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Nevezis vs Lietkabelis Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 23 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 79-78
17-23 21-20 20-14 21-21
Position#5
Record5-5
FormLLWWL
Points / game91.0
Allowed / game89.7
Nevezis 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Position#6
Record-
FormWWLLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
LithuaniaKing Mindaugas CupKing Mindaugas Cup - Quarter-finals· Kedainiu arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Nevezis v Lietkabelis
07 Feb 2027
NEV v LIE
upcoming
17 Oct 2026
NEV72
LIE73
07 Feb 2026
NEV81
LIE80
28 Dec 2025
NEV77
LIE69
15 Apr 2025
NEV97
LIE82
23 Dec 2024
NEV79
LIE78
05 Oct 2024
NEV78
LIE85
17 Dec 2023
NEV106
LIE94
19 Mar 2023
NEV77
LIE90
05 Nov 2022
NEV73
LIE78
27 Apr 2022
NEV60
LIE85
29 Dec 2021
NEV77
LIE78
22 Apr 2020
NEV v LIE
upcoming
09 Oct 2019
NEV91
LIE68
28 Feb 2019
NEV80
LIE97
07 Dec 2018
NEV68
LIE83
14 Apr 2018
NEV99
LIE87
12 Nov 2017
NEV81
LIE88
26 Apr 2017
NEV71
LIE95
05 Nov 2016
NEV79
LIE86
26 Mar 2016
NEV76
LIE81
02 Mar 2016
NEV61
LIE84
09 Dec 2015
NEV67
LIE91
07 Oct 2015
NEV70
LIE87
09 Feb 2015
NEV87
LIE84
05 Oct 2014
NEV72
LIE102
18 Jan 2014
NEV64
LIE67
03 Dec 2013
NEV62
LIE56
06 Oct 2013
NEV79
LIE52
15 Feb 2013
NEV72
LIE67
13 Apr 2012
NEV88
LIE68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nevezis winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lietkabelis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NevezisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNevezis
Date
Competition
Jonava
#4
W
87-84
87
84
+3
74avg 77
H06/11
King Mindaugas Cup
BC Wolves
#4
L
85-90
85
90
-5
75avg 77
H09/11
LKL
Juventus
#10
W
93-89
93
89
+4
89avg 77
H13/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#7
L
74-83
74
83
-9
64avg 77
H16/11
LKL
Mazeikiai
#9
L
85-89
85
89
-4
76avg 77
A27/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#3
L
82-93
82
93
-11
69avg 77
A01/12
LKL
Neptunas
#2
L
101-102
101
102
-1
97avg 77
H04/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Mazeikiai
#10
W
93-87
93
87
+6
90avg 77
H07/12
LKL
Siauliai
#8
W
109-88
109
88
+21
104avg 77
A11/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
L
69-89
69
89
-20
53avg 77
A14/12
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-27
23-26
23-13
21-18
26-22
25-18
16-23
18-27
22-29
26-14
21-23
24-23
18-18
26-31
16-16
14-18
19-21
21-19
19-21
26-28
16-23
18-24
17-26
31-20
25-14
29-22
23-31
24-35
23-18
30-16
17-21
23-32
24-22
24-24
34-23
27-19
21-24
16-20
17-23
15-22
177.2Avg total
87.8Scored
89.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)91.089.7180.7+1.350%
Season at home (5)94.890.8185.6+4.060%
Season away (5)87.288.6175.8-1.440%
Last 10 (10)87.889.4177.2-1.640%
Last 5 (5)90.891.8182.6-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)84.292.2176.4-8.030%
vs Similar ◀ (14)89.689.9179.4-0.336%
vs Weaker (6)88.383.7172.0+4.750%
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LietkabelisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLietkabelis
Date
Competition
Cluj-Napoca
#6
L
93-100
93
100
-7
87avg 78
A13/11
Eurocup
Jonava
#5
L
82-84
82
84
-2
73avg 78
A17/11
LKL
Venezia
#11
L
93-100 OT
93
100
-7
82avg 78
H28/11
Eurocup
Nevezis
#9
W
93-82
93
82
+11
98avg 78
H01/12
LKL
Turk Telekom
#8
L
93-98
93
98
-5
88avg 78
H04/12
Eurocup
Siauliai
#8
W
93-76
93
76
+17
89avg 78
H07/12
LKL
Hapoel Jerusalem
#5
W
93-87
93
87
+6
72avg 78
A11/12
Eurocup
Mazeikiai
#10
L
87-93
87
93
-6
82avg 78
A14/12
LKL
Aris
#19
L
66-81
66
81
-15
58avg 78
A17/12
Eurocup
Valencia
#1
W
107-106 OT
107
106
+1
99avg 78
A20/12
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-32
20-24
13-20
42-24
26-16
20-21
24-22
12-25
30-20
17-20
23-22
16-24
23-16
24-18
26-17
20-31
21-23
29-25
24-18
19-32
21-13
31-17
17-12
24-34
18-17
31-24
20-28
24-18
14-22
22-22
12-19
39-30
19-18
15-14
20-24
12-25
24-26
21-31
34-15
18-25
180.7Avg total
90.0Scored
90.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)90.090.7180.7-0.740%
Last 5 (5)89.288.6177.8+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)83.887.3171.1-3.535%
vs Similar ◀ (4)88.077.2165.2+10.8100%
vs Weaker (9)81.884.3166.1-2.633%
This opponent (Nevezis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -4.2-4.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -4.2-4.2
NevezisLietkabelis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NevezisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jonava
#4
L
43-53
43
53
-10
H06/11
King Mindaugas Cup
BC Wolves
#4
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H09/11
LKL
Juventus
#10
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H13/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#7
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H16/11
LKL
Mazeikiai
#9
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A27/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#3
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A01/12
LKL
Neptunas
#2
W
54-36
54
36
+18
H04/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Mazeikiai
#10
W
53-34
53
34
+19
H07/12
LKL
Siauliai
#8
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A11/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A14/12
