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Nevezis vs Pieno Zvaigzdes Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 27 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 16:50
Final 90-91 (OT)
21-21 18-20 19-26 26-17 6-7
Position#9
Record1-9
FormWLLWL
Points / game77.7
Allowed / game91.3
Nevezis
Lithuania
vs
Pieno Zvaigzdes 🏆
Lithuania
Position#11
Record3-7
FormLWLLL
Points / game89.7
Allowed / game91.5
LithuaniaLKL· Kedainiu arena (Kedainiai)
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Nevezis v Pieno Zvaigzdes
27 Nov 2023
NEV90
PZV91
12 Oct 2023
NEV112
PZV107
16 Jan 2023
NEV83
PZV65
02 Nov 2022
NEV122
PZV118
19 Mar 2022
NEV85
PZV92
20 Nov 2021
NEV73
PZV79
25 Nov 2020
NEV57
PZV79
29 Dec 2019
NEV88
PZV87
05 May 2019
NEV90
PZV86
14 Oct 2018
NEV80
PZV86
02 Apr 2018
NEV77
PZV61
29 Nov 2017
NEV68
PZV73
25 Mar 2017
NEV90
PZV94
16 Oct 2016
NEV77
PZV73
20 Apr 2016
NEV87
PZV95
03 Oct 2015
NEV73
PZV78
24 Mar 2015
NEV92
PZV83
17 Jan 2015
NEV88
PZV94
26 Apr 2014
NEV80
PZV66
10 Nov 2013
NEV72
PZV48
25 Mar 2013
NEV68
PZV83
11 Jan 2012
NEV68
PZV63
03 Dec 2011
NEV86
PZV84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nevezis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pieno Zvaigzdes winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NevezisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNevezis
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#4
L
98-102
98
102
-4
89avg 78
H19/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
70-76
70
76
-6
70avg 78
H22/10
LKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#8
L
66-77
66
77
-11
59avg 78
A24/10
King Mindaugas Cup
BC Wolves
#3
L
74-89
74
89
-15
70avg 78
A28/10
LKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#8
W
83-57
83
57
+26
79avg 78
H31/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#10
W
89-84
89
84
+5
79avg 78
H06/11
LKL
Siauliai
#4
L
74-89
74
89
-15
63avg 78
A09/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Mazeikiai
#7
L
81-88
81
88
-7
74avg 78
A13/11
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
92-80
92
80
+12
90avg 78
A16/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#6
L
74-97
74
97
-23
59avg 78
A20/11
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-23
20-29
28-26
25-24
24-31
22-23
11-10
13-12
21-19
15-23
12-13
18-22
20-27
18-30
15-18
21-14
24-10
26-26
14-10
19-11
28-18
19-28
20-17
22-21
15-25
24-24
12-23
23-17
24-27
22-19
10-26
25-16
24-16
24-21
28-16
16-27
24-19
14-24
15-28
21-26
164.0Avg total
80.1Scored
83.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)77.791.3169.0-13.610%
Season at home (4)77.087.0164.0-10.025%
Season away (6)78.294.2172.3-16.00%
Last 10 (10)80.183.9164.0-3.830%
Last 5 (5)82.087.6169.6-5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)80.793.5174.2-12.90%
vs Similar (9)88.889.0177.8-0.244%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)95.893.3189.2+2.567%
This opponent (Pieno Zvaigzdes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Pieno ZvaigzdesLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZvaigzdes
Date
Competition
BC Olimpas Palanga
#8
W
84-78
84
78
+6
80avg 72
H17/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#4
L
75-85
75
85
-10
65avg 72
H21/10
LKL
Siauliai
#4
L
93-104
93
104
-11
81avg 72
A26/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Gargzdai
#12
W
103-76
103
76
+27
101avg 72
H30/10
LKL
Mazeikiai
#7
W
107-88
107
88
+19
98avg 72
H04/11
LKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#8
L
71-80
71
80
-9
53avg 72
A07/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#10
W
95-91
95
91
+4
79avg 72
A12/11
LKL
Nevezis
#6
L
80-92
80
92
-12
70avg 72
H16/11
King Mindaugas Cup
BC Wolves
#3
L
88-91
88
91
-3
75avg 72
H18/11
LKL
Siauliai
#4
L
76-100
76
100
-24
62avg 72
H23/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-11
21-25
21-16
26-26
17-19
19-24
17-20
22-22
28-34
28-24
20-22
17-24
23-18
29-22
31-13
20-23
23-24
28-27
21-17
35-20
17-24
18-17
16-15
20-24
25-20
18-23
21-26
31-22
16-24
21-24
16-28
27-16
16-19
24-25
27-25
21-22
23-24
23-22
21-29
9-25
175.7Avg total
87.2Scored
88.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)89.791.5181.2-1.830%
Season at home (5)93.086.6179.6+6.440%
Season away (5)86.496.4182.8-10.020%
Last 10 (10)87.288.5175.7-1.340%
Last 5 (5)82.090.8172.8-8.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)84.293.9178.1-9.815%
vs Similar (3)90.784.0174.7+6.7100%
vs Weaker (1)103.076.0179.0+27.0100%
This opponent (Nevezis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: -4.3-4.3Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +0.4+0.4
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: -4.3-4.3Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +0.4+0.4
NevezisPieno Zvaigzdes
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NevezisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#4
L
45-52
45
52
-7
H19/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
46-54
46
54
-8
H22/10
LKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#8
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A24/10
King Mindaugas Cup
BC Wolves
#3
L
38-57
38
57
-19
A28/10
LKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#8
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H31/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#10
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H06/11
LKL
Siauliai
#4
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A09/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Mazeikiai
#7
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A13/11
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A16/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#6
