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New Zealand Breakers vs Brisbane Bullets Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 05 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 06:30
Final 84-89
22-26 22-22 23-23 17-18
Position#5
Record1-0
FormLLWLW
Points / game98.0
Allowed / game87.0
New Zealand Breakers
Australia
vs
Brisbane Bullets 🏆
Australia
Position#6
Record1-0
FormWLLLW
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game71.0
AustraliaNBLRound 2· Spark Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · New Zealand Breakers v Brisbane Bullets
22 Dec 2026
NEW v BRIS
upcoming
13 Nov 2026
NEW v BRIS
upcoming
23 Oct 2025
NEW 83
BRIS84
19 Sep 2025
NEW 95
BRIS104
24 Jan 2025
NEW 87
BRIS93
21 Sep 2024
NEW 91
BRIS87
16 Feb 2024
NEW 103
BRIS87
05 Oct 2023
NEW 84
BRIS89
27 Nov 2022
NEW 116
BRIS79
24 Mar 2022
NEW 100
BRIS101
07 Mar 2022
NEW 74
BRIS92
30 May 2021
NEW 83
BRIS95
16 Apr 2021
NEW 91
BRIS71
03 Mar 2021
NEW 97
BRIS92
12 Jan 2020
NEW 85
BRIS95
09 Dec 2019
NEW 96
BRIS85
27 Jan 2019
NEW 109
BRIS96
11 Oct 2018
NEW 73
BRIS86
07 Dec 2017
NEW 96
BRIS89
19 Nov 2017
NEW 90
BRIS82
08 Dec 2016
NEW 82
BRIS75
06 Nov 2016
NEW 86
BRIS70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

New Zealand Breakers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brisbane Bullets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

New Zealand BreakersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreakers
Date
Competition
Brisbane Bullets
#9
W
80-75 OT
80
75
+5
no box
A04/02
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#4
W
88-68
88
68
+20
no box
H12/02
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#4
L
78-89
78
89
-11
no box
A16/02
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#4
W
92-77
92
77
+15
no box
H19/02
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
95-87
95
87
+8
no box
A03/03
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
74-81
74
81
-7
no box
H05/03
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
68-91
68
91
-23
no box
A10/03
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
80-70
80
70
+10
no box
H12/03
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
69-77
69
77
-8
no box
A15/03
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
98-87
98
87
+11
92avg 92
H30/09
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-18
20-24
18-12
17-17
19-12
20-25
26-17
23-14
14-18
28-24
18-22
18-25
21-25
28-17
18-22
25-13
30-23
24-20
22-27
19-17
9-21
21-13
11-23
33-24
24-22
23-21
12-24
9-24
18-12
21-15
15-25
26-18
22-11
14-24
20-21
13-21
22-25
24-18
31-18
21-26
162.4Avg total
82.2Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)98.087.0185.0+11.0100%
Season at home (1)98.087.0185.0+11.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)82.280.2162.4+2.060%
Last 5 (5)77.881.2159.0-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (18)84.980.8165.7+4.156%
vs Weaker (12)87.781.7169.3+6.067%
This opponent (Brisbane Bullets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brisbane BulletsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBullets
Date
Competition
Cairns Taipans
#3
L
81-107
81
107
-26
no box
H05/01
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
67-116
67
116
-49
no box
H11/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#5
L
91-101
91
101
-10
no box
H14/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#7
W
84-79
84
79
+5
no box
A16/01
NBL
Adelaide
#8
W
106-101 OT
106
101
+5
no box
H19/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#10
W
103-86
103
86
+17
no box
A21/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#2
L
71-99
71
99
-28
no box
H26/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#3
L
87-94
87
94
-7
no box
A28/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#2
L
75-80 OT
75
80
-5
no box
H04/02
NBL
Adelaide
#9
W
86-71
86
71
+15
72avg 72
H29/09
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-24
19-31
22-30
22-22
21-24
19-35
15-29
12-28
20-34
17-20
28-22
26-25
18-24
30-17
13-22
23-16
27-20
20-18
26-32
18-21
24-20
26-28
23-19
30-19
20-22
20-33
14-19
17-25
27-21
23-30
18-19
19-24
18-16
24-20
12-18
17-17
18-28
23-12
24-13
21-18
178.5Avg total
85.1Scored
93.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)86.071.0157.0+15.0100%
Season at home (1)86.071.0157.0+15.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)85.193.4178.5-8.340%
Last 5 (5)84.486.0170.4-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)83.895.9179.6-12.120%
vs Similar ◀ (5)91.077.2168.2+13.880%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -1.0-1.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -1.0-1.0
New Zealand BreakersBrisbane Bullets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
New Zealand BreakersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brisbane Bullets
#9
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A04/02
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#4
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H12/02
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#4
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A16/02
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#4
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H19/02
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
54-43
54
43
+11
A03/03
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H05/03
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A10/03
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
39-27
39
27
+12
H12/03
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A15/03
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H30/09
NBL
80.6Avg total
41.8Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.040.882.8+1.253%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.740.782.4+1.053%-
Last 30 away (13)42.441.083.4+1.454%-
Last 10 (10)41.838.880.6+3.070%-
Last 5 (5)39.636.476.0+3.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (18)41.739.881.5+1.861%-
vs Weaker (12)42.542.384.8+0.242%-
This opponent (Brisbane Bullets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brisbane BulletsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cairns Taipans
#3
L
37-55
37
55
-18
H05/01
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
40-59
40
59
-19
H11/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#5
L
37-54
37
54
-17
H14/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#7
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A16/01
NBL
Adelaide
#8
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H19/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#10
W
50-48
50
48
+2
A21/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#2
L
40-55
40
55
-15
H26/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#3
L
50-51
50
51
-1
A28/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#2
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H04/02
NBL
Adelaide
#9
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H29/09
NBL
90.9Avg total
43.2Scored
47.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.245.989.0-2.737%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.946.689.5-3.733%-
Last 30 away (15)43.445.188.5-1.740%-
Last 10 (10)43.247.790.9-4.550%-
Last 5 (5)44.646.090.6-1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)42.647.289.8-4.628%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)46.039.285.2+6.880%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
New Zealand Breakerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