LKL
88.4Avg total
45.2Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.545.489.9-0.933%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.145.491.4+0.738%-
Last 30 away (14)42.845.488.2-2.629%-
Last 10 (10)45.243.288.4+2.050%-
Last 5 (5)45.241.486.6+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)42.348.690.9-6.310%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)45.544.489.9+1.150%-
vs Weaker (6)46.042.588.5+3.533%-
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LietkabelisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cluj-Napoca
#6
L
38-56
38
56
-18
A13/11
Eurocup
Jonava
#5
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A17/11
LKL
Venezia
#11
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H28/11
Eurocup
Nevezis
#9
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H01/12
LKL
Turk Telekom
#8
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H04/12
Eurocup
Siauliai
#8
W
52-30
52
30
+22
H07/12
LKL
Hapoel Jerusalem
#5
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A11/12
Eurocup
Mazeikiai
#10
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A14/12
LKL
Aris
#19
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A17/12
Eurocup
Valencia
#1
L
45-57
45
57
-12
A20/12
Eurocup
86.3Avg total
44.4Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.941.582.4-0.650%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.940.181.9+1.860%-
Last 30 away (15)39.943.082.9-3.140%-
Last 10 (10)44.441.986.3+2.570%-
Last 5 (5)43.240.884.0+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)39.843.783.5-3.941%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)46.837.284.0+9.575%-
vs Weaker (9)40.339.379.7+1.056%-
This opponent (Nevezis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nevezistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nevezis: 87.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.3 points a game
44%
35%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.717.6
52.2%
55.0%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.711.7
38.1%
36.6%35.1
🏀 Free throws23.016.7
72.6%
74.4%16.7
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lietkabelistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lietkabelis: 89.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.3 points a game
44%
35%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.819.7
52.1%
55.0%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.710.3
40.1%
36.6%30.9
🏀 Free throws23.018.7
81.3%
74.4%18.7
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nevezis
LWWLLLLWLW
Lietkabelis
WLLWWLWLLL
#5
League position
#6
-1.9
Net rating
-1.1
116.2
Offensive rating
113.5
118.0
Defensive rating
114.6
54.6%
Effective FG%
55.4%
60.1%
Opp. effective FG%
55.2%
15.5%
Turnover %
19.5%
30.8%
Off. rebound %
31.0%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.36
38.1%
3-point %
40.1%
63.5%
Assist %
65.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence116.2 · 113.5Defence118.0 · 114.6Shooting54.6% · 55.4%3-point %38.1% · 40.1%Ball care15.5% · 19.5%Off. rebounds30.8% · 31.0%Free throws0.36 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Nevezis   ■ Lietkabelis
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Nevezis wins
8
Lietkabelis wins
DateGameScore
01/12/24Lietkabelis v Nevezis93-82
05/10/24Nevezis v Lietkabelis78-85
06/05/24Lietkabelis v Nevezis92-93
17/12/23Nevezis v Lietkabelis106-94
30/09/23Lietkabelis v Nevezis100-79
19/03/23Nevezis v Lietkabelis77-90
14/02/23Lietkabelis v Nevezis111-108
05/11/22Nevezis v Lietkabelis73-78
27/04/22Nevezis v Lietkabelis60-85
29/12/21Nevezis v Lietkabelis77-78
Nevezislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/24ARytas69-89
11/12/24ASiauliai109-88
07/12/24HMazeikiai93-87
04/12/24HNeptunas101-102
01/12/24ALietkabelis82-93
27/11/24AMazeikiai85-89
16/11/24HNeptunas74-83
13/11/24HJuventus93-89
09/11/24HBC Wolves85-90
06/11/24HJonava87-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/24AValencia107-106 OT
17/12/24AAris66-81
14/12/24AMazeikiai87-93
11/12/24AHapoel Jerusalem93-87
07/12/24HSiauliai93-76
04/12/24HTurk Telekom93-98
01/12/24HNevezis93-82
28/11/24HVenezia93-100 OT
17/11/24AJonava82-84
13/11/24ACluj-Napoca93-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nevezis
King Mindaugas Cup 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW50%
HomeWLWWL60%
AwayLLWLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %50%60%40%
Points / game91.094.887.2
Allowed / game89.790.888.6
Point differential+1.3+4.0-1.4
Avg total180.7185.6175.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%20%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %10%20%0%
Lietkabelis
King Mindaugas Cup 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas110100%107.088.0+19.0
2 BC Wolves110100%95.077.0+18.0
3 Rytas110100%78.067.0+11.0
4 Neptunas116555%93.588.0+5.5
5 Jonava116555%89.987.6+2.3
6 Siauliai116555%95.997.5-1.5
7 Nevezis105550%91.089.7+1.3
8 Mazeikiai104640%79.689.4-9.8
9 Juventus103730%87.490.5-3.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nevezis1721202179
Lietkabelis2320142178
← all games of the day
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