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New Orleans Pelicans vs Orlando Magic Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 09 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 01:00
Scheduled
Position#24
Record4-8
FormWLLLL
Points / game116.9
Allowed / game124.2
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.6/10
Around normal
5.2/10
Around normal
Position#20
Record4-7
FormLLLWW
Points / game108.5
Allowed / game114.0
USANBA· Smoothie King Center
NBA2026-27
Meetings · New Orleans Pelicans v Orlando Magic
08 Jan 2027
NOP v ORL
upcoming
05 Apr 2026
NOP108
ORL112
13 Mar 2025
NOP93
ORL113
03 Apr 2024
NOP108
ORL117
27 Feb 2023
NOP93
ORL101
09 Mar 2022
NOP102
ORL108
01 Apr 2021
NOP110
ORL115
15 Dec 2019
NOP119
ORL130
12 Feb 2019
NOP88
ORL118
30 Oct 2017
NOP99
ORL115
18 Jan 2017
NOP118
ORL98
03 Nov 2015
NOP94
ORL103
28 Oct 2014
NOP101
ORL84
26 Jan 2014
NOP100
ORL92
04 Mar 2013
NOP102
ORL105
27 Jan 2012
NOP93
ORL67
12 Jan 2011
NOP92
ORL89
26 Feb 2010
NOP100
ORL93
18 Feb 2009
NOP117
ORL85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

New Orleans Pelicans win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Orlando Magic win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

New Orleans PelicansUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPelicans
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#13
L
135-141 OT
135
141
-6
131avg 106
A25/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#13
L
91-104
91
104
-13
79avg 106
H29/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#28
W
132-120
132
120
+12
131avg 106
H30/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#14
W
121-99
121
99
+22
57avg 106
H31/10
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
W
135-134 OT
135
134
+1
124avg 106
A03/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#29
W
120-113 OT
120
113
+7
111avg 106
H05/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#6
L
109-115
109
115
-6
100avg 106
H07/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#26
L
123-139
123
139
-16
115avg 106
A09/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#9
L
87-138
87
138
-51
72avg 106
A10/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
L
111-145
111
145
-34
94avg 106
H12/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
38-24
35-33
35-32
18-37
18-37
27-20
28-22
18-25
24-30
39-31
39-27
30-32
33-18
30-30
29-26
29-25
34-28
25-34
41-33
24-29
24-24
18-13
28-43
34-24
30-27
21-30
28-20
30-38
28-28
32-39
35-35
28-37
20-35
23-37
22-40
22-26
25-39
41-44
15-24
30-38
241.2Avg total
116.4Scored
124.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)116.9124.2241.2-7.333%
Season at home (7)114.9117.0231.9-2.143%
Season away (5)119.8134.4254.2-14.620%
Last 10 (10)116.4124.8241.2-8.440%
Last 5 (5)110.0130.0240.0-20.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)113.0120.0233.0-7.025%
vs Similar ◀ (5)125.0130.0255.0-5.040%
vs Weaker (5)124.4117.6242.0+6.860%
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Orlando MagicUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMagic
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#6
L
93-115
93
115
-22
83avg 105
H23/10
NBA
New York Knicks
#15
W
111-102
111
102
+9
108avg 105
A25/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#17
L
99-129
99
129
-30
86avg 105
A28/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#17
W
121-114
121
114
+7
120avg 105
A30/10
NBA
Boston Celtics
#2
L
97-108
97
108
-11
91avg 105
H01/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
L
94-103
94
103
-9
84avg 105
H03/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#19
L
104-117
104
117
-13
102avg 105
A06/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#9
L
119-126 OT
119
126
-7
104avg 105
A08/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#28
W
107-100
107
100
+7
98avg 105
A11/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#29
W
123-108
123
108
+15
116avg 105
A12/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-26
25-31
15-29
33-29
21-28
27-24
23-23
40-27
25-32
28-37
23-34
23-26
31-27
33-28
31-33
26-26
23-24
27-31
24-22
23-31
33-28
26-32
9-19
26-24
26-33
25-30
22-33
31-21
19-31
22-26
37-20
32-33
34-27
23-25
27-24
23-24
29-34
37-25
19-28
38-21
219.0Avg total
106.8Scored
112.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)108.5114.0222.5-5.536%
Season at home (4)102.2114.5216.8-12.20%
Season away (7)112.0113.7225.7-1.757%
Last 10 (10)106.8112.2219.0-5.440%
Last 5 (5)109.4110.8220.2-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)105.0110.2215.2-5.238%
vs Similar ◀ (8)106.4114.9221.2-8.538%
vs Weaker (6)121.3110.5231.8+10.8100%
This opponent (New Orleans Pelicans) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: -4.8-4.8Q4: +3.3+3.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: -4.8-4.8Q4: +3.3+3.3
New Orleans PelicansOrlando Magic
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
New Orleans PelicansLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#13
W
73-57
73
57
+16
A25/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#13
L
45-57
45
57
-12
H29/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#28
W
63-61
63
61
+2
H30/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#14
W
63-48
63
48
+15
H31/10
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
L
59-62
59
62
-3
A03/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#29
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H05/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#6
L
51-57
51
57
-6
H07/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#26
L
60-67
60
67
-7
A09/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#9
L
43-72
43
72
-29
A10/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
L
66-83
66
83
-17
H12/11
NBA
116.6Avg total
56.5Scored
60.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.360.8118.1-3.643%-
Last 30 at home (16)58.158.1116.2-0.162%-
Last 30 away (14)56.463.9120.3-7.621%-
Last 10 (10)56.560.1116.6-3.640%-
Last 5 (5)52.463.2115.6-10.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)55.560.6116.1-5.135%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)63.866.6130.4-2.840%-
vs Weaker (5)58.056.0114.0+2.080%-
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Orlando MagicLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#6
L
45-57
45
57
-12
H23/10
NBA
New York Knicks
#15
L
48-52
48
52
-4
A25/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#17
L
53-69
53
69
-16
A28/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#17
W
64-55
64
55
+9
A30/10
NBA
Boston Celtics
#2
L
50-55
50
55
-5
H01/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
L
59-60
59
60
-1
H03/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#19
L
51-63
51
63
-12
A06/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#9
L
41-57
41
57
-16
A08/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#28
W
57-52
57
52
+5
A11/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#29
W
66-59
66
59
+7
A12/11
NBA
111.3Avg total
53.4Scored
57.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.256.7113.9+0.550%-
Last 30 at home (13)60.055.4115.4+4.662%-
Last 30 away (17)55.157.8112.8-2.741%-
Last 10 (10)53.457.9111.3-4.530%-
Last 5 (5)54.858.2113.0-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)54.955.7110.6-0.844%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)57.958.8116.6-0.938%-
vs Weaker (6)62.556.8119.3+5.783%-
This opponent (New Orleans Pelicans) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
New Orleans Pelicanstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

