PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Zalgiris Kaunas vs Neptunas Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 14:30
Final 112-77
31-25 32-6 23-18 26-28
Position#1
Record11-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game89.9
Allowed / game74.7
vs
Position#3
Record8-4
FormWLWLL
Points / game97.2
Allowed / game91.2
LithuaniaLKL· Zalgirio Arena
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Zalgiris Kaunas v Neptunas
25 Apr 2027
ZAL v NEP
upcoming
15 Nov 2026
ZAL v NEP
upcoming
21 Feb 2026
ZAL119
NEP81
08 Feb 2026
ZAL87
NEP76
04 Jan 2026
ZAL112
NEP77
24 May 2025
ZAL88
NEP75
07 May 2025
ZAL84
NEP49
15 Dec 2024
ZAL91
NEP75
27 Nov 2023
ZAL76
NEP88
08 Jan 2023
ZAL77
NEP46
11 May 2022
ZAL89
NEP60
07 May 2022
ZAL87
NEP71
02 May 2022
ZAL92
NEP88
10 Oct 2021
ZAL98
NEP79
28 Feb 2021
ZAL85
NEP72
13 Feb 2021
ZAL84
NEP72
22 Nov 2020
ZAL81
NEP59
01 Dec 2019
ZAL100
NEP82
09 May 2019
ZAL90
NEP80
14 Oct 2018
ZAL60
NEP75
10 Apr 2018
ZAL94
NEP47
05 Nov 2017
ZAL88
NEP62
19 May 2017
ZAL83
NEP60
13 May 2017
ZAL83
NEP54
05 Mar 2017
ZAL69
NEP78
23 Oct 2016
ZAL77
NEP67
06 Jun 2016
ZAL97
NEP70
31 May 2016
ZAL78
NEP54
25 May 2016
ZAL83
NEP72
31 Jan 2016
ZAL89
NEP57
11 Oct 2015
ZAL81
NEP71
01 Mar 2015
ZAL86
NEP90
02 Nov 2014
ZAL86
NEP48
06 Jun 2014
ZAL90
NEP70
31 May 2014
ZAL88
NEP72
26 May 2014
ZAL92
NEP83
07 Apr 2014
ZAL79
NEP88
23 Apr 2013
ZAL99
NEP83
20 Jan 2013
ZAL111
NEP87
26 Feb 2012
ZAL85
NEP84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zalgiris KaunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
L
65-83
65
83
-18
50avg 83
H04/12
Euroleague
Gargzdai
#5
W
108-71
108
71
+37
117avg 83
H07/12
LKL
Paris
#16
W
108-105
108
105
+3
109avg 83
A11/12
Euroleague
Juventus
#7
W
91-75
91
75
+16
94avg 83
A14/12
LKL
Anadolu Efes
#19
L
64-87
64
87
-23
57avg 83
H17/12
Euroleague
Partizan
#15
W
109-68
109
68
+41
113avg 83
H19/12
Euroleague
Jonava
#8
W
118-73
118
73
+45
126avg 83
A21/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Panathinaikos
#7
L
85-92
85
92
-7
74avg 83
H23/12
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
W
90-81
90
81
+9
86avg 83
A27/12
LKL
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
W
93-80
93
80
+13
88avg 83
A30/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-22
16-29
16-9
19-23
29-22
27-18
26-18
26-13
28-29
20-27
32-17
28-32
24-21
22-27
27-14
18-13
17-28
18-9
16-26
13-24
28-15
25-15
29-18
27-20
33-21
25-10
35-19
25-23
28-19
22-21
14-23
21-29
23-20
27-18
22-19
18-24
18-25
21-15
24-13
30-27
174.6Avg total
93.1Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)89.974.7164.6+15.292%
Season at home (5)92.674.6167.2+18.080%
Season away (7)88.074.7162.7+13.3100%
Last 10 (10)93.181.5174.6+11.670%
Last 5 (5)99.078.8177.8+20.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)78.095.0173.0-17.00%
vs Similar (9)88.085.6173.6+2.456%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)90.275.6165.8+14.680%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Juventus
#7
W
97-90
97
90
+7
87avg 84
A15/11
LKL
Aris
#13
L
87-93
87
93
-6
76avg 84
H18/11
Eurocup
Bahcesehir Kol.