New Zealand Breakers: 98.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.2 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.024.0
68.6%
50.9%48.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.012.0
42.9%
33.9%36.0
🏀 Free throws16.014.0
87.5%
73.8%14.0
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brisbane Bulletstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brisbane Bullets: 86.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀21%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.0 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.2 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.025.0
41.7%
50.9%50.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.06.0
25.0%
33.9%18.0
🏀 Free throws26.018.0
69.2%
73.8%18.0
They take 84.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 1/1 games with a box score before 05 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
New Zealand Breakers
WLWLLWWLWW
Brisbane Bullets
WLLLWWWLLL
#5
League position
#6
+13.9
Net rating
+20.3
124.1
Offensive rating
102.8
110.2
Defensive rating
82.5
66.7%
Effective FG%
40.5%
60.8%
Opp. effective FG%
37.2%
20.2%
Turnover %
14.2%
25.0%
Off. rebound %
39.7%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.31
42.9%
3-point %
25.0%
47.2%
Assist %
35.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence124.1 · 102.8Defence110.2 · 82.5Shooting66.7% · 40.5%3-point %42.9% · 25.0%Ball care20.2% · 14.2%Off. rebounds25.0% · 39.7%Free throws0.25 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ New Zealand Breakers   ■ Brisbane Bullets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
New Zealand Breakers wins
4
Brisbane Bullets wins
DateGameScore
04/02/23Brisbane Bullets v New Zealand Breakers75-80 OT
26/01/23Brisbane Bullets v New Zealand Breakers71-99
27/11/22New Zealand Breakers v Brisbane Bullets116-79
24/03/22New Zealand Breakers v Brisbane Bullets100-101 OT
07/03/22New Zealand Breakers v Brisbane Bullets74-92
09/01/22Brisbane Bullets v New Zealand Breakers83-88
30/05/21New Zealand Breakers v Brisbane Bullets83-95
16/04/21New Zealand Breakers v Brisbane Bullets91-71
27/03/21Brisbane Bullets v New Zealand Breakers76-81 OT
20/03/21Brisbane Bullets v New Zealand Breakers88-67
New Zealand Breakerslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/09/23HCairns Taipans98-87
15/03/23ASydney69-77
12/03/23HSydney80-70
10/03/23ASydney68-91
05/03/23HSydney74-81
03/03/23ASydney95-87
19/02/23HTasmania JackJumpers92-77
16/02/23ATasmania JackJumpers78-89
12/02/23HTasmania JackJumpers88-68
04/02/23ABrisbane Bullets80-75 OT
Brisbane Bulletslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/09/23HAdelaide86-71
04/02/23HNew Zealand Breakers75-80 OT
28/01/23ACairns Taipans87-94
26/01/23HNew Zealand Breakers71-99
21/01/23AIllawarra Hawks103-86
19/01/23HAdelaide106-101 OT
16/01/23ASouth East Melbourne84-79
14/01/23HMelbourne United91-101
11/01/23HSydney67-116
05/01/23HCairns Taipans81-107

📊 11. Overall Statistics

New Zealand Breakers
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game98.098.0-
Allowed / game87.087.0-
Point differential+11.0+11.0-
Avg total185.0185.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Brisbane Bullets
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game86.086.0-
Allowed / game71.071.0-
Point differential+15.0+15.0-
Avg total157.0157.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brisbane Bullets110100%86.071.0+15.0
2 Sydney110100%96.081.0+15.0
3 Melbourne United220100%82.070.5+11.5
4 New Zealand Breakers110100%98.087.0+11.0
5 South East Melbourne21150%88.590.5-2.0
6 Perth21150%100.0102.5-2.5
7 Tasmania JackJumpers1010%95.0101.0-6.0
8 Cairns Taipans1010%87.098.0-11.0
9 Adelaide2020%72.584.0-11.5
10 Illawarra Hawks1010%81.096.0-15.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
New Zealand Breakers2222231784
Brisbane Bullets2622231889
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