Nevezis vs Juventus Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Nov 2026

Tip-off: 17:10

Projected 85-86

Projected total 171.3

Final 91-88

28-23 18-23 27-21 18-21

Position#10

Record1-7

FormWLWLW

Points / game73.9

Allowed / game82.5

Nevezis 🏆

48%

52%

■ NEV 48%■ JUV 52%

Pythia win probability

Juventus

Position#8

Record3-6

FormWLLWL

Points / game85.2

Allowed / game88.0

LKL· Kedainiu arena

Domestic2026-27

Meetings · Nevezis v Juventus

Sections

Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Nevezis will host Juventus on 14 November 2026 in the LKL, a matchup that feels almost even as both sides have struggled to find rhythm, with Juventus only edging the win probability at 52% to 48% for Nevezis. Nevezis, 1-7 overall with 73.9 points scored and 82.5 allowed per game, has managed only one win at home, 77.8 points for and 78.0 against, and has won three of its last five games, highlighted by a 90-79 victory over Taurage and a 87-76 win over Gargzdai, though a 76-83 loss to Siauliai tempers optimism. Juventus, 3-6 overall, averages 85.2 points and concedes 88.0, but has struggled on the road, 0-4 with 79.8 points scored and 90.0 allowed, and has won only two of its last five, including a 98-95 win over Pardubice. Their head-to-head record is tied 5-5, with the last meeting ending 94-77 in Juventus' favour. Pythia projects a close 85-86 score for a 171.3 total, with the home team covering a 3.0 line at 57% and the over on a 170.5 line at 51%, and a 5% chance of overtime. The game will hinge on whether Nevezis can maintain its recent home form against a Juventus side that has shown flashes of offensive firepower.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nevezis winWon

48.0%fair 2.08

Best odds3.25

Implied32.4%

Edge+15.7pp

Juventus winLost

52.0%fair 1.92

Best odds1.40

Implied67.6%

Edge-15.7pp

Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 19:45 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Nevezis

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormNevezis

Date

Competition

Neptunas

62-89

-27

52avg 72

A03/10

LKL

Taurage

76-81

-5

60avg 72

A07/10

King Mindaugas Cup

Zalgiris Kaunas

76-80

-4

72avg 72

H11/10

LKL

Gargzdai

86-101

101

-15

85avg 72

H14/10

King Mindaugas Cup

Lietkabelis

72-73

-1

70avg 72

H17/10

LKL

Jurbarkas

93-69

+24

85avg 72

A20/10

King Mindaugas Cup

Taurage

76-80

-4

65avg 72

A24/10

LKL

Gargzdai

87-76

+11

no box

H02/11

LKL

Siauliai

76-83

-7

no box

H08/11

LKL

Taurage

90-79

+11

no box

H11/11

King Mindaugas Cup

10-34

12-21

19-14

21-20

18-26

18-23

23-13

17-19

22-16

18-18

19-25

17-21

18-18

20-27

25-30

23-26

19-20

9-22

21-20

23-11

27-20

21-25

24-13

21-11

22-19

18-24

15-18

21-19

22-25

27-17

18-19

20-15

26-23

23-18

15-20

12-22

23-20

22-17

28-22

17-20

160.5Avg total

79.4Scored

81.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (8)	73.9	82.5	156.4	-8.6	12%
Season at home (4)	77.8	78.0	155.8	-0.2	25%
Season away (4)	70.0	87.0	157.0	-17.0	0%
Last 10 (10)	79.4	81.1	160.5	-1.7	30%
Last 5 (5)	84.4	77.4	161.8	+7.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	80.6	91.0	171.6	-10.5	19%
vs Similar (6)	78.5	88.0	166.5	-9.5	17%
vs Weaker (3)	86.3	76.3	162.7	+10.0	67%

This opponent (Juventus) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Juventus

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormJuventus

Date

Competition

Nevezis

#10

94-77

+17

85avg 79

H27/09

LKL

Taurage

93-77

+16

86avg 79

H04/10

LKL

Unicaja

66-105

105

-39

51avg 79

H07/10

Champions League

Siauliai

71-83

-12

62avg 79

A11/10

LKL

Gargzdai

100-90

100

+10

100avg 79

H18/10

LKL

Reggiana

#32

76-75

70avg 79

A21/10

Champions League

Rytas

76-94

-18

63avg 79

H25/10

LKL

Jonava

82-94

-12

74avg 79

A31/10

LKL

Pardubice

#49

98-95 OT

no box

H03/11

Champions League

Zalgiris Kaunas

85-94

-9

no box

H08/11

LKL

28-24

24-14

17-22

25-17

18-20

23-16

26-17

26-24

8-20

21-24

19-34

18-27

25-23

28-18

15-21

3-21

31-25

26-26

20-19

23-20

22-25

25-25

14-20

15-5

25-30

17-21

10-20

24-23

27-16

15-29

25-24

15-25

21-21

19-25

35-23

14-20

17-21

25-27

20-12

23-34

172.5Avg total

84.1Scored

88.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (9)	85.2	88.0	173.2	-2.8	33%
Season at home (5)	89.6	86.4	176.0	+3.2	60%
Season away (4)	79.8	90.0	169.8	-10.2	0%
Last 10 (10)	84.1	88.4	172.5	-4.3	50%
Last 5 (5)	83.4	90.4	173.8	-7.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	84.1	94.1	178.2	-9.9	41%
vs Similar (9)	88.3	89.7	178.0	-1.3	44%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	93.0	87.0	180.0	+6.0	75%

This opponent (Nevezis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Total points distribution

Pythia expects about 171 points (overtime included in the simulation); the most likely band is 170-174 (12%). The market's main line is 170.75.

