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Neptunas vs Varese Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 25 Oct 2016
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 94-60
24-17 29-14 14-17 27-12
Position#6
Record1-0
FormWWWWL
Points / game67.0
Allowed / game65.0
vs
Position#38
Record2-1
FormLWLWW
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game75.3
EuropeChampions LeagueRound 2
European cup2016
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
70-97
70
97
-27
A06/06
LKL
Skycop
#6
L
76-79 OT
76
79
-3
H21/09
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#7
L
55-61
55
61
-6
H28/09
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
90-94 OT
90
94
-4
A01/10
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
74-93
74
93
-19
A05/10
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
W
80-56
80
56
+24
A09/10
LKL
Siauliai
#10
W
95-67
95
67
+28
H12/10
LKL
Juventus
#5
W
75-60
75
60
+15
H16/10
LKL
Usak Sportif
#33
W
67-65
67
65
+2
A19/10
Champions League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
67-77
67
77
-10
A23/10
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-25
14-29
25-20
14-23
14-23
21-13
21-12
10-18
12-18
8-10
12-10
23-23
22-16
26-27
17-23
16-15
14-18
22-25
16-32
22-18
19-17
20-14
23-10
18-15
27-18
28-20
24-14
16-15
20-13
18-12
13-20
24-15
23-15
21-16
9-19
14-15
14-20
12-21
22-17
19-19
149.8Avg total
74.9Scored
74.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)67.065.0132.0+2.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)67.065.0132.0+2.0100%
Last 10 (10)74.974.9149.8+0.040%
Last 5 (5)76.865.0141.8+11.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)70.075.9145.9-5.931%
vs Similar (8)80.481.5161.9-1.150%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)82.772.6155.2+10.167%
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chalon/Saone
#2
W
91-82
91
82
+9
H29/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Frankfurt
#1
L
62-66
62
66
-4
H01/05
FIBA Europe Cup
Cantu
#11
L
79-89
79
89
-10
A04/05
Lega A
Benfica
#25
W
75-72
75
72
+3
A27/09
Champions League
Benfica
#25
L
70-72
70
72
-2
H29/09
Champions League
Sassari
#5
L
72-78
72
78
-6
A03/10
Lega A
Caserta
#13
W
93-74
93
74
+19
H09/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
71-79
71
79
-8
A16/10
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#11
W
83-82
83
82
+1
H19/10
Champions League
Brindisi
#9
W
91-81 OT
91
81
+10
H23/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-25
17-28
22-11
21-18
16-15
15-10
16-13
15-28
23-21
16-18
14-29
26-21
25-28
16-13
13-14
21-17
23-20
16-19
14-15
17-18
15-21
13-17
19-23
25-17
20-23
23-12
27-19
23-20
16-22
17-22
19-18
19-17
16-25
23-19
22-14
22-24
15-22
18-18
19-16
24-20
156.2Avg total
78.7Scored
77.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)76.075.3151.3+0.767%
Season at home (2)76.577.0153.5-0.550%
Season away (1)75.072.0147.0+3.0100%
Last 10 (10)78.777.5156.2+1.250%
Last 5 (5)82.078.8160.8+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)74.577.1151.6-2.545%
vs Similar (18)82.378.7160.9+3.667%
vs Weaker (1)77.071.0148.0+6.0100%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +1.3+1.3
NeptunasVarese
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
31-54
31
54
-23
A06/06
LKL
Skycop
#6
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H21/09
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#7
L
20-28
20
28
-8
H28/09
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A01/10
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A05/10
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A09/10
LKL
Siauliai
#10
W
55-38
55
38
+17
H12/10
LKL
Juventus
#5
W
38-25
38
25
+13
H16/10
LKL
Usak Sportif
#33
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A19/10
Champions League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
26-41
26
41
-15
A23/10
LKL
74.2Avg total
37.2Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.637.176.6+2.553%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.932.673.5+8.377%-
Last 30 away (17)38.540.579.0-1.935%-
Last 10 (10)37.237.074.2+0.250%-
Last 5 (5)40.433.273.6+7.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)36.237.673.8-1.438%-
vs Similar (8)41.440.181.5+1.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)42.833.676.3+9.278%-
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chalon/Saone
#2
L
48-53
48
53
-5
H29/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Frankfurt
#1
W
31-25
31
25
+6
H01/05
FIBA Europe Cup
Cantu
#11
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A04/05
Lega A
Benfica
#25
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A27/09
Champions League
Benfica
#25
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H29/09
Champions League
Sassari
#5
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A03/10
Lega A
Caserta
#13
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H09/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A16/10
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#11
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H19/10
Champions League
Brindisi
#9
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H23/10
Lega A
77.2Avg total
37.4Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.239.378.5-0.047%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.938.479.2+2.565%-
Last 30 away (13)37.140.577.5-3.423%-
Last 10 (10)37.439.877.2-2.420%-
Last 5 (5)35.240.275.4-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)36.842.078.8-5.227%-
vs Similar (18)40.838.379.1+2.656%-
vs Weaker (1)37.027.064.0+10.0100%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 77.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.7 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
47%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.720.3
48.8%
52.6%40.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.38.7
37.1%
34.3%26.0
🏀 Free throws14.310.7
74.4%
73.8%10.7
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Neptunas wins
0
Varese wins
No previous meetings.
