PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Nevada vs Fresno State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 22 Jan 2022
Tip-off: 04:00
Final 77-73
36-37 41-36
Position#257
Record8-7
FormLWLWL
Points / game76.3
Allowed / game75.5
Nevada 🏆
USA
vs
Position#130
Record13-4
FormWLWWW
Points / game66.6
Allowed / game56.5
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Nevada v Fresno State
07 Feb 2026
NEVA69
FRES59
12 Mar 2025
NEVA86
FRES71
10 Feb 2025
NEVA94
FRES69
01 Mar 2024
NEVA74
FRES66
10 Feb 2023
NEVA77
FRES66
21 Jan 2022
NEVA77
FRES73
17 Jan 2021
NEVA79
FRES65
15 Jan 2021
NEVA73
FRES57
14 Jan 2021
NEVA v FRES
upcoming
22 Feb 2020
NEVA78
FRES76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nevada winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fresno State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NevadaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
George Mason
#221
W
88-69
88
69
+19
H24/11
NCAA
Washington
#183
W
81-62
81
62
+19
H25/11
NCAA
Pepperdine
#343
W
79-66
79
66
+13
H01/12
NCAA
Minnesota-Duluth
#509
W
98-62
98
62
+36
H16/12
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#275
W
68-63
68
63
+5
H19/12
NCAA
Kansas
#8
L
61-88
61
88
-27
A30/12
NCAA
New Mexico
#264
W
79-70
79
70
+9
H02/01
NCAA
Boise State
#31
L
70-85
70
85
-15
H13/01
NCAA
Air Force
#276
W
75-68
75
68
+7
A15/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#45
L
67-77
67
77
-10
H18/01
NCAA
1H
2H
36-31
52-38
29-27
52-35
35-32
44-34
47-35
51-27
35-28
33-35
27-39
34-49
35-36
44-34
27-41
43-44
34-27
41-41
38-40
29-37
147.6Avg total
76.6Scored
71.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)76.375.5151.7+0.853%
Season at home (10)78.970.5149.4+8.470%
Season away (5)71.085.4156.4-14.420%
Last 10 (10)76.671.0147.6+5.670%
Last 5 (5)70.477.6148.0-7.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)71.579.5151.0-7.927%
vs Similar (10)78.870.1148.9+8.770%
vs Weaker (4)76.564.0140.5+12.5100%
This opponent (Fresno State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fresno StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CS Northridge
#340
W
61-43
61
43
+18
H05/12
NCAA
San Francisco
#61
L
63-71
63
71
-8
A09/12
NCAA
UC Irvine
#125
W
63-55
63
55
+8
H12/12
NCAA
Cal Poly
#337
W
83-48
83
48
+35
H18/12
NCAA
Utah Utes
#290
L
50-55
50
55
-5
A22/12
NCAA
Weber State
#106
W
69-43
69
43
+26
A23/12
NCAA
Boise State
#31
L
55-65
55
65
-10
A29/12
NCAA
San Jose State
#333
W
79-59
79
59
+20
H12/01
NCAA
UNLV
#154
W
73-68
73
68
+5
A15/01
NCAA
Utah State
#170
W
61-54
61
54
+7
H19/01
NCAA
1H
2H
39-17
22-26
31-24
32-47
26-21
37-34
50-29
33-19
23-22
27-33
44-18
25-25
25-35
30-30
39-28
40-31
33-23
40-45
21-31
40-23
121.8Avg total
65.7Scored
56.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)66.656.5123.1+10.276%
Season at home (11)69.653.9123.5+15.7100%
Season away (6)61.261.2122.3+0.033%
Last 10 (10)65.756.1121.8+9.670%
Last 5 (5)67.457.8125.2+9.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)57.267.3124.5-10.217%
vs Similar (9)64.160.0124.1+4.167%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)69.058.5127.5+10.586%
This opponent (Nevada) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +0.7+0.71st half: +8.3+8.32nd half2nd half: +4.9+4.92nd half: +1.3+1.3
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +0.7+0.71st half: +8.3+8.32nd half2nd half: +4.9+4.92nd half: +1.3+1.3
NevadaFresno State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
NevadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
George Mason
#221
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H24/11
NCAA
Washington
#183
W
29-27
29
27
+2
H25/11
NCAA
Pepperdine
#343
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H01/12
NCAA
Minnesota-Duluth
#509
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H16/12
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#275
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H19/12
NCAA
Kansas
#8
