)83.395.0178.3-11.725%
vs Similar ◀ (6)95.790.3186.0+5.367%
vs Weaker (12)98.089.7187.7+8.383%
This opponent (Nevezis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: +4.4+4.4Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -3.8-3.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: +4.4+4.4Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -3.8-3.8
NevezisNeptunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NevezisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gargzdai
#5
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H03/11
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
54-27
54
27
+27
H06/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
31-45
31
45
-14
H09/11
LKL
Gargzdai
#5
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A16/11
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H19/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#7
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H23/11
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A03/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A06/12
LKL
Gargzdai
#9
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A10/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#8
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H14/12
LKL
82.0Avg total
40.0Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.145.688.6-2.533%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.044.888.8-0.844%-
Last 30 away (14)42.046.588.5-4.521%-
Last 10 (10)40.042.082.0-2.020%-
Last 5 (5)37.645.683.2-8.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)40.646.887.4-6.121%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)42.045.087.0-3.040%-
vs Weaker (6)50.543.794.2+6.850%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manresa
#10
W
58-44
58
44
+14
H05/11
Eurocup
Juventus
#7
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H08/11
LKL
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
W
56-54
56
54
+2
A11/11
Eurocup
Juventus
#7
W
54-45
54
45
+9
A15/11
LKL
Aris
#13
L
46-50
46
50
-4
H18/11
Eurocup
Bahcesehir Kol.
#7
W
52-36
52
36
+16
A04/12
Eurocup
Jonava
#8
W
50-44
50
44
+6
A07/12
LKL
Slask Wroclaw
#18
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H10/12
Eurocup
Gargzdai
#5
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A13/12
LKL
Cluj-Napoca
#11
L
40-68
40
68
-28
A17/12
Eurocup
94.9Avg total
48.2Scored
46.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.345.589.8-1.253%-
Last 30 at home (13)45.944.590.4+1.554%-
Last 30 away (17)43.046.389.3-3.353%-
Last 10 (10)48.246.794.9+1.560%-
Last 5 (5)46.447.293.6-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)40.447.688.0-7.242%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)44.844.789.5+0.250%-
vs Weaker (12)47.843.891.7+4.067%-
This opponent (Nevezis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nevezistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nevezis: 81.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.0 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.921.8
49.7%
55.4%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.57.9
33.6%
35.7%23.7
🏀 Free throws20.813.8
66.3%
74.2%13.8
They take 67.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 97.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.5 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.0 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.219.9
56.5%
55.4%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.612.5
37.2%
35.7%37.5
🏀 Free throws27.620.5
74.3%
74.2%20.5
They take 68.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nevezis
LLLWLWLLWW
Neptunas
LWWWWLWLWW
#5
League position
#6
-7.1
Net rating
+4.8
105.3
Offensive rating
123.1
112.5
Defensive rating
118.3
49.9%
Effective FG%
56.2%
55.5%
Opp. effective FG%
57.0%
17.9%
Turnover %
16.4%
32.7%
Off. rebound %
37.7%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.40
33.6%
3-point %
37.2%
52.2%
Assist %
56.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence105.3 · 123.1Defence112.5 · 118.3Shooting49.9% · 56.2%3-point %33.6% · 37.2%Ball care17.9% · 16.4%Off. rebounds32.7% · 37.7%Free throws0.31 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Nevezis   ■ Neptunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Nevezis wins
6
Neptunas wins
DateGameScore
04/10/25Nevezis v Neptunas85-92
04/05/25Neptunas v Nevezis96-90
06/03/25Nevezis v Neptunas81-83
09/02/25Neptunas v Nevezis94-107
04/12/24Nevezis v Neptunas101-102
16/11/24Nevezis v Neptunas74-83
23/10/24Neptunas v Nevezis86-88
22/04/24Neptunas v Nevezis79-92
04/02/24Nevezis v Neptunas96-92 OT
20/11/23Neptunas v Nevezis97-74
Nevezislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/25HJonava83-85
10/12/25AGargzdai74-90
06/12/25ARytas74-104
03/12/25AJuventus102-100 OT
23/11/25HJuventus79-96
19/11/25HSiauliai83-78
16/11/25AGargzdai79-86
09/11/25HZalgiris Kaunas68-94
06/11/25HJonava92-74
03/11/25HGargzdai94-87
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/25ACluj-Napoca97-118
13/12/25AGargzdai104-87
10/12/25HSlask Wroclaw103-87 OT
07/12/25AJonava124-117 OT
04/12/25ABahcesehir Kol.100-85
18/11/25HAris87-93
15/11/25AJuventus97-90
11/11/25AHapoel Jerusalem93-110
08/11/25HJuventus85-72
05/11/25HManresa100-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nevezis
King Mindaugas Cup 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL62%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%75%50%
Points / game88.083.892.2
Allowed / game87.982.593.2
Point differential+0.1+1.2-1.0
Avg total175.9166.2185.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%25%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %12%0%25%
Neptunas
King Mindaugas Cup 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas110100%118.073.0+45.0
2 Nevezis85362%88.087.9+0.1
3 Juventus95456%86.783.2+3.4
4 Siauliai84450%87.488.1-0.8
5 Jonava94544%83.291.1-7.9
6 Gargzdai83538%84.584.1+0.4
7 Lietkabelis1010%73.076.0-3.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nevezis1528132076
Neptunas2615232387
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