PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

New Zealand Breakers vs Brisbane Bullets Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 16 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 06:30
Final 103-87
26-21 29-19 20-23 28-24
Position#5
Record12-14
FormWLWWL
Points / game89.4
Allowed / game89.1
vs
Position#6
Record13-14
FormLWLLW
Points / game87.8
Allowed / game90.0
AustraliaNBLRound 20· Spark Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · New Zealand Breakers v Brisbane Bullets
22 Dec 2026
NEW v BRIS
upcoming
13 Nov 2026
NEW v BRIS
upcoming
23 Oct 2025
NEW 83
BRIS84
19 Sep 2025
NEW 95
BRIS104
24 Jan 2025
NEW 87
BRIS93
21 Sep 2024
NEW 91
BRIS87
16 Feb 2024
NEW 103
BRIS87
05 Oct 2023
NEW 84
BRIS89
27 Nov 2022
NEW 116
BRIS79
24 Mar 2022
NEW 100
BRIS101
07 Mar 2022
NEW 74
BRIS92
30 May 2021
NEW 83
BRIS95
16 Apr 2021
NEW 91
BRIS71
03 Mar 2021
NEW 97
BRIS92
12 Jan 2020
NEW 85
BRIS95
09 Dec 2019
NEW 96
BRIS85
27 Jan 2019
NEW 109
BRIS96
11 Oct 2018
NEW 73
BRIS86
07 Dec 2017
NEW 96
BRIS89
19 Nov 2017
NEW 90
BRIS82
08 Dec 2016
NEW 82
BRIS75
06 Nov 2016
NEW 86
BRIS70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

New Zealand Breakers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brisbane Bullets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

New Zealand BreakersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreakers
Date
Competition
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
98-93
98
93
+5
91avg 80
A01/01
NBL
Perth
#3
L
102-108
102
108
-6
99avg 80
H07/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
L
81-82
81
82
-1
72avg 80
H12/01
NBL
Sydney
#7
L
76-105
76
105
-29
62avg 80
A14/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
106-75
106
75
+31
104avg 80
H20/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
94-88
94
88
+6
85avg 80
H26/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
L
85-89
85
89
-4
68avg 80
A28/01
NBL
Perth
#3
W
89-78
89
78
+11
81avg 80
A04/02
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
W
88-85
88
85
+3
81avg 80
H09/02
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
L
81-94
81
94
-13
65avg 80
A11/02
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-25
21-15
30-24
28-29
35-24
23-29
19-34
25-21
22-17
22-22
18-23
19-20
19-34
15-29
20-26
22-16
25-10
27-27
25-26
29-12
24-20
33-19
12-21
25-28
22-22
26-20
20-22
17-25
21-16
25-23
25-24
18-15
18-21
23-21
27-19
20-24
22-27
17-28
16-23
26-16
179.7Avg total
90.0Scored
89.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)89.489.1178.5+0.346%
Season at home (13)90.787.8178.5+2.854%
Season away (13)88.290.4178.5-2.238%
Last 10 (10)90.089.7179.7+0.350%
Last 5 (5)87.486.8174.2+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)88.491.9180.3-3.443%
vs Similar ◀ (18)85.185.8170.9-0.844%
vs Weaker (5)93.289.6182.8+3.640%
This opponent (Brisbane Bullets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brisbane BulletsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBullets
Date
Competition
New Zealand Breakers
#5
L
71-81
71
81
-10
57avg 76
H27/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
95-83
95
83
+12
82avg 76
H30/12
NBL
Sydney
#7
W
101-93
101
93
+8
90avg 76
A07/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
80-77
80
77
+3
65avg 76
H10/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
W
110-103
110
103
+7
102avg 76
H14/01
NBL
Perth
#3
L
86-118
86
118
-32
68avg 76
A19/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
102-84
102
84
+18
88avg 76
A21/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
L
77-93
77
93
-16
62avg 76
H26/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
L
76-89
76
89
-13
59avg 76
A03/02
NBL
Adelaide
#9
W
102-84
102
84
+18
96avg 76
H09/02
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-15
20-24
18-20
18-22
32-23
25-19
15-25
23-16
23-24
29-15
28-28
21-26
19-18
24-20
18-21
19-18
30-26
29-30
31-24
20-23
13-31
25-26
23-28
25-33
26-17
35-23
18-22
23-22
13-21
26-29
20-23
18-20
18-22
26-28
22-12
10-27
22-20
30-24
24-23
26-17
180.5Avg total
90.0Scored
90.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)87.890.0177.9-2.248%
Season at home (14)90.187.9178.1+2.257%
Season away (13)85.392.3177.6-7.038%
Last 10 (10)90.090.5180.5-0.560%
Last 5 (5)88.693.6182.2-5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)83.793.0176.7-9.327%
vs Similar ◀ (12)89.486.5175.9+2.958%
vs Weaker (3)92.090.3182.3+1.767%
This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: -2.1-2.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: -2.1-2.1
New Zealand BreakersBrisbane Bullets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
New Zealand BreakersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A01/01
NBL
Perth
#3
W
58-53
58
53
+5
H07/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H12/01
NBL
Sydney
#7
L
34-63
34
63
-29
A14/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
52-37
52
37
+15
H20/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
57-39
57
39
+18
H26/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A28/01
NBL
Perth
#3
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A04/02
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H09/02
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
L
39-55
39
55
-16
A11/02
NBL
90.8Avg total
45.9Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.443.688.0+0.857%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.641.586.1+3.153%-
Last 30 away (15)44.245.789.9-1.560%-
Last 10 (10)45.944.990.8+1.060%-
Last 5 (5)46.243.489.6+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)44.444.488.9+0.057%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)43.143.086.1+0.150%-
vs Weaker (5)49.244.693.8+4.680%-
This opponent (Brisbane Bullets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brisbane BulletsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Zealand Breakers
#5
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H27/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
57-42
57
42
+15
H30/12
NBL
Sydney
#7
W
52-39
52
39
+13
A07/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H10/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
W
59-56
59
56
+3
H14/01
NBL
Perth
#3
L
38-57
38
57
-19
A19/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
61-40
61
40
+21
A21/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
L
39-50
39
50
-11
H26/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A03/02
NBL
Adelaide
#9
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H09/02
NBL
93.5Avg total
48.0Scored
45.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.445.289.6-0.857%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.944.889.7+0.162%-
Last 30 away (14)43.945.689.5-1.850%-
Last 10 (10)48.045.593.5+2.560%-
Last 5 (5)46.848.295.0-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)41.844.886.6-3.053%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)46.346.292.6+0.158%-
vs Weaker (3)49.743.092.7+6.767%-
This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
New Zealand Breakerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

