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Nevezis-OPTIBET vs Juventus Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 01 Dec 2020
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 70-87
22-25 15-24 16-16 17-22
Position#10
Record5-4
FormWWWLL
Points / game83.4
Allowed / game80.8
Nevezis-OPTIBET
Lithuania
vs
Juventus 🏆
Lithuania
Position#4
Record4-4
FormWLWLL
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game89.2
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Nevezis-OPTIBET v Juventus
28 Feb 2021
NOP81
JUV99
01 Dec 2020
NOP70
JUV87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nevezis-OPTIBET winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Juventus winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Nevezis-OPTIBETLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNevezis-OPTIBET
Date
Competition
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
W
82-72
82
72
+10
81avg 76
A19/09
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
76-70
76
70
+6
69avg 76
H24/09
LKL
Neptunas
#6
L
70-76
70
76
-6
56avg 76
A28/09
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
76-83
76
83
-7
59avg 76
A03/10
LKL
CBet
#5
W
92-88
92
88
+4
84avg 76
H18/10
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
96-77
96
77
+19
94avg 76
H25/10
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
100-94
100
94
+6
102avg 76
H31/10
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
L
74-80
74
80
-6
61avg 76
A07/11
LKL
Siauliai
#7
L
85-87
85
87
-2
78avg 76
A22/11
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-11
24-18
13-17
25-26
25-16
17-14
19-18
15-22
20-21
21-15
15-19
14-21
10-20
20-20
27-20
19-23
23-12
17-29
26-16
26-31
18-20
29-16
17-18
32-23
23-20
27-24
21-29
29-21
16-14
22-25
20-22
16-19
13-20
33-27
16-20
23-20
164.2Avg total
83.4Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)83.480.8164.2+2.756%
Season at home (4)91.082.2173.2+8.8100%
Season away (5)77.479.6157.0-2.220%
Last 10 (9)83.480.8164.2+2.756%
Last 5 (5)89.485.2174.6+4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)81.581.8163.2-0.250%
vs Similar (5)85.080.0165.0+5.060%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Juventus) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JuventusLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJuventus
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
L
77-106
77
106
-29
76avg 81
A19/09
LKL
CBet
#5
W
89-84 OT
89
84
+5
no box
H26/09
LKL
Nevezis-OPTIBET
#10
W
83-76
83
76
+7
84avg 81
H03/10
LKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#12
L
74-74
74
74
+0
no box
A06/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
W
106-98
106
98
+8
105avg 81
H11/10
LKL
Neptunas
#6
W
97-88
97
88
+9
97avg 81
A14/10
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
63-84
63
84
-21
55avg 81
A18/10
LKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#12
W
89-68
89
68
+21
no box
H20/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#3
L
76-78
76
78
-2
75avg 81
H24/10
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
79-100
79
100
-21
74avg 81
H14/11
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-17
23-27
16-32
23-30
15-19
23-21
18-20
22-18
20-10
20-20
20-27
23-19
20-12
24-22
7-18
23-22
24-20
33-26
23-23
26-29
23-26
22-20
22-13
30-29
17-19
14-21
17-24
15-20
19-20
22-16
24-17
24-15
17-20
25-20
16-16
18-22
18-23
19-23
23-25
19-29
168.9Avg total
83.3Scored
85.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)83.889.2173.0-5.550%
Season at home (5)86.687.2173.8-0.660%
Season away (3)79.092.7171.7-13.733%
Last 10 (10)83.385.6168.9-2.350%
Last 5 (5)80.883.6164.4-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)77.288.4165.5-11.223%
vs Similar (2)98.090.0188.0+8.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)84.278.6162.8+5.680%
This opponent (Nevezis-OPTIBET) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -1.0-1.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -1.0-1.0
Nevezis-OPTIBETJuventus
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Nevezis-OPTIBETLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
W
44-29
44
29
+15
A19/09
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H24/09
LKL
Neptunas
#6
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A28/09
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A03/10
LKL
CBet
#5
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H18/10
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H25/10
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H31/10
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A07/11
LKL
Siauliai
#7
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A22/11
LKL
80.0Avg total
42.0Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (9)42.038.080.0+4.056%-
Last 30 at home (4)44.837.882.5+7.075%-
Last 30 away (5)39.838.278.0+1.640%-
Last 10 (9)42.038.080.0+4.056%-
Last 5 (5)44.241.485.6+2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)40.038.278.2+1.850%-
vs Similar (5)43.637.881.4+5.860%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Juventus) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JuventusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A19/09
LKL
CBet
#5
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H26/09
LKL
Nevezis-OPTIBET
#10
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H03/10
LKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#12
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A06/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
W
57-46
57
46
+11
H11/10
LKL
Neptunas
#6
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A14/10
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A18/10
LKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#12
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H20/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#3
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H24/10
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H14/11
LKL
81.5Avg total
41.3Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.440.882.2+0.643%-
Last 30 at home (18)42.440.883.2+1.650%-
Last 30 away (12)39.940.880.8-0.933%-
Last 10 (10)41.340.281.5+1.150%-
Last 5 (5)39.241.680.8-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)40.244.484.5-4.223%-
vs Similar (2)41.042.083.0-1.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)42.537.680.1+4.960%-
This opponent (Nevezis-OPTIBET) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nevezis-OPTIBETtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nevezis-OPTIBET: 82.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.0 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.322.8
55.1%
54.2%45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.66.7
28.3%
36.6%20.0
🏀 Free throws21.116.8
79.5%
75.2%16.8
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Juventustheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Juventus: 82.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.620.7
56.6%
54.2%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.18.7
39.4%
36.6%26.1
🏀 Free throws20.014.6
72.9%
75.2%14.6
They take 58.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 9/7 games with a box score before 01 Dec 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nevezis-OPTIBET
LLWWWLLWW
Juventus
LLWLWWLWWL
#10
League position
#4
+2.9
Net rating
-9.4
106.0
Offensive rating
106.1
103.1
Defensive rating
115.5
50.5%
Effective FG%
57.5%
52.6%
Opp. effective FG%
54.2%
20.8%
Turnover %
24.0%
35.4%
Off. rebound %
28.5%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.34
28.3%
3-point %
39.4%
53.6%
Assist %
71.4%
56%
Form (last 9/10)
50%