Over/Under 165.5Actual: Over 165.5

Over 165.5

63.4%

@ 1.52+2.9pp

Under 165.5

36.6%

@ 2.40-2.9pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.52

Bet365

1.52

1xBet

1.48

Under

Bet365

2.40

Betano

2.30

1xBet

2.26

Over/Under 170.75 · main lineActual: Over 170.75

Over 170.75

51.8%

@ 1.80+1.8pp

Under 170.75

48.2%

@ 1.80-1.8pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.80

Under

1xBet

1.80

Over/Under 175.5Actual: Over 175.5

Over 175.5

38.8%

@ 2.42+0.5pp

Under 175.5

61.2%

@ 1.52-0.5pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.42

Bet365

2.40

Under

Bet365

1.52

Betano

1.47

📊 3. Team Totals

Nevezis total 78.5Actual: Nevezis over 78.5

Over 78.5

74.4%

@ 1.52+12.2pp

Under 78.5

25.6%

@ 2.42-12.2pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.52

Betano

1.47

1xBet

1.40

Under

Betano

2.42

Bet365

2.40

1xBet

2.34

Nevezis total 82.5 · main lineActual: Nevezis over 82.5

Over 82.5

60.6%

@ 1.91+11.1pp

Under 82.5

39.4%

@ 1.83-11.1pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.91

Marathon Be

1.85

Bet365

1.83

1xBet

1.74

Under

Bet365

1.83

Marathon Be

1.81

Betano

1.75

1xBet

1.70

Nevezis total 86.5Actual: Nevezis over 86.5

Over 86.5

45.3%

@ 2.72+9.2pp

Under 86.5

54.7%

@ 1.44-9.2pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.72

Betano

2.55

1xBet

2.40

Under

Betano

1.44

Bet365

1.40

1xBet

1.38

Juventus total 82.5Actual: Juventus over 82.5

Over 82.5

62.9%

@ 1.45-4.1pp

Under 82.5

37.1%

@ 2.83+4.1pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.45

Bet365

1.38

1xBet

1.29

Under

1xBet

2.83

Bet365

2.80

Betano

2.50

Juventus total 86.5 · main lineActual: Juventus over 86.5

Over 86.5

47.6%

@ 1.83-8.1pp

Under 86.5

52.4%

@ 2.07+8.1pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.83

Betano

1.65

1xBet

1.55

Under

Betano

2.07

1xBet

1.96

Bet365

1.83

Juventus total 90.5Actual: Juventus under 90.5

Over 90.5

32.6%

@ 2.25-9.0pp

Under 90.5

67.4%

@ 1.57+9.0pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.25

Betano

2.20

1xBet

2.04

Under

Betano

1.57

Bet365

1.57

1xBet

1.51

⚖️ 4. Spread

Winning margin distribution

Margin from Nevezis's side (positive = Nevezis win). Pythia's expected margin is -0.6; Nevezis win by 1+ in 42% of simulations.

Spread Nevezis +3Actual: Nevezis +3

NEV +3

56.7%

@ 2.25+15.6pp

JUV -3

43.3%

@ 1.77-15.6pp

Best 5 market prices

NEV

Pinnacle

2.25

Bet365

2.12

SBO

1.89

JUV

SBO

1.77

Bet365

1.64

Pinnacle

1.57

Marathon Be

1.57

Spread Nevezis +6 · main lineActual: Nevezis +6

NEV +6

67.2%

@ 2.05+17.6pp

JUV -6

32.8%

@ 1.85-17.6pp

Best 5 market prices

NEV

Bet365

2.05

SBO

1.91

Pinnacle

1.88

Marathon Be

1.83

1xBet

1.83

JUV

Pinnacle

1.85

Marathon Be

1.82

1xBet

1.82

SBO

1.77

Bet365

1.68

Spread Nevezis +9Actual: Nevezis +9

NEV +9

76.2%

@ 1.68+17.0pp

JUV -9

23.8%

@ 2.27-17.0pp

Best 5 market prices

NEV

Bet365

1.68

Pinnacle

1.56

Marathon Be

1.53

JUV

Pinnacle

2.27

Bet365

2.05

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

NevezisJuventus

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 42.75
Last 30 (30)	20.8	23.3	44.1	-2.5	47%	63%
Last 30 at home (14)	21.0	22.2	43.2	-1.2	43%	57%
Last 30 away (16)	20.6	24.2	44.8	-3.6	50%	69%
Last 10 (10)	20.7	22.1	42.8	-1.4	50%	60%
Last 5 (5)	24.0	21.4	45.4	+2.6	80%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	20.7	24.7	45.4	-4.0	38%	67%
vs Similar (6)	20.3	18.8	39.2	+1.5	67%	33%
vs Weaker (3)	22.7	22.0	44.7	+0.7	67%	100%

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 42.75
Last 30 (30)	21.9	22.4	44.3	-0.6	40%	60%
Last 30 at home (15)	21.6	22.7	44.3	-1.1	40%	53%
Last 30 away (15)	22.1	22.2	44.3	-0.1	40%	67%
Last 10 (10)	22.2	22.5	44.7	-0.3	40%	60%
Last 5 (5)	22.4	22.6	45.0	-0.2	20%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	20.8	24.3	45.1	-3.5	29%	65%
vs Similar (9)	23.4	20.2	43.7	+3.2	56%	56%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	22.8	19.5	42.2	+3.2	50%	50%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 42.25
Last 30 (30)	18.5	22.3	40.7	-3.8	27%	27%
Last 30 at home (14)	18.1	22.7	40.9	-4.6	29%	29%
Last 30 away (16)	18.8	21.9	40.6	-3.1	25%	25%
Last 10 (10)	18.8	21.2	40.0	-2.4	30%	30%
Last 5 (5)	22.2	20.2	42.4	+2.0	60%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	17.9	21.9	39.7	-4.0	29%	19%
vs Similar (6)	19.7	24.0	43.7	-4.3	17%	50%
vs Weaker (3)	20.3	21.7	42.0	-1.3	33%	33%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 42.25
Last 30 (30)	21.8	21.7	43.5	+0.2	43%	57%
Last 30 at home (15)	22.7	21.0	43.7	+1.7	47%	60%
Last 30 away (15)	20.9	22.3	43.3	-1.4	40%	53%
Last 10 (10)	22.3	22.5	44.8	-0.2	30%	70%
Last 5 (5)	20.2	25.4	45.6	-5.2	0%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	21.9	22.4	44.4	-0.5	35%	65%
vs Similar (9)	21.7	21.7	43.3	+0.0	44%	56%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	21.8	18.5	40.2	+3.2	75%	25%

NevezisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Neptunas

22-55

-33

A03/10

LKL

Taurage

36-49

-13

A07/10

King Mindaugas Cup

Zalgiris Kaunas

40-34

H11/10

LKL

Gargzdai

38-45

-7

H14/10

King Mindaugas Cup

Lietkabelis

28-42

-14

H17/10

LKL

Jurbarkas

48-45

A20/10

King Mindaugas Cup

Taurage

40-43

-3

A24/10

LKL

Gargzdai

49-42

H02/11

LKL

Siauliai

49-41

H08/11

LKL

Taurage

45-37

H11/11

King Mindaugas Cup

82.8Avg total

39.5Scored

43.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 85.25
Last 30 (30)	39.3	45.5	84.8	-6.3	30%	43%
Last 30 at home (14)	39.1	44.9	84.1	-5.8	36%	29%
Last 30 away (16)	39.4	46.1	85.4	-6.7	25%	56%
Last 10 (10)	39.5	43.3	82.8	-3.8	50%	30%
Last 5 (5)	46.2	41.6	87.8	+4.6	80%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	38.5	46.6	85.1	-8.0	33%	52%
vs Similar (6)	40.0	42.8	82.8	-2.8	0%	17%
vs Weaker (3)	43.0	43.7	86.7	-0.7	67%	33%

This opponent (Juventus) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

JuventusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Nevezis

#10

52-38

+14

H27/09

LKL

Taurage

41-36

H04/10

LKL

Unicaja

29-44

-15

H07/10

Champions League

Siauliai

53-41

+12

A11/10

LKL

Gargzdai

57-51

H18/10

LKL

Reggiana

#32

47-50

-3

A21/10

Champions League

Rytas

42-51

-9

H25/10

LKL

Jonava

42-45

-3

A31/10

LKL

Pardubice

#49

40-46

-6

H03/11

Champions League

Zalgiris Kaunas

42-48

-6

H08/11

LKL

89.5Avg total

44.5Scored

45.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 85.25
Last 30 (30)	43.7	44.1	87.8	-0.4	47%	53%
Last 30 at home (15)	44.3	43.7	88.0	+0.7	60%	60%
Last 30 away (15)	43.1	44.5	87.6	-1.5	33%	47%
Last 10 (10)	44.5	45.0	89.5	-0.5	40%	80%
Last 5 (5)	42.6	48.0	90.6	-5.4	0%	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	42.8	46.7	89.5	-3.9	29%	59%
vs Similar (9)	45.1	41.9	87.0	+3.2	67%	56%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	44.5	38.0	82.5	+6.5	75%	25%

This opponent (Nevezis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

1st half winnerActual: Juventus win

NEV win

49.4%

@ 2.62+11.1pp

JUV win

50.6%

@ 1.51-11.1pp

1st half Spread Nevezis +2.5 · main lineActual: Nevezis +2.5

NEV +2.5

59.8%

@ 2.02+10.2pp

JUV -2.5

40.2%

@ 1.85-10.2pp

1st half Over/Under 85.25 · main lineActual: Over 85.25

Over

49.1%

@ 1.81-0.9pp

Under

50.9%

@ 1.81+0.9pp

Nevezis 1st half total 41.5 · main lineActual: Nevezis over 41.5

Over

56.2%

@ 1.91+7.9pp

Under

43.8%

@ 1.83-7.9pp

Juventus 1st half total 43.5 · main lineActual: Juventus over 43.5

Over

45.3%

@ 1.83-6.8pp

Under

54.7%

@ 2.10+6.8pp

1st half: NEV + total 85.5

NEV & over

23.4%

@ 5.00+6.2pp

NEV & under

24.0%

@ 5.00+6.7pp

1st half: Draw + total 85.5

Draw & over

2.1%

@ 29.00-0.9pp

Draw & under

2.0%

@ 29.00-1.0pp

1st half: JUV + total 85.5

JUV & over

23.6%

@ 2.90-6.2pp

JUV & under

25.0%

@ 2.90-4.8pp

1st half Over/Under 84Actual: Over 84

Over

55.0%

@ 1.72+0.9pp

Under

45.0%

@ 2.03-0.9pp

1st half Over/Under 86.5Actual: Over 86.5

Over

45.3%

@ 1.95-2.7pp

Under

54.7%

@ 1.80+2.7pp

1st half Spread Nevezis +1.5Actual: Nevezis +1.5

NEV +1.5

55.6%

@ 2.22+11.9pp

JUV -1.5

44.4%

@ 1.85-11.9pp

1st half Spread Nevezis +3.5Actual: Nevezis +3.5

NEV +3.5

64.1%

@ 1.87+10.5pp

JUV -3.5

35.9%

@ 2.01-10.5pp

1st half Over/Under 88.5Actual: Over 88.5

Over

37.8%

@ 2.25-3.7pp

Under

62.2%

@ 1.60+3.7pp

1st half Spread Nevezis +0.5Actual: Nevezis +0.5

NEV +0.5

51.5%

@ 2.20+9.4pp

JUV -0.5

48.5%

@ 1.60-9.4pp

1st half Spread Nevezis +4.5Actual: Nevezis +4.5

NEV +4.5

68.0%

@ 1.75+12.6pp

JUV -4.5

32.0%

@ 2.12-12.6pp

1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Nevezis (regulation)

