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Nevada vs Fresno State Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 11 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 04:00
Final 94-69
41-31 53-38
Position#189
Record13-10
FormLLLWW
Points / game72.5
Allowed / game67.6
Nevada 🏆
USA
vs
Position#358
Record5-19
FormLLLLL
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game82.5
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Nevada v Fresno State
07 Feb 2026
NEVA69
FRES59
12 Mar 2025
NEVA86
FRES71
10 Feb 2025
NEVA94
FRES69
01 Mar 2024
NEVA74
FRES66
10 Feb 2023
NEVA77
FRES66
21 Jan 2022
NEVA77
FRES73
17 Jan 2021
NEVA79
FRES65
15 Jan 2021
NEVA73
FRES57
14 Jan 2021
NEVA v FRES
upcoming
22 Feb 2020
NEVA78
FRES76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nevada winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fresno State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NevadaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah State
#28
L
64-69
64
69
-5
H01/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
L
81-82 OT
81
82
-1
A04/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
W
77-66 OT
77
66
+11
A12/01
NCAA
Air Force
#367
W
68-62
68
62
+6
H15/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
W
75-64
75
64
+11
H18/01
NCAA
Utah State
#28
L
69-90
69
90
-21
A23/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#65
L
50-69
50
69
-19
H26/01
NCAA
Boise State
#55
L
56-66
56
66
-10
A30/01
NCAA
UNLV
#165
W
71-65
71
65
+6
H02/02
NCAA
Air Force
#367
W
74-60
74
60
+14
A05/02
NCAA
1H
2H
33-28
31-41
37-34
33-36
30-31
34-33
33-35
35-27
36-32
39-32
38-47
31-43
21-28
29-41
24-28
32-38
33-30
38-35
30-28
44-32
137.8Avg total
68.5Scored
69.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)72.567.6140.0+4.957%
Season at home (16)73.966.0139.9+7.969%
Season away (7)69.171.1140.3-2.029%
Last 10 (10)68.569.3137.8-0.850%
Last 5 (5)64.070.0134.0-6.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)69.871.2141.0-1.333%
vs Similar (12)71.869.2140.9+2.650%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)75.964.9140.8+11.083%
This opponent (Fresno State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fresno StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah State
#28
L
83-89
83
89
-6
A05/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
L
64-91
64
91
-27
A08/01
NCAA
Nevada
#189
L
66-77 OT
66
77
-11
H12/01
NCAA
Air Force
#367
W
74-65
74
65
+9
H18/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
L
67-95
67
95
-28
A20/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
L
64-69
64
69
-5
H26/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
L
72-83 OT
72
83
-11
A29/01
NCAA
Boise State
#55
L
60-82
60
82
-22
A01/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
L
91-94 OT
91
94
-3
H05/02
NCAA
Utah State
#28
L
81-89
81
89
-8
H08/02
NCAA
1H
2H
42-39
41-50
26-49
38-42
31-30
33-34
41-24
33-41
27-45
40-50
31-33
33-36
30-31
37-36
26-44
34-38
29-31
38-36
31-50
50-39
155.6Avg total
72.2Scored
83.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)73.082.5155.5-9.421%
Season at home (12)75.779.8155.5-4.233%
Season away (12)70.485.1155.5-14.78%
Last 10 (10)72.283.4155.6-11.210%
Last 5 (5)73.683.4157.0-9.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)70.683.6154.2-13.08%
vs Similar (4)78.270.5148.8+7.8100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Nevada) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -0.6-0.61st half: -6.2-6.22nd half2nd half: -1.2-1.22nd half: -2.5-2.5
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -0.6-0.61st half: -6.2-6.22nd half2nd half: -1.2-1.22nd half: -2.5-2.5
NevadaFresno State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
NevadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah State
#28
W
33-28
33
28
+5
H01/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A04/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
L
30-31
30
31
-1
A12/01
NCAA
Air Force
#367
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H15/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H18/01
NCAA
Utah State
#28
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A23/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#65
L
21-28
21
28
-7
H26/01
NCAA
