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Nevezis vs Mazeikiai Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 14:50
Final 93-87
23-18 30-16 17-21 23-32
Position#9
Record1-9
FormWLLLL
Points / game83.4
Allowed / game88.8
Nevezis 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Position#10
Record1-9
FormWLWLW
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game96.3
LithuaniaLKL· Kedainiu arena
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Nevezis v Mazeikiai
11 May 2025
NEV109
MAZ80
07 Dec 2024
NEV93
MAZ87
15 Oct 2024
NEV89
MAZ71
07 Mar 2024
NEV72
MAZ83
28 Apr 2015
NEV82
MAZ98
09 Oct 2014
NEV69
MAZ65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nevezis winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mazeikiai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NevezisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNevezis
Date
Competition
Jonava
#5
L
93-105
93
105
-12
78avg 78
H28/10
LKL
Siauliai
#8
L
104-108 OT
104
108
-4
92avg 78
H30/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Mazeikiai
#10
W
98-77
98
77
+21
89avg 78
A03/11
LKL
Jonava
#4
W
87-84
87
84
+3
74avg 78
H06/11
King Mindaugas Cup
BC Wolves
#4
L
85-90
85
90
-5
75avg 78
H09/11
LKL
Juventus
#10
W
93-89
93
89
+4
89avg 78
H13/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#7
L
74-83
74
83
-9
64avg 78
H16/11
LKL
Mazeikiai
#9
L
85-89
85
89
-4
76avg 78
A27/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#3
L
82-93
82
93
-11
69avg 78
A01/12
LKL
Neptunas
#2
L
101-102
101
102
-1
97avg 78
H04/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-30
22-21
19-28
30-26
28-27
23-25
21-19
20-21
29-13
20-22
30-23
19-19
20-27
23-26
23-13
21-18
26-22
25-18
16-23
18-27
22-29
26-14
21-23
24-23
18-18
26-31
16-16
14-18
19-21
21-19
19-21
26-28
16-23
18-24
17-26
31-20
25-14
29-22
23-31
24-35
182.2Avg total
90.2Scored
92.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)83.488.8172.2-5.410%
Season at home (7)80.489.0169.4-8.60%
Season away (3)90.388.3178.7+2.033%
Last 10 (10)90.292.0182.2-1.830%
Last 5 (5)87.091.2178.2-4.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)86.192.6178.7-6.530%
vs Similar (14)86.989.5176.4-2.629%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)85.581.5167.0+4.050%
This opponent (Mazeikiai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MazeikiaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMazeikiai
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#7
W
107-96
107
96
+11
103avg 71
H27/10
LKL
Jonava
#4
L
74-89
74
89
-15
69avg 71
A31/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#9
L
77-98
77
98
-21
69avg 71
H03/11
LKL
Neptunas
#2
L
70-91
70
91
-21
61avg 71
H06/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
L
98-109
98
109
-11
90avg 71
A09/11
LKL
Siauliai
#8
W
100-99
100
99
+1
92avg 71
A13/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
46-101
46
101
-55
31avg 71
A17/11
LKL
Nevezis
#5
W
89-85
89
85
+4
86avg 71
H27/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
L
83-93
83
93
-10
68avg 71
H30/11
LKL
Juventus
#10
W
85-82
85
82
+3
75avg 71
A03/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-22
20-20
29-25
30-29
19-31
15-16
24-24
16-18
13-29
22-20
23-30
19-19
13-27
20-25
20-16
17-23
25-22
27-33
17-36
29-18
22-26
24-20
27-30
27-23
8-26
13-26
12-24
13-25
21-19
19-21
21-19
28-26
19-16
23-29
20-23
21-25
23-18
18-24
16-22
28-18
177.2Avg total
82.9Scored
94.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)79.796.3176.0-16.610%
Season at home (6)82.094.7176.7-12.717%
Season away (4)76.298.8175.0-22.50%
Last 10 (10)82.994.3177.2-11.440%
Last 5 (5)80.692.0172.6-11.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)77.392.3169.6-15.019%
vs Similar (2)71.586.0157.5-14.50%
vs Weaker (1)79.073.0152.0+6.0100%
This opponent (Nevezis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -4.5-4.5Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: -4.0-4.0Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +0.4+0.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -4.5-4.5Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: -4.0-4.0Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +0.4+0.4
NevezisMazeikiai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NevezisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jonava
#5
L
44-51
44
51
-7
H28/10
LKL
Siauliai
#8
L
51-52
51
52
-1
H30/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Mazeikiai
#10
W
49-35
49
35
+14
A03/11
LKL
Jonava
#4
L
43-53
43
53
-10
H06/11
King Mindaugas Cup
BC Wolves
#4
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H09/11
LKL
Juventus
#10
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H13/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#7
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H16/11
LKL
Mazeikiai
#9
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A27/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#3
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A01/12
LKL
Neptunas
#2
W
54-36
54
36
+18
H04/12
King Mindaugas Cup
90.4Avg total
45.8Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.145.789.8-1.630%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.146.591.6-1.529%-
