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Nevada vs San Jose State Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 22 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 66-51
24-28 42-23
Position#74
Record20-7
FormWWWWL
Points / game73.4
Allowed / game66.8
Nevada 🏆
USA
vs
San Jose State
USA
Position#121
Record16-11
FormWLWWL
Points / game68.4
Allowed / game67.3
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Nevada v San Jose State
20 Jan 2026
NEVA87
SAN 54
18 Jan 2025
NEVA75
SAN 64
02 Feb 2024
NEVA90
SAN 60
09 Mar 2023
NEVA77
SAN 81
21 Feb 2023
NEVA66
SAN 51
15 Feb 2022
NEVA81
SAN 72
08 Feb 2020
NEVA95
SAN 77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nevada winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
San Jose State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NevadaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Diego State
#10
L
65-74
65
74
-9
A11/01
NCAA
Utah State
#41
W
85-70
85
70
+15
H14/01
NCAA
Boise State
#57
L
62-77
62
77
-15
A18/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#70
W
97-94 OT
97
94
+3
H24/01
NCAA
UNLV
#123
L
62-68
62
68
-6
A29/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#10
W
75-66
75
66
+9
H01/02
NCAA
Air Force
#251
W
72-52
72
52
+20
H04/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#70
W
77-76
77
76
+1
A08/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#295
W
77-66
77
66
+11
H11/02
NCAA
Utah State
#41
L
66-75
66
75
-9
A19/02
NCAA
1H
2H
27-44
38-30
37-42
48-28
36-42
26-35
43-38
35-40
33-35
29-33
28-30
47-36
31-28
41-24
45-41
32-35
34-32
43-34
47-32
19-43
145.6Avg total
73.8Scored
71.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)73.466.8140.2+6.774%
Season at home (15)77.264.4141.6+12.8100%
Season away (12)68.869.8138.5-1.042%
Last 10 (10)73.871.8145.6+2.060%
Last 5 (5)73.467.0140.4+6.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)71.867.0138.8+4.850%
vs Similar ◀ (19)73.170.5143.6+2.663%
vs Weaker (6)72.560.5133.0+12.0100%
This opponent (San Jose State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Jose StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fresno State
#295
W
74-64
74
64
+10
H11/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#70
L
57-77
57
77
-20
A18/01
NCAA
Utah State
#41
L
74-75
74
75
-1
A21/01
NCAA
Air Force
#251
W
82-52
82
52
+30
H25/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#10
L
51-72
51
72
-21
A29/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#334
W
84-64
84
64
+20
H05/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#295
L
62-70
62
70
-8
A08/02
NCAA
Utah State
#41
W
69-64
69
64
+5
H12/02
NCAA
UNLV
#123
W
75-66
75
66
+9
A15/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#70
L
68-96
68
96
-28
H18/02
NCAA
1H
2H
36-30
38-34
23-32
34-45
37-30
37-45
46-31
36-21
14-33
37-39
39-28
45-36
27-29
35-41
31-32
38-32
40-36
35-30
31-50
37-46
139.6Avg total
69.6Scored
70.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)68.467.3135.7+1.159%
Season at home (15)69.064.1133.1+4.973%
Season away (12)67.771.2138.9-3.642%
Last 10 (10)69.670.0139.6-0.450%
Last 5 (5)71.672.0143.6-0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)62.777.1139.8-14.49%
vs Similar ◀ (14)69.163.3132.4+5.871%
vs Weaker (5)72.657.0129.6+15.6100%
This opponent (Nevada) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -0.3-0.31st half: -0.7-0.72nd half2nd half: +2.0+2.02nd half: +0.3+0.3
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -0.3-0.31st half: -0.7-0.72nd half2nd half: +2.0+2.02nd half: +0.3+0.3
NevadaSan Jose State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
NevadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Diego State
#10
L
27-44
27
44
-17
A11/01
NCAA
Utah State
#41
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H14/01
NCAA
Boise State
#57
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A18/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#70
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H24/01
NCAA
UNLV
#123
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A29/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#10
L
28-30
28
30
-2
H01/02
NCAA
Air Force
#251
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H04/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#70
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A08/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#295