NEV

47.4%

@ 2.70+12.1pp

Draw

4.1%

@ 17.50-1.7pp

JUV

48.5%

@ 1.55-10.3pp

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 42
Last 30 (30)	20.9	21.2	42.1	-0.3	47%	43%
Last 30 at home (14)	22.1	22.0	44.1	+0.1	43%	50%
Last 30 away (16)	19.9	20.6	40.4	-0.7	50%	38%
Last 10 (10)	20.7	19.4	40.1	+1.3	50%	30%
Last 5 (5)	20.0	18.4	38.4	+1.6	40%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	21.3	21.7	43.0	-0.4	48%	48%
vs Similar (6)	17.5	22.2	39.7	-4.7	17%	33%
vs Weaker (3)	25.0	16.0	41.0	+9.0	100%	33%

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 42
Last 30 (30)	20.5	23.9	44.4	-3.4	33%	57%
Last 30 at home (15)	20.5	22.5	43.1	-2.0	40%	53%
Last 30 away (15)	20.5	25.2	45.7	-4.7	27%	60%
Last 10 (10)	20.1	21.2	41.3	-1.1	50%	40%
Last 5 (5)	20.8	19.8	40.6	+1.0	60%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	19.5	23.5	43.0	-3.9	24%	41%
vs Similar (9)	22.8	23.4	46.2	-0.7	56%	78%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	19.5	26.5	46.0	-7.0	25%	75%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 42.5
Last 30 (30)	19.9	21.5	41.4	-1.6	43%	37%
Last 30 at home (14)	20.2	21.0	41.2	-0.8	43%	36%
Last 30 away (16)	19.6	22.0	41.6	-2.4	44%	38%
Last 10 (10)	19.2	18.4	37.6	+0.8	50%	10%
Last 5 (5)	18.2	17.4	35.6	+0.8	60%	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	20.3	22.2	42.5	-1.9	43%	43%
vs Similar (6)	19.2	21.7	40.8	-2.5	50%	33%
vs Weaker (3)	18.3	16.7	35.0	+1.7	33%	0%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 42.5
Last 30 (30)	21.2	22.7	43.9	-1.5	43%	60%
Last 30 at home (15)	22.5	22.2	44.7	+0.3	60%	67%
Last 30 away (15)	19.9	23.2	43.1	-3.3	27%	53%
Last 10 (10)	18.6	21.6	40.2	-3.0	50%	50%
Last 5 (5)	18.2	21.4	39.6	-3.2	40%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	21.8	23.9	45.7	-2.1	35%	76%
vs Similar (9)	17.9	21.6	39.4	-3.7	44%	33%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	26.0	20.2	46.2	+5.8	75%	50%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 84.5
Last 30 (30)	40.8	42.8	83.6	-2.0	47%	40%
Last 30 at home (14)	42.3	43.0	85.3	-0.7	57%	57%
Last 30 away (16)	39.5	42.6	82.1	-3.1	38%	25%
Last 10 (10)	39.9	37.8	77.7	+2.1	60%	20%
Last 5 (5)	38.2	35.8	74.0	+2.4	60%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	41.6	43.9	85.5	-2.3	43%	48%
vs Similar (6)	36.7	43.8	80.5	-7.2	33%	17%
vs Weaker (3)	43.3	32.7	76.0	+10.7	100%	33%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 84.5
Last 30 (30)	41.7	46.6	88.3	-4.9	37%	67%
Last 30 at home (15)	43.1	44.7	87.8	-1.7	53%	60%
Last 30 away (15)	40.3	48.4	88.7	-8.1	20%	73%
Last 10 (10)	38.7	42.8	81.5	-4.1	50%	50%
Last 5 (5)	39.0	41.2	80.2	-2.2	40%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	41.4	47.4	88.7	-6.0	29%	71%
vs Similar (9)	40.7	45.0	85.7	-4.3	44%	56%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	45.5	46.8	92.2	-1.2	50%	75%

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.

NEV win + total 170.5

🔒 Pro

JUV win + total 170.5

🔒 Pro

Overtime

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: NEV leads at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: level at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: JUV leads at half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half

🔒 Pro

Team with the highest-scoring quarter

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring half

🔒 Pro

Double chance (regulation)