Boise State
#55
L
24-28
24
28
-4
A30/01
NCAA
UNLV
#165
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H02/02
NCAA
Air Force
#367
W
30-28
30
28
+2
A05/02
NCAA
63.6Avg total
31.5Scored
32.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.531.564.9+2.057%-
Last 30 at home (19)34.431.866.2+2.658%-
Last 30 away (11)31.830.962.7+0.955%-
Last 10 (10)31.532.163.6-0.650%-
Last 5 (5)29.232.261.4-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)33.732.866.5+0.850%-
vs Similar (12)33.831.965.7+1.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)33.130.363.4+2.867%-
This opponent (Fresno State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fresno StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah State
#28
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A05/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
L
26-49
26
49
-23
A08/01
NCAA
Nevada
#189
W
31-30
31
30
+1
H12/01
NCAA
Air Force
#367
W
41-24
41
24
+17
H18/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
L
27-45
27
45
-18
A20/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H26/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
L
30-31
30
31
-1
A29/01
NCAA
Boise State
#55
L
26-44
26
44
-18
A01/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H05/02
NCAA
Utah State
#28
L
31-50
31
50
-19
H08/02
NCAA
69.0Avg total
31.4Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.338.269.5-7.017%-
Last 30 at home (14)32.536.468.9-3.921%-
Last 30 away (16)30.239.970.1-9.712%-
Last 10 (10)31.437.669.0-6.230%-
Last 5 (5)29.437.867.2-8.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)30.238.969.0-8.712%-
vs Similar (4)38.534.072.5+4.550%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Nevada) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Nevada wins
1
Fresno State wins
DateGameScore
12/01/25Fresno State v Nevada66-77 OT
02/03/24Nevada v Fresno State74-66
07/01/24Fresno State v Nevada57-72
25/02/23Fresno State v Nevada56-60
11/02/23Nevada v Fresno State77-66
05/02/22Fresno State v Nevada73-56
22/01/22Nevada v Fresno State77-73
17/01/21Nevada v Fresno State79-65
16/01/21Nevada v Fresno State73-57
23/02/20Nevada v Fresno State78-76
Nevadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/02/25AAir Force74-60
02/02/25HUNLV71-65
30/01/25ABoise State56-66
26/01/25HSan Diego State50-69
23/01/25AUtah State69-90
18/01/25HSan Jose State75-64
15/01/25HAir Force68-62
12/01/25AFresno State77-66 OT
04/01/25ANew Mexico81-82 OT
01/01/25HUtah State64-69
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/25HUtah State81-89
05/02/25HSan Jose State91-94 OT
01/02/25ABoise State60-82
29/01/25AWyoming72-83 OT
26/01/25HColorado State64-69
20/01/25ANew Mexico67-95
18/01/25HAir Force74-65
12/01/25HNevada66-77 OT
08/01/25AColorado State64-91
05/01/25AUtah State83-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nevada
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW57%
HomeLWWLW69%
AwayLWLLW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games23167
Win %57%69%29%
Points / game72.573.969.1
Allowed / game67.666.071.1
Point differential+4.9+7.9-2.0
Avg total140.0139.9140.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%50%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won14% (7)25% (4)0% (3)
Overtime %9%0%29%
Fresno State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL21%
HomeLWLLL33%
AwayLLLLL8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %21%33%8%
Points / game73.075.770.4
Allowed / game82.579.885.1
Point differential-9.4-4.2-14.7
Avg total155.5155.5155.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%8%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %17%25%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State2421388%81.468.8+12.6
2 New Mexico2420483%83.770.9+12.8
3 Grand Canyon2317674%79.168.6+10.5
4 San Diego State2115671%71.263.1+8.0
5 Boise State2417771%77.265.8+11.4
6 Colorado State2315865%73.568.4+5.0
7 Nevada23131057%72.567.6+4.9
8 UNLV24121250%70.570.0+0.4
9 San Jose State25121348%74.272.9+1.3
10 Wyoming24111346%68.270.4-2.2
11 Fresno State2451921%73.082.5-9.4
12 Air Force2432112%62.872.4-9.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Nevada415394
Fresno State313869
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