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UNLV vs Fresno State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Jan 2022
Tip-off: 04:00
Final 68-73
23-33 45-40
Position#154
Record9-6
FormWWWLW
Points / game71.3
Allowed / game65.6
vs
Position#130
Record11-4
FormWLWLW
Points / game66.6
Allowed / game55.9
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · UNLV v Fresno State
20 Dec 2025
UNLV84
FRES72
28 Dec 2024
UNLV87
FRES77
30 Jan 2024
UNLV78
FRES69
03 Feb 2023
UNLV79
FRES82
14 Jan 2022
UNLV68
FRES73
26 Feb 2021
UNLV68
FRES67
24 Feb 2021
UNLV64
FRES67
08 Feb 2020
UNLV68
FRES67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UNLV winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fresno State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UNLVUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Whittier
#634
W
101-45
101
45
+56
H25/11
NCAA
UCLA
#28
L
51-73
51
73
-22
H27/11
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#44
L
64-83
64
83
-19
A02/12
NCAA
San Francisco
#61
L
62-83
62
83
-21
A05/12
NCAA
Seattle
#51
W
76-56
76
56
+20
H09/12
NCAA
Hartford
#279
W
95-78
95
78
+17
H11/12
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#355
W
84-71
84
71
+13
H16/12
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#212
W
80-57
80
57
+23
H23/12
NCAA
San Diego State
#52
L
55-62
55
62
-7
H01/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#264
W
85-56
85
56
+29
H12/01
NCAA
1H
2H
53-16
48-29
22-37
29-36
21-44
43-39
37-40
25-43
36-30
40-26
44-35
51-43
35-38
49-33
42-24
38-33
32-35
23-27
40-30
45-26
141.7Avg total
75.3Scored
66.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)71.365.6136.9+5.760%
Season at home (13)72.662.9135.5+9.769%
Season away (2)63.083.0146.0-20.00%
Last 10 (10)75.366.4141.7+8.960%
Last 5 (5)79.864.8144.6+15.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)61.074.7135.7-13.70%
vs Similar ◀ (12)65.070.3135.3-5.333%
vs Weaker (10)75.961.2137.1+14.7100%
This opponent (Fresno State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fresno StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
California
#281
L
57-65
57
65
-8
A29/11
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#212
W
63-43
63
43
+20
H02/12
NCAA
CS Northridge
#340
W
61-43
61
43
+18
H05/12
NCAA
San Francisco
#61
L
63-71
63
71
-8
A09/12
NCAA
UC Irvine
#125
W
63-55
63
55
+8
H12/12
NCAA
Cal Poly
#337
W
83-48
83
48
+35
H18/12
NCAA
Utah Utes
#290
L
50-55
50
55
-5
A22/12
NCAA
Weber State
#106
W
69-43
69
43
+26
A23/12
NCAA
Boise State
#31
L
55-65
55
65
-10
A29/12
NCAA
San Jose State
#333
W
79-59
79
59
+20
H12/01
NCAA
1H
2H
21-28
36-37
33-20
30-23
39-17
22-26
31-24
32-47
26-21
37-34
50-29
33-19
23-22
27-33
44-18
25-25
25-35
30-30
39-28
40-31
119.0Avg total
64.3Scored
54.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)66.655.9122.5+10.773%
Season at home (10)70.553.9124.4+16.6100%
Season away (5)58.859.8118.6-1.020%
Last 10 (10)64.354.7119.0+9.660%
Last 5 (5)67.254.0121.2+13.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)57.469.5126.9-12.112%
vs Similar ◀ (7)63.359.7123.0+3.657%
vs Weaker (14)69.058.5127.5+10.586%
This opponent (UNLV) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: +3.3+3.31st half: +8.9+8.92nd half2nd half: +5.6+5.62nd half: +0.7+0.7
-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: +3.3+3.31st half: +8.9+8.92nd half2nd half: +5.6+5.62nd half: +0.7+0.7
UNLVFresno State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UNLVLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Whittier
#634
W
53-16
53
16
+37
H25/11
NCAA
UCLA
#28
L
22-37
22
37
-15
H27/11
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#44
L
21-44
21
44
-23
A02/12
NCAA
San Francisco
#61
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A05/12
NCAA
Seattle
#51
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H09/12
NCAA
Hartford
#279
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H11/12
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#355
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H16/12