🔒 Pro

Quarters won (NEV:JUV): NEV wins more

🔒 Pro

🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Nevezis +10	78.8%	1.60	Bet365 1.60	-	-	-	-	+20.9pp	Won
Nevezis +11	81.2%	1.52	Bet365 1.52	-	-	-	-	+20.0pp	Won
Nevezis +12.5	83.7%	1.39	Bet365 1.43	Betano 1.35	-	-	-	+17.2pp	Won
Nevezis +9.5	76.9%	1.52	Bet365 1.64	Betano 1.53	Marathon Bet 1.50	1xBet 1.42	-	+17.1pp	Won
Nevezis +9	76.2%	1.59	Bet365 1.68	Pinnacle 1.56	Marathon Bet 1.53	-	-	+17.0pp	Won
Nevezis +14.5	87.3%	1.30	Betano 1.30	-	-	-	-	+16.9pp	Won
Nevezis +7	70.4%	1.77	Bet365 1.86	SBO 1.76	Pinnacle 1.73	Marathon Bet 1.73	-	+16.7pp	Won
Nevezis +10.5	79.3%	1.46	Bet365 1.57	Betano 1.47	1xBet 1.35	-	-	+16.6pp	Won
Nevezis +8	73.4%	1.69	Bet365 1.80	SBO 1.71	Pinnacle 1.62	Marathon Bet 1.62	-	+16.2pp	Won
Nevezis +11.5	81.6%	1.40	Bet365 1.50	Betano 1.40	1xBet 1.29	-	-	+16.2pp	Won
Nevezis +7.5	71.3%	1.71	Bet365 1.83	SBO 1.77	Betano 1.70	Pinnacle 1.67	Marathon Bet 1.67	+15.7pp	Won
Nevezis +8.5	74.2%	1.61	Bet365 1.74	Betano 1.62	Marathon Bet 1.58	Pinnacle 1.58	1xBet 1.51	+15.5pp	Won
Nevezis +17.5	91.5%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+15.3pp	Won
Nevezis +13.5	85.6%	1.30	Betano 1.30	-	-	-	-	+15.1pp	Won
1st half: Nevezis +5.5	71.8%	1.59	Bet365 1.66	Betano 1.62	1xBet 1.50	-	-	+14.2pp	Won
1st half: Nevezis +9.5	84.0%	1.33	Bet365 1.33	-	-	-	-	+14.1pp	Won
2nd half: Nevezis +7.5	77.2%	1.40	1xBet 1.40	-	-	-	-	+13.9pp	Won
2nd half: Nevezis +8.5	80.1%	1.34	1xBet 1.34	-	-	-	-	+13.7pp	Won
1st half: Nevezis +7.5	78.2%	1.41	Bet365 1.47	1xBet 1.35	-	-	-	+13.6pp	Won
2nd half: Nevezis +6.5	73.8%	1.47	1xBet 1.47	-	-	-	-	+13.5pp	Won
2nd half: Nevezis +9.5	82.8%	1.28	1xBet 1.28	-	-	-	-	+13.5pp	Won
1st half: Nevezis +11.5	88.7%	1.23	Bet365 1.23	-	-	-	-	+13.4pp	Won
2nd half: Nevezis +5.5	70.4%	1.54	1xBet 1.54	-	-	-	-	+13.2pp	Won
1st half: Nevezis +13.5	92.0%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+12.5pp	Won
Nevezis over 74.5	85.2%	1.27	Bet365 1.27	-	-	-	-	+12.4pp	Won
Nevezis over 76.5	80.3%	1.33	Bet365 1.38	1xBet 1.29	-	-	-	+12.4pp	Won
Q1: Nevezis +5.5	78.0%	1.38	Bet365 1.41	1xBet 1.35	-	-	-	+12.3pp	Won
Q1: Nevezis +4.5	73.6%	1.44	1xBet 1.44	-	-	-	-	+12.2pp	Won
Nevezis over 78.5	74.4%	1.46	Bet365 1.52	Betano 1.47	1xBet 1.40	-	-	+12.2pp	Won
Q1: Nevezis +6.5	82.2%	1.27	1xBet 1.27	-	-	-	-	+12.1pp	Won
1st half: Nevezis +6.5	75.2%	1.44	Bet365 1.45	1xBet 1.42	-	-	-	+11.9pp	Won
Juventus under 95.5	82.4%	1.32	Bet365 1.32	-	-	-	-	+11.9pp	Won
2nd half: Nevezis over 36.5	78.5%	1.32	1xBet 1.32	-	-	-	-	+11.8pp	Won
Nevezis over 79.5	71.2%	1.52	Betano 1.57	Bet365 1.52	1xBet 1.46	-	-	+11.8pp	Won
Nevezis over 77.5	77.5%	1.37	Betano 1.40	Bet365 1.38	1xBet 1.34	-	-	+11.7pp	Won
2nd half: Nevezis over 37.5	74.2%	1.40	1xBet 1.40	-	-	-	-	+11.7pp	Won
Juventus under 97.5	86.9%	1.23	Bet365 1.23	-	-	-	-	+11.6pp	Won
Q1: Nevezis +7.5	85.7%	1.26	Bet365 1.26	-	-	-	-	+11.6pp	Won
2nd half: Nevezis over 35.5	82.3%	1.24	1xBet 1.24	-	-	-	-	+11.5pp	Won
1st half: Nevezis +8.5	81.2%	1.31	Bet365 1.32	1xBet 1.29	-	-	-	+11.5pp	Won
Nevezis over 72.5	89.3%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+11.5pp	Won
1st half: Juventus under 50.5	86.8%	1.23	Bet365 1.23	-	-	-	-	+11.5pp	Won
Q1: Nevezis over 17.5	78.3%	1.32	1xBet 1.32	-	-	-	-	+11.5pp	Won
Nevezis over 71.5	91.0%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+11.5pp	Won
Nevezis over 75.5	82.9%	1.27	Bet365 1.27	1xBet 1.27	-	-	-	+11.3pp	Won
1st half: Juventus under 48.5	79.4%	1.33	Bet365 1.37	1xBet 1.29	-	-	-	+11.3pp	Won
Juventus under 93.5	77.0%	1.38	Bet365 1.44	1xBet 1.32	-	-	-	+11.2pp	Won
Nevezis +15.5	88.9%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+11.1pp	Won
Q4: Nevezis +6.5	80.9%	1.27	1xBet 1.27	-	-	-	-	+10.9pp	Won
1st half: Juventus under 46.5	70.3%	1.50	Bet365 1.58	1xBet 1.43	-	-	-	+10.7pp	Won
1st half: Juventus under 52.5	91.9%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	+10.5pp	Won
Q1: Juventus under 25.5	79.2%	1.29	1xBet 1.29	-	-	-	-	+10.5pp	Won
Juventus under 99.5	89.8%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+10.3pp	Won
Nevezis +22.5	95.9%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+10.3pp	Won
1st half: Nevezis +10.5	86.5%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+10.3pp	Won
Juventus under 98.5	88.0%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+10.3pp	Won
1st half: Juventus under 47.5	75.0%	1.35	1xBet 1.35	-	-	-	-	+10.1pp	Won
1st half: Nevezis over 36.5	80.4%	1.29	Bet365 1.31	1xBet 1.27	-	-	-	+10.0pp	Won
1st half: Nevezis +12.5	90.5%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+10.0pp	Won
Juventus under 91.5	70.8%	1.50	Bet365 1.58	Betano 1.50	1xBet 1.43	-	-	+9.9pp	Won
Q1: Nevezis over 18.5	72.0%	1.45	Bet365 1.47	1xBet 1.43	-	-	-	+9.9pp	Won
1st half: Nevezis over 38.5	71.7%	1.46	Bet365 1.50	1xBet 1.42	-	-	-	+9.8pp	Won
Q4: Nevezis +5.5	77.0%	1.32	1xBet 1.32	-	-	-	-	+9.7pp	Won
Nevezis over 73.5	87.4%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+9.6pp	Won
Nevezis over 70.5	91.8%	1.13	Bet365 1.13	-	-	-	-	+9.5pp	Won
Q3: Nevezis over 17.5	75.0%	1.34	1xBet 1.34	-	-	-	-	+9.5pp	Won
Juventus under 94.5	79.8%	1.29	Bet365 1.31	1xBet 1.27	-	-	-	+9.3pp	Won
Q1: Juventus under 24.5	73.1%	1.41	Bet365 1.44	1xBet 1.38	-	-	-	+9.2pp	Won
1st half: Nevezis over 37.5	76.5%	1.35	Bet365 1.35	1xBet 1.34	-	-	-	+9.2pp	Won
Juventus under 92.5	74.0%	1.41	Bet365 1.43	Betano 1.42	1xBet 1.37	-	-	+9.1pp	Won
Juventus under 101.5	92.8%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+9.0pp	Won