Profile

Offence106.0 · 106.1Defence103.1 · 115.5Shooting50.5% · 57.5%3-point %28.3% · 39.4%Ball care20.8% · 24.0%Off. rebounds35.4% · 28.5%Free throws0.33 · 0.34Form (last 9/10)56% · 50%
■ Nevezis-OPTIBET   ■ Juventus
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Nevezis-OPTIBET wins
1
Juventus wins
DateGameScore
03/10/20Juventus v Nevezis-OPTIBET83-76
Nevezis-OPTIBETlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/20ASiauliai85-87
07/11/20AAlytaus Dzukija74-80
31/10/20HRytas100-94
25/10/20HSiauliai96-77
18/10/20HCBet92-88
03/10/20AJuventus76-83
28/09/20ANeptunas70-76
24/09/20HLietkabelis76-70
19/09/20APieno Zvaigzdes82-72
Juventuslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/20HRytas79-100
24/10/20HLietkabelis76-78
20/10/20HSuduva-Mantinga89-68
18/10/20AZalgiris Kaunas63-84
14/10/20ANeptunas97-88
11/10/20HAlytaus Dzukija106-98
06/10/20ASuduva-Mantinga74-74
03/10/20HNevezis-OPTIBET83-76
26/09/20HCBet89-84 OT
19/09/20ARytas77-106

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nevezis-OPTIBET
LKL 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 4 Losses (last 9)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL56%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %56%100%20%
Points / game83.491.077.4
Allowed / game80.882.279.6
Point differential+2.7+8.8-2.2
Avg total164.2173.2157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%25%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Juventus
LKL 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL50%
HomeWWWLL60%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %50%60%33%
Points / game83.886.679.0
Allowed / game89.287.292.7
Point differential-5.5-0.6-13.7
Avg total173.0173.8171.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %12%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas98189%86.069.2+16.8
2 Lietkabelis75271%82.074.4+7.6
3 Rytas107370%94.280.4+13.8
4 Nevezis-OPTIBET95456%83.480.8+2.7
5 Pieno Zvaigzdes105550%80.885.1-4.3
6 Juventus84450%83.889.2-5.5
7 CBet114736%88.289.5-1.4
8 Neptunas93633%76.086.7-10.7
9 Alytaus Dzukija82625%81.685.6-4.0
10 Siauliai92722%78.693.7-15.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nevezis-OPTIBET2215161770
Juventus2524162287
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