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/10/16AZalgiris Kaunas67-77
19/10/16AUsak Sportif67-65
16/10/16HJuventus75-60
12/10/16HSiauliai95-67
09/10/16AAlytaus Dzukija80-56
05/10/16ALietkabelis74-93
01/10/16ANevezis90-94 OT
28/09/16HPieno Zvaigzdes55-61
21/09/16HSkycop76-79 OT
06/06/16AZalgiris Kaunas70-97
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/10/16HBrindisi91-81 OT
19/10/16HLyon-Villeurbanne83-82
16/10/16AOlimpia Milano71-79
09/10/16HCaserta93-74
03/10/16ASassari72-78
29/09/16HBenfica70-72
27/09/16ABenfica75-72
04/05/16ACantu79-89
01/05/16HFrankfurt62-66
29/04/16HChalon/Saone91-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
Champions League 2016
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game67.0-67.0
Allowed / game65.0-65.0
Point differential+2.0-+2.0
Avg total132.0-132.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
Varese
Champions League 2016
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeLW50%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%50%100%
Points / game76.076.575.0
Allowed / game75.377.072.0
Point differential+0.7-0.5+3.0
Avg total151.3153.5147.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 AEK Athens110100%92.049.0+43.0
2 Tenerife110100%85.057.0+28.0
3 Le Mans110100%68.049.0+19.0
4 Monaco110100%65.047.0+18.0
5 Nymburk110100%75.057.0+18.0
6 Besiktas110100%92.075.0+17.0
7 Avellino110100%84.070.0+14.0
8 Banvit110100%83.070.0+13.0
9 Karsiyaka110100%69.056.0+13.0
10 Juventus330100%83.774.7+9.0
11 Aris110100%62.054.0+8.0
12 HydroTruck Radom110100%93.085.0+8.0
13 Maccabi Rishon110100%72.064.0+8.0
14 Sassari110100%74.070.0+4.0
15 Saratov110100%80.077.0+3.0
16 Neptunas110100%67.065.0+2.0
17 Oldenburg110100%77.076.0+1.0
18 Partizan110100%65.064.0+1.0
19 Mornar Bar32167%75.367.7+7.7
20 Usak Sportif32167%81.074.3+6.7
21 Bakken Bears32167%71.770.7+1.0
22 Varese32167%76.075.3+0.7
23 Ironi Nahariya32167%70.372.0-1.7
24 CSM Oradea53260%68.466.6+1.8
25 Cluj Napoca42250%75.271.0+4.2
26 Minsk42250%69.865.8+4.0
27 Benfica21150%72.072.5-0.5
28 Academic21150%66.571.0-4.5
29 Igokea21150%65.576.0-10.5
30 Sodertalje21150%62.078.0-16.0
31 Kataja31233%73.365.3+8.0
32 Tartu Ulikool41325%69.572.8-3.2
33 Ludwigsburg1010%64.065.0-1.0
34 Lyon-Villeurbanne1010%82.083.0-1.0
35 Ventspils1010%76.077.0-1.0
36 Oostende1010%72.074.0-2.0
37 Khimik1010%77.080.0-3.0
38 Donar Groningen2020%66.570.5-4.0
39 Zielona Gora1010%70.074.0-4.0
40 BC Prievidza2020%65.572.0-6.5
41 Strasbourg1010%84.091.0-7.0
42 Helios Domzale1010%54.062.0-8.0
43 PAOK1010%85.093.0-8.0
44 FC Porto2020%70.080.0-10.0
45 Rilski Sportist2020%61.073.0-12.0
46 Mega Bemax1010%70.084.0-14.0
47 Spirou Charleroi1010%75.092.0-17.0
48 Frankfurt1010%47.065.0-18.0
49 Venezia1010%49.068.0-19.0
50 AEK Larnaca2020%53.072.5-19.5
51 Cibona1010%57.085.0-28.0
52 Szolnoki Olaj1010%49.092.0-43.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas2429142794
Varese1714171260
← all games of the day
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