Nevezis +27.5	98.3%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+8.9pp	Won
Juventus under 96.5	84.8%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+8.6pp	Won
1st half: Nevezis over 34.5	87.4%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+8.6pp	Won
Q1: Juventus under 26.5	84.7%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+8.5pp	Won
Juventus under 103.5	95.1%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	+8.5pp	Won
Q4: Nevezis +4.5	72.2%	1.39	1xBet 1.39	-	-	-	-	+8.5pp	Won
Nevezis +20.5	94.4%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+8.3pp	Won
Q1: Nevezis over 16.5	83.6%	1.23	Bet365 1.23	-	-	-	-	+8.3pp	Won
Nevezis over 68.5	94.3%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+8.2pp	Won
1st half: Juventus under 54.5	95.4%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+8.2pp	Won
Nevezis +25.5	97.6%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+8.2pp	Won
1st half: Nevezis over 35.5	84.3%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+8.2pp	Won
Q2: Nevezis over 17.5	76.7%	1.29	1xBet 1.29	-	-	-	-	+8.1pp	Won
Juventus under 105.5	96.7%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+8.0pp	Won
2nd half: Juventus under 48.5	78.7%	1.24	1xBet 1.24	-	-	-	-	+8.0pp	Won
2nd half: Juventus under 47.5	74.2%	1.33	1xBet 1.33	-	-	-	-	+7.8pp	Won
Q2: Nevezis over 18.5	70.4%	1.40	1xBet 1.40	-	-	-	-	+7.8pp	Lost
Nevezis over 66.5	96.3%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+7.6pp	Won
Juventus under 107.5	97.8%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+7.4pp	Won
Nevezis over 64.5	97.6%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+7.4pp	Won
Q1: Juventus under 28.5	92.4%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+7.3pp	Won
1st half: Nevezis over 32.5	92.3%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+7.3pp	Won
Nevezis +32.5	99.4%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+7.2pp	Won
Q4: Nevezis over 17.5	76.7%	1.28	1xBet 1.28	-	-	-	-	+7.2pp	Won
Juventus under 109.5	98.7%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+7.1pp	Won
Nevezis over 69.5	93.2%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+7.1pp	Won
Juventus under 108.5	98.3%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+7.1pp	Won
Juventus under 100.5	91.5%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+7.1pp	Won
Nevezis over 62.5	98.6%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+7.1pp	Won
1st half: Nevezis over 33.5	90.1%	1.12	Bet365 1.12	-	-	-	-	+7.1pp	Won
1st half: Nevezis over 30.5	95.7%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+7.0pp	Won
Q1: Juventus under 30.5	96.6%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+7.0pp	Won
Juventus under 104.5	96.0%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+7.0pp	Won
Juventus under 102.5	94.1%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+7.0pp	Won
Nevezis +30.5	99.1%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+6.9pp	Won
Juventus under 106.5	97.3%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+6.9pp	Won
Q1: Nevezis over 12.5	96.4%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+6.8pp	Won
Nevezis over 65.5	96.9%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+6.7pp	Won
Q3: Juventus under 24.5	74.3%	1.31	1xBet 1.31	-	-	-	-	+6.7pp	Won
Nevezis over 61.5	98.9%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+6.7pp	Won
Q1: Nevezis over 14.5	91.7%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+6.7pp	Won
Nevezis over 67.5	95.4%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+6.7pp	Won
Nevezis over 63.5	98.1%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+6.6pp	Won
Q2: Juventus under 24.5	74.4%	1.30	1xBet 1.30	-	-	-	-	+6.5pp	Won
Q4: Nevezis over 18.5	70.5%	1.37	1xBet 1.37	-	-	-	-	+6.5pp	Lost
Q1: Juventus under 32.5	98.6%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+6.4pp	Won
1st half: Nevezis over 31.5	94.2%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+6.2pp	Won
Q1: Nevezis over 10.5	98.6%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+5.8pp	Won
Juventus over 65.5	97.7%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+5.5pp	Won
Nevezis over 60.5	99.2%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+5.5pp	Won
Q4: Juventus over 18.5	71.9%	1.32	1xBet 1.32	-	-	-	-	+5.1pp	Won
Over 145.5	94.7%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+5.1pp	Won
Q4: Juventus under 24.5	71.0%	1.33	1xBet 1.33	-	-	-	-	+4.6pp	Won
Juventus over 66.5	97.1%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+4.3pp	Won
Over 155.5	83.6%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+4.1pp	Won
Juventus over 68.5	95.6%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+4.1pp	Won
1st half: Under 95.5	83.5%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+4.0pp	Won
Q1: Juventus over 12.5	96.2%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+3.9pp	Won
Juventus over 70.5	93.4%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+3.8pp	Won
Q4: Nevezis under 24.5	72.6%	1.29	1xBet 1.29	-	-	-	-	+3.8pp	Won
Over 150.5	90.3%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	+3.6pp	Won
Juventus over 67.5	96.4%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+3.6pp	Won
Under 195.5	92.9%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+3.5pp	Won
Juventus over 69.5	94.6%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+3.4pp	Won
Q1: Over 36.5	81.2%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+3.4pp	Won
Q2: Juventus over 18.5	71.2%	1.30	1xBet 1.30	-	-	-	-	+3.2pp	Won
