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New Zealand Breakers vs Brisbane Bullets Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 22 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 06:30
Scheduled
Position#8
Record5-9
FormLLLWL
Points / game90.6
Allowed / game91.4
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.2/10
Around normal
6.9/10
Above normal
Position#7
Record6-8
FormWWLLL
Points / game94.4
Allowed / game99.2
AustraliaNBLRound 13· Spark Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · New Zealand Breakers v Brisbane Bullets
22 Dec 2026
NEW v BRIS
upcoming
13 Nov 2026
NEW 94
BRIS90
23 Oct 2025
NEW 83
BRIS84
19 Sep 2025
NEW 95
BRIS104
24 Jan 2025
NEW 87
BRIS93
21 Sep 2024
NEW 91
BRIS87
16 Feb 2024
NEW 103
BRIS87
05 Oct 2023
NEW 84
BRIS89
27 Nov 2022
NEW 116
BRIS79
24 Mar 2022
NEW 100
BRIS101
07 Mar 2022
NEW 74
BRIS92
30 May 2021
NEW 83
BRIS95
16 Apr 2021
NEW 91
BRIS71
03 Mar 2021
NEW 97
BRIS92
12 Jan 2020
NEW 85
BRIS95
09 Dec 2019
NEW 96
BRIS85
27 Jan 2019
NEW 109
BRIS96
11 Oct 2018
NEW 73
BRIS86
07 Dec 2017
NEW 96
BRIS89
19 Nov 2017
NEW 90
BRIS82
08 Dec 2016
NEW 82
BRIS75
06 Nov 2016
NEW 86
BRIS70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

New Zealand Breakers win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Brisbane Bullets win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

New Zealand BreakersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreakers
Date
Competition
Adelaide
#5
W
88-72
88
72
+16
84avg 84
A04/10
NBL
Perth
#6
L
84-100
84
100
-16
63avg 84
A10/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
102-101
102
101
+1
99avg 84
A14/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
92-98
92
98
-6
89avg 84
A18/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#4
L
84-86
84
86
-2
75avg 84
A25/10
NBL
Adelaide
#5
L
101-108
101
108
-7
92avg 84
H30/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#3
L
74-94
74
94
-20
no box
A02/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
77-79
77
79
-2
no box
A06/11
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#7
W
94-90 OT
94
90
+4
no box
H13/11
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
102-111 OT
102
111
-9
no box
A15/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-19
25-23
12-15
28-15
22-21
16-20
28-29
18-30
31-29
20-32
24-12
27-28
32-31
19-22
14-17
27-28
25-16
21-23
16-21
22-26
24-28
20-28
28-18
29-34
19-28
20-15
16-27
19-24
19-27
24-16
12-21
22-15
14-24
26-16
20-22
19-17
20-21
25-24
19-20
23-22
183.7Avg total
89.8Scored
93.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)90.691.4182.1-0.836%
Season at home (4)97.088.5185.5+8.575%
Season away (10)88.192.6180.7-4.520%
Last 10 (10)89.893.9183.7-4.130%
Last 5 (5)89.696.4186.0-6.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)89.6101.7191.3-12.120%
vs Similar (13)95.093.2188.2+1.846%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)96.189.6185.7+6.657%
This opponent (Brisbane Bullets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brisbane BulletsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBullets
Date
Competition
Cairns Taipans
#4
L
91-97
91
97
-6
80avg 76
A08/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
115-105
115
105
+10
116avg 76
H15/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
85-106
85
106
-21
68avg 76
A21/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#9
W
98-81
98
81
+17
92avg 76
A24/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#4
L
85-107
85
107
-22
75avg 76
H29/10
NBL
Adelaide
#5
W
96-89
96
89
+7
95avg 76
A01/11
NBL
Perth
#6
W
109-104
109
104
+5
no box
H04/11
NBL
Melbourne United
#3
L
92-120
92
120
-28
no box
A07/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#8
L
90-94 OT
90
94
-4
no box
A13/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
92-104
92
104
-12
no box
H15/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-23
33-24
22-27
19-23
30-24
26-31
34-29
25-21
15-22
29-34
20-28
21-22
25-16
30-19
14-27
29-19
21-23
21-34
19-21
24-29
30-17
20-26
26-23
20-23
37-22
26-21
18-25
28-36
17-29
31-33
25-21
19-37
24-14
16-26
22-20
17-19
26-21
26-29
14-29
26-25
196.0Avg total
95.3Scored
100.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)94.499.2193.6-4.943%
Season at home (7)98.7101.3200.0-2.657%
Season away (7)90.097.1187.1-7.129%
Last 10 (10)95.3100.7196.0-5.440%
Last 5 (5)95.8102.2198.0-6.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)83.0100.0183.0-17.017%
vs Similar (7)91.693.3184.9-1.743%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -2.6-2.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -2.6-2.6
New Zealand BreakersBrisbane Bullets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
New Zealand BreakersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Adelaide
#5
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A04/10
NBL
Perth
#6
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A10/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
51-61
51
61
-10
A14/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
51-53
51
53
-2
A18/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#4
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A25/10
NBL
Adelaide
#5
L
44-56
44
56
-12
H30/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#3
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A02/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A06/11
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#7
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H13/11
NBL
Sydney
#1
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A15/11
NBL
90.8Avg total
44.5Scored
46.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.447.493.8-1.043%-
Last 30 at home (11)46.647.193.7-0.545%-
Last 30 away (19)46.347.693.9-1.442%-
Last 10 (10)44.546.390.8-1.820%-
Last 5 (5)42.245.487.6-3.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)45.051.796.7-6.710%-
vs Similar (13)46.544.891.3+1.662%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)48.346.194.4+2.157%-
This opponent (Brisbane Bullets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brisbane BulletsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cairns Taipans
#4
W
50-47
50
47
+3
A08/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
56-55
56
55
+1
H15/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
44-56
44
56
-12
A21/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#9
W
55-35
55
35
+20
A24/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#4
L
42-57
42
57
-15
H29/10
NBL
Adelaide
#5
W
50-43
50
43
+7
A01/11
NBL
Perth
#6
W
63-43
63
43
+20
H04/11
NBL
Melbourne United
#3
L
48-62
48
62
-14
A07/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#8
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A13/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
52-50
52
50
+2
H15/11
NBL
98.8Avg total
50.0Scored
48.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.848.792.5-5.040%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.947.993.8-2.050%-
Last 30 away (14)41.449.791.1-8.429%-
Last 10 (10)50.048.898.8+1.260%-
Last 5 (5)50.647.698.2+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)42.749.992.6-7.235%-
vs Similar (7)47.344.992.1+2.457%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
New Zealand Breakerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

