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Neptunas vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 26 Jan 2016
Tip-off: 17:45
Final 73-74
15-16 11-20 26-28 21-10
Position#20
Record7-6
FormWLLLW
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game79.6
vs
Position#13
Record2-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game69.3
EuropeEurocupRound 4
European cup2015
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
L
76-80
76
80
-4
A27/12
LKL
Skycop
#4
W
85-72
85
72
+13
A30/12
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
W
90-79
90
79
+11
H03/01
LKL
Aris
#11
L
58-84
58
84
-26
A06/01
Eurocup
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
L
55-58
55
58
-3
A10/01
LKL
Alba Berlin
#26
W
73-65
73
65
+8
H13/01
Eurocup
Lietkabelis
#7
L
70-74
70
74
-4
H16/01
LKL
Olimpia Milano
#13
L
71-79
71
79
-8
A19/01
Eurocup
Siauliai
#5
L
68-73
68
73
-5
H23/01
LKL
Juventus
#6
W
101-74
101
74
+27
H24/01
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-18
22-19
19-14
18-29
22-26
20-15
21-16
22-15
23-25
24-21
11-16
32-17
5-25
17-21
22-17
14-21
11-19
16-6
9-20
19-13
20-9
18-20
12-23
23-13
13-22
26-16
13-19
18-17
20-24
12-17
22-12
17-26
24-16
12-18
14-15
18-24
32-18
28-19
17-19
24-18
148.5Avg total
74.7Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)79.379.6158.9-0.354%
Season at home (6)85.282.5167.7+2.767%
Season away (7)74.377.1151.4-2.943%
Last 10 (10)74.773.8148.5+0.940%
Last 5 (5)76.673.0149.6+3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)73.277.5150.8-4.225%
vs Similar ◀ (12)75.177.1152.2-2.042%
vs Weaker (14)80.973.5154.4+7.471%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Limoges
#21
L
69-77
69
77
-8
H18/12
Euroleague
Brindisi
#10
W
77-72
77
72
+5
H20/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#12
L
66-69
66
69
-3
A23/12
Lega A
Cremona
#4
W
91-76
91
76
+15
A26/12
Lega A
Sassari
#6
W
87-50
87
50
+37
H02/01
Lega A
Alba Berlin
#26
L
67-83
67
83
-16
A06/01
Eurocup
Aris
#11
W
95-54
95
54
+41
H12/01
Eurocup
Trento
#9
W
83-79
83
79
+4
H16/01
Lega A
Neptunas
#20
W
79-71
79
71
+8
H19/01
Eurocup
Varese
#8
W
86-64
86
64
+22
A24/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-20
22-28
13-18
15-11
15-7
21-21
16-22
25-22
18-19
16-11
19-16
13-23
28-22
17-15
19-25
27-14
16-10
31-10
19-20
21-10
21-25
19-16
12-19
15-23
24-17
33-10
14-15
24-12
23-24
21-14
11-16
28-25
24-20
17-12
12-22
26-17
13-12
27-10
21-14
25-28
149.5Avg total
80.0Scored
69.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)80.369.3149.7+11.067%
Season at home (2)87.062.5149.5+24.5100%
Season away (1)67.083.0150.0-16.00%
Last 10 (10)80.069.5149.5+10.570%
Last 5 (5)82.070.2152.2+11.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)75.081.2156.2-6.233%
vs Similar ◀ (6)79.571.2150.7+8.367%
vs Weaker (18)80.470.4150.8+9.967%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: +7.7+7.7Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +3.4+3.4
NeptunasOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A27/12
LKL
Skycop
#4
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A30/12
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H03/01
LKL
Aris
#11
L
22-46
22
46
-24
A06/01
Eurocup
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
W
27-25
27
25
+2
A10/01
LKL
Alba Berlin
#26
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H13/01
Eurocup
Lietkabelis
#7
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H16/01
LKL
Olimpia Milano
#13
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A19/01
Eurocup
Siauliai
#5
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H23/01
LKL
Juventus
#6
W
60-37
60
37
+23
H24/01
LKL
75.6Avg total
38.2Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.736.675.3+2.167%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.837.178.9+4.781%-
Last 30 away (14)35.236.071.2-0.850%-
Last 10 (10)38.237.475.6+0.880%-
Last 5 (5)41.035.876.8+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)39.037.576.5+1.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)36.139.275.3-3.258%-
vs Weaker (14)40.934.175.0+6.979%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Limoges
