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Nevezis vs Neptunas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 14:50
Final 74-83
18-18 26-31 16-16 14-18
Position#9
Record1-7
FormLWWLW
Points / game84.8
Allowed / game89.0
vs
Position#7
Record5-3
FormWWWLW
Points / game90.8
Allowed / game91.2
LithuaniaLKL· Svyturio arena
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Nevezis v Neptunas
06 Mar 2027
NEV v NEP
upcoming
27 Dec 2026
NEV v NEP
upcoming
23 Apr 2026
NEV82
NEP110
23 Dec 2025
NEV76
NEP87
04 Oct 2025
NEV85
NEP92
06 Mar 2025
NEV81
NEP83
04 Dec 2024
NEV101
NEP102
16 Nov 2024
NEV74
NEP83
04 Feb 2024
NEV96
NEP92
21 Nov 2022
NEV67
NEP71
20 Dec 2021
NEV83
NEP88
03 Nov 2021
NEV72
NEP85
28 Mar 2020
NEV v NEP
upcoming
19 Oct 2019
NEV75
NEP68
25 Mar 2019
NEV70
NEP78
10 Nov 2018
NEV69
NEP83
25 Apr 2018
NEV74
NEP67
16 Dec 2017
NEV74
NEP85
12 Mar 2017
NEV70
NEP72
01 Oct 2016
NEV94
NEP90
06 Feb 2016
NEV69
NEP77
11 Dec 2015
NEV56
NEP81
04 Apr 2015
NEV85
NEP88
15 Dec 2014
NEV73
NEP116
08 Dec 2013
NEV68
NEP69
21 Dec 2012
NEV67
NEP74
30 Mar 2012
NEV79
NEP81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nevezis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NevezisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNevezis
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#8
L
91-95
91
95
-4
81avg 79
A13/10
LKL
Mazeikiai
#9
W
89-71
89
71
+18
88avg 79
H15/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
L
83-93
83
93
-10
80avg 79
H20/10
LKL
Neptunas
#2
W
88-86
88
86
+2
79avg 79
A23/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#5
L
93-105
93
105
-12
78avg 79
H28/10
LKL
Siauliai
#8
L
104-108 OT
104
108
-4
92avg 79
H30/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Mazeikiai
#10
W
98-77
98
77
+21
89avg 79
A03/11
LKL
Jonava
#4
W
87-84
87
84
+3
74avg 79
H06/11
King Mindaugas Cup
BC Wolves
#4
L
85-90
85
90
-5
75avg 79
H09/11
LKL
Juventus
#10
W
93-89
93
89
+4
89avg 79
H13/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-31
27-19
29-19
17-26
26-26
19-21
28-8
16-16
26-21
22-32
23-20
12-20
17-22
22-23
25-25
24-16
22-30
22-21
19-28
30-26
28-27
23-25
21-19
20-21
29-13
20-22
30-23
19-19
20-27
23-26
23-13
21-18
26-22
25-18
16-23
18-27
22-29
26-14
21-23
24-23
180.9Avg total
91.1Scored
89.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)84.889.0173.8-4.212%
Season at home (6)81.590.0171.5-8.50%
Season away (2)94.586.0180.5+8.550%
Last 10 (10)91.189.8180.9+1.350%
Last 5 (5)93.489.6183.0+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)83.693.5177.2-9.936%
vs Similar (14)86.688.9175.5-2.429%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)91.081.6172.6+9.480%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
BC Wolves
#4
W
89-74
89
74
+15
84avg 82
H12/10
LKL
Jonava
#4
L
84-88
84
88
-4
79avg 82
A15/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#8
L
103-108 OT
103
108
-5
100avg 82
A19/10
LKL
Nevezis
#5
L
86-88
86
88
-2
86avg 82
H23/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Mazeikiai
#10
L
96-107
96
107
-11
92avg 82
A27/10
LKL
Juventus
#10
W
105-74
105
74
+31
107avg 82
H30/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#3
W
89-81
89
81
+8
84avg 82
A02/11
LKL
Mazeikiai
#9
W
91-70
91
70
+21
92avg 82
A06/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
70-97
70
97
-27
62avg 82
H10/11
LKL
Jonava
#4
W
111-110 OT
111
110
+1
94avg 82
H13/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-23
18-19
29-15
17-17
27-25
24-19
11-28
22-16
19-26
34-14
19-22
22-32
22-17
23-22
25-25
16-24
22-28
20-20
25-29
29-30
22-19
30-15
23-20
30-20
23-18
20-14
21-21
25-28
27-13
25-20
16-20
23-17
19-28
19-25
12-23
20-21
24-23
21-20
13-19
27-23
182.1Avg total
92.4Scored
89.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)90.891.2182.0-0.562%
Season at home (3)83.086.0169.0-3.067%
Season away (5)95.494.4189.8+1.060%
Last 10 (10)92.489.7182.1+2.750%
Last 5 (5)93.286.4179.6+6.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)84.786.7171.4-2.054%
vs Similar (5)92.289.8182.0+2.480%
vs Weaker (12)92.290.2182.4+1.942%
This opponent (Nevezis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +4.6+4.6Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +0.3+0.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +4.6+4.6Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +0.3+0.3
NevezisNeptunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NevezisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#8
L
45-50
45
50
-5
A13/10
LKL
Mazeikiai
#9
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H15/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
L
48-53
48
53
-5
H20/10
LKL
Neptunas
#2
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A23/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#5
L
44-51
44
51
-7
H28/10
LKL
Siauliai
#8
L
51-52
51
52
-1
H30/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Mazeikiai
#10
W
49-35
49
35
+14
A03/11
LKL
Jonava
#4
L
43-53
43
53
-10
H06/11
King Mindaugas Cup
BC Wolves
#4
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H09/11
LKL
Juventus
#10
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H13/11
King Mindaugas Cup
