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New Mexico State vs Middle Tenn. St. Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 55-59
29-29 26-30
Position#178
Record10-4
FormWWLLW
Points / game77.9
Allowed / game68.6
vs
Position#179
Record9-6
FormWLWWL
Points / game76.9
Allowed / game70.3
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · New Mexico State v Middle Tenn. St.
10 Jan 2026
NEW 55
MIDD59
27 Feb 2025
NEW 66
MIDD71
20 Jan 2024
NEW 73
MIDD62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

New Mexico State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Middle Tenn. St. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

New Mexico StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC Irvine
#60
W
57-45
57
45
+12
A26/11
NCAA
Georgia State
#332
W
77-58
77
58
+19
H26/11
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
W
77-75
77
75
+2
A03/12
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#264
L
69-77
69
77
-8
A06/12
NCAA
Tulsa
#23
L
70-83
70
83
-13
H13/12
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
W
87-78
87
78
+9
H21/12
NCAA
Southwest Mustangs
#706
W
104-33
104
33
+71
H28/12
NCAA
Florida International
#232
L
74-89
74
89
-15
A02/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
L
82-89
82
89
-7
A04/01
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
W
80-64
80
64
+16
H09/01
NCAA
1H
2H
26-20
31-25
37-28
40-30
32-36
45-39
27-35
42-42
27-49
43-34
48-28
39-50
52-17
52-16
39-44
35-45
41-53
41-36
46-28
34-36
146.8Avg total
77.7Scored
69.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)77.968.6146.6+9.371%
Season at home (9)81.365.1146.4+16.289%
Season away (5)71.875.0146.8-3.240%
Last 10 (10)77.769.1146.8+8.660%
Last 5 (5)85.470.6156.0+14.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)67.367.7135.0-0.350%
vs Similar ◀ (16)68.668.8137.4-0.250%
vs Weaker (6)70.761.5132.2+9.267%
This opponent (Middle Tenn. St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Middle Tenn. St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
George Washington
#160
L
79-92
79
92
-13
H24/11
NCAA
McNeese State
#15
L
62-72
62
72
-10
A25/11
NCAA
UAB
#99
W
76-61
76
61
+15
H02/12
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
62-83
62
83
-21
H07/12
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
W
68-67
68
67
+1
H18/12
NCAA
Cumberland University (TN)
#409
W
74-58
74
58
+16
H21/12
NCAA
Houston
#18
L
60-69
60
69
-9
A30/12
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
W
88-51
88
51
+37
H03/01
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
W
68-67
68
67
+1
H04/01
NCAA
UTEP
#307
L
80-83 OT
80
83
-3
A09/01
NCAA
1H
2H
41-49
38-43
34-28
28-44
32-33
44-28
31-35
31-48
40-31
28-36
30-35
44-23
28-33
32-36
39-22
49-29
34-34
34-33
44-37
29-36
142.0Avg total
71.7Scored
70.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)76.970.3147.3+6.660%
Season at home (10)81.467.3148.7+14.180%
Season away (5)68.076.4144.4-8.420%
Last 10 (10)71.770.3142.0+1.450%
Last 5 (5)74.065.6139.6+8.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)67.677.8145.4-10.125%
vs Similar ◀ (13)73.571.2144.8+2.362%
vs Weaker (7)86.466.4152.9+20.086%
This opponent (New Mexico State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +3.7+3.71st half: +1.6+1.62nd half2nd half: +4.9+4.92nd half: +0.1+0.1
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +3.7+3.71st half: +1.6+1.62nd half2nd half: +4.9+4.92nd half: +0.1+0.1
New Mexico StateMiddle Tenn. St.
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
New Mexico StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC Irvine
#60
W
26-20
26
20
+6
A26/11
NCAA
Georgia State
#332
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H26/11
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A03/12
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#264
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A06/12
NCAA
Tulsa
#23
L
27-49
27
49
-22
H13/12
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
W
48-28
48
28
+20
H21/12
NCAA
Southwest Mustangs
#706
W
52-17
52
17
+35
H28/12
NCAA
Florida International
#232
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A02/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
L
41-53
41
53
-12
A04/01
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
W
46-28
46
28
+18
H09/01
NCAA
71.3Avg total
37.5Scored
33.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.030.264.1+3.860%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.227.963.2+7.375%-
Last 30 away (14)32.532.765.2-0.243%-
Last 10 (10)37.533.871.3+3.750%-
Last 5 (5)45.234.079.2+11.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)31.330.361.7+1.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)33.830.464.1+3.456%-
vs Weaker (6)32.730.763.3+2.067%-
This opponent (Middle Tenn. St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Middle Tenn. St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
George Washington
#160
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H24/11
NCAA
McNeese State
#15
W
34-28
34
28
+6
A25/11
NCAA
UAB
#99
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H02/12
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H07/12
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H18/12
NCAA
Cumberland University (TN)
#409
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H21/12
NCAA
Houston
#18
L
28-33
28
33
-5
A30/12
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
W
39-22
39
22
+17
H03/01
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H04/01
NCAA
UTEP
#307
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A09/01
NCAA
69.0Avg total
35.3Scored
33.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.133.670.7+3.553%-
Last 30 at home (18)38.433.471.9+5.056%-
Last 30 away (12)35.233.869.0+1.350%-
Last 10 (10)35.333.769.0+1.640%-
Last 5 (5)35.032.267.2+2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)34.436.070.4-1.625%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)35.033.768.7+1.346%-
vs Weaker (7)43.729.172.9+14.6100%-
This opponent (New Mexico State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
New Mexico State wins
2
Middle Tenn. St. wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/01/26HWestern Kentucky80-64
04/01/26AMissouri State82-89
02/01/26AFlorida International74-89
28/12/25HSouthwest Mustangs104-33
21/12/25HSam Houston St.87-78
13/12/25HTulsa70-83
06/12/25AAbilene Christian69-77
03/12/25ASouth Alabama77-75
26/11/25HGeorgia State77-58
26/11/25AUC Irvine57-45
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/01/26AUTEP80-83 OT
04/01/26HSam Houston St.68-67
03/01/26HLouisiana Tech88-51
30/12/25AHouston60-69
21/12/25HCumberland University (TN)74-58
18/12/25HKennesaw State68-67
07/12/25HBelmont62-83
02/12/25HUAB76-61
25/11/25AMcNeese State62-72
24/11/25HGeorge Washington79-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

New Mexico State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW71%
HomeWLWWW89%
AwayWWLLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1495
Win %71%89%40%
Points / game77.981.371.8
Allowed / game68.665.175.0
Point differential+9.3+16.2-3.2
Avg total146.6146.4146.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%56%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Middle Tenn. St.
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL60%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games15105
Win %60%80%20%
Points / game76.981.468.0
Allowed / game70.367.376.4
Point differential+6.6+14.1-8.4
Avg total147.3148.7144.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %7%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liberty1613381%80.867.8+13.0
2 New Mexico State1410471%77.968.6+9.3
3 Kennesaw State1610662%88.976.4+12.5
4 Western Kentucky1610662%81.075.7+5.3
5 Missouri State1610662%75.470.9+4.6
6 Middle Tenn. St.159660%76.970.3+6.6
7 Sam Houston St.169756%85.175.6+9.5
8 Louisiana Tech169756%68.760.4+8.2
9 Florida International169756%84.877.8+7.1
10 Jacksonville State168850%74.266.1+8.2
11 UTEP1651131%69.872.6-2.8
12 Delaware1651131%65.970.8-4.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
New Mexico State292655
Middle Tenn. St.293059
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