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Lietkabelis vs Neptunas Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 05 Oct 2016
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 93-74
18-14 25-22 32-16 18-22
Position#3
Record3-1
FormLWWLW
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game77.8
vs
Position#4
Record0-3
FormLLLLL
Points / game73.7
Allowed / game78.0
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2016-17
Meetings · Lietkabelis v Neptunas
21 Apr 2027
LIE v NEP
upcoming
31 Oct 2026
LIE v NEP
upcoming
13 Jun 2026
LIE82
NEP91
08 Jun 2026
LIE80
NEP68
26 Apr 2026
LIE83
NEP80
20 Sep 2025
LIE84
NEP96
30 Apr 2025
LIE84
NEP79
02 Nov 2024
LIE81
NEP89
04 Mar 2024
LIE76
NEP78
21 Jan 2024
LIE79
NEP76
14 Jan 2023
LIE73
NEP81
26 Nov 2022
LIE80
NEP73
15 Jan 2022
LIE80
NEP80
18 Sep 2021
LIE83
NEP62
13 May 2021
LIE94
NEP93
08 Apr 2021
LIE82
NEP77
03 Oct 2020
LIE87
NEP82
02 May 2020
LIE v NEP
upcoming
11 Jan 2020
LIE102
NEP64
22 Apr 2019
LIE69
NEP73
24 Nov 2018
LIE76
NEP100
17 Jun 2018
LIE78
NEP89
12 Jun 2018
LIE69
NEP71
18 Apr 2018
LIE89
NEP94
04 Oct 2017
LIE88
NEP76
01 Apr 2017
LIE74
NEP61
05 Oct 2016
LIE93
NEP74
17 Apr 2016
LIE72
NEP80
25 Oct 2015
LIE75
NEP80
16 Apr 2015
LIE81
NEP83
09 Oct 2014
LIE65
NEP78
10 Apr 2014
LIE69
NEP83
16 Jan 2013
LIE65
NEP81
21 Jan 2012
LIE103
NEP98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lietkabelis winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LietkabelisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#3
L
72-80
72
80
-8
H17/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
69-91
69
91
-22
A20/04
LKL
Skycop
#4
W
67-65
67
65
+2
H23/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
74-79
74
79
-5
A27/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
66-85
66
85
-19
H30/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
78-83
78
83
-5
A03/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
90-86
90
86
+4
H22/09
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
85-81
85
81
+4
H25/09
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
66-68
66
68
-2
A28/09
LKL
Juventus
#5
W
85-76
85
76
+9
A02/10
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-18
13-19
16-17
24-26
18-15
20-26
16-20
15-30
15-16
15-12
17-20
20-17
18-19
21-24
22-18
13-18
14-23
19-22
14-17
19-23
21-20
12-23
14-14
31-26
22-17
30-22
17-29
21-18
27-24
28-22
17-12
13-23
21-15
15-27
16-9
14-17
22-21
20-27
25-10
18-18
154.6Avg total
75.2Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)81.577.8159.2+3.875%
Season at home (2)87.583.5171.0+4.0100%
Season away (2)75.572.0147.5+3.550%
Last 10 (10)75.279.4154.6-4.240%
Last 5 (5)80.878.8159.6+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)72.683.8156.5-11.215%
vs Similar ◀ (7)80.381.6161.9-1.343%
vs Weaker (10)82.072.9154.9+9.190%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
L
73-74
73
74
-1
H20/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
73-72
73
72
+1
A22/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
72-83
72
83
-11
A25/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
76-54
76
54
+22
H28/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
54-78
54
78
-24
A31/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
50-74
50
74
-24
H03/06
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
70-97
70
97
-27
A06/06
LKL
Skycop
#6
L
76-79 OT
76
79
-3
H21/09
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#7
L
55-61
55
61
-6
H28/09
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
90-94 OT
90
94
-4
A01/10
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-10
22-19
25-25
17-20
18-20
24-22
17-15
14-15
17-16
13-25
16-19
26-23
21-11
27-14
14-15
14-14
16-15
11-22
9-21
18-20
11-18
25-11
10-26
4-19
17-25
14-29
25-20
14-23
14-23
21-13
21-12
10-18
12-18
8-10
12-10
23-23
22-16
26-27
17-23
16-15
145.5Avg total
68.9Scored
76.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)73.778.0151.7-4.30%
Season at home (2)65.570.0135.5-4.50%
Season away (1)90.094.0184.0-4.00%
Last 10 (10)68.976.6145.5-7.720%
Last 5 (5)68.281.0149.2-12.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)70.274.8145.0-4.538%
vs Similar ◀ (9)77.679.4157.0-1.944%
