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New Mexico State vs Sam Houston St. Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 21 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 87-78
48-28 39-50
Position#178
Record7-2
FormWWWLL
Points / game73.8
Allowed / game67.6
vs
Position#69
Record7-3
FormWWLWW
Points / game86.2
Allowed / game75.3
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · New Mexico State v Sam Houston St.
23 Jan 2027
NEW v SAM
upcoming
21 Dec 2025
NEW 87
SAM 78
02 Jan 2025
NEW 75
SAM 71
22 Feb 2024
NEW 58
SAM 79
31 Dec 2022
NEW 62
SAM 75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

New Mexico State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sam Houston St. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

New Mexico StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kennesaw State
#142
L
77-80
77
80
-3
A13/03
NCAA
Adams State
#392
W
83-72
83
72
+11
H05/11
NCAA
New Mexico Cowboys
#493
W
74-58
74
58
+16
H12/11
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
W
76-68
76
68
+8
H16/11
NCAA
Samford
#149
W
81-72
81
72
+9
H22/11
NCAA
UC Irvine
#60
W
57-45
57
45
+12
A26/11
NCAA
Georgia State
#332
W
77-58
77
58
+19
H26/11
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
W
77-75
77
75
+2
A03/12
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#264
L
69-77
69
77
-8
A06/12
NCAA
Tulsa
#23
L
70-83
70
83
-13
H13/12
NCAA
1H
2H
34-34
43-46
43-36
40-36
29-24
45-34
27-27
49-41
40-32
41-40
26-20
31-25
37-28
40-30
32-36
45-39
27-35
42-42
27-49
43-34
142.9Avg total
74.1Scored
68.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)73.867.6141.3+6.278%
Season at home (6)76.868.5145.3+8.383%
Season away (3)67.765.7133.3+2.067%
Last 10 (10)74.168.8142.9+5.370%
Last 5 (5)70.067.6137.6+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)63.465.6129.0-2.240%
vs Similar (15)68.364.3132.6+4.160%
vs Weaker (8)73.261.2134.5+12.075%
This opponent (Sam Houston St.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sam Houston St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Le Tourneau
#517
W
95-59
95
59
+36
H04/11
NCAA
Texas Tech
#63
L
77-98
77
98
-21
A08/11
NCAA
Utah Utes
#333
L
79-85
79
85
-6
A16/11
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
W
78-70
78
70
+8
H20/11
NCAA
Schreiner Mountaineers
#635
W
105-54
105
54
+51
H22/11
NCAA
Idaho State
#284
W
84-81
84
81
+3
A26/11
NCAA
Idaho
#136
W
94-68
94
68
+26
A29/11
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#140
L
83-93
83
93
-10
A03/12
NCAA
Texas Southern
#281
W
82-70
82
70
+12
A06/12
NCAA
Oregon State
#195
W
85-75
85
75
+10
A18/12
NCAA
1H
2H
40-30
55-29
37-47
40-51
30-37
49-48
37-32
41-38
47-23
58-31
38-34
46-47
37-40
57-28
44-37
39-56
43-29
39-41
46-37
39-38
161.5Avg total
86.2Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)86.275.3161.5+10.970%
Season at home (3)92.761.0153.7+31.7100%
Season away (7)83.481.4164.9+2.057%
Last 10 (10)86.275.3161.5+10.970%
Last 5 (5)85.677.4163.0+8.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)67.672.2139.8-4.620%
vs Similar (12)77.477.5154.9-0.150%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)87.378.2165.5+9.267%
This opponent (New Mexico State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +0.1+0.11st half: +5.3+5.32nd half2nd half: +5.2+5.22nd half: +5.6+5.6
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +0.1+0.11st half: +5.3+5.32nd half2nd half: +5.2+5.22nd half: +5.6+5.6
New Mexico StateSam Houston St.
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
New Mexico StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kennesaw State
#142
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A13/03
NCAA
Adams State
#392
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H05/11
NCAA
New Mexico Cowboys
#493
W
29-24
29
24
+5
H12/11
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
D
27-27
27
27
+0
H16/11
NCAA
Samford
#149
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H22/11
NCAA
UC Irvine
#60
W
26-20
26
20
+6
A26/11
NCAA
Georgia State
#332
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H26/11