New Orleans Pelicans: 122.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers68.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws25.9 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers65.134.2
52.5%
54.0%68.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.09.4
32.4%
35.1%28.2
🏀 Free throws30.825.9
84.1%
77.1%25.9
They take 94.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Orlando Magictheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Orlando Magic: 103.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.6 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.923.6
52.6%
54.0%47.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.313.2
32.8%
35.1%39.6
🏀 Free throws23.217.1
73.7%
77.1%17.1
They take 85.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 40.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
New Orleans Pelicans
LLLLWWWWLL
Orlando Magic
WWLLLLWLWL
#24
League position
#20
-6.6
Net rating
-8.1
112.3
Offensive rating
104.5
118.9
Defensive rating
112.6
51.3%
Effective FG%
50.9%
57.9%
Opp. effective FG%
54.2%
12.6%
Turnover %
15.7%
31.9%
Off. rebound %
25.9%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.27
32.4%
3-point %
32.8%
56.0%
Assist %
67.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence112.3 · 104.5Defence118.9 · 112.6Shooting51.3% · 50.9%3-point %32.4% · 32.8%Ball care12.6% · 15.7%Off. rebounds31.9% · 25.9%Free throws0.33 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ New Orleans Pelicans   ■ Orlando Magic
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HBrooklyn Nets111-145
10/11/26AGolden State Warriors87-138
09/11/26ALos Angeles Clippers123-139
07/11/26HMinnesota Timberwolves109-115
05/11/26HUtah Jazz120-113 OT
03/11/26AMemphis Grizzlies135-134 OT
31/10/26HAtlanta Hawks121-99
30/10/26HSacramento Kings132-120
29/10/26HDenver Nuggets91-104
25/10/26ADenver Nuggets135-141 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26AUtah Jazz123-108
11/11/26ASacramento Kings107-100
08/11/26AGolden State Warriors119-126 OT
06/11/26APhoenix Suns104-117
03/11/26HWashington Wizards94-103
01/11/26HBoston Celtics97-108
30/10/26AToronto Raptors121-114
28/10/26AToronto Raptors99-129
25/10/26ANew York Knicks111-102
23/10/26HMinnesota Timberwolves93-115

📊 11. Overall Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL33%
HomeWWWLL43%
AwayLLWLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %33%43%20%
Points / game116.9114.9119.8
Allowed / game124.2117.0134.4
Point differential-7.3-2.1-14.6
Avg total241.2231.9254.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %25%14%40%
Orlando Magic
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW36%
HomeLLLL0%
AwayWLLWW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1147
Win %36%0%57%
Points / game108.5102.2112.0
Allowed / game114.0114.5113.7
Point differential-5.5-12.2-1.7
Avg total222.5216.8225.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%0%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %9%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Los Angeles Lakers1311285%122.2114.2+7.9
2 Boston Celtics1210283%114.2103.1+11.2
3 San Antonio Spurs1210283%119.2108.0+11.2
4 Houston Rockets129375%115.4106.5+8.9
5 Philadelphia 76ers129375%110.2109.2+1.0
6 Minnesota Timberwolves118373%118.1107.0+11.1
7 Portland Trail Blazers118373%119.5112.3+7.3
8 Detroit Pistons107370%112.7104.6+8.1
9 Golden State Warriors128467%119.3111.5+7.8
10 Oklahoma City Thunder128467%111.1106.9+4.2
11 Memphis Grizzlies117464%117.9111.9+6.0
12 Dallas Mavericks117464%114.9110.3+4.6
13 Denver Nuggets106460%114.5113.3+1.2
14 Atlanta Hawks127558%118.2116.2+2.1
15 New York Knicks116555%110.3103.5+6.8
16 Cleveland Cavaliers126650%116.4114.3+2.1
17 Toronto Raptors115645%114.5111.9+2.5
18 Miami Heat115645%115.7120.0-4.3
19 Phoenix Suns104640%112.8118.1-5.3
20 Orlando Magic114736%108.5114.0-5.5
21 Charlotte Hornets114736%98.8110.4-11.5
22 Indiana Pacers124833%111.6114.0-2.4
23 Washington Wizards124833%107.5113.4-5.9
24 New Orleans Pelicans124833%116.9124.2-7.3
25 Brooklyn Nets113827%110.2115.3-5.1
26 Los Angeles Clippers102820%112.2118.1-5.9
27 Chicago Bulls101910%113.3128.8-15.5
28 Sacramento Kings111109%108.3121.0-12.7
29 Utah Jazz121118%106.6118.1-11.5
30 Milwaukee Bucks121118%106.8121.3-14.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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