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Nevada vs San Diego State Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 01 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 04:00
Final 75-66
28-30 47-36
Position#74
Record16-6
FormLWLWL
Points / game73.5
Allowed / game66.7
Nevada 🏆
USA
vs
San Diego State
USA
Position#10
Record17-4
FormLWWWW
Points / game75.4
Allowed / game66.0
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Nevada v San Diego State
06 Jan 2026
NEVA68
SAN 73
25 Jan 2025
NEVA50
SAN 69
09 Feb 2024
NEVA70
SAN 66
31 Jan 2023
NEVA75
SAN 66
05 Mar 2022
NEVA78
SAN 79
29 Feb 2020
NEVA76
SAN 83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nevada winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
San Diego State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NevadaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Norfolk State
#71
W
78-66
78
66
+12
H21/12
NCAA
Boise State
#57
W
74-72
74
72
+2
H29/12
NCAA
Air Force
#251
W
75-69
75
69
+6
A31/12
NCAA
Colorado State
#238
W
80-69
80
69
+11
H05/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
W
67-40
67
40
+27
A07/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#10
L
65-74
65
74
-9
A11/01
NCAA
Utah State
#41
W
85-70
85
70
+15
H14/01
NCAA
Boise State
#57
L
62-77
62
77
-15
A18/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#70
W
97-94 OT
97
94
+3
H24/01
NCAA
UNLV
#123
L
62-68
62
68
-6
A29/01
NCAA
1H
2H
39-23
39-43
30-27
44-45
36-25
39-44
40-31
40-38
32-15
35-25
27-44
38-30
37-42
48-28
36-42
26-35
43-38
35-40
33-35
29-33
144.4Avg total
74.5Scored
69.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)73.566.7140.2+6.773%
Season at home (12)77.865.2143.0+12.7100%
Season away (10)68.268.6136.8-0.440%
Last 10 (10)74.569.9144.4+4.670%
Last 5 (5)74.276.6150.8-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)67.068.1135.1-1.129%
vs Similar ◀ (16)73.270.2143.4+3.062%
vs Weaker (6)76.262.8139.0+13.3100%
This opponent (San Diego State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Diego StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC San Diego
#312
W
62-46
62
46
+16
H21/12
NCAA
Air Force
#251
W
71-55
71
55
+16
H29/12
NCAA
UNLV
#123
W
76-67
76
67
+9
A31/12
NCAA
Wyoming
#334
W
80-75
80
75
+5
A07/01
NCAA
Nevada
#74
W
74-65
74
65
+9
H11/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#70
L
67-76
67
76
-9
H15/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#238
W
82-76 OT
82
76
+6
A19/01
NCAA
Air Force
#251
W
70-60
70
60
+10
A22/01
NCAA
Utah State
#41
W
85-75
85
75
+10
H26/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
W
72-51
72
51
+21
H29/01
NCAA
1H
2H
35-16
27-30
36-23
35-32
44-33
32-34
43-42
37-33
44-27
30-38
28-38
39-38
28-34
37-31
39-24
31-36
42-27
43-48
33-14
39-37
138.5Avg total
73.9Scored
64.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)75.466.0141.3+9.481%
Season at home (14)76.463.6140.0+12.986%
Season away (7)73.370.7144.0+2.671%
Last 10 (10)73.964.6138.5+9.390%
Last 5 (5)75.267.6142.8+7.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (16)68.565.4133.9+3.162%
vs Weaker (14)76.863.2140.0+13.693%
This opponent (Nevada) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +3.1+3.11st half: +9.4+9.42nd half2nd half: +1.2+1.22nd half: -0.7-0.7
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +3.1+3.11st half: +9.4+9.42nd half2nd half: +1.2+1.22nd half: -0.7-0.7
NevadaSan Diego State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
NevadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Norfolk State
#71
W
39-23
39
23
+16
H21/12
NCAA
Boise State
#57
W
30-27
30
27
+3
H29/12
NCAA
Air Force
#251
W
36-25
36
25
+11
A31/12
NCAA
Colorado State
#238
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H05/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
W
32-15
32
15
+17
A07/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#10
L
27-44
27
44
-17
A11/01
NCAA
Utah State
#41
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H14/01
NCAA
Boise State
#57
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A18/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#70
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H24/01
