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New Orleans Pelicans vs Orlando Magic Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 09 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 01:00
Scheduled
Position#20
Record4-5
FormLLLLW
Points / game115.4
Allowed / game116.6
vs
Position#11
Record5-4
FormLLWLW
Points / game116.0
Allowed / game117.8
USANBA· Smoothie King Center
NBA2026-27
Meetings · New Orleans Pelicans v Orlando Magic
08 Jan 2027
NOP v ORL
upcoming
05 Apr 2026
NOP108
ORL112
13 Mar 2025
NOP93
ORL113
07 Oct 2024
NOP106
ORL104
14 Jul 2024
NOP86
ORL91
03 Apr 2024
NOP108
ORL117
10 Oct 2023
NOP105
ORL122
27 Feb 2023
NOP93
ORL101
09 Mar 2022
NOP102
ORL108
06 Oct 2021
NOP104
ORL86
01 Apr 2021
NOP110
ORL115
15 Dec 2019
NOP119
ORL130
12 Feb 2019
NOP88
ORL118
30 Oct 2017
NOP99
ORL115
18 Jan 2017
NOP118
ORL98
03 Nov 2015
NOP94
ORL103
28 Oct 2014
NOP101
ORL84
26 Jan 2014
NOP100
ORL92
04 Mar 2013
NOP102
ORL105
07 Oct 2012
NOP85
ORL80
27 Jan 2012
NOP93
ORL67
12 Jan 2011
NOP92
ORL89
26 Feb 2010
NOP100
ORL93
13 Oct 2009
NOP86
ORL121
18 Feb 2009
NOP117
ORL85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

New Orleans Pelicans win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Orlando Magic win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

New Orleans PelicansUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
126-132
126
132
-6
A13/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#18
W
116-110
116
110
+6
A07/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#19
L
118-128
118
128
-10
A08/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
W
101-97
101
97
+4
A15/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
W
107-106
107
106
+1
H17/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
L
120-123
120
123
-3
H22/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#21
L
119-120
119
120
-1
A24/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#7
L
135-141 OT
135
141
-6
A25/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#7
L
91-104
91
104
-13
H29/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#30
W
132-120
132
120
+12
H30/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-34
35-39
31-24
36-35
28-34
24-33
38-26
26-17
36-33
28-40
32-20
22-35
24-18
32-27
19-18
26-34
23-17
33-34
25-19
26-36
31-38
35-18
26-30
28-37
28-31
24-31
38-24
29-34
38-24
35-33
35-32
18-37
18-37
27-20
28-22
18-25
24-30
39-31
39-27
30-32
234.6Avg total
116.5Scored
118.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)115.4116.6232.0-1.144%
Season at home (4)112.5113.2225.8-0.850%
Season away (5)117.8119.2237.0-1.440%
Last 10 (10)116.5118.1234.6-1.640%
Last 5 (5)119.4121.6241.0-2.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)112.0119.5231.5-7.520%
vs Similar ◀ (11)118.0117.7235.7+0.345%
vs Weaker (4)129.0119.5248.5+9.575%
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Orlando MagicUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
94-116
94
116
-22
A03/05
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#2
W
122-118
122
118
+4
A08/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#16
L
105-119
105
119
-14
A11/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#16
W
132-116
132
116
+16
H13/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#19
W
136-115
136
115
+21
H16/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#6
L
125-132
125
132
-7
H21/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#9
L
93-115
93
115
-22
H23/10
NBA
New York Knicks
#28
W
111-102
111
102
+9
A25/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#13
L
99-129
99
129
-30
A28/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#13
W
121-114
121
114
+7
A30/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-20
27-40
15-23
30-33
36-26
28-35
30-26
28-31
28-32
22-29
25-29
30-29
35-28
37-24
36-31
24-33
34-36
36-29
38-30
28-20
33-28
29-44
38-27
25-33
20-26
25-31
15-29
33-29
21-28
27-24
23-23
40-27
25-32
28-37
23-34
23-26
31-27
33-28
31-33
26-26
231.4Avg total
113.8Scored
117.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)116.0117.8233.8-1.856%
Season at home (4)121.5119.5241.0+2.050%
Season away (5)111.6116.4228.0-4.860%
Last 10 (10)113.8117.6231.4-3.850%
Last 5 (5)109.8118.4228.2-8.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)105.4110.4215.7-5.043%
vs Similar ◀ (10)115.7118.5234.2-2.850%
vs Weaker (6)122.5114.2236.7+8.383%
This opponent (New Orleans Pelicans) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: +6.9+6.9Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -6.3-6.3Q4: +0.0+0.0
New Orleans PelicansOrlando Magic
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
New Orleans PelicansLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
59-73
59
73
-14
A13/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#18
L
52-67
52
67
-15
A07/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#19
L
64-73
64
73
-9
A08/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
W
56-45
56
45
+11
A15/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
W
56-51
56
51
+5
H17/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
W
66-56
66
56
+10
H22/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#21
L
52-62
52
62
-10
A24/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#7
W
73-57
73
57
+16
A25/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#7
L
45-57
45
57
-12
H29/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#30
W
63-61
63
61
+2
H30/10
NBA
118.8Avg total
58.6Scored
60.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.360.9119.3-2.647%-
Last 30 at home (13)58.758.2116.8+0.569%-
Last 30 away (17)58.163.1121.1-5.029%-
Last 10 (10)58.660.2118.8-1.650%-
Last 5 (5)59.858.6118.4+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)55.362.2117.5-6.927%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)59.759.2118.9+0.555%-
vs Weaker (4)65.861.0126.8+4.8100%-
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Orlando MagicLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
49-60
49
60
-11
A03/05
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#2
W
64-61
64
61
+3
A08/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#16
L
50-61
50
61
-11
A11/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#16
W
72-52
72
52
+20
H13/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#19
W
70-65
70
65
+5
H16/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#6
L
62-72
62
72
-10
H21/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#9
L
45-57
45
57
-12
H23/10
NBA
New York Knicks
#28
L
48-52
48
52
-4
A25/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#13
L
53-69
53
69
-16
A28/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#13
W
64-55
64
55
+9
A30/10
NBA
118.1Avg total
57.7Scored
60.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.357.5116.9+1.857%-
Last 30 at home (14)62.655.8118.4+6.979%-
Last 30 away (16)56.459.1115.5-2.638%-
Last 10 (10)57.760.4118.1-2.740%-
Last 5 (5)54.461.0115.4-6.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)57.456.3113.6+1.157%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)61.359.7121.0+1.650%-
vs Weaker (6)60.756.8117.5+3.867%-
This opponent (New Orleans Pelicans) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
New Orleans Pelicanstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

