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New Zealand Breakers vs Brisbane Bullets Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 24 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 06:30
Final 87-93
19-21 21-25 23-20 24-27
Position#9
Record9-16
FormLLLWL
Points / game85.6
Allowed / game91.0
vs
Position#8
Record10-15
FormWLLLL
Points / game92.7
Allowed / game97.9
AustraliaNBLRound 18· Spark Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · New Zealand Breakers v Brisbane Bullets
22 Dec 2026
NEW v BRIS
upcoming
13 Nov 2026
NEW v BRIS
upcoming
23 Oct 2025
NEW 83
BRIS84
19 Sep 2025
NEW 95
BRIS104
24 Jan 2025
NEW 87
BRIS93
21 Sep 2024
NEW 91
BRIS87
16 Feb 2024
NEW 103
BRIS87
05 Oct 2023
NEW 84
BRIS89
27 Nov 2022
NEW 116
BRIS79
24 Mar 2022
NEW 100
BRIS101
07 Mar 2022
NEW 74
BRIS92
30 May 2021
NEW 83
BRIS95
16 Apr 2021
NEW 91
BRIS71
03 Mar 2021
NEW 97
BRIS92
12 Jan 2020
NEW 85
BRIS95
09 Dec 2019
NEW 96
BRIS85
27 Jan 2019
NEW 109
BRIS96
11 Oct 2018
NEW 73
BRIS86
07 Dec 2017
NEW 96
BRIS89
19 Nov 2017
NEW 90
BRIS82
08 Dec 2016
NEW 82
BRIS75
06 Nov 2016
NEW 86
BRIS70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

New Zealand Breakers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brisbane Bullets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

New Zealand BreakersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreakers
Date
Competition
Adelaide
#6
L
94-111
94
111
-17
85avg 78
A14/12
NBL
Sydney
#4
L
84-92
84
92
-8
71avg 78
H20/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
L
82-97
82
97
-15
75avg 78
A25/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
W
92-68
92
68
+24
92avg 78
A31/12
NBL
Perth
#3
L
86-96
86
96
-10
85avg 78
H05/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
L
74-83
74
83
-9
62avg 78
A08/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
L
100-108
100
108
-8
96avg 78
A11/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
L
89-91
89
91
-2
78avg 78
H13/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
W
85-75
85
75
+10
85avg 78
H16/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
L
89-102
89
102
-13
81avg 78
A18/01
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-22
27-36
27-20
18-33
19-15
32-29
18-23
15-25
18-20
21-22
19-22
24-33
21-15
26-22
25-17
20-14
24-30
20-25
28-19
14-22
17-15
18-23
15-20
24-25
28-35
20-34
22-19
30-20
26-25
16-16
29-21
18-29
19-8
20-37
22-17
24-13
17-30
27-19
21-27
24-26
179.8Avg total
87.5Scored
92.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)85.691.0176.6-5.436%
Season at home (12)83.889.2172.9-5.442%
Season away (13)87.292.7179.9-5.531%
Last 10 (10)87.592.3179.8-4.820%
Last 5 (5)87.491.8179.2-4.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)86.995.3182.2-8.527%
vs Similar ◀ (14)84.985.0169.9-0.150%
vs Weaker (1)70.076.0146.0-6.00%
This opponent (Brisbane Bullets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brisbane BulletsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBullets
Date
Competition
Cairns Taipans
#10
W
107-104
107
104
+3
94avg 81
H20/12
NBL
Adelaide
#6
W
111-90
111
90
+21
104avg 81
A24/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
L
84-102
84
102
-18
71avg 81
H27/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
L
86-95
86
95
-9
75avg 81
A29/12
NBL
Sydney
#4
L
86-91
86
91
-5
70avg 81
H04/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
83-74
83
74
+9
61avg 81
H08/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
L
86-105
86
105
-19
66avg 81
A11/01
NBL
Perth
#3
L
85-112
85
112
-27
80avg 81
H15/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
L
80-111
80
111
-31
69avg 81
H17/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
L
87-121
87
121
-34
75avg 81
A20/01
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-30
27-24
25-26
26-24
24-23
27-25
27-22
33-20
34-29
16-19
18-34
16-20
21-22
23-30
14-18
28-25
29-28
19-17
23-24
15-22
15-17
23-18
20-15
25-24
21-17
33-30
14-22
18-36
27-27
15-38
24-20
19-27
24-31
21-31
20-20
15-29
20-35
21-21
19-35
27-30
190.0Avg total
89.5Scored
100.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)92.797.9190.6-5.240%
Season at home (13)92.095.4187.4-3.446%
Season away (12)93.4100.6194.0-7.233%
Last 10 (10)89.5100.5190.0-11.030%
Last 5 (5)84.2104.6188.8-20.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)92.7103.3196.0-10.527%
vs Similar ◀ (15)91.390.1181.4+1.353%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: -3.5-3.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: -3.5-3.5
New Zealand BreakersBrisbane Bullets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
New Zealand BreakersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Adelaide
#6
L
49-58
49
58
-9
A14/12
NBL
Sydney
#4
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H20/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A25/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A31/12
NBL
Perth
#3
L
44-55
44
55
-11
H05/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A08/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
L
48-69
48
69
-21
A11/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H13/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H16/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A18/01
NBL
91.6Avg total
43.8Scored
47.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.045.888.8-2.833%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.744.488.1-0.746%-
Last 30 away (17)42.546.989.4-4.424%-
Last 10 (10)43.847.891.6-4.030%-
Last 5 (5)41.648.490.0-6.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)42.748.791.4-5.933%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)43.943.487.3+0.636%-
vs Weaker (1)35.037.072.0-2.00%-
This opponent (Brisbane Bullets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brisbane BulletsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cairns Taipans
#10
W
56-54
56
54
+2
H20/12
NBL
Adelaide
#6
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A24/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H27/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A29/12
NBL
Sydney
#4
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H04/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H08/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
W
54-47
54
47
+7
A11/01
NBL
Perth
#3
L
42-65
42
65
-23
H15/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
L
45-62
45
62
-17
H17/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
L
41-56
41
56
-15
A20/01
NBL
98.1Avg total
46.9Scored
51.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.049.595.4-3.547%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.148.192.2-4.153%-
Last 30 away (15)47.950.898.7-2.940%-
Last 10 (10)46.951.298.1-4.360%-
Last 5 (5)44.053.097.0-9.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)46.952.399.1-5.440%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)45.146.791.7-1.653%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
New Zealand Breakerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