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A20/11
LKL
89.5Avg total
43.3Scored
46.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.545.789.2-2.130%-
Last 30 at home (13)45.246.892.1-1.638%-
Last 30 away (17)42.244.887.0-2.524%-
Last 10 (10)43.346.289.5-2.930%-
Last 5 (5)43.644.287.8-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)40.347.888.1-7.57%-
vs Similar (9)45.144.289.3+0.944%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)49.242.591.7+6.767%-
This opponent (Pieno Zvaigzdes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Pieno ZvaigzdesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Olimpas Palanga
#8
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H17/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#4
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H21/10
LKL
Siauliai
#4
L
56-58
56
58
-2
A26/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Gargzdai
#12
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H30/10
LKL
Mazeikiai
#7
D
51-51
51
51
+0
H04/11
LKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#8
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A07/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#10
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A12/11
LKL
Nevezis
#6
L
37-48
37
48
-11
H16/11
King Mindaugas Cup
BC Wolves
#3
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H18/11
LKL
Siauliai
#4
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H23/11
King Mindaugas Cup
88.3Avg total
43.3Scored
45.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.346.589.8-3.237%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.643.886.4-1.143%-
Last 30 away (16)43.948.992.8-4.931%-
Last 10 (10)43.345.088.3-1.720%-
Last 5 (5)40.244.484.6-4.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)42.547.489.9-4.927%-
vs Similar (3)47.741.088.7+6.7100%-
vs Weaker (1)52.040.092.0+12.0100%-
This opponent (Nevezis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nevezistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nevezis: 79.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.523.0
54.1%
55.4%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.56.9
32.1%
34.7%20.7
🏀 Free throws17.312.4
71.7%
73.2%12.4
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pieno Zvaigzdestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pieno Zvaigzdes: 86.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.721.1
53.1%
55.4%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.69.0
35.2%
34.7%27.0
🏀 Free throws23.917.4
72.8%
73.2%17.4
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nevezis
LWLLWWLLLL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
LLLWLWWLLW
#9
League position
#11
-5.3
Net rating
-0.9
105.3
Offensive rating
111.7
110.6
Defensive rating
112.6
52.1%
Effective FG%
53.0%
54.7%
Opp. effective FG%
56.1%
20.4%
Turnover %
16.8%
33.3%
Off. rebound %
29.4%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.37
32.1%
3-point %
35.2%
58.2%
Assist %
50.5%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence105.3 · 111.7Defence110.6 · 112.6Shooting52.1% · 53.0%3-point %32.1% · 35.2%Ball care20.4% · 16.8%Off. rebounds33.3% · 29.4%Free throws0.27 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Nevezis   ■ Pieno Zvaigzdes
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Nevezis wins
4
Pieno Zvaigzdes wins
DateGameScore
16/11/23Pieno Zvaigzdes v Nevezis80-92
12/10/23Nevezis v Pieno Zvaigzdes112-107
08/04/23Pieno Zvaigzdes v Nevezis98-88
16/01/23Nevezis v Pieno Zvaigzdes83-65
01/12/22Pieno Zvaigzdes v Nevezis86-85
26/11/22Pieno Zvaigzdes v Nevezis84-93
02/11/22Nevezis v Pieno Zvaigzdes122-118 OT
19/03/22Nevezis v Pieno Zvaigzdes85-92
10/01/22Pieno Zvaigzdes v Nevezis87-88
20/11/21Nevezis v Pieno Zvaigzdes73-79
Nevezislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/11/23ANeptunas74-97
16/11/23APieno Zvaigzdes92-80
13/11/23AMazeikiai81-88
09/11/23ASiauliai74-89
06/11/23HSiauliai89-84
31/10/23HBC Olimpas Palanga83-57
28/10/23ABC Wolves74-89
24/10/23ABC Olimpas Palanga66-77
22/10/23HZalgiris Kaunas70-76
19/10/23HSiauliai98-102
Pieno Zvaigzdeslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/11/23HSiauliai76-100
18/11/23HBC Wolves88-91
16/11/23HNevezis80-92
12/11/23ASiauliai95-91
07/11/23ABC Olimpas Palanga71-80
04/11/23HMazeikiai107-88
30/10/23HGargzdai103-76
26/10/23ASiauliai93-104
21/10/23HJuventus75-85
17/10/23HBC Olimpas Palanga84-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nevezis
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL10%
HomeLLLW25%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %10%25%0%
Points / game77.777.078.2
Allowed / game91.387.094.2
Point differential-13.6-10.0-16.0
Avg total169.0164.0172.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pieno Zvaigzdes
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL30%
HomeLLWWL40%
AwayLLLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %30%40%20%
Points / game89.793.086.4
Allowed / game91.586.696.4
Point differential-1.8+6.4-10.0
Avg total181.2179.6182.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Wolves1110191%87.174.9+12.2
2 Zalgiris Kaunas109190%80.267.9+12.3
3 Rytas119282%92.280.6+11.5
4 Lietkabelis118373%86.381.9+4.4
5 Juventus116555%86.581.0+5.5
6 Jonava116555%83.183.8-0.7
7 Neptunas104640%87.888.3-0.5
8 Mazeikiai114736%76.782.8-6.1
9 Pieno Zvaigzdes103730%89.791.5-1.8
10 Gargzdai113827%76.491.4-15.0
11 Nevezis101910%77.791.3-13.6
12 Siauliai111109%79.087.5-8.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Nevezis21181926690
Pieno Zvaigzdes21202617791
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