93.2Avg total
46.3Scored
46.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.246.690.9-2.433%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.546.691.1-2.131%-
Last 30 away (14)43.946.790.6-2.836%-
Last 10 (10)46.346.993.2-0.630%-
Last 5 (5)48.444.693.0+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)41.350.992.2-9.69%-
vs Similar (14)45.644.790.4+0.943%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)46.842.689.4+4.260%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Wolves
#4
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H12/10
LKL
Jonava
#4
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A15/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#8
W
53-40
53
40
+13
A19/10
LKL
Nevezis
#5
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H23/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Mazeikiai
#10
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A27/10
LKL
Juventus
#10
W
52-34
52
34
+18
H30/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#3
W
43-32
43
32
+11
A02/11
LKL
Mazeikiai
#9
W
52-33
52
33
+19
A06/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
38-53
38
53
-15
H10/11
LKL
Jonava
#4
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H13/11
King Mindaugas Cup
87.2Avg total
46.4Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.340.184.5+4.270%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.340.985.1+3.473%-
Last 30 away (15)44.439.483.8+5.067%-
Last 10 (10)46.440.887.2+5.680%-
Last 5 (5)46.039.085.0+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)41.039.180.1+1.954%-
vs Similar (5)47.242.289.4+5.080%-
vs Weaker (12)46.840.487.2+6.383%-
This opponent (Nevezis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nevezistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nevezis: 90.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.6 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.518.5
53.6%
55.6%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.912.2
37.1%
35.9%36.6
🏀 Free throws23.017.1
74.3%
75.0%17.1
They take 67.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 91.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.321.0
59.5%
55.6%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.510.7
37.5%
35.9%32.1
🏀 Free throws23.417.3
73.9%
75.0%17.3
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nevezis
WLWWLLWLWL
Neptunas
WLWWWLLLLW
#9
League position
#7
+2.8
Net rating
+3.5
119.1
Offensive rating
118.3
116.3
Defensive rating
114.8
54.6%
Effective FG%
58.1%
59.5%
Opp. effective FG%
55.2%
17.6%
Turnover %
17.6%
38.0%
Off. rebound %
31.1%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.37
37.1%
3-point %
37.5%
60.3%
Assist %
65.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence119.1 · 118.3Defence116.3 · 114.8Shooting54.6% · 58.1%3-point %37.1% · 37.5%Ball care17.6% · 17.6%Off. rebounds38.0% · 31.1%Free throws0.34 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Nevezis   ■ Neptunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Nevezis wins
7
Neptunas wins
DateGameScore
23/10/24Neptunas v Nevezis86-88
22/04/24Neptunas v Nevezis79-92
04/02/24Nevezis v Neptunas96-92 OT
20/11/23Neptunas v Nevezis97-74
18/04/23Neptunas v Nevezis97-91
12/12/22Neptunas v Nevezis86-79
21/11/22Nevezis v Neptunas67-71
03/04/22Neptunas v Nevezis95-61
20/12/21Nevezis v Neptunas83-88
12/12/21Neptunas v Nevezis94-87
Nevezislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/24HJuventus93-89
09/11/24HBC Wolves85-90
06/11/24HJonava87-84
03/11/24AMazeikiai98-77
30/10/24HSiauliai104-108 OT
28/10/24HJonava93-105
23/10/24ANeptunas88-86
20/10/24HRytas83-93
15/10/24HMazeikiai89-71
13/10/24ASiauliai91-95
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/24HJonava111-110 OT
10/11/24HZalgiris Kaunas70-97
06/11/24AMazeikiai91-70
02/11/24ALietkabelis89-81
30/10/24HJuventus105-74
27/10/24AMazeikiai96-107
23/10/24HNevezis86-88
19/10/24ASiauliai103-108 OT
15/10/24AJonava84-88
12/10/24HBC Wolves89-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nevezis
LKL 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL12%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games862
Win %12%0%50%
Points / game84.881.594.5
Allowed / game89.090.086.0
Point differential-4.2-8.5+8.5
Avg total173.8171.5180.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Neptunas
LKL 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL62%
HomeWWL67%
AwayWWLLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %62%67%60%
Points / game90.883.095.4
Allowed / game91.286.094.4
Point differential-0.5-3.0+1.0
Avg total182.0169.0189.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %12%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rytas87188%94.985.9+9.0
2 Zalgiris Kaunas86275%87.175.6+11.5
3 BC Wolves85362%89.185.0+4.1
4 Neptunas85362%90.891.2-0.5
5 Jonava84450%89.491.0-1.6
6 Lietkabelis84450%79.481.1-1.8
7 Siauliai84450%94.099.4-5.4
8 Juventus83538%78.476.9+1.5
9 Nevezis81712%84.889.0-4.2
10 Mazeikiai81712%83.596.1-12.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nevezis1826161474
Neptunas1831161883
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