#7
W
100-85
100
85
+15
96avg 84
A04/12
Eurocup
Jonava
#8
W
124-117 OT
124
117
+7
121avg 84
A07/12
LKL
Slask Wroclaw
#18
W
103-87 OT
103
87
+16
81avg 84
H10/12
Eurocup
Gargzdai
#5
W
104-87
104
87
+17
96avg 84
A13/12
LKL
Cluj-Napoca
#11
L
97-118
97
118
-21
86avg 84
A17/12
Eurocup
Nevezis
#5
W
87-76
87
76
+11
87avg 84
A23/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#4
L
101-103
101
103
-2
90avg 84
H28/12
LKL
Venezia
#9
L
103-118
103
118
-15
101avg 84
H02/01
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-27
31-18
19-24
24-21
28-21
18-29
18-23
23-20
32-18
20-18
31-18
17-31
24-29
26-15
24-25
24-29
16-30
24-16
24-19
19-18
24-24
26-18
37-19
17-26
18-38
22-30
33-24
24-26
26-15
15-28
23-13
23-20
33-26
15-29
20-18
33-30
35-29
21-29
31-31
16-29
197.7Avg total
100.3Scored
97.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)97.291.2188.5+6.067%
Season at home (5)95.289.2184.4+6.060%
Season away (7)98.792.7191.4+6.071%
Last 10 (10)100.397.4197.7+2.960%
Last 5 (5)98.4100.4198.8-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)87.498.8186.2-11.420%
vs Similar (7)94.488.3182.7+6.171%
vs Weaker (13)98.290.7188.9+7.577%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +6.5+6.5Q3: +4.6+4.6Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -3.0-3.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +6.5+6.5Q3: +4.6+4.6Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -3.0-3.0
Zalgiris KaunasNeptunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
L
30-51
30
51
-21
H04/12
Euroleague
Gargzdai
#5
W
56-40
56
40
+16
H07/12
LKL
Paris
#16
L
48-56
48
56
-8
A11/12
Euroleague
Juventus
#7
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A14/12
LKL
Anadolu Efes
#19
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H17/12
Euroleague
Partizan
#15
W
53-30
53
30
+23
H19/12
Euroleague
Jonava
#8
W
58-31
58
31
+27
A21/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Panathinaikos
#7
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H23/12
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
W
50-38
50
38
+12
A27/12
LKL
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A30/12
Euroleague
87.6Avg total
46.5Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.238.983.1+5.367%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.037.981.9+6.179%-
Last 30 away (16)44.439.884.2+4.656%-
Last 10 (10)46.541.187.6+5.450%-
Last 5 (5)50.035.885.8+14.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)36.050.086.0-14.00%-
vs Similar (9)43.439.983.3+3.667%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)45.037.982.9+7.170%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Juventus
#7
W
54-45
54
45
+9
A15/11
LKL
Aris
#13
L
46-50
46
50
-4
H18/11
Eurocup
Bahcesehir Kol.
#7
W
52-36
52
36
+16
A04/12
Eurocup
Jonava
#8
W
50-44
50
44
+6
A07/12
LKL
Slask Wroclaw
#18
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H10/12
Eurocup
Gargzdai
#5
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A13/12
LKL
Cluj-Napoca
#11
L
40-68
40
68
-28
A17/12
Eurocup
Nevezis
#5
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A23/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#4
L
48-55
48
55
-7
H28/12
LKL
Venezia
#9
L
56-58
56
58
-2
H02/01
Eurocup
96.4Avg total
47.7Scored
48.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.646.191.8-0.550%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.746.693.4+0.143%-
Last 30 away (16)44.745.790.4-1.056%-
Last 10 (10)47.748.796.4-1.040%-
Last 5 (5)47.053.2100.2-6.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)43.749.292.9-5.540%-
vs Similar (7)44.344.488.7-0.143%-
vs Weaker (13)47.844.792.5+3.262%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 92.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.6 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.825.0
58.4%
55.4%50.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.39.0
38.6%
35.5%27.0
🏀 Free throws20.315.1
74.4%
74.3%15.1
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 99.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀38%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.9 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.8 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.6 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.718.7
55.5%
55.4%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.413.3
38.7%
35.5%39.9
🏀 Free throws29.221.8
74.7%
74.3%21.8
They take 68.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zalgiris Kaunas
WWLWWLWWWL
Neptunas
LLWLWWWWLW
#1
League position
#3
+15.6
Net rating
+2.8
124.1
Offensive rating
122.6
108.5
Defensive rating
119.8
58.2%
Effective FG%
56.8%
51.8%
Opp. effective FG%
57.7%
14.4%
Turnover %
17.0%
35.3%
Off. rebound %
36.2%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.43
38.6%
3-point %
38.7%
65.0%
Assist %
60.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence124.1 · 122.6Defence108.5 · 119.8Shooting58.2% · 56.8%3-point %38.6% · 38.7%Ball care14.4% · 17.0%Off. rebounds35.3% · 36.2%Free throws0.31 · 0.43Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Zalgiris Kaunas   ■ Neptunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
1
Neptunas wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/25AHapoel Tel-Aviv93-80
27/12/25ARytas90-81
23/12/25HPanathinaikos85-92
21/12/25AJonava118-73
19/12/25HPartizan109-68
17/12/25HAnadolu Efes64-87
14/12/25AJuventus91-75
11/12/25AParis108-105
07/12/25HGargzdai108-71
04/12/25HMaccabi Tel Aviv65-83
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/01/26HVenezia103-118
28/12/25HSiauliai101-103
23/12/25ANevezis87-76
17/12/25ACluj-Napoca97-118
13/12/25AGargzdai104-87
10/12/25HSlask Wroclaw103-87 OT
07/12/25AJonava124-117 OT
04/12/25ABahcesehir Kol.100-85
18/11/25HAris87-93
15/11/25AJuventus97-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zalgiris Kaunas
LKL 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW92%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %92%80%100%
Points / game89.992.688.0
Allowed / game74.774.674.7
Point differential+15.2+18.0+13.3
Avg total164.6167.2162.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%60%57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Neptunas
LKL 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL67%
HomeLWWWL60%
AwayLLWWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %67%60%71%
Points / game97.295.298.7
Allowed / game91.289.292.7
Point differential+6.0+6.0+6.0
Avg total188.5184.4191.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%40%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %8%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas1211192%89.974.7+15.2
2 Rytas139469%91.981.0+10.9
3 Neptunas128467%97.291.2+6.0
4 Lietkabelis137654%85.382.0+3.3
5 Siauliai137654%88.491.0-2.6
6 Juventus125742%84.585.8-1.2
7 Gargzdai145936%83.190.4-7.3
8 Nevezis1441029%82.489.7-7.4
9 Jonava1321115%83.898.1-14.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zalgiris Kaunas31322326112
Neptunas256182877
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.