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New Mexico vs Utah State Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 29 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Scheduled
Position#93
Record3-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game93.2
Allowed / game71.0
vs
Position#7
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game105.5
Allowed / game70.5
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · New Mexico v Utah State
29 Nov 2026
NEW v UTAH
upcoming
04 Feb 2026
NEW 66
UTAH86
12 Jan 2026
NEW v UTAH
upcoming
16 Feb 2025
NEW 82
UTAH79
16 Jan 2024
NEW 99
UTAH86
08 Jan 2022
NEW 87
UTAH90
08 Jan 2021
NEW 46
UTAH82
06 Jan 2021
NEW 45
UTAH77
29 Feb 2020
NEW 66
UTAH64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

New Mexico win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Utah State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

New MexicoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevada
#86
L
60-67
60
67
-7
A25/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
W
81-76
81
76
+5
H28/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
L
74-82
74
82
-8
H05/03
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
90-94
90
94
-4
A07/03
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
93-77
93
77
+16
H13/03
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
62-64
62
64
-2
A14/03
NCAA
Utah Tech
#314
W
100-60
100
60
+40
H03/11
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#377
W
94-65
94
65
+29
H07/11
NCAA
UALR
#318
W
94-69
94
69
+25
H11/11
NCAA
Santa Clara
#68
L
85-90
85
90
-5
A15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
23-23
37-44
36-37
45-39
25-40
49-42
43-42
47-52
43-36
50-41
33-37
29-27
38-33
62-27
46-30
48-35
47-34
47-35
33-51
52-39
157.7Avg total
83.3Scored
74.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)93.271.0164.2+22.275%
Season at home (3)96.064.7160.7+31.3100%
Season away (1)85.090.0175.0-5.00%
Last 10 (10)83.374.4157.7+8.950%
Last 5 (5)87.069.6156.6+17.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (9)79.375.6154.9+3.856%
vs Weaker (21)84.468.5152.9+15.976%
This opponent (Utah State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utah StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Mexico
#50
W
94-90
94
90
+4
H07/03
NCAA
UNLV
#192
W
80-60
80
60
+20
H12/03
NCAA
Nevada
#86
W
79-66
79
66
+13
H14/03
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
W
73-62
73
62
+11
H14/03
NCAA
Villanova
#46
W
86-76
86
76
+10
A20/03
NCAA
Arizona
#7
L
66-78
66
78
-12
A23/03
NCAA
Idaho State
#392
W
94-58
94
58
+36
H03/11
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#183
W
90-56
90
56
+34
H07/11
NCAA
Utah Tech
#314
W
118-86
118
86
+32
H11/11
NCAA
UC San Diego
#169
W
120-82
120
82
+38
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
42-43
52-47
37-23
43-37
39-32
40-34
34-35
39-27
37-39
49-37
24-33
42-45
37-29
57-29
44-21
46-35
53-35
65-51
73-34
47-48
161.4Avg total
90.0Scored
71.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)105.570.5176.0+35.0100%
Season at home (4)105.570.5176.0+35.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)90.071.4161.4+18.690%
Last 5 (5)97.672.0169.6+25.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)66.078.0144.0-12.00%
vs Similar (2)90.078.0168.0+12.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)84.871.0155.8+13.781%
This opponent (New Mexico) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +0.4+0.41st half: +9.6+9.62nd half2nd half: +8.5+8.52nd half: +9.0+9.0
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +0.4+0.41st half: +9.6+9.62nd half2nd half: +8.5+8.52nd half: +9.0+9.0
New MexicoUtah State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
New MexicoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevada
#86
D
23-23
23
23
+0
A25/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H28/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
L
25-40
25
40
-15
H05/03
NCAA
Utah State
#20
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A07/03
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H13/03
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A14/03
NCAA
Utah Tech
#314
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H03/11
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#377
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H07/11
NCAA
UALR
#318
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H11/11
NCAA
Santa Clara
#68
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A15/11
NCAA
73.0Avg total
36.7Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.733.471.1+4.363%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.232.671.8+6.676%-
Last 30 away (13)35.834.570.2+1.346%-
Last 10 (10)36.736.373.0+0.450%-
Last 5 (5)39.437.076.4+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (9)38.238.076.2+0.244%-
vs Weaker (21)37.531.469.0+6.171%-
This opponent (Utah State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utah StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Mexico
#50
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H07/03
NCAA
UNLV
#192
W
37-23
37
23
+14
H12/03
NCAA
Nevada
#86
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H14/03
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H14/03
NCAA
Villanova
#46
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A20/03
NCAA
Arizona
#7
L
24-33
24
33
-9
A23/03
NCAA
Idaho State
#392
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H03/11
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#183
W
44-21
44
21
+23
H07/11
NCAA
Utah Tech
#314
W
53-35
53
35
+18
H11/11
NCAA
UC San Diego
#169
W
73-34
73
34
+39
H14/11
NCAA
74.4Avg total
42.0Scored
32.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.632.772.4+6.963%-
Last 30 at home (18)42.731.674.3+11.172%-
Last 30 away (12)35.034.469.4+0.650%-
Last 10 (10)42.032.474.4+9.660%-
Last 5 (5)46.230.476.6+15.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)24.033.057.0-9.00%-
vs Similar (2)39.038.077.0+1.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)40.332.372.6+7.967%-
This opponent (New Mexico) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
New Mexico wins
7
Utah State wins
New Mexicolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26ASanta Clara85-90
11/11/26HUALR94-69
07/11/26HNorthern Arizona94-65
03/11/26HUtah Tech100-60
14/03/26ASan Diego State62-64
13/03/26HSan Jose State93-77
07/03/26AUtah State90-94
05/03/26HColorado State74-82
28/02/26HSan Diego State81-76
25/02/26ANevada60-67
Utah Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HUC San Diego120-82
11/11/26HUtah Tech118-86
07/11/26HNebraska O.90-56
03/11/26HIdaho State94-58
23/03/26AArizona66-78
20/03/26AVillanova86-76
14/03/26HSan Diego State73-62
14/03/26HNevada79-66
12/03/26HUNLV80-60
07/03/26HNew Mexico94-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

New Mexico
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWL75%
HomeWWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%100%0%
Points / game93.296.085.0
Allowed / game71.064.790.0
Point differential+22.2+31.3-5.0
Avg total164.2160.7175.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Utah State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games44-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game105.5105.5-
Allowed / game70.570.5-
Point differential+35.0+35.0-
Avg total176.0176.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boise State330100%114.371.0+43.3
2 Utah State440100%105.570.5+35.0
3 Grand Canyon440100%97.270.8+26.5
4 San Diego State330100%89.073.0+16.0
5 UNLV330100%84.374.7+9.7
6 New Mexico43175%93.271.0+22.2
7 Wyoming43175%81.859.8+22.0
8 Air Force43175%93.583.8+9.8
9 Colorado State43175%76.871.2+5.5
10 Fresno State43175%84.283.0+1.2
11 Nevada42250%79.073.2+5.8
12 San Jose State31233%83.081.7+1.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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