#21
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H18/12
Euroleague
Brindisi
#10
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H20/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#12
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A23/12
Lega A
Cremona
#4
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A26/12
Lega A
Sassari
#6
W
47-20
47
20
+27
H02/01
Lega A
Alba Berlin
#26
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A06/01
Eurocup
Aris
#11
W
57-27
57
27
+30
H12/01
Eurocup
Trento
#9
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H16/01
Lega A
Neptunas
#20
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H19/01
Eurocup
Varese
#8
W
40-22
40
22
+18
A24/01
Lega A
74.8Avg total
42.5Scored
32.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.935.775.6+4.260%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.935.378.3+7.673%-
Last 30 away (15)36.936.072.9+0.947%-
Last 10 (10)42.532.374.8+10.280%-
Last 5 (5)44.432.076.4+12.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)37.840.278.0-2.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)42.032.874.8+9.267%-
vs Weaker (18)39.935.175.0+4.867%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Neptunas wins
1
Olimpia Milano wins
DateGameScore
19/01/16Olimpia Milano v Neptunas79-71
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/16HJuventus101-74
23/01/16HSiauliai68-73
19/01/16AOlimpia Milano71-79
16/01/16HLietkabelis70-74
13/01/16HAlba Berlin73-65
10/01/16AAlytaus Dzukija55-58
06/01/16AAris58-84
03/01/16HPieno Zvaigzdes90-79
30/12/15ASkycop85-72
27/12/15ARytas76-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/16AVarese86-64
19/01/16HNeptunas79-71
16/01/16HTrento83-79
12/01/16HAris95-54
06/01/16AAlba Berlin67-83
02/01/16HSassari87-50
26/12/15ACremona91-76
23/12/15APesaro66-69
20/12/15HBrindisi77-72
18/12/15HLimoges69-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
Eurocup 2015
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL54%
HomeWLWWW67%
AwayWWLLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %54%67%43%
Points / game79.385.274.3
Allowed / game79.682.577.1
Point differential-0.3+2.7-2.9
Avg total158.9167.7151.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%0%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %8%17%0%
Olimpia Milano
Eurocup 2015
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game80.387.067.0
Allowed / game69.362.583.0
Point differential+11.0+24.5-16.0
Avg total149.7149.5150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern330100%82.076.0+6.0
2 Strasbourg330100%79.073.7+5.3
3 Valencia1312192%82.171.7+10.4
4 Zenit Petersburg1311285%83.075.8+7.2
5 Gran Canaria1310377%83.975.2+8.7
6 Unics Kazan1310377%81.974.1+7.8
7 Galatasaray139469%87.076.5+10.5
8 Bilbao139469%84.774.4+10.3
9 Trento139469%85.581.6+3.9
10 Tecnyconta Zaragoza139469%77.276.5+0.6
11 Olimpia Milano32167%80.369.3+11.0
12 Maccabi Tel Aviv32167%83.782.7+1.0
13 Saratov138562%92.585.6+6.9
14 Ludwigsburg138562%81.475.5+5.9
15 Aris138562%72.272.0+0.2
16 Nizhny Novgorod148657%79.978.4+1.4
17 Banvit137654%79.276.8+2.5
18 Trabzonspor137654%76.675.8+0.8
19 Alba Berlin137654%77.276.7+0.5
20 Reggiana137654%77.377.2+0.1
21 Neptunas137654%79.379.6-0.3
22 AEK Athens105550%79.481.2-1.8
23 Oldenburg136746%78.582.6-4.1
24 PAOK136746%76.281.9-5.7
25 Buducnost104640%74.772.5+2.2
26 Nanterre104640%77.280.1-2.9
27 Besiktas104640%81.084.2-3.2
28 Hapoel M. Jerusalem135838%79.981.0-1.1
29 Venezia135838%75.578.7-3.2
30 Szolnoki Olaj135838%74.582.8-8.4
31 Petrol Olimpija145936%78.782.8-4.1
32 Karsiyaka31233%80.380.3+0.0
33 Limoges31233%81.782.3-0.7
34 Zielona Gora31233%80.385.0-4.7
35 Sassari31233%76.382.3-6.0
36 Ulm134931%79.181.5-2.5
37 Spirou Charleroi103730%73.178.2-5.1
38 Le Mans103730%72.178.5-6.4
39 Rytas102820%85.688.4-2.8
40 Nancy102820%71.475.9-4.5
41 Bonn102820%83.889.9-6.1
42 BC Steaua Bucuresti102820%67.681.4-13.8
43 Brindisi101910%71.081.5-10.5
44 Volgograd101910%79.791.0-11.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas1511262173
Olimpia Milano1620281074
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