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A03/12
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#264
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A06/12
NCAA
Tulsa
#23
L
27-49
27
49
-22
H13/12
NCAA
64.3Avg total
32.2Scored
32.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.328.261.6+5.167%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.527.161.6+7.476%-
Last 30 away (13)31.829.761.5+2.154%-
Last 10 (10)32.232.164.3+0.150%-
Last 5 (5)29.833.663.4-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)28.030.858.8-2.840%-
vs Similar (15)33.127.060.1+6.167%-
vs Weaker (8)34.629.063.6+5.675%-
This opponent (Sam Houston St.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sam Houston St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Le Tourneau
#517
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H04/11
NCAA
Texas Tech
#63
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A08/11
NCAA
Utah Utes
#333
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A16/11
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H20/11
NCAA
Schreiner Mountaineers
#635
W
47-23
47
23
+24
H22/11
NCAA
Idaho State
#284
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A26/11
NCAA
Idaho
#136
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A29/11
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#140
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A03/12
NCAA
Texas Southern
#281
W
43-29
43
29
+14
A06/12
NCAA
Oregon State
#195
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A18/12
NCAA
74.5Avg total
39.9Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.734.170.9+2.650%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.232.972.1+6.262%-
Last 30 away (17)34.935.169.9-0.241%-
Last 10 (10)39.934.674.5+5.370%-
Last 5 (5)41.635.477.0+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)32.734.266.9-1.530%-
vs Similar (12)36.435.171.5+1.342%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)41.834.776.5+7.283%-
This opponent (New Mexico State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
New Mexico State wins
5
Sam Houston St. wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/25HTulsa70-83
06/12/25AAbilene Christian69-77
03/12/25ASouth Alabama77-75
26/11/25HGeorgia State77-58
26/11/25AUC Irvine57-45
22/11/25HSamford81-72
16/11/25HNew Mexico76-68
12/11/25HNew Mexico Cowboys74-58
05/11/25HAdams State83-72
13/03/25AKennesaw State77-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/25AOregon State85-75
06/12/25ATexas Southern82-70
03/12/25AOklahoma State83-93
29/11/25AIdaho94-68
26/11/25AIdaho State84-81
22/11/25HSchreiner Mountaineers105-54
20/11/25HWyoming78-70
16/11/25AUtah Utes79-85
08/11/25ATexas Tech77-98
04/11/25HLe Tourneau95-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

New Mexico State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL78%
HomeWWWWL83%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games963
Win %78%83%67%
Points / game73.876.867.7
Allowed / game67.668.565.7
Point differential+6.2+8.3+2.0
Avg total141.3145.3133.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sam Houston St.
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW70%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWLWW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1037
Win %70%100%57%
Points / game86.292.783.4
Allowed / game75.361.081.4
Point differential+10.9+31.7+2.0
Avg total161.5153.7164.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 New Mexico State97278%73.867.6+6.2
2 Liberty118373%80.265.3+14.9
3 Sam Houston St.107370%86.275.3+10.9
4 Kennesaw State128467%93.376.1+17.2
5 Western Kentucky117464%84.576.8+7.6
6 Middle Tenn. St.117464%78.071.4+6.6
7 Louisiana Tech106460%69.657.3+12.3
8 Florida International106460%84.278.9+5.3
9 Missouri State105550%74.972.8+2.1
10 Jacksonville State115645%74.663.3+11.4
11 Delaware114736%68.473.6-5.3
12 UTEP93633%72.171.7+0.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
New Mexico State483987
Sam Houston St.285078
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