Overtime: no	94.8%	1.02	Betano 1.02	-	-	-	-	+3.2pp	Won
Nevezis under 103.5	95.4%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+3.1pp	Won
1st half: Over 75.5	82.6%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+3.1pp	Won
Over 160.5	74.5%	1.30	Bet365 1.30	-	-	-	-	+3.0pp	Won
Q1: Nevezis under 30.5	96.7%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+3.0pp	Won
Juventus +19.5	94.6%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+3.0pp	Won
Q1: Nevezis or Juventus	94.3%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+3.0pp	Won
1st half: Under 93.5	78.3%	1.23	Bet365 1.23	-	-	-	-	+3.0pp	Won
Q1: Under 48.5	79.0%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+2.8pp	Lost
Q3: Juventus over 18.5	70.7%	1.30	1xBet 1.30	-	-	-	-	+2.7pp	Won
Q1: Under 46.5	70.2%	1.37	Bet365 1.37	-	-	-	-	+2.7pp	Lost
Q1: Over 38.5	72.6%	1.33	Bet365 1.33	-	-	-	-	+2.6pp	Won
1st half: Over 77.5	77.2%	1.25	Bet365 1.25	-	-	-	-	+2.4pp	Won
Juventus over 71.5	92.1%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+2.4pp	Won
1st half: Under 91.5	72.3%	1.33	Bet365 1.33	-	-	-	-	+2.3pp	Lost
Juventus over 72.5	90.5%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+2.2pp	Won
Nevezis under 101.5	93.7%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+2.2pp	Won
Q1: Nevezis under 28.5	92.6%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+2.2pp	Won
Q1: Juventus over 14.5	91.5%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+2.1pp	Won
Under 190.5	88.2%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+2.1pp	Won
Nevezis under 102.5	94.3%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+2.1pp	Won
Under 185.5	81.4%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+1.9pp	Won
Nevezis under 99.5	91.1%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+1.7pp	Won
1st half: Over 79.5	70.9%	1.34	Bet365 1.34	-	-	-	-	+1.4pp	Won
1st half: Nevezis under 51.5	89.7%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+1.4pp	Won
Nevezis under 100.5	92.5%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+1.4pp	Won
Juventus over 74.5	86.8%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+1.2pp	Won
Under 180.5	72.3%	1.30	Bet365 1.30	-	-	-	-	+0.9pp	Won
Q2: Nevezis or Juventus	94.3%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+0.7pp	Won
Juventus over 76.5	82.1%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	+0.7pp	Won
Juventus +17.5	92.7%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+0.5pp	Won
Juventus over 73.5	88.8%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+0.5pp	Won
Juventus +14.5	89.1%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+0.0pp	Won
1st half: Juventus over 34.5	87.5%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	-0.0pp	Won
Nevezis under 98.5	89.5%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	-0.1pp	Won
1st half: Nevezis under 49.5	83.7%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	-0.1pp	Won
Nevezis under 97.5	87.7%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	-0.2pp	Won
1st half: Nevezis under 50.5	87.1%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	-0.4pp	Won
Q1: Juventus over 16.5	83.8%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	-0.6pp	Won
Q1: Nevezis under 26.5	85.3%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	-1.4pp	Lost
Nevezis under 95.5	83.5%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	-1.5pp	Won
Juventus over 75.5	84.5%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	-1.6pp	Won
Juventus over 77.5	79.4%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	-2.0pp	Won
Nevezis under 93.5	78.4%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	-2.1pp	Won
Juventus over 80.5	70.0%	1.28	Bet365 1.28	-	-	-	-	-2.3pp	Won
1st half: Juventus over 36.5	80.8%	1.12	Bet365 1.12	-	-	-	-	-2.3pp	Won
1st half: Nevezis under 47.5	75.2%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	-2.6pp	Won
Nevezis under 96.5	85.7%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	-2.6pp	Won
1st half: Nevezis under 48.5	79.7%	1.13	Bet365 1.13	-	-	-	-	-2.6pp	Won
1st half: Juventus +7.5	78.6%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	-2.8pp	Won
Juventus over 78.5	76.5%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	-3.0pp	Won
Q1: Juventus over 18.5	72.2%	1.23	Bet365 1.23	-	-	-	-	-3.1pp	Won
Q1: Juventus +4.5	74.3%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	-3.5pp	Lost
Juventus +12.5	85.8%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	-3.6pp	Won
1st half: Juventus over 38.5	72.5%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	-3.7pp	Won
Q1: Nevezis under 24.5	73.8%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	-3.9pp	Lost
1st half: Juventus +5.5	72.2%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	-4.0pp	Won
Juventus over 79.5	73.4%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	-4.4pp	Won
Nevezis under 94.5	81.1%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	-4.5pp	Won
Juventus +9.5	79.6%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	-4.8pp	Won
1st half: Nevezis under 46.5	70.7%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	-5.5pp	Won
Nevezis under 92.5	75.5%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	-5.9pp	Won
1st half: Juventus +6.5	75.4%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	-6.0pp	Won
Nevezis under 91.5	72.4%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	-7.1pp	Won
Juventus +7.5	74.5%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	-10.6pp	Won

