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Neptunas vs Nevezis Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 20 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 16:50
Final 97-74
19-24 24-14 28-15 26-21
Position#6
Record3-6
FormLWWLW
Points / game86.8
Allowed / game89.9
vs
Position#9
Record1-8
FormWWLLW
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game90.7
LithuaniaLKL· Svyturio arena (Klaipeda)
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Neptunas v Nevezis
17 Apr 2027
NEP v NEV
upcoming
03 Oct 2026
NEP89
NEV62
11 Apr 2026
NEP88
NEV93
17 Jan 2026
NEP87
NEV67
10 Jan 2026
NEP113
NEV82
04 May 2025
NEP96
NEV90
09 Feb 2025
NEP94
NEV107
23 Oct 2024
NEP86
NEV88
22 Apr 2024
NEP79
NEV92
20 Nov 2023
NEP97
NEV74
18 Apr 2023
NEP97
NEV91
12 Dec 2022
NEP86
NEV79
03 Apr 2022
NEP95
NEV61
12 Dec 2021
NEP94
NEV87
03 Oct 2021
NEP97
NEV95
07 May 2020
NEP v NEV
upcoming
07 Dec 2019
NEP88
NEV78
28 Apr 2019
NEP86
NEV76
23 Sep 2018
NEP100
NEV76
04 Mar 2018
NEP81
NEV64
24 Sep 2017
NEP92
NEV73
12 Apr 2017
NEP90
NEV53
12 Nov 2016
NEP70
NEV63
23 Apr 2016
NEP103
NEV69
30 Sep 2015
NEP77
NEV66
10 Jan 2015
NEP106
NEV78
30 Sep 2014
NEP115
NEV76
23 Apr 2014
NEP78
NEV76
12 Apr 2013
NEP102
NEV61
02 Mar 2012
NEP91
NEV93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nevezis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Mazeikiai
#10
W
87-86 OT
87
86
+1
no box
A11/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
112-87
112
87
+25
116avg 77
H15/10
LKL
Juventus
#5
W
92-90
92
90
+2
88avg 77
H18/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Mazeikiai
#7
L
84-87
84
87
-3
80avg 77
H23/10
LKL
Gargzdai
#9
W
97-87
97
87
+10
97avg 77
A25/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#8
L
77-88
77
88
-11
61avg 77
A29/10
LKL
Gargzdai
#12
W
92-73
92
73
+19
86avg 77
A06/11
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
W
109-80
109
80
+29
112avg 77
H08/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
L
75-93
75
93
-18
74avg 77
A11/11
LKL
Gargzdai
#9
W
84-78
84
78
+6
79avg 77
H16/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-18
26-15
14-19
17-24
28-20
30-25
31-21
23-21
25-24
18-24
24-22
25-20
14-23
24-23
26-10
20-31
33-16
25-19
11-27
28-25
21-21
23-17
23-34
10-16
23-23
22-14
29-16
18-20
26-22
33-20
25-23
25-15
28-28
10-22
20-24
17-19
24-19
12-28
21-21
27-10
175.8Avg total
90.9Scored
84.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)86.889.9176.7-3.133%
Season at home (4)88.288.2176.5+0.050%
Season away (5)85.691.2176.8-5.620%
Last 10 (10)90.984.9175.8+6.070%
Last 5 (5)87.482.4169.8+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)81.095.5176.5-14.50%
vs Similar (8)87.283.9171.1+3.475%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)91.080.8171.8+10.283%
This opponent (Nevezis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevezisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNevezis
Date
Competition
Gargzdai
#12
L
84-97
84
97
-13
80avg 78
A16/10
LKL
Siauliai
#4
L
98-102
98
102
-4
89avg 78
H19/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
70-76
70
76
-6
70avg 78
H22/10
LKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#8
L
66-77
66
77
-11
59avg 78
A24/10
King Mindaugas Cup
BC Wolves
#3
L
74-89
74
89
-15
70avg 78
A28/10
LKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#8
W
83-57
83
57
+26
79avg 78
H31/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#10
W
89-84
89
84
+5
79avg 78
H06/11
LKL
Siauliai
#4
L
74-89
74
89
-15
63avg 78
A09/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Mazeikiai
#7
L
81-88
81
88
-7
74avg 78
A13/11
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
92-80
92
80
+12
90avg 78
A16/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-23
25-23
24-23
12-28
25-23
20-29
28-26
25-24
24-31
22-23
11-10
13-12
21-19
15-23
12-13
18-22
20-27
18-30
15-18
21-14
24-10
26-26
14-10
19-11
28-18
19-28
20-17
22-21
15-25
24-24
12-23
23-17
24-27
22-19
10-26
25-16
24-16
24-21
28-16
16-27
165.0Avg total
81.1Scored
83.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)78.190.7168.8-12.611%
Season at home (4)77.087.0164.0-10.025%
Season away (5)79.093.6172.6-14.60%
Last 10 (10)81.183.9165.0-2.830%
Last 5 (5)83.879.6163.4+4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)80.993.1173.9-12.20%
vs Similar (9)88.889.0177.8-0.244%
vs Weaker (6)95.893.3189.2+2.567%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +0.2+0.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +0.2+0.2
NeptunasNevezis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mazeikiai
#10
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A11/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
58-45
58
45
+13
H15/10
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H18/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Mazeikiai
#7
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H23/10
LKL
Gargzdai
#9
W
58-35
58
35
+23
A25/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#8
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A29/10
LKL
Gargzdai
#12
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A06/11
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
W
59-42
59
42
+17
H08/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A11/11
LKL
Gargzdai
#9
L
36-47
36