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A30/12
NCAA
New Mexico
#264
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H02/01
NCAA
Boise State
#31
L
27-41
27
41
-14
H13/01
NCAA
Air Force
#276
W
34-27
34
27
+7
A15/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#45
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H18/01
NCAA
67.9Avg total
34.3Scored
33.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.035.569.4-1.547%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.033.968.9+1.159%-
Last 30 away (13)32.637.570.1-4.831%-
Last 10 (10)34.333.667.9+0.760%-
Last 5 (5)32.236.668.8-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)33.238.872.0-5.627%-
vs Similar (10)33.633.166.7+0.550%-
vs Weaker (4)34.529.063.5+5.5100%-
This opponent (Fresno State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fresno StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CS Northridge
#340
W
39-17
39
17
+22
H05/12
NCAA
San Francisco
#61
W
31-24
31
24
+7
A09/12
NCAA
UC Irvine
#125
W
26-21
26
21
+5
H12/12
NCAA
Cal Poly
#337
W
50-29
50
29
+21
H18/12
NCAA
Utah Utes
#290
W
23-22
23
22
+1
A22/12
NCAA
Weber State
#106
W
44-18
44
18
+26
A23/12
NCAA
Boise State
#31
L
25-35
25
35
-10
A29/12
NCAA
San Jose State
#333
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H12/01
NCAA
UNLV
#154
W
33-23
33
23
+10
A15/01
NCAA
Utah State
#170
L
21-31
21
31
-10
H19/01
NCAA
57.9Avg total
33.1Scored
24.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.626.858.5+4.867%-
Last 30 at home (18)31.426.657.9+4.861%-
Last 30 away (12)32.027.259.2+4.875%-
Last 10 (10)33.124.857.9+8.380%-
Last 5 (5)32.427.059.4+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)27.530.057.5-2.533%-
vs Similar (9)31.026.657.6+4.478%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)33.126.159.2+6.971%-
This opponent (Nevada) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Nevada wins
0
Fresno State wins
DateGameScore
17/01/21Nevada v Fresno State79-65
16/01/21Nevada v Fresno State73-57
23/02/20Nevada v Fresno State78-76
Nevadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/22HWyoming67-77
15/01/22AAir Force75-68
13/01/22HBoise State70-85
02/01/22HNew Mexico79-70
30/12/21AKansas61-88
19/12/21HLoyola Marymount68-63
16/12/21HMinnesota-Duluth98-62
01/12/21HPepperdine79-66
25/11/21HWashington81-62
24/11/21HGeorge Mason88-69
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/01/22HUtah State61-54
15/01/22AUNLV73-68
12/01/22HSan Jose State79-59
29/12/21ABoise State55-65
23/12/21AWeber State69-43
22/12/21AUtah Utes50-55
18/12/21HCal Poly83-48
12/12/21HUC Irvine63-55
09/12/21ASan Francisco63-71
05/12/21HCS Northridge61-43

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nevada
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL53%
HomeWWWLL70%
AwayLLLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games15105
Win %53%70%20%
Points / game76.378.971.0
Allowed / game75.570.585.4
Point differential+0.8+8.4-14.4
Avg total151.7149.4156.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Fresno State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW76%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLWLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17116
Win %76%100%33%
Points / game66.669.661.2
Allowed / game56.553.961.2
Point differential+10.2+15.7+0.0
Avg total123.1123.5122.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%55%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Colorado State1514193%79.066.4+12.6
2 Wyoming1614288%77.564.1+13.4
3 Grand Canyon1714382%73.660.3+13.4
4 Boise State1814478%69.359.1+10.2
5 San Diego State1310377%65.657.5+8.2
6 Fresno State1713476%66.656.5+10.2
7 Air Force169756%59.961.1-1.1
8 UNLV1810856%71.265.7+5.5
9 Nevada158753%76.375.5+0.8
10 Utah State1910953%75.069.1+5.9
11 San Jose State167944%68.871.6-2.8
12 New Mexico1871139%76.978.1-1.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Nevada364177
Fresno State373673
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.