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Nevezistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nevezis: 75.8 points a game scored

🏀🏀56%

🏀🏀🏀24%

🏀21%

🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 56% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 24% of the points

🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 21% of the points

League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game

51%

30%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.8	21.1	50.5%	55.6%	42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	20.5	6.0	29.3%	35.3%	18.0
🏀 Free throws	23.6	15.6	66.1%	70.8%	15.6

They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Juventustheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Juventus: 82.4 points a game scored

🏀🏀52%

🏀🏀🏀31%

🏀17%

🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 52% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 31% of the points

🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 17% of the points

League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game

51%

30%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.5	21.5	53.1%	55.6%	43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.3	8.4	34.6%	35.3%	25.2
🏀 Free throws	20.0	14.2	71.0%	70.8%	14.2

They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.2	21.6	58.1%	55.6%	43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.3	7.9	32.5%	35.3%	23.7
🏀 Free throws	24.6	17.6	71.5%	70.8%	17.6

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.2	22.4	55.7%	55.6%	44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.2	8.3	35.8%	35.3%	24.9
🏀 Free throws	26.0	18.1	69.6%	70.8%	18.1

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.7	22.4	55.0%	55.6%	44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.2	7.2	32.4%	35.3%	21.6
🏀 Free throws	21.7	14.3	65.9%	70.8%	14.3

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.2	22.9	54.3%	55.6%	45.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.3	8.3	35.6%	35.3%	24.9
🏀 Free throws	21.3	15.4	72.4%	70.8%	15.4

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.5	22.1	56.1%	55.6%	44.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.3	9.2	36.4%	35.3%	27.6
🏀 Free throws	24.3	18.1	74.6%	70.8%	18.1

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.5	23.7	58.6%	55.6%	47.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.6	8.7	35.4%	35.3%	26.1
🏀 Free throws	25.1	18.1	72.1%	70.8%	18.1

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Nevezis

WLWLWLLLLL

Juventus

LWLLWWLLWW

#10

League position

-10.2

Net rating

-6.3

88.9

Offensive rating

96.0

99.1

Defensive rating

102.3

48.3%

Effective FG%

52.6%

54.4%

Opp. effective FG%

55.0%

14.8%

Turnover %

15.2%

0.38

Free-throw rate

0.31

29.3%

3-point %

34.6%

59.8%

Assist %

50.5%

30%

Form (last 10/10)

50%

Profile

■ Nevezis ■ Juventus

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Nevezis wins

Juventus wins

Date	Game	Score
27/09/26	Juventus v Nevezis	94-77
09/05/26	Nevezis v Juventus	95-98 OT
14/03/26	Juventus v Nevezis	76-92
03/12/25	Juventus v Nevezis	100-102 OT
23/11/25	Nevezis v Juventus	79-96
29/10/25	Nevezis v Juventus	88-84
25/09/25	Juventus v Nevezis	84-90
14/05/25	Juventus v Nevezis	101-91
16/03/25	Nevezis v Juventus	105-74
26/01/25	Juventus v Nevezis	91-84

Nevezislast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/11/26	H	Taurage	90-79
08/11/26	H	Siauliai	76-83
02/11/26	H	Gargzdai	87-76
24/10/26	A	Taurage	76-80
20/10/26	A	Jurbarkas	93-69
17/10/26	H	Lietkabelis	72-73
14/10/26	H	Gargzdai	86-101
11/10/26	H	Zalgiris Kaunas	76-80
07/10/26	A	Taurage	76-81
03/10/26	A	Neptunas	62-89

Juventuslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/11/26	H	Zalgiris Kaunas	85-94
03/11/26	H	Pardubice	98-95 OT
31/10/26	A	Jonava	82-94
25/10/26	H	Rytas	76-94
21/10/26	A	Reggiana	76-75
18/10/26	H	Gargzdai	100-90
11/10/26	A	Siauliai	71-83
07/10/26	H	Unicaja	66-105
04/10/26	H	Taurage	93-77
27/09/26	H	Nevezis	94-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nevezis

LKL 2026-27

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWL	12%
Home	LLWL	25%
Away	LLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	8	4	4
Win %	12%	25%	0%
Points / game	73.9	77.8	70.0
Allowed / game	82.5	78.0	87.0
Point differential	-8.6	-0.2	-17.0
Avg total	156.4	155.8	157.0
Over 170.75	12%	0%	25%
Win by 10+	12%	25%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (3)	0% (2)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Juventus

LKL 2026-27

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLL	33%
Home	WWWLL	60%
Away	LLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	9	5	4
Win %	33%	60%	0%
Points / game	85.2	89.6	79.8
Allowed / game	88.0	86.4	90.0
Point differential	-2.8	+3.2	-10.2
Avg total	173.2	176.0	169.8
Over 170.75	56%	60%	50%
Win by 10+	33%	60%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	-	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Zalgiris Kaunas	9	9	0	100%	93.2	76.1	+17.1
2	Rytas	8	5	3	62%	89.6	85.4	+4.2
3	Gargzdai	10	6	4	60%	88.3	87.3	+1.0
4	Lietkabelis	10	6	4	60%	79.7	80.3	-0.6
5	Neptunas	9	5	4	56%	85.2	84.7	+0.6
6	Siauliai	10	5	5	50%	84.6	85.6	-1.0
7	Juventus	9	3	6	33%	85.2	88.0	-2.8
8	Jonava	9	3	6	33%	78.4	82.0	-3.6
9	Taurage	10	3	7	30%	80.4	86.5	-6.1
10	Nevezis	8	1	7	12%	73.9	82.5	-8.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Nevezis	28	18	27	18	91
Juventus	23	23	21	21	88

← all games of the day

Nevezis vs Juventus Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Total points distribution

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

Winning margin distribution

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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