vs Weaker (8)85.676.2161.9+9.462%
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: -3.4-3.4
LietkabelisNeptunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LietkabelisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#3
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H17/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A20/04
LKL
Skycop
#4
W
30-28
30
28
+2
H23/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A27/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H30/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A03/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H22/09
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
55-46
55
46
+9
H25/09
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A28/09
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A02/10
LKL
80.2Avg total
39.0Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.240.979.1-2.737%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.638.977.5-0.360%-
Last 30 away (15)37.842.880.6-5.013%-
Last 10 (10)39.041.280.2-2.230%-
Last 5 (5)43.643.687.2+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)35.842.177.8-6.323%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)38.040.678.6-2.643%-
vs Weaker (10)41.539.581.0+2.050%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H20/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A22/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A25/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
48-25
48
25
+23
H28/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
27-37
27
37
-10
A31/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
36-29
36
29
+7
H03/06
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
31-54
31
54
-23
A06/06
LKL
Skycop
#6
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H21/09
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#7
L
20-28
20
28
-8
H28/09
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A01/10
LKL
71.2Avg total
34.8Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.437.575.8+0.950%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.133.572.6+5.671%-
Last 30 away (16)37.740.978.6-3.231%-
Last 10 (10)34.836.471.2-1.640%-
Last 5 (5)34.038.072.0-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)36.936.873.8+0.146%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)38.840.979.7-2.144%-
vs Weaker (8)40.234.674.9+5.662%-
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Lietkabelis wins
9
Neptunas wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/10/16AJuventus85-76
28/09/16ARytas66-68
25/09/16HNevezis85-81
22/09/16HZalgiris Kaunas90-86
03/05/16ARytas78-83
30/04/16HRytas66-85
27/04/16ARytas74-79
23/04/16HSkycop67-65
20/04/16ARytas69-91
17/04/16HNeptunas72-80
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/10/16ANevezis90-94 OT
28/09/16HPieno Zvaigzdes55-61
21/09/16HSkycop76-79 OT
06/06/16AZalgiris Kaunas70-97
03/06/16HZalgiris Kaunas50-74
31/05/16AZalgiris Kaunas54-78
28/05/16HZalgiris Kaunas76-54
25/05/16AZalgiris Kaunas72-83
22/05/16ARytas73-72
20/05/16HRytas73-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lietkabelis
LKL 2016-17
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLW75%
HomeWW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game81.587.575.5
Allowed / game77.883.572.0
Point differential+3.8+4.0+3.5
Avg total159.2171.0147.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Neptunas
LKL 2016-17
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game73.765.590.0
Allowed / game78.070.094.0
Point differential-4.3-4.5-4.0
Avg total151.7135.5184.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %67%50%100%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rytas440100%80.565.8+14.8
2 Zalgiris Kaunas54180%87.870.6+17.2
3 Lietkabelis43175%81.577.8+3.8
4 Skycop42250%73.073.2-0.2
5 Alytaus Dzukija42250%71.079.5-8.5
6 Pieno Zvaigzdes52340%74.876.6-1.8
7 Nevezis52340%81.483.4-2.0
8 Juventus31233%81.089.0-8.0
9 Neptunas3030%73.778.0-4.3
10 Siauliai3030%60.783.7-23.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lietkabelis1825321893
Neptunas1422162274
← all games of the day
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