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New Mexico State vs Sam Houston St. Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 23 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 21:00
Scheduled
Position#295
Record1-2
FormWLWLL
Points / game66.3
Allowed / game78.3
vs
Position#226
Record2-2
FormLLWWL
Points / game86.8
Allowed / game85.0
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · New Mexico State v Sam Houston St.
23 Jan 2027
NEW v SAM
upcoming
21 Dec 2025
NEW 87
SAM 78
02 Jan 2025
NEW 75
SAM 71
22 Feb 2024
NEW 58
SAM 79
31 Dec 2022
NEW 62
SAM 75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

New Mexico State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Sam Houston St. win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

New Mexico StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UTEP
#307
W
67-63
67
63
+4
H22/02
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
L
70-93
70
93
-23
A27/02
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
L
85-86 OT
85
86
-1
A28/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
W
77-75 OT
77
75
+2
H06/03
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
W
79-76
79
76
+3
H07/03
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
W
68-63
68
63
+5
A11/03
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
L
61-69
61
69
-8
A12/03
NCAA
Western N. M.
#353
W
73-66
73
66
+7
H04/11
NCAA
Gonzaga
#276
L
68-109
68
109
-41
A07/11
NCAA
UTEP
#161
L
58-60
58
60
-2
A13/11
NCAA
1H
2H
35-25
32-38
26-48
44-45
42-36
34-40
24-33
44-35
37-33
42-43
39-28
29-35
26-37
35-32
26-31
47-35
42-47
26-62
28-28
30-32
146.6Avg total
70.6Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)66.378.3144.7-12.033%
Season at home (1)73.066.0139.0+7.0100%
Season away (2)63.084.5147.5-21.50%
Last 10 (10)70.676.0146.6-5.450%
Last 5 (5)65.673.4139.0-7.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)70.078.4148.4-8.414%
vs Similar (15)73.676.2149.8-2.647%
vs Weaker (6)77.071.7148.7+5.350%
This opponent (Sam Houston St.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sam Houston St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida International
#232
W
100-67
100
67
+33
H27/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
W
86-81
86
81
+5
H28/02
NCAA
Delaware
#326
L
80-83
80
83
-3
A06/03
NCAA
Liberty
#26
L
72-79
72
79
-7
A07/03
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
W
69-61
69
61
+8
H12/03
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
L
73-79
73
79
-6
H13/03
NCAA
Alabama
#45
L
74-96
74
96
-22
A04/11
NCAA
Howard Payne
#504
W
102-59
102
59
+43
H07/11
NCAA
Pepperdine
#186
W
85-77
85
77
+8
H12/11
NCAA
Illinois
#85
L
86-108
86
108
-22
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
50-31
50-36
43-34
43-47
33-33
47-50
31-41
41-38
37-26
32-35
37-31
36-48
29-40
45-56
53-23
49-36
41-35
44-42
40-45
46-63
161.7Avg total
82.7Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)86.885.0171.8+1.850%
Season at home (2)93.568.0161.5+25.5100%
Season away (2)80.0102.0182.0-22.00%
Last 10 (10)82.779.0161.7+3.750%
Last 5 (5)84.083.8167.8+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)81.793.7175.3-12.033%
vs Similar (9)79.477.8157.2+1.756%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)82.771.7154.4+11.072%
This opponent (New Mexico State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: -2.1-2.11st half: +5.5+5.52nd half2nd half: -3.4-3.42nd half: -1.8-1.8
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: -2.1-2.11st half: +5.5+5.52nd half2nd half: -3.4-3.42nd half: -1.8-1.8
New Mexico StateSam Houston St.
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
New Mexico StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UTEP
#307
W
35-25
35
25
+10
H22/02
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
L
26-48
26
48
-22
A27/02
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A28/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
L
24-33
24
33
-9
H06/03
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H07/03
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
W
39-28
39
28
+11
A11/03
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
L
26-37
26
37
-11
A12/03
NCAA
Western N. M.
#353
L
26-31
26
31
-5
H04/11
NCAA
Gonzaga
#276
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A07/11
NCAA
UTEP
#161
D
28-28
28
28
+0
A13/11
NCAA
67.1Avg total
32.5Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.234.768.9-0.640%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.231.365.5+2.950%-
Last 30 away (16)34.137.871.9-3.631%-
Last 10 (10)32.534.667.1-2.140%-
Last 5 (5)32.234.266.4-2.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)33.137.971.0-4.729%-
vs Similar (15)33.636.369.9-2.733%-
vs Weaker (6)35.230.765.8+4.567%-
This opponent (Sam Houston St.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sam Houston St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida International
#232
W
50-31
50
31
+19
H27/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H28/02
NCAA
Delaware
#326
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A06/03
NCAA
Liberty
#26
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A07/03
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
W
37-26
37
26
+11
H12/03
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H13/03
NCAA
Alabama
#45
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A04/11
NCAA
Howard Payne
#504
W
53-23
53
23
+30
H07/11
NCAA
Pepperdine
#186
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H12/11
NCAA
Illinois
#85
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A14/11
NCAA
73.3Avg total
39.4Scored
33.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.533.472.9+6.173%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.329.871.1+11.593%-
Last 30 away (15)37.737.074.7+0.753%-
Last 10 (10)39.433.973.3+5.560%-
Last 5 (5)40.034.874.8+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)36.740.076.7-3.333%-
vs Similar (9)36.833.870.6+3.078%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)41.332.173.4+9.278%-
This opponent (New Mexico State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26AUTEP58-60
07/11/26AGonzaga68-109
04/11/26HWestern N. M.73-66
12/03/26ASam Houston St.61-69
11/03/26AJacksonville State68-63
07/03/26HKennesaw State79-76
06/03/26HJacksonville State77-75 OT
28/02/26AMiddle Tenn. St.85-86 OT
27/02/26AWestern Kentucky70-93
22/02/26HUTEP67-63
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AIllinois86-108
12/11/26HPepperdine85-77
07/11/26HHoward Payne102-59
04/11/26AAlabama74-96
13/03/26HKennesaw State73-79
12/03/26HNew Mexico State69-61
07/03/26ALiberty72-79
06/03/26ADelaware80-83
28/02/26HMissouri State86-81
27/02/26HFlorida International100-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

New Mexico State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game66.373.063.0
Allowed / game78.366.084.5
Point differential-12.0+7.0-21.5
Avg total144.7139.0147.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sam Houston St.
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWL50%
HomeWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game86.893.580.0
Allowed / game85.068.0102.0
Point differential+1.8+25.5-22.0
Avg total171.8161.5182.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kennesaw State440100%95.564.8+30.8
2 Missouri State330100%85.361.3+24.0
3 Florida International330100%91.771.0+20.7
4 Western Kentucky43175%84.263.5+20.8
5 Middle Tenn. St.43175%80.876.2+4.5
6 Liberty32167%81.364.0+17.3
7 UTEP32167%71.767.3+4.3
8 Delaware42250%73.561.5+12.0
9 Louisiana Tech42250%69.863.2+6.5
10 Jacksonville State42250%80.075.5+4.5
11 Sam Houston St.42250%86.885.0+1.8
12 New Mexico State31233%66.378.3-12.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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