Last 30 away (13)42.944.687.5-1.731%-
Last 10 (10)45.844.690.4+1.240%-
Last 5 (5)44.043.087.0+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)43.149.292.3-6.110%-
vs Similar (14)44.744.689.3+0.143%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)44.542.587.0+2.033%-
This opponent (Mazeikiai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MazeikiaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#7
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H27/10
LKL
Jonava
#4
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A31/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#9
L
35-49
35
49
-14
H03/11
LKL
Neptunas
#2
L
33-52
33
52
-19
H06/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
L
52-55
52
55
-3
A09/11
LKL
Siauliai
#8
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A13/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
21-52
21
52
-31
A17/11
LKL
Nevezis
#5
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H27/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H30/11
LKL
Juventus
#10
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A03/12
King Mindaugas Cup
86.2Avg total
39.2Scored
47.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.545.885.2-6.327%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.644.484.0-4.931%-
Last 30 away (14)39.447.386.6-7.921%-
Last 10 (10)39.247.086.2-7.810%-
Last 5 (5)38.045.083.0-7.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)39.546.085.4-6.526%-
vs Similar (2)38.048.586.5-10.50%-
vs Weaker (1)42.035.077.0+7.0100%-
This opponent (Nevezis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nevezistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nevezis: 89.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.3 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.418.0
52.3%
55.6%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.712.1
37.0%
35.9%36.3
🏀 Free throws23.617.5
74.2%
75.0%17.5
They take 67.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mazeikiaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mazeikiai: 82.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.217.1
54.8%
55.6%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.012.0
41.4%
35.9%36.0
🏀 Free throws17.012.3
72.4%
75.0%12.3
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nevezis
LLLLWLWWLL
Mazeikiai
WLWLWLLLLW
#9
League position
#10
-1.3
Net rating
-14.8
120.3
Offensive rating
110.7
121.6
Defensive rating
125.5
53.9%
Effective FG%
58.3%
61.6%
Opp. effective FG%
58.5%
15.9%
Turnover %
20.4%
38.0%
Off. rebound %
25.9%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.28
37.0%
3-point %
41.4%
61.1%
Assist %
55.7%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence120.3 · 110.7Defence121.6 · 125.5Shooting53.9% · 58.3%3-point %37.0% · 41.4%Ball care15.9% · 20.4%Off. rebounds38.0% · 25.9%Free throws0.35 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Nevezis   ■ Mazeikiai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Nevezis wins
5
Mazeikiai wins
DateGameScore
27/11/24Mazeikiai v Nevezis89-85
03/11/24Mazeikiai v Nevezis77-98
15/10/24Nevezis v Mazeikiai89-71
09/05/24Mazeikiai v Nevezis81-93
07/03/24Nevezis v Mazeikiai72-83
13/11/23Mazeikiai v Nevezis88-81
28/04/15Nevezis v Mazeikiai82-98
31/01/15Mazeikiai v Nevezis76-75
13/12/14Mazeikiai v Nevezis75-83
09/10/14Nevezis v Mazeikiai69-65
Nevezislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/24HNeptunas101-102
01/12/24ALietkabelis82-93
27/11/24AMazeikiai85-89
16/11/24HNeptunas74-83
13/11/24HJuventus93-89
09/11/24HBC Wolves85-90
06/11/24HJonava87-84
03/11/24AMazeikiai98-77
30/10/24HSiauliai104-108 OT
28/10/24HJonava93-105
Mazeikiailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/24AJuventus85-82
30/11/24HRytas83-93
27/11/24HNevezis89-85
17/11/24AZalgiris Kaunas46-101
13/11/24ASiauliai100-99
09/11/24ARytas98-109
06/11/24HNeptunas70-91
03/11/24HNevezis77-98
31/10/24AJonava74-89
27/10/24HNeptunas107-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nevezis
LKL 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL10%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1073
Win %10%0%33%
Points / game83.480.490.3
Allowed / game88.889.088.3
Point differential-5.4-8.6+2.0
Avg total172.2169.4178.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mazeikiai
LKL 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL10%
HomeLLWLL17%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %10%17%0%
Points / game79.782.076.2
Allowed / game96.394.798.8
Point differential-16.6-12.7-22.5
Avg total176.0176.7175.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %10%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas108280%89.971.5+18.4
2 Rytas108280%92.385.2+7.1
3 BC Wolves96367%88.383.4+4.9
4 Neptunas106460%87.287.8-0.6
5 Juventus105550%80.276.6+3.6
6 Lietkabelis105550%81.081.5-0.5
7 Jonava105550%86.391.1-4.8
8 Siauliai94544%93.399.6-6.2
9 Nevezis101910%83.488.8-5.4
10 Mazeikiai101910%79.796.3-16.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nevezis2330172393
Mazeikiai1816213287
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