New Zealand Breakers: 90.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.221.3
55.8%
56.4%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.311.7
41.3%
34.2%35.1
🏀 Free throws18.812.9
68.6%
74.0%12.9
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brisbane Bulletstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brisbane Bullets: 93.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.425.6
56.4%
56.4%51.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.09.7
30.3%
34.2%29.1
🏀 Free throws18.713.1
70.1%
74.0%13.1
They take 77.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
New Zealand Breakers
LWLLLLLWLW
Brisbane Bullets
LLLWWLWLWL
#8
League position
#7
+3.3
Net rating
-2.4
102.8
Offensive rating
94.9
99.5
Defensive rating
97.4
58.4%
Effective FG%
51.9%
53.3%
Opp. effective FG%
53.8%
14.1%
Turnover %
15.3%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.24
41.3%
3-point %
30.3%
63.3%
Assist %
59.5%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence102.8 · 94.9Defence99.5 · 97.4Shooting58.4% · 51.9%3-point %41.3% · 30.3%Ball care14.1% · 15.3%Free throws0.28 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ New Zealand Breakers   ■ Brisbane Bullets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26ASydney102-111 OT
13/11/26HBrisbane Bullets94-90 OT
06/11/26ATasmania JackJumpers77-79
02/11/26AMelbourne United74-94
30/10/26HAdelaide101-108
25/10/26ACairns Taipans84-86
18/10/26ATasmania JackJumpers92-98
14/10/26ASydney102-101
10/10/26APerth84-100
04/10/26AAdelaide88-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HTasmania JackJumpers92-104
13/11/26ANew Zealand Breakers90-94 OT
07/11/26AMelbourne United92-120
04/11/26HPerth109-104
01/11/26AAdelaide96-89
29/10/26HCairns Taipans85-107
24/10/26AIllawarra Hawks98-81
21/10/26ATasmania JackJumpers85-106
15/10/26HSouth East Melbourne115-105
08/10/26ACairns Taipans91-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

New Zealand Breakers
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL36%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayLLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games14410
Win %36%75%20%
Points / game90.697.088.1
Allowed / game91.488.592.6
Point differential-0.8+8.5-4.5
Avg total182.1185.5180.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%50%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)100% (1)20% (5)
Overtime %14%25%10%
Brisbane Bullets
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL43%
HomeLWLWL57%
AwayLWWLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %43%57%29%
Points / game94.498.790.0
Allowed / game99.2101.397.1
Point differential-4.9-2.6-7.1
Avg total193.6200.0187.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%14%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %14%14%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sydney139469%98.689.7+8.9
2 Tasmania JackJumpers139469%94.790.4+4.3
3 Melbourne United148657%98.391.9+6.4
4 Cairns Taipans148657%92.495.9-3.6
5 Adelaide137654%92.992.5+0.5
6 Perth137654%95.797.8-2.1
7 Brisbane Bullets146843%94.499.2-4.9
8 New Zealand Breakers145936%90.691.4-0.8
9 Illawarra Hawks1551033%97.5104.7-7.3
10 South East Melbourne134931%97.998.1-0.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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