New Zealand Breakers: 89.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.2 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.122.0
52.3%
50.9%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.19.9
39.4%
33.9%29.7
🏀 Free throws21.315.3
71.8%
73.8%15.3
They take 67.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brisbane Bulletstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brisbane Bullets: 89.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.0 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.2 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.723.8
46.9%
50.9%47.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.57.0
34.1%
33.9%21.0
🏀 Free throws28.021.0
75.0%
73.8%21.0
They take 71.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
New Zealand Breakers
LWWLWWLLLW
Brisbane Bullets
WLLWLWWWWL
#5
League position
#6
+0.1
Net rating
-0.1
113.2
Offensive rating
109.8
113.1
Defensive rating
109.9
54.8%
Effective FG%
48.2%
52.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.3%
14.5%
Turnover %
13.0%
25.3%
Off. rebound %
28.8%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.39
39.4%
3-point %
34.1%
51.7%
Assist %
46.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence113.2 · 109.8Defence113.1 · 109.9Shooting54.8% · 48.2%3-point %39.4% · 34.1%Ball care14.5% · 13.0%Off. rebounds25.3% · 28.8%Free throws0.32 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ New Zealand Breakers   ■ Brisbane Bullets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/24AMelbourne United81-94
09/02/24HIllawarra Hawks88-85
04/02/24APerth89-78
28/01/24AIllawarra Hawks85-89
26/01/24HTasmania JackJumpers94-88
20/01/24HSouth East Melbourne106-75
14/01/24ASydney76-105
12/01/24HMelbourne United81-82
07/01/24HPerth102-108
01/01/24ATasmania JackJumpers98-93
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/24HAdelaide102-84
03/02/24AIllawarra Hawks76-89
26/01/24HMelbourne United77-93
21/01/24ACairns Taipans102-84
19/01/24APerth86-118
14/01/24HIllawarra Hawks110-103
10/01/24HTasmania JackJumpers80-77
07/01/24ASydney101-93
30/12/23HSouth East Melbourne95-83
27/12/23HNew Zealand Breakers71-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

New Zealand Breakers
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL46%
HomeLLWWW54%
AwayWLLWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %46%54%38%
Points / game89.490.788.2
Allowed / game89.187.890.4
Point differential+0.3+2.8-2.2
Avg total178.5178.5178.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%31%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)25% (4)40% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Brisbane Bullets
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW48%
HomeWWWLW57%
AwayLWLWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %48%57%38%
Points / game87.890.185.3
Allowed / game90.087.992.3
Point differential-2.2+2.2-7.0
Avg total177.9178.1177.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%29%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)50% (6)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Melbourne United2619773%93.787.3+6.3
2 Perth27171063%94.791.7+3.0
3 Tasmania JackJumpers27151256%91.885.4+6.4
4 Illawarra Hawks27141352%91.189.9+1.3
5 Brisbane Bullets27131448%87.890.0-2.2
6 New Zealand Breakers26121446%89.489.1+0.3
7 Sydney27121544%94.493.9+0.6
8 Cairns Taipans27111641%89.292.6-3.4
9 Adelaide27111641%88.292.3-4.1
10 South East Melbourne27101737%87.395.1-7.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
New Zealand Breakers26292028103
Brisbane Bullets2119232487
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.