New Orleans Pelicans: 121.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers66.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws24.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.833.1
53.6%
54.0%66.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.010.3
32.2%
34.9%30.9
🏀 Free throws31.124.5
78.8%
76.2%24.5
They take 93.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Orlando Magictheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Orlando Magic: 110.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.3 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.724.3
53.2%
54.0%48.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.514.1
35.7%
34.9%42.3
🏀 Free throws27.419.7
71.9%
76.2%19.7
They take 85.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
New Orleans Pelicans
WLLLLWWLWL
Orlando Magic
WLWLLWWLWL
#20
League position
#11
-1.9
Net rating
-0.5
105.0
Offensive rating
107.1
106.9
Defensive rating
107.6
51.8%
Effective FG%
53.3%
55.8%
Opp. effective FG%
51.7%
13.7%
Turnover %
14.7%
38.3%
Off. rebound %
34.0%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.32
32.2%
3-point %
35.7%
55.5%
Assist %
70.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence105.0 · 107.1Defence106.9 · 107.6Shooting51.8% · 53.3%3-point %32.2% · 35.7%Ball care13.7% · 14.7%Off. rebounds38.3% · 34.0%Free throws0.33 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ New Orleans Pelicans   ■ Orlando Magic
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26HSacramento Kings132-120
29/10/26HDenver Nuggets91-104
25/10/26ADenver Nuggets135-141 OT
24/10/26AUtah Jazz119-120
22/10/26HIndiana Pacers120-123
17/10/26HWashington Wizards107-106
15/10/26ADallas Mavericks101-97
08/10/26AMiami Heat118-128
07/10/26AOklahoma City Thunder116-110
13/04/26AMinnesota Timberwolves126-132
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26AToronto Raptors121-114
28/10/26AToronto Raptors99-129
25/10/26ANew York Knicks111-102
23/10/26HMinnesota Timberwolves93-115
21/10/26HAtlanta Hawks125-132
16/10/26HMiami Heat136-115
13/10/26HCleveland Cavaliers132-116
11/10/26ACleveland Cavaliers105-119
08/10/26AMemphis Grizzlies122-118
03/05/26ADetroit Pistons94-116

📊 11. Overall Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW44%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayWLWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %44%50%40%
Points / game115.4112.5117.8
Allowed / game116.6113.2119.2
Point differential-1.1-0.8-1.4
Avg total232.0225.8237.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %11%0%20%
Orlando Magic
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW56%
HomeWWLL50%
AwayWLWLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %56%50%60%
Points / game116.0121.5111.6
Allowed / game117.8119.5116.4
Point differential-1.8+2.0-4.8
Avg total233.8241.0228.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics98189%123.4110.0+13.4
2 Memphis Grizzlies98189%117.9108.2+9.7
3 Detroit Pistons108280%113.3106.3+7.0
4 Houston Rockets97278%121.3110.9+10.4
5 Portland Trail Blazers75271%120.3114.3+6.0
6 Atlanta Hawks117464%120.7115.7+5.0
7 Denver Nuggets106460%114.8114.7+0.1
8 Philadelphia 76ers106460%110.6111.0-0.4
9 Minnesota Timberwolves127558%118.8112.4+6.4
10 Golden State Warriors127558%115.2110.8+4.4
11 Orlando Magic95456%116.0117.8-1.8
12 Los Angeles Lakers116555%113.2112.6+0.5
13 Toronto Raptors105550%119.6111.5+8.1
14 San Antonio Spurs105550%115.5109.4+6.1
15 Washington Wizards105550%111.6111.3+0.3
16 Cleveland Cavaliers84450%117.2118.2-1.0
17 Dallas Mavericks105550%114.3115.7-1.4
18 Oklahoma City Thunder105550%109.0110.8-1.8
19 Miami Heat115645%122.7121.9+0.8
20 New Orleans Pelicans94544%115.4116.6-1.1
21 Utah Jazz94544%112.8115.6-2.8
22 Charlotte Hornets104640%97.0108.0-11.0
23 Los Angeles Clippers83538%107.4110.5-3.1
24 Chicago Bulls114736%117.4122.7-5.4
25 Brooklyn Nets93633%116.4118.9-2.4
26 Indiana Pacers103730%117.9119.2-1.3
27 Milwaukee Bucks103730%111.4122.0-10.6
28 New York Knicks113827%106.5115.2-8.6
29 Phoenix Suns92722%110.3119.0-8.7
30 Sacramento Kings100100%106.5122.2-15.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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