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H11/02
NCAA
Utah State
#41
W
47-32
47
32
+15
A19/02
NCAA
72.5Avg total
36.1Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.931.865.8+2.150%-
Last 30 at home (17)33.330.663.9+2.653%-
Last 30 away (13)34.833.468.2+1.446%-
Last 10 (10)36.136.472.5-0.350%-
Last 5 (5)37.032.669.6+4.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)28.831.560.2-2.825%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)35.233.468.6+1.747%-
vs Weaker (6)32.229.361.5+2.867%-
This opponent (San Jose State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Jose StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fresno State
#295
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H11/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#70
L
23-32
23
32
-9
A18/01
NCAA
Utah State
#41
W
37-30
37
30
+7
A21/01
NCAA
Air Force
#251
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H25/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#10
L
14-33
14
33
-19
A29/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#334
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H05/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#295
L
27-29
27
29
-2
A08/02
NCAA
Utah State
#41
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H12/02
NCAA
UNLV
#123
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A15/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#70
L
31-50
31
50
-19
H18/02
NCAA
65.5Avg total
32.4Scored
33.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.631.664.3+1.047%-
Last 30 at home (16)33.430.664.1+2.862%-
Last 30 away (14)31.732.864.5-1.129%-
Last 10 (10)32.433.165.5-0.750%-
Last 5 (5)33.635.068.6-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)29.135.464.5-6.318%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)34.129.363.4+4.964%-
vs Weaker (5)36.230.066.2+6.260%-
This opponent (Nevada) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Nevada wins
1
San Jose State wins
DateGameScore
07/01/23San Jose State v Nevada40-67
18/02/22San Jose State v Nevada60-90
16/02/22Nevada v San Jose State81-72
09/02/20Nevada v San Jose State95-77
09/01/20San Jose State v Nevada70-68
Nevadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/02/23AUtah State66-75
11/02/23HFresno State77-66
08/02/23ANew Mexico77-76
04/02/23HAir Force72-52
01/02/23HSan Diego State75-66
29/01/23AUNLV62-68
24/01/23HNew Mexico97-94 OT
18/01/23ABoise State62-77
14/01/23HUtah State85-70
11/01/23ASan Diego State65-74
San Jose Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/23HNew Mexico68-96
15/02/23AUNLV75-66
12/02/23HUtah State69-64
08/02/23AFresno State62-70
05/02/23HWyoming84-64
29/01/23ASan Diego State51-72
25/01/23HAir Force82-52
21/01/23AUtah State74-75
18/01/23ANew Mexico57-77
11/01/23HFresno State74-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nevada
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL74%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLLWL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271512
Win %74%100%42%
Points / game73.477.268.8
Allowed / game66.864.469.8
Point differential+6.7+12.8-1.0
Avg total140.2141.6138.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%60%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %7%7%8%
San Jose State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL59%
HomeWWWWL73%
AwayLLLLW42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271512
Win %59%73%42%
Points / game68.469.067.7
Allowed / game67.364.171.2
Point differential+1.1+4.9-3.6
Avg total135.7133.1138.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%53%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)100% (3)0% (3)
Overtime %4%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Diego State2621581%73.564.9+8.6
2 Boise State2721678%72.162.1+9.9
3 Utah State2922776%78.470.0+8.4
4 New Mexico2720774%81.172.1+9.0
5 Nevada2720774%73.466.8+6.7
6 Grand Canyon26161062%72.367.2+5.1
7 UNLV27161159%75.369.4+5.9
8 San Jose State27161159%68.467.3+1.1
9 Air Force29141548%67.567.3+0.2
10 Colorado State27121544%73.471.5+1.9
11 Fresno State27101737%61.764.6-2.9
12 Wyoming2781930%69.171.3-2.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Nevada244266
San Jose State282351
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