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#212
W
42-24
42
24
+18
H23/12
NCAA
San Diego State
#52
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H01/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#264
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H12/01
NCAA
69.1Avg total
36.2Scored
32.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.832.365.1+0.550%-
Last 30 at home (20)34.330.965.2+3.455%-
Last 30 away (10)29.735.164.8-5.440%-
Last 10 (10)36.232.969.1+3.350%-
Last 5 (5)38.632.471.0+6.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)29.034.663.6-5.614%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)31.234.465.7-3.242%-
vs Weaker (10)35.229.865.0+5.480%-
This opponent (Fresno State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fresno StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
California
#281
L
21-28
21
28
-7
A29/11
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#212
W
33-20
33
20
+13
H02/12
NCAA
CS Northridge
#340
W
39-17
39
17
+22
H05/12
NCAA
San Francisco
#61
W
31-24
31
24
+7
A09/12
NCAA
UC Irvine
#125
W
26-21
26
21
+5
H12/12
NCAA
Cal Poly
#337
W
50-29
50
29
+21
H18/12
NCAA
Utah Utes
#290
W
23-22
23
22
+1
A22/12
NCAA
Weber State
#106
W
44-18
44
18
+26
A23/12
NCAA
Boise State
#31
L
25-35
25
35
-10
A29/12
NCAA
San Jose State
#333
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H12/01
NCAA
57.3Avg total
33.1Scored
24.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.727.158.8+4.667%-
Last 30 at home (17)32.026.358.3+5.765%-
Last 30 away (13)31.328.159.4+3.269%-
Last 10 (10)33.124.257.3+8.980%-
Last 5 (5)36.226.462.6+9.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)27.630.157.8-2.538%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)32.126.458.6+5.786%-
vs Weaker (14)33.126.159.2+6.971%-
This opponent (UNLV) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
UNLV wins
1
Fresno State wins
DateGameScore
27/02/21UNLV v Fresno State68-67
25/02/21UNLV v Fresno State64-67
09/02/20UNLV v Fresno State68-67
05/12/19Fresno State v UNLV80-81 OT
UNLVlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/01/22HNew Mexico85-56
01/01/22HSan Diego State55-62
23/12/21HSan Diego Toreros80-57
16/12/21HNebraska O.84-71
11/12/21HHartford95-78
09/12/21HSeattle76-56
05/12/21ASan Francisco62-83
02/12/21ASMU Mustangs64-83
27/11/21HUCLA51-73
25/11/21HWhittier101-45
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/01/22HSan Jose State79-59
29/12/21ABoise State55-65
23/12/21AWeber State69-43
22/12/21AUtah Utes50-55
18/12/21HCal Poly83-48
12/12/21HUC Irvine63-55
09/12/21ASan Francisco63-71
05/12/21HCS Northridge61-43
02/12/21HSan Diego Toreros63-43
29/11/21ACalifornia57-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UNLV
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW60%
HomeWWWLW69%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games15132
Win %60%69%0%
Points / game71.372.663.0
Allowed / game65.662.983.0
Point differential+5.7+9.7-20.0
Avg total136.9135.5146.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%46%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Fresno State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW73%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games15105
Win %73%100%20%
Points / game66.670.558.8
Allowed / game55.953.959.8
Point differential+10.7+16.6-1.0
Avg total122.5124.4118.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%60%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Colorado State1312192%79.067.7+11.3
2 Grand Canyon1513287%75.159.7+15.4
3 Wyoming1311285%77.563.1+14.5
4 San Diego State1310377%65.657.5+8.2
5 Boise State1511473%70.159.0+11.1
6 Fresno State1511473%66.655.9+10.7
7 Utah State1610662%77.769.9+7.8
8 Air Force138562%58.959.8-0.9
9 UNLV159660%71.365.6+5.7
10 San Jose State137654%71.869.4+2.5
11 Nevada137654%77.175.9+1.2
12 New Mexico167944%77.978.4-0.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UNLV234568
Fresno State334073
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