47
-11
H16/11
King Mindaugas Cup
88.5Avg total
46.4Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.542.785.2-0.243%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.944.686.5-2.631%-
Last 30 away (14)43.140.683.8+2.557%-
Last 10 (10)46.442.188.5+4.360%-
Last 5 (5)44.442.887.2+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)38.846.885.6-8.020%-
vs Similar (8)42.238.680.9+3.662%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)45.842.187.8+3.750%-
This opponent (Nevezis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevezisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gargzdai
#12
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A16/10
LKL
Siauliai
#4
L
45-52
45
52
-7
H19/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
46-54
46
54
-8
H22/10
LKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#8
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A24/10
King Mindaugas Cup
BC Wolves
#3
L
38-57
38
57
-19
A28/10
LKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#8
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H31/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#10
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H06/11
LKL
Siauliai
#4
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A09/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Mazeikiai
#7
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A13/11
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A16/11
King Mindaugas Cup
90.8Avg total
44.3Scored
46.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.645.789.3-2.130%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.846.691.4-1.936%-
Last 30 away (16)42.544.987.4-2.425%-
Last 10 (10)44.346.590.8-2.240%-
Last 5 (5)46.042.888.8+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)40.447.988.3-7.57%-
vs Similar (9)45.144.289.3+0.944%-
vs Weaker (6)49.242.591.7+6.767%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 88.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.422.5
63.6%
55.4%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.69.4
34.1%
34.7%28.2
🏀 Free throws20.614.8
71.8%
73.2%14.8
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nevezistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nevezis: 80.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.122.9
55.7%
55.4%45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.17.5
33.9%
34.7%22.5
🏀 Free throws16.811.8
70.2%
73.2%11.8
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neptunas
WLWWLWLWWW
Nevezis
WLLWWLLLLL
#6
League position
#9
+3.7
Net rating
-4.0
117.8
Offensive rating
105.5
114.0
Defensive rating
109.5
58.1%
Effective FG%
54.0%
54.6%
Opp. effective FG%
54.1%
15.9%
Turnover %
21.3%
28.7%
Off. rebound %
31.9%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.27
34.1%
3-point %
33.9%
71.2%
Assist %
59.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence117.8 · 105.5Defence114.0 · 109.5Shooting58.1% · 54.0%3-point %34.1% · 33.9%Ball care15.9% · 21.3%Off. rebounds28.7% · 31.9%Free throws0.33 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Neptunas   ■ Nevezis
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Neptunas wins
1
Nevezis wins
DateGameScore
18/04/23Neptunas v Nevezis97-91
12/12/22Neptunas v Nevezis86-79
21/11/22Nevezis v Neptunas67-71
03/04/22Neptunas v Nevezis95-61
20/12/21Nevezis v Neptunas83-88
12/12/21Neptunas v Nevezis94-87
03/11/21Nevezis v Neptunas72-85
03/10/21Neptunas v Nevezis97-95 OT
07/12/19Neptunas v Nevezis88-78
19/10/19Nevezis v Neptunas75-68
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/11/23HGargzdai84-78
11/11/23ARytas75-93
08/11/23HMazeikiai109-80
06/11/23AGargzdai92-73
29/10/23AJonava77-88
25/10/23AGargzdai97-87
23/10/23HMazeikiai84-87
18/10/23HJuventus92-90
15/10/23HPieno Zvaigzdes112-87
11/10/23AMazeikiai87-86 OT
Nevezislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/11/23APieno Zvaigzdes92-80
13/11/23AMazeikiai81-88
09/11/23ASiauliai74-89
06/11/23HSiauliai89-84
31/10/23HBC Olimpas Palanga83-57
28/10/23ABC Wolves74-89
24/10/23ABC Olimpas Palanga66-77
22/10/23HZalgiris Kaunas70-76
19/10/23HSiauliai98-102
16/10/23AGargzdai84-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL33%
HomeWLWL50%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %33%50%20%
Points / game86.888.285.6
Allowed / game89.988.291.2
Point differential-3.1+0.0-5.6
Avg total176.7176.5176.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %11%0%20%
Nevezis
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL11%
HomeLLLW25%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %11%25%0%
Points / game78.177.079.0
Allowed / game90.787.093.6
Point differential-12.6-10.0-14.6
Avg total168.8164.0172.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rytas109190%94.080.3+13.7
2 BC Wolves109190%87.475.0+12.4
3 Zalgiris Kaunas109190%80.267.9+12.3
4 Lietkabelis107370%86.182.7+3.4
5 Juventus106460%87.880.7+7.1
6 Jonava105550%83.084.9-1.9
7 Neptunas93633%86.889.9-3.1
8 Pieno Zvaigzdes103730%89.791.5-1.8
9 Mazeikiai103730%76.784.5-7.8
10 Gargzdai103730%77.492.8-15.4
11 Nevezis91811%78.190.7-12.6
12 Siauliai101910%79.587.4-7.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas1924282697
Nevezis2414152174
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