New Zealand Breakers: 86.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.223.3
59.4%
52.3%46.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.48.4
31.8%
35.1%25.2
🏀 Free throws21.714.5
66.8%
74.7%14.5
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brisbane Bulletstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brisbane Bullets: 89.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.621.9
48.0%
52.3%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.29.4
35.9%
35.1%28.2
🏀 Free throws23.117.1
74.0%
74.7%17.1
They take 71.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
New Zealand Breakers
LWLLLLWLLL
Brisbane Bullets
LLLLWLLLWW
#9
League position
#8
-7.0
Net rating
-13.0
111.4
Offensive rating
111.8
118.3
Defensive rating
124.8
54.7%
Effective FG%
50.1%
52.3%
Opp. effective FG%
58.9%
17.3%
Turnover %
15.2%
29.2%
Off. rebound %
34.2%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.32
31.8%
3-point %
35.9%
53.3%
Assist %
44.4%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence111.4 · 111.8Defence118.3 · 124.8Shooting54.7% · 50.1%3-point %31.8% · 35.9%Ball care17.3% · 15.2%Off. rebounds29.2% · 34.2%Free throws0.33 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)20% · 30%
■ New Zealand Breakers   ■ Brisbane Bullets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/25ASouth East Melbourne89-102
16/01/25HTasmania JackJumpers85-75
13/01/25HMelbourne United89-91
11/01/25AIllawarra Hawks100-108
08/01/25ABrisbane Bullets74-83
05/01/25HPerth86-96
31/12/24ACairns Taipans92-68
25/12/24ATasmania JackJumpers82-97
20/12/24HSydney84-92
14/12/24AAdelaide94-111
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/25AIllawarra Hawks87-121
17/01/25HCairns Taipans80-111
15/01/25HPerth85-112
11/01/25ASouth East Melbourne86-105
08/01/25HNew Zealand Breakers83-74
04/01/25HSydney86-91
29/12/24ATasmania JackJumpers86-95
27/12/24HIllawarra Hawks84-102
24/12/24AAdelaide111-90
20/12/24HCairns Taipans107-104

📊 11. Overall Statistics

New Zealand Breakers
NBL 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL36%
HomeLLLLW42%
AwayLWLLL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %36%42%31%
Points / game85.683.887.2
Allowed / game91.089.292.7
Point differential-5.4-5.4-5.5
Avg total176.6172.9179.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%17%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)75% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Brisbane Bullets
NBL 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL40%
HomeLLWLL46%
AwayLWLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %40%46%33%
Points / game92.792.093.4
Allowed / game97.995.4100.6
Point differential-5.2-3.4-7.2
Avg total190.6187.4194.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%23%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Illawarra Hawks2617965%101.892.7+9.2
2 Sydney26161062%90.886.7+4.2
3 Melbourne United26161062%94.691.5+3.1
4 Perth25151060%98.895.4+3.4
5 South East Melbourne25141156%95.091.0+4.0
6 Tasmania JackJumpers25121348%83.886.3-2.5
7 Adelaide24111346%93.596.4-2.8
8 Brisbane Bullets25101540%92.797.9-5.2
9 New Zealand Breakers2591636%85.691.0-5.4
10 Cairns Taipans2561924%86.495.0-8.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
New Zealand Breakers1921232487
Brisbane Bullets2125202793
← all games of the day
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