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Fresno State vs Utah State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 08 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 81-89
31-50 50-39
Position#358
Record5-18
FormLLLLL
Points / game72.7
Allowed / game82.2
vs
Position#28
Record20-3
FormWWWLW
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game68.3
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Fresno State v Utah State
30 Dec 2025
FRES63
UTAH72
07 Feb 2025
FRES81
UTAH89
27 Feb 2024
FRES73
UTAH77
28 Jan 2023
FRES53
UTAH70
18 Jan 2022
FRES61
UTAH54
06 Mar 2021
FRES51
UTAH57
06 Feb 2021
FRES v UTAH
upcoming
04 Feb 2021
FRES53
UTAH69
15 Feb 2020
FRES59
UTAH71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fresno State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Utah State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Fresno StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Mexico
#25
L
89-103
89
103
-14
H01/01
NCAA
Utah State
#28
L
83-89
83
89
-6
A05/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
L
64-91
64
91
-27
A08/01
NCAA
Nevada
#189
L
66-77 OT
66
77
-11
H12/01
NCAA
Air Force
#367
W
74-65
74
65
+9
H18/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
L
67-95
67
95
-28
A20/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
L
64-69
64
69
-5
H26/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
L
72-83 OT
72
83
-11
A29/01
NCAA
Boise State
#55
L
60-82
60
82
-22
A01/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
L
91-94 OT
91
94
-3
H05/02
NCAA
1H
2H
36-53
53-50
42-39
41-50
26-49
38-42
31-30
33-34
41-24
33-41
27-45
40-50
31-33
33-36
30-31
37-36
26-44
34-38
29-31
38-36
157.8Avg total
73.0Scored
84.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)72.782.2154.9-9.522%
Season at home (11)75.279.0154.2-3.836%
Season away (12)70.485.1155.5-14.78%
Last 10 (10)73.084.8157.8-11.810%
Last 5 (5)70.884.6155.4-13.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)69.183.0152.0-13.98%
vs Similar (4)78.270.5148.8+7.8100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Utah State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utah StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevada
#189
W
69-64
69
64
+5
A01/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
W
89-83
89
83
+6
H05/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
W
85-78
85
78
+7
A08/01
NCAA
Boise State
#55
W
81-79
81
79
+2
H12/01
NCAA
UNLV
#165
L
62-65
62
65
-3
A16/01
NCAA
Nevada
#189
W
90-69
90
69
+21
H23/01
NCAA
Air Force
#367
W
87-58
87
58
+29
A25/01
NCAA
UNLV
#165
W
76-71
76
71
+5
H30/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
L
63-82
63
82
-19
H02/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
W
71-67
71
67
+4
A05/02
NCAA
1H
2H
28-33
41-31
39-42
50-41
45-36
40-42
34-38
47-41
30-32
32-33
47-38
43-31
42-33
45-25
33-24
43-47
36-30
27-52
30-35
41-32
148.9Avg total
77.3Scored
71.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)81.068.3149.3+12.887%
Season at home (13)87.570.1157.6+17.585%
Season away (10)72.665.9138.5+6.790%
Last 10 (10)77.371.6148.9+5.780%
Last 5 (5)77.469.4146.8+8.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)70.090.5160.5-20.50%
vs Similar (8)74.074.4148.4-0.475%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)82.968.2151.1+14.895%
This opponent (Fresno State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -6.0-6.01st half: +2.3+2.32nd half2nd half: -3.3-3.32nd half: +3.4+3.4
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -6.0-6.01st half: +2.3+2.32nd half2nd half: -3.3-3.32nd half: +3.4+3.4
Fresno StateUtah State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Fresno StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Mexico
#25
L
36-53
36
53
-17
H01/01
NCAA
Utah State
#28
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A05/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
L
26-49
26
49
-23
A08/01
NCAA
Nevada
#189
W
31-30
31
30
+1
H12/01
NCAA
Air Force
#367
W
41-24
41
24
+17
H18/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
L
27-45
27
45
-18
A20/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H26/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
L
30-31
30
31
-1
A29/01
NCAA
Boise State
#55
L
26-44
26
44
-18
A01/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H05/02
NCAA
69.8Avg total
31.9Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.838.068.7-7.217%-
Last 30 at home (14)31.435.867.2-4.421%-
Last 30 away (16)30.239.970.1-9.712%-
Last 10 (10)31.937.969.8-6.030%-
Last 5 (5)28.636.865.4-8.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)29.638.668.2-9.012%-
vs Similar (4)38.534.072.5+4.550%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Utah State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utah StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevada
#189
L
28-33
28
33
-5
A01/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H05/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A08/01
NCAA
Boise State
#55
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H12/01
NCAA
UNLV
#165
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A16/01
NCAA
Nevada
#189
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H23/01
NCAA
Air Force
#367
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A25/01
NCAA
UNLV
#165
W
33-24
33
24
+9
H30/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H02/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A05/02
NCAA
70.5Avg total
36.4Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.033.572.5+5.560%-
Last 30 at home (18)42.032.774.7+9.378%-
Last 30 away (12)34.434.869.2-0.333%-
Last 10 (10)36.434.170.5+2.350%-
Last 5 (5)37.632.069.6+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)36.040.576.5-4.550%-
vs Similar (8)35.635.070.6+0.650%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)39.332.671.9+6.763%-
This opponent (Fresno State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Fresno State wins
9
Utah State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/02/25HSan Jose State91-94 OT
01/02/25ABoise State60-82
29/01/25AWyoming72-83 OT
26/01/25HColorado State64-69
20/01/25ANew Mexico67-95
18/01/25HAir Force74-65
12/01/25HNevada66-77 OT
08/01/25AColorado State64-91
05/01/25AUtah State83-89
01/01/25HNew Mexico89-103
Utah Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/02/25AWyoming71-67
02/02/25HNew Mexico63-82
30/01/25HUNLV76-71
25/01/25AAir Force87-58
23/01/25HNevada90-69
16/01/25AUNLV62-65
12/01/25HBoise State81-79
08/01/25ASan Jose State85-78
05/01/25HFresno State89-83
01/01/25ANevada69-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fresno State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL22%
HomeLLWLL36%
AwayLLLLL8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %22%36%8%
Points / game72.775.270.4
Allowed / game82.279.085.1
Point differential-9.5-3.8-14.7
Avg total154.9154.2155.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%9%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %17%27%8%
Utah State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW87%
HomeWWWWL85%
AwayWWLWW90%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231310
Win %87%85%90%
Points / game81.087.572.6
Allowed / game68.370.165.9
Point differential+12.8+17.5+6.7
Avg total149.3157.6138.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%54%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (10)75% (4)83% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State2320387%81.068.3+12.8
2 New Mexico2319483%83.571.7+11.9
3 Grand Canyon2217577%79.567.9+11.6
4 San Diego State2015575%71.662.9+8.7
5 Boise State2417771%77.265.8+11.4
6 Colorado State2214864%73.768.7+5.0
7 Nevada23131057%72.567.6+4.9
8 San Jose State25121348%74.272.9+1.3
9 UNLV23111248%70.670.6-0.0
10 Wyoming23111248%68.770.5-1.8
11 Fresno State2351822%72.782.2-9.5
12 Air Force2332013%63.271.7-8.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Fresno State315081
Utah State503989
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