NCAA
UNLV
#123
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A29/01
NCAA
67.5Avg total
35.3Scored
32.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.432.265.6+1.243%-
Last 30 at home (16)33.631.164.7+2.650%-
Last 30 away (14)33.133.566.6-0.436%-
Last 10 (10)35.332.267.5+3.160%-
Last 5 (5)35.240.275.4-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)28.933.162.0-4.329%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)34.233.267.5+1.044%-
vs Weaker (6)35.030.765.7+4.350%-
This opponent (San Diego State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Diego StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC San Diego
#312
W
35-16
35
16
+19
H21/12
NCAA
Air Force
#251
W
36-23
36
23
+13
H29/12
NCAA
UNLV
#123
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A31/12
NCAA
Wyoming
#334
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A07/01
NCAA
Nevada
#74
W
44-27
44
27
+17
H11/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#70
L
28-38
28
38
-10
H15/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#238
L
28-34
28
34
-6
A19/01
NCAA
Air Force
#251
W
39-24
39
24
+15
A22/01
NCAA
Utah State
#41
W
42-27
42
27
+15
H26/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
W
33-14
33
14
+19
H29/01
NCAA
65.0Avg total
37.2Scored
27.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.329.064.3+6.370%-
Last 30 at home (18)35.426.762.1+8.778%-
Last 30 away (12)35.232.467.7+2.858%-
Last 10 (10)37.227.865.0+9.480%-
Last 5 (5)34.027.461.4+6.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (16)32.830.463.1+2.450%-
vs Weaker (14)38.327.465.7+10.993%-
This opponent (Nevada) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Nevada wins
8
San Diego State wins
DateGameScore
11/01/23San Diego State v Nevada74-65
06/03/22Nevada v San Diego State78-79
06/02/22San Diego State v Nevada65-63
13/03/21San Diego State v Nevada77-70
10/01/21San Diego State v Nevada69-67
08/01/21San Diego State v Nevada65-60
01/03/20Nevada v San Diego State76-83
19/01/20San Diego State v Nevada68-55
Nevadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/01/23AUNLV62-68
24/01/23HNew Mexico97-94 OT
18/01/23ABoise State62-77
14/01/23HUtah State85-70
11/01/23ASan Diego State65-74
07/01/23ASan Jose State67-40
05/01/23HColorado State80-69
31/12/22AAir Force75-69
29/12/22HBoise State74-72
21/12/22HNorfolk State78-66
San Diego Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/01/23HSan Jose State72-51
26/01/23HUtah State85-75
22/01/23AAir Force70-60
19/01/23AColorado State82-76 OT
15/01/23HNew Mexico67-76
11/01/23HNevada74-65
07/01/23AWyoming80-75
31/12/22AUNLV76-67
29/12/22HAir Force71-55
21/12/22HUC San Diego62-46

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nevada
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL73%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221210
Win %73%100%40%
Points / game73.577.868.2
Allowed / game66.765.268.6
Point differential+6.7+12.7-0.4
Avg total140.2143.0136.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%58%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (3)-
Overtime %9%8%10%
San Diego State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW81%
HomeWWLWW86%
AwayLWWWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21147
Win %81%86%71%
Points / game75.476.473.3
Allowed / game66.063.670.7
Point differential+9.4+12.9+2.6
Avg total141.3140.0144.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%57%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %10%7%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 New Mexico2219386%82.470.9+11.5
2 San Diego State2117481%75.466.0+9.4
3 Boise State2318578%72.460.7+11.7
4 Utah State2217577%79.971.0+8.9
5 Nevada2216673%73.566.7+6.7
6 UNLV2215768%76.368.3+8.0
7 Grand Canyon2113862%70.865.4+5.4
8 San Jose State2213959%67.766.2+1.5
9 Air Force23121152%67.665.7+2.0
10 Colorado State23101343%73.871.9+1.9
11 Wyoming2171433%70.871.5-0.7
12 Fresno State2171433%60.664.3-3.